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Norway Eliteserien, OBOS Ligaen, 2 Division, Toppserien 2020

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    #76
    Sunday 12.07.2020 Kristiansund - Stabak:

    Kristiansund are using artificial turf at Kristiansund Stadion. Stabak are using natural grass at Nadderud.

    Max amount of spectators: 200 (as good as closed game)

    Game start: 18:00 CET

    Kristiansund (2-4-0) played a 2-2 draw away against Stromsgodset last round, and they are still undefeated after 6 rounds.
    The hosts are 1-1-0 at home, with goal score 9-4.
    Kristiansund were 8-4-3 at home, with goal score 31-16 in Eliteserien 2019.

    --------------------------------------------------------------

    Stabak (2-2-2) lost 0-3 at home against Rosenborg last round, and got their undefeated home streak ended (2-1-1).
    The blues are 0-1-1 on the road, with goal score 3-6.
    Key players Yaw Ihle Amankwah (Def 5/0), Emil Bohinen (Mid 5/0) and Luc Kassi (Mid/Att 4/1) were all out against Rosenborg, and are doubtful again.

    Kristiansund - Stabak ended 0-1 in 2019.

    Kristiansund keeps on impressing, mainly due to striker Amahl Pellegrino (Att 5/7) that has scored (7 goals) in his 4 latest games.
    The hosts played 2-2 draw in their last home game against Molde, and won 7-2 at home against Aalesund in their first home game.
    Stabaks many youngsters have performed well so far, but they had some key players out with injuries, and lost 0-3 at home against Rosenborg on Sunday.

    - Kristiansund have scored 9 goals in 2 games at home so far
    - Stabak have allowed 6 goals against in 2 games on the road so far.
    - Kristiansund attacker Amahl Pellegrino has scored in 4 games on a row (7 goals), and he has scored 15 goals in 15 games for Kristiansund.
    - Pellegrino has scored 2 goals or more in 2 of 5 Eliteserie games so far.

    Scoring streaks like these may stop at any point, and Pellegrino has actually struggled with an injury during most of the games he has scored. 2.48 for Pellegrino to score in his 5th straight game in his current form is a must take though, ill add a small bet on the x2. Unibet has the insurance of voiding bets if Pellegrino will not feature in the starting XI.

    Picks:

    Amahl Pellegrino (Kristiansund) to score, 7/10 stakes, odds [email protected]
    Amahl Pellegrino (Kristiansund) to score 2 goals or more, 3/10 stakes, odds [email protected]

    Good luck!


    Last edited by mightye; 10-07-20, 05:44.

    Comment


      #77
      Results Friday and Saturday:

      Valerenga - Roa 2-0 (Valerenga Over 2.5 goals) Lost
      Haugesund - Molde 0-3 (Result 0-0, 0-1, 0-2, 1-2) Lost
      Rosenborg - Stromsgodset 3-0 (2nd half: Over 2.5 goals) Won

      We were a bit unlucky in the Valerenga and Molde games, Enga with a big chance to score their 3rd, while Molde were closing in a 2-0 lead, looked signed and sealed, but got their 3rd on a quick counter. Well, Rosenborg - Stromsgodset made up for it though, as Rosenborg once again made a strong 2nd half display, and we got 3 goals in 2nd half

      +8 Units

      2020 stats:

      Units won: 368.33
      Units staked: 265

      +103.33 Units
      38.99 % ROI

      Comment


        #78
        Mightye, great call on RBK. You have great tips. First half was pretty poor but second home team showed they are better.
        what do you think about Aalesund chances to score? Or it will be one way traffic ? Home team scored on every match but dont know how mutch they can create here against great Bodo at this moment.

        Comment


          #79
          Aalesund have scored in all 6 games so far, and could and should? have won against Valerenga (2-2) and Stromsgodset (1-1) away. In Aalesunds 1-4 loss against reigning champions Molde, Aalesund also missed a penalty (Castro rarely misses those, but did in the season opener).
          Hard to tell if Bodo Glimt will be simply too good, theres sure no easy way stopping them, but Aalesund have proved to be deadly on counters on the road, and we may see a similar tactics going for quick turnovers for the hosts.

          Comment


            #80
            Results Sunday:

            Kristiansund - Stabak 1-2 (Pellegrino x1, x2) Lost
            Sarpsborg 08 - Start 1-0 (Sarpsborg 08 -1.5 AH) Lost
            Aalesund - Bodo Glimt 1-6 (Bodo Glimt Over 2.5) Won
            Aalesund - Bodo Glimt 1-6 (Bodo Glimt Over 3.5) Won

            Pellegrinos 4 game goal scoring streak came to an end today, impressive by Stabak coach Jan Jonsson that won his 4th game against Kristiansund of 4 attempts as Stabak coach.

            Sarpsborg 08 got a early 1-0 lead, and had a couple of big chances that hit the bars twice, but all in all 1-0 seemed fair in the end.

            Aalesund proved just how hard it is to stop high flying Bodo Glimt at the moment, Aalesund won all 15 home games in OBOS-Ligaen 2019, but the 1-6 loss could sure have been higher tonight. Bodo Glimt can be a title winning side this season, and they have a chance to reach the Europa League group stage as well with some luck. It all depends on keeping key players like Jens Petter Hauge and Philip Zinckernagel in the squad throughout the season. If Bodo Glimt dares to aim high, this be a very good year for them.

            +2.68 Units

            2020 stats:

            Units won: 400.01
            Units staked: 294

            +106.01 Units
            36.06 % ROI

            Comment


              #81
              Wednesday 15.07.2020 Molde - Viking:

              Both teams are using artificial turfs at their home stadiums.

              Max amount of spectators: 200 (as good as closed game)

              Game start: 18:00 CET

              Molde (6-1-0) keeps on impressing, and the blue and whites were never really tested away against Haugesund (3-0) on Saturday.
              The hosts are 3-0-0 at home, with goal score 7-2.

              ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Viking (1-2-4) lost 1-2 at home against Odd earlier tonight, and they played a very poor 1-1 game away against Start in their latest away game.
              The Stavanger side are 0-1-2 on the road, with goal score 2-6.

              Molde - Viking ended 5-1 in 2019.

              Moldes attacking play keep on rolling, 3-0 victory away against Haugesund, and 19 goals scored in 7 games so far.
              All home games are won so far, and the reigning champions were undefeated the entire 2019 season at home, 13-2-0, with goal score 41-10.
              Viking had a really interesting side last year, and with captain Tripic and talented Thorsvedt in key roles, the darkblue and whites lifted the Cup trophy as a newly promoted side.
              The 2020 season have started tough without them, Even Ostensen (Att 5/1) has looked promising, but was out against Odd with injury, and will be doubtful for this game.
              Odds are dropping already, and ill make my long shot bets early.

              - Molde have kept a -2.5 handicap in 3 of 7 games so far this season.
              - Viking have lost by a +2.5 handicap in 1 of 7 games this season.
              - Molde won 5-1 here last season, and they have won 2 of their 4 latest mutual games at Aker Stadion by 3 goals or more.

              Pick:

              Molde (-2.5 AH), 9/10 stakes, odds [email protected] Good luck!

              Comment


                #82
                Wednesday 15.07.2020 Bodo Glimt - Kristiansund:

                Both teams are using artificial turfs at their home stadiums.

                Max amount of spectators: 200 (as good as closed game)

                Game start: 18:00 CET

                Bodo Glimt (7-0-0) are simply a class above most sides at the moment. 6-1 outclassing away against Aalesund today, and 5-0 at home agianst Brann one week ago.
                The Northern side are 3-0-0 at home, with goal score 13-2.

                ----------------------------------------------------------------

                Kristiansund (2-4-1) got their first defeat of the season, as they lost 1-2 at home against Stabak.
                The guests are 1-3-0 on the road, with goal score 6-5.

                Bodo Glimt - Kristiansund ended 3-0 in 2019

                Bodo Glimt are lethal on counter-attacks and quick turnovers on the road (6-1 against Aalesund yesterday), but like Brann experienced one week ago, they can also outplay their opponents at home (5-0).
                Kristiansund have been one of the most promising sides themselves, led by their in-form winger/attacker Pellegrino (Att 6/7), but the team disappointed yesterday against Stabak (1-2), and they will have a very tough task ahead of them here.
                Bodo Glimts first choice XI are the best in Eliteserien at the moment, and as long as we dont see injuries, suspensions, or any key players leaving, ill back them in their current form.
                Kristiansund may be one of the most tricky teams to defeat by high numbers, but that hasnt stopped Bodo Glimt so far, and Ill back them with another long shot bet here.

                - Bodo Glimt have covered a -2.5 hc in their 3 latest games, and in 4 of 7 games in Eliteserien 2020.
                - Kristiansund have yet to lose a game by 3 goals in Eliteserien 2020 (7 games played)
                - Bodo Glimt have won two home games in a row by 3 goals or more against Kristiansund (2018, 2019)

                Pick:

                Bodo Glimt (-2.5 AH), 9/10 stakes, odds [email protected] Good luck!

                Comment


                  #83
                  Thursday 16.07.2020 Start - Rosenborg:

                  Start are using artificial turf at Sparebanken Sor Arena. Rosenborg are using natural grass at Lerkendal.

                  Max amount of spectators: 200 (as good as closed game)

                  Game start: 20:30 CET

                  Start (0-3-4) lost 0-1 away against Sarpsborg 08 last round, and the newly promoted side have lost 4 of their 5 latest games.
                  The Kristiansand side are 0-2-2 at home, with goal score 5-11.

                  ----------------------------------------------------------

                  Rosenborg (3-2-2) have kept their good trend, and they won their 3rd game in 4 attempts under caretaker manager Henriksen (3-1-0), 3-0 at home against Stromsgodset.
                  The guests have won 3-0 in their two last games, and all 6 goals have been scored in 2nd half.
                  Rosenborg are 2-0-1 on the road, with goal score 5-2.

                  Start - Rosenborg ended 0-1 in 2018.

                  Start opened the season with good enthusiasm, and were a bit unlucky not to get more points from their opening games. Now they seem a bit lost, and a tough fight against relegation seems hard to avoid.
                  Rosenborg may not be fully healed, but they fight their way into victories, time and time again. The team morale are on the rise, and their hard work have been paid off in the end of their games (3-0 away against Stabak, 3-0 at home against Stromsgodset) under caretaker manager Henriksen.
                  The champions from 2015,2016,2017 and 2018 are 3-1-0 in their latest games, and they got their key signing Torgeir Borven (Att 7/7 - Top scorer in Eliteserien 2019, 30/21) on the scoring sheet last round.

                  - Start have lost one of 7 games by 2 goals or more this season.
                  - Rosenborg have won their 2 last games 3-0, and kept a -1.5 hc in 2 of 7 games this season.
                  - Rosenborg have won 3 of their 4 latest mutual games at Sparebaken Sor Arena by 2 goals or more. (5 straight wins)
                  - Rosenborgs new key striker Torgeir Borven (Att 7/7) scored two goals against Start in Odds 5-0 win at Sparebanken Sor Arena, 27th June

                  Pick:

                  Rosenborg (-1.5 AH), 9/10 stakes, odds [email protected] Good luck!
                  Last edited by mightye; 13-07-20, 00:40.

                  Comment


                    #84
                    Monday 13.07.2020 Flekkeroy - Odd Reserves:

                    Both teams are using artificial turfs at their home stadiums.

                    Max amount of spectators: 200 (as good as closed game)

                    Game start: 17:30 CET

                    Flekkeroy (23-3-0) promoted in style from 3rd Division Group 3 last season, and the Kristiansand side have a good mix of established players at high 2.Div level, and talented players that havent succeeded at top level at first attempt, but may shine at this level with some time.
                    Flekkeroy were 12-1-0 at home, with goal score 45-6 in 3rd Division Group 3 in 2019.

                    ----------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Odd Reserves (10-2-14) ended up as a mid-table side in 2.Division Group 2 in 2019, and like most Eliteserie reserves sides, clearly best at home, when they get most aid from the first team.
                    The guests were 3-1-9 on the road, with goal score 15-26 in 2.Division Group 2 in 2019

                    Flekkeroy - Odd Reserves ended 6-0 in 2016.

                    Newly promoted Flekkeroy won their 3rd Division group by 19 points, and the team are more than good enough for 2.Div level.
                    Flekkeroy ended their 2019 season with 8 games in a row, with wins by at least 2 goals. 12 of 13 home games were won (12-1-0).
                    Odd Reserves will make their season debut, most likely without much help from the first team.
                    The first team played away against Viking yesterday, and will have new tough games on Wednesday and Sunday, and will most likely have to use all their squad players in order to deal with the tough schedule.
                    The reserve side often struggled without much help on the road last season, 9 of 13 away games were lost.
                    Yes it could be big difference between being impressive at 3.Division level, and keeping this up at the level above, but I feel Flekkeroy will take the level fast, and Odd Reserves will most likely be reduced due to the first team needs most of their players themselves this week.

                    - Flekkeroy won 10 of their 13 home games by 2 goals or more in 3rd Division Group 3 in 2019.
                    - Odd Reserves lost 7 of their 13 away games by 2 goals or more in 2nd DIvision Group 2 in 2019.

                    Pick:

                    Flekkeroy (-1.5 AH), 9/10 stakes, odds [email protected] Good luck!

                    Comment


                      #85
                      Results Monday:

                      Asane - Ranheim 0-3 (Over 3.5 goals) Lost.
                      Grorud - Sogndal 3-1 (Over 3 goals) Won
                      Flekkeroy - Odd Reserves 4-0 (Flekkeroy -1.5 AH) Won

                      6 of 7 OBOS-Liga games included 3 or more goals tonight, insane numbers, even for OBOS-Ligaen.
                      Ranheim were the clearly better side against Asane, but both teams had more than enough chances to make this go Over 3.5.
                      Grorud impressed a lot by winning 3-1 against red hot Sogndal, and finally got their first deserved points of the season.
                      Newly promoted Flekkeroy won clearly (4-0) in the season opener, against a young Odd Reserves side without much help from the first team.

                      +14.40 Units

                      2020 stats:

                      Units won: 441.41
                      Units staked: 321

                      +120.41 Units
                      37.51 %

                      Comment


                        #86
                        Some team news ahead of the 8th Round Wednesday/Thursday:

                        - Rosenborgs first choice goalie Andre Hansen (Kee 6/0) is expected to be out for 6 weeks due to injury.

                        - Stromsgodsets Herman Stengel (Def/Mid 5/1) has stepped up on the back while Stromsgodset had trouble with injuries in their defense this season, but now its himself that will be out for a while, as he will do surgery, and will be out for 6 weeks.

                        - Valerengas key midfielder Aron Donnum (Mid/Att 7/1) is suspended for one game due to bad comments in media, while first choice goalkeeper Kristoffer Klaesson (Kee 7/0) got sent off last game against Mjondalen, and will be out against Haugesund tonight.
                        Adam Larsen Kwarasey (Kee) has been out with long term injury, but will be in the squad for this game. Kjetil Haug (that stepped in against Mjondalen after Klaessons went sent off) can make his debut from start in Eliteserien tonight, if Kwarasey isnt at 100% yet.
                        Key defender Jonatan Tollas Nation (Def 5/0) is out with injury.
                        Haugesund were outplayed at home against Molde last round though (0-3), and even though they can create problems on counters, they have only scored 2 goals in 3 away games, and Valerengas "reserves" can very well win this.

                        Comment


                          #87
                          Thursday 16.07.2020 Stabak - Sarpsborg 08:

                          Stabak are using natural grass at Nadderud. Sarpsborg 08 are using artificial turf at their home stadium.

                          Max amount of spectators: 200 (as good as closed game)

                          Game start: 18:00 CET

                          Stabak (3-2-2) impressed with a 2-1 win away against Kristiansund (that were undefeated at the time) last round, and Jan Jonssons talented side have won 3 of their 5 latest games.
                          Stabak are 2-1-1 at home, with goal score 4-3.

                          ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Sarpsborg 08 (2-0-5) have ended their 5 game losing streak, and now they have two straight victories (Sandefjord 3-0 Away, Start 1-0 Home) against newly promoted sides.
                          The blue and whites are 1-0-2 on the road, with goal score 4-3.

                          Stabak - Sarpsborg 08 ended 3-3 in 2019.

                          Stabak impressed me away against Kristiansund (2-1) last round. While all eyes were on red hot Kristiansund attacker Amahl Pellegrino (6/7) in front of the game, the young Stabak side didnt only stop him, they showed they have a future top goalscorer candidate in the making themselves in Kornelius Normann Hansen (Mid/Att 6/3).
                          The 19 year old scored both of Stabaks goals against Stromsgodset (2-0) two weeks ago, and now he scored the winner away against Kristiansund (2-1), and could have scored more.
                          None of the bookies I have checked have dared to offer odds on him to score tomorrow, and most likely with good reason.
                          Sarpsborg 08s start of the season was a disaster (0-0-5), and fresh coach Stahre really needed the wins against newly promoted Sandefjord (3-0) and Start (1-0).
                          Now things have turned for the better for them, and the guests have got a boost of confidence as they have climbed above the relegation zone.

                          - Stabak have won 2 of 4 home games by 2 goals or more.
                          - Sarpsborg 08 have lost 2 of 3 away games this season, but none by 2 goals or more.
                          - Stabak have won 1 of their 3 latest mutual games against Sarpsborg 08 at Nadderud, by 2 goals or more.
                          - 5 of the 6 latest mutual games at Nadderud have ended with 3 goals or more scored.

                          Stabak have won 2-0 at home against Sandefjord and Stromsgodset the last two weeks (also a 0-3 loss against Rosenborg), and even though my initial thoughts were Over here, I cant see why the Stabak talents cant make a another win in an open game against Sarpsborg 08 on a good day. Long shot bet launched.

                          Pick: Stabak (-1.5 AH), 9/10 stakes, odds [email protected] Good luck!


                          Comment


                            #88
                            Monday 20.07.2020 Kongsvinger - Grorud:

                            Both teams are using artificial turfs at their home stadiums.

                            Max amount of spectators: 200 (as good as closed game)

                            Game start: 18:00 CET

                            Kongsvinger (1-0-2) started off their season by defeating a struggling HamKam side 3-2 away, lost 0-2 at home against promotion candidates Tromso, and lost 2-5 away against newly promoted Stjordals Blink last round.
                            The red and whites are 0-0-1 at home, with goal score 0-2.

                            -----------------------------------------------------

                            Newly promoted Grorud (1-0-2) lost 0-1 at home against promotion candidates Lillestrom in the season opener. They a 3-1 lead away against promotion candidates Ranheim in their second game, but ended up losing 3-5 in the end. Last round their first 3 points should be claimed though, against promotion candidate Sogndal (3-1).
                            Grorud are 0-0-1 on the road, with goal score 3-5.

                            No recent mutual games.

                            Kongsvinger lost 2-5 away against newly promoted Stjordals Blink last round, and got a reality check to remember. Young and inexperienced goalkeeper Andreas Smedplass had to start, as first choice goalkeeper Sahlgren has been injured since the Tromso game, and now Smedplass has allowed 7 goals against in 1.5 game. Sahlgren was at the bench last round, and could be back for this game.
                            They are normally solid at home, 8-3-4 in 2019, but their 2020 squad seem reduced since last season imo.
                            Newly promoted Grorud showed that their first half performance away against promotion candidates Ranheim (3-1 at HT, 3-5 in the end), just was a sign of what to come when they defeated the, at the time, top side in OBOS-Ligaen Sogndal 3-1 at home last round.
                            Kongsvinger should normally be clear favorites at home, against newly promoted sides, but they will have to be much better in front of goal, if they are to keep up with trigger happy Grorud.
                            Over 3.5 goals can be good option at odds around 2, ill go for one more goal here.

                            - 2 of Kongsvingers 3 games have ended Over 4.5 goals.
                            - 4 of Kongsvingers 15 home games ended Over 4.5 goals in OBOS-Ligaen 2019
                            - 2 of Groruds 3 games have ended Over 3.5 goals.

                            Pick:

                            Over 4.5 goals, 9/10 stakes, odds [email protected]

                            Good luck!

                            Comment


                              #89
                              Monday 20.07.2020 Jerv - HamKam:

                              Jerv are using natural grass at Levermyr. HamKam are using artificial turf at their home stadium.

                              Max amount of spectators: 200 (as good as closed game)

                              Game start: 18:00 CET

                              Jerv (0-2-1) have yet to win after 3 games played, but they have been in 2-1 leads until the final 20 minutes in both their latest games. Last round Ullensaker Kisas goalkeeper scored on a long distance free kick to equalize to 2-2.
                              Jerv are 0-1-0 at home, with goal score 2-2.

                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              HamKam (0-0-3) lost 3-4 at home against Oygarden last round, and the Hamar side have 3 straight defeats so far this season.
                              The green and whites are 0-0-1 on the road, with goal score 0-2.

                              Jerv - HamKam ended 1-0 in 2019.

                              Jerv have been unlucky so far imo, close and even game lost in the final minutes in the opener away against KFUM Oslo (1-2), and now two straight games were they played well and had the lead, but ended up with 2-2 draws in the end.
                              Looking at Jervs latest seasons, that is a typical trend for them, but I like the kind of players Arne Sandsto has in his starting XI this year, it make take some time for the new players to adapt fully to the rest, but the Costa Rican top scorer Diego Campos (Att 3/3) could be a big hit for the Southern side in 2020.
                              HamKam have some decent players in their team, but new coach Espen Olsen sure have a lot of work to do with the struggling guests, and will need former top striker Marcus Pedersen to get back to his previous highs if HamKam are to fight in the upper half this season.
                              HamKam were 4-2-9 on the road, with goal score 15-26 last season.
                              I like Jervs chances to claim their first victory of the 2020 season here, Campos to score can also be a good option if available closer to matchday.

                              Pick:

                              Jerv, 9/10 stakes, odds [email protected] Good luck!

                              Comment


                                #90
                                Results Wednesday:

                                Bodo Glimt - Kristiansund 2-1 (Bodo Glimt -2.5 AH) Lost.
                                Molde - Viking 5-0 (Molde -2.5 AH) Won

                                Kristiansunds top scorer Amahl Pellegrino scored the opening goal away against Bodo Glimt, and the win didnt come as easy today for Bodo Glimt. They turned the game to win 2-1 in the end though, and they are 8-0-0 so far in Eliteserien.
                                Molde on the other hand, had no problems at home against Viking. 5-0 in the end, Viking could have scored on a penalty at the score 5-0, but this was one way traffic.

                                +17.64 Units

                                2020 stats:

                                Units won: 477.05
                                Units staked: 339

                                +138.05 Units
                                40.72 %
                                Last edited by mightye; 15-07-20, 21:00.

                                Comment

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