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La Liga Spain, Round 10(ish), 20-23 November 2020

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    La Liga Spain, Round 10(ish), 20-23 November 2020


    #2
    Villarreal - Real Madrid
    Pick: Villareal @ 2.40-2.50

    I have to try this pick even if odds have decreased a lot.
    Villareal are less exposed to the international break than Real Madrid. They do quite well this season being second with 18 points from 9 rounds. At home they managed to win 4 and drew once this season, GD 10-4. They have Alcacer and Moreno in good scoring form.

    Real Madrid have Ramos out due to the international games, and Varane at the center of defence becomes a liability without him. Benzema is also out. Casemiro and Militao are coming back from Covid, not fully fit. Kroos is coming from a huge defeat (6-0 suffered against Spain).
    Real struggle a lot lately. They have a decisive CL-game coming up against Inter and they need to focus on that as well since things are not quite rosy in the group. I remember that after the October international period Real lost to Cadiz and Shakhtar.

    H2H favours Real as they have only lost once against their host in the last 5 games away (1W-3D-1L), but I think present form and the general way of playing make Villareal deserved favourites. GL!

    PS: I learnt that Real always bounce back when they are close to the bottom, but that's part of the package and I consider this pick nice value today.
    Last edited by ellas98; 21-11-20, 15:49.

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