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Norway Eliteserien, OBOS Ligaen, 2 Division, Toppserien 2020

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    #31
    Originally posted by mij0sim View Post
    Mightye, what do you think about fact that Odd didnt played good away from home whole last season. Also they didnt scored a lot in those matches. Do you think they can turn this trend? Start leaking goals but Odd didnt impress when they played Stromsgodset a week ago.
    Youre right, Odd are often clearly best at home, and Start havent been bad at all in their opening games in Eliteserien 2020.
    Start allowed a goal against 6 minutes in overtime to lose at home against the reigning champions Molde last round (2-3).
    As i mentioned in the pick, Odd have very good stats against Start. They have won the 5 latest mutual games played at Sor Arena (0-1,1-2, 0-4, 0-1, 0-1), and Odd are 8-1-0 against Start home/away in the league since August 2013.

    Start (0-2-1) are a newly promoted side this season, and did not face Odd last season.
    The top scorer in Eliteserien 2019, Odds Torgeir Borven, scored 21 goals in 30 games last season, and he scored 8 goals in 15 away games then. He has scored 4 goals in 3 games so far this season, and two of the 4 goals are scored on penalties.

    Betting on Odd to win (2.60 at Unibet) is a long shot, given how good Start have fought in their opening home games, but Odd sure have a mental advantage of their good mutual stats, plus the good teamplay in the 4-1 victory against Valerenga last round.

    Comment


      #32
      Sunday 28.06.2020 Mjondalen - Kristiansund:

      Both teams are using artificial turfs at their home stadiums.

      Max amount of spectators: 200 (as good as closed game)

      Game start: 18:00 CET

      Mjondalen (1-2-0) barely avoided relegation last season, but they have fought well so far, and they are undefeated, with only one goal allowed against them, after 3 games played.
      Mjondalen are 1-0-0 at home, with goal score 1-0.

      ---------------------------------------------------------------------

      Kristiansund (1-2-0) have also impressed so far, two solid draws on the road (0-0 against Rosenborg, 2-2 against Haugesund), and the 7-2 victory at home against local rival Aalesund, must have given a solid confidence boost to the guests.
      Kristiansund are 0-2-0 on the road, with goal score 2-2.
      Amahl Pellegrino (Att 2/3) is doubtful.

      Mjondalen - Kristiansund ended 1-1 in 2019.

      Its great to see Mjondalen in their current state, gritty, hard working, and claiming points home and away. They barely managed to keep clear of relegation last season, and they will have to fight for survival once again in 2020. If they keep up their current work though, they will succeed again.
      Kristiansund are much of the same on the road, hard working, and gritty team. At home they can defeat anyone.
      Kristiansunds top scorer, and former Mjondalen top scorer, Amahl Pellegrino (Att 2/3) is doubtful for this game, but can very well be on the scoring sheet against his former side if he enter the stage on Sunday.

      - It has been 6 penalties given in the two latest Eliteserie games played on artificial turf in these closed games.
      - 5 of those 6 penalties have resulted in penalty scored.
      - 6 penalty goals were scored in Mjondalens home games (15) last season.

      Pick:

      Mjondalen to score a penalty goal, 5/10 stakes, odds [email protected]
      Kristiansund to score a penalty goal, 5/10 stakes, odds [email protected]

      Good luck!

      Comment


        #33
        Originally posted by mightye View Post

        Youre right, Odd are often clearly best at home, and Start havent been bad at all in their opening games in Eliteserien 2020.
        Start allowed a goal against 6 minutes in overtime to lose at home against the reigning champions Molde last round (2-3).
        As i mentioned in the pick, Odd have very good stats against Start. They have won the 5 latest mutual games played at Sor Arena (0-1,1-2, 0-4, 0-1, 0-1), and Odd are 8-1-0 against Start home/away in the league since August 2013.

        Start (0-2-1) are a newly promoted side this season, and did not face Odd last season.
        The top scorer in Eliteserien 2019, Odds Torgeir Borven, scored 21 goals in 30 games last season, and he scored 8 goals in 15 away games then. He has scored 4 goals in 3 games so far this season, and two of the 4 goals are scored on penalties.

        Betting on Odd to win (2.60 at Unibet) is a long shot, given how good Start have fought in their opening home games, but Odd sure have a mental advantage of their good mutual stats, plus the good teamplay in the 4-1 victory against Valerenga last round.
        I do like Start energy in first matches. They created numerous chances in those matches but failed to score from some of them. Usually newly promoted sides show extra energy at the begining.
        Odd often fail to show their football when they leave their stadium. They are surely better team here. Of course Borven have biggest chances to score as being targetman.
        I am thinki about BTS but will wait lineups.

        Comment


          #34
          Sunday 28.06.2020 Molde - Stabak:

          Molde are using artificial turf at Aker Stadion.

          Max amount of spectators: 200 (as good as closed game)

          Game start: 18:00 CET

          The reigning champions Molde (3-0-0) are undefeated after defeating Aalesund 4-1 (away), Rosenborg 1-0 (home) and Start 3-2 (away) in their opening games.
          Molde are 1-0-0 at home, with goal score 1-0.
          They were 13-2-0 at home, with goal score 41-10 in 2019.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Stabak (1-2-0) claimed their first win of the season, as they defeated newly promoted Sandefjord 2-0 at home last round.
          Stabak are 0-1-0 on the road so far, with goal score 2-2.
          Peder Vogt (Def 2/0) is most likely out.

          Molde - Stabak ended 3-0 in 2019.

          Battle between the undefeated reigning champions, and a mid-table side who have performed well so far.
          Molde have won all 3 games so far, and have a wide squad that may benefit the tough schedule in Eliteserien this season.
          Its likely we will see some of the regulars rested here, but Molde will have a new set of players ready that will be good enough to be rated favorites again.
          Good start by Stabak so far, but the width of their squad cannot match Molde, and the many games in short time may still be in the first elevens feet at the moment.
          Molde have 4 straight victories against Stabak at Aker Stadion (3-0, 3-0, 3-1, 3-0), and the 8 latest mutual home games have ended Over 2.5 goals.
          Many options here, but Moldes anticipated squad rotation can impact the game a lot, and chances for successful hc bets are reduced.
          I believe Molde will seal the deal anyway, but Stabak can also shock with some goals on counters. Luc Kassi scored and had a assist away against Valerenga, and can create trouble once again.

          - It has been 6 penalties given in the two latest Eliteserie games played on artificial turf in these closed games.
          - 5 of those 6 penalties have resulted in penalty scored.
          - 4 penalty goals were scored in Moldes home games (15) last season.

          Picks:

          Molde to score a penalty goal, 6/10 stakes, odds [email protected]
          Stabak to score a penalty goal, 4/10 stakes, odds [email protected]

          Good luck!


          Comment


            #35
            Sunday 28.06.2020 Bodo Glimt - Sarpsborg 08:

            Both teams are using artificial turfs at their home stadiums.

            Max amount of spectators: 200 (as good as closed game)

            Game start: 18:00 CET

            Bodo Glimt (3-0-0) have impressed in all 3 rounds so far (4-2 away against Viking, 6-1 at home against Haugesund, and 3-2 away against Rosenborg), and the hosts deserve to be at the top position of Eliteserien at the moment.
            Bodo Glimt are 1-0-0 at home, with goal score 6-1.
            Bodo Glimt were 10-4-1 at home, with goal score 39-12 in 2019.

            ----------------------------------------------------------------------

            Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-3) lost once again at home against Stromsgodset (2-3) last round, and new coach Stahre has 3 losses, and no points so far in charge of the blue and whites.
            The guests are 0-0-1 on the road, with goal score 0-1.
            Sarpsborg 08 were 1-6-8 on the road, with goal score 12-24 in 2019.

            Bodo Glimt - Sarpsborg 08 ended 1-1 in 2019.

            Bodo Glimt, in their current state, are capable of winning against any side in Eliteserien. 13 goals scored in 3 games, and 8 different goalscorers, makes it difficult for the opponents to stop their many attacks.
            Sarpsborg 08 scored their two first goals this season, at home against Stromsgodset last round, but still ended up with no points.

            - Bodo Glimt have won by 3 goals or more in 6 of their 10 latest home games in Eliteserien
            - Sarpsborg 08 have lost 6 of their 10 latest away games in Eliteserien (2 of them by 3 goals or more)

            There is danger of squad rotation for this game, but I believe Bodo Glimt will keep their good run of late also against Sarpsborg 08.
            Their only home game so far ended 6-1, and 6 of their 10 latest home games have been won by 3 goals or more. Ill go for a long shot hc pick on the top side here.

            Pick:

            Bodo Glimt (-2.5 AH), 9/10 stakes, odds [email protected] Good luck!

            Comment


              #36
              Results Saturday 27.06.2020:

              Start - Odd 0-5:

              - Torgeir Borven (Odd) to [email protected] - Won

              - Torgeir Borven (Odd) to score two goals or [email protected] - Won


              +49.60 Units tonight (38 Units at stake for more long shot bets tomorrow, but profit this round secured already)

              +102.59 Units overall

              84.09 % ROI so far in 2020

              Comment


                #37
                Originally posted by mightye View Post
                Results Saturday 27.06.2020:

                Start - Odd 0-5:

                - Torgeir Borven (Odd) to [email protected] - Won

                - Torgeir Borven (Odd) to score two goals or [email protected] - Won


                +49.60 Units tonight (38 Units at stake for more long shot bets tomorrow, but profit this round secured already)

                +102.59 Units overall

                84.09 % ROI so far in 2020
                That was great call! Odd ran over Start.
                i took BTS which was huge mistake. Start totaly disapointed me.

                Comment


                  #38
                  Originally posted by mij0sim View Post

                  That was great call! Odd ran over Start.
                  i took BTS which was huge mistake. Start totaly disapointed me.
                  yeah everything went wrong for Start from the opening minutes..it was clear they had full focus on stopping top scorer Borven, but when he flicked the ball to other players, or the other players simply shot from long range instead of passing to him, Start were in big trouble.

                  Comment


                    #39
                    Originally posted by mightye View Post

                    yeah everything went wrong for Start from the opening minutes..it was clear they had full focus on stopping top scorer Borven, but when he flicked the ball to other players, or the other players simply shot from long range instead of passing to him, Start were in big trouble.
                    What do you think about Stromsgodset to score 2 or more ? I am sure they will score but i am tempted to take them to score at least 2.

                    Comment


                      #40
                      Originally posted by mij0sim View Post

                      What do you think about Stromsgodset to score 2 or more ? I am sure they will score but i am tempted to take them to score at least 2.
                      I like the chances for that, maybe await the lineup before making the bets. If Vilsvik is back at right wingback, and the rest of the team is close to first eleven, they are more than capable to score several times against Aalesund

                      Comment


                        #41
                        Originally posted by mightye View Post

                        I like the chances for that, maybe await the lineup before making the bets. If Vilsvik is back at right wingback, and the rest of the team is close to first eleven, they are more than capable to score several times against Aalesund
                        Yes Vilsvik is important for their game. Its tough to keep the pace with games on every 3 days but i can see Stromsgodset play with same eleven like on last or last two matches. They are looking more balanced than in last few seasons. Not going forward like crazy. Still should have enough chances to score at least 2 here as Aalesund not looking great at the back.

                        Comment


                          #42
                          Results Sunday 28.06.2020:

                          Stromsgodset - Aalesund 1-1 (Stromsgodset -1 AH) Lost
                          Bodo Glimt - Sarpsborg 08 2-1 (Bodo Glimt -2.5 AH) Lost
                          Mjondalen - Kristiansund 1-2 (Penalty goal home/away) Lost
                          Molde - Stabak 4-1 (Penalty goal home/away) Won

                          Tough Sunday after a series of good results, and were lucky to get a Molde penalty goal in the end.
                          Kristiansund with many possible penalty situations against Mjondalen, but the 4 game penalty streak with 8 penalties awarded (6 penalty goals scored) seem over in Eliteserien now. 2 penalty goals also today though (Stromsgodset, Molde)

                          - 2 Units tonight
                          +100.59 Units overall
                          62.86 % ROI so far in 2020

                          Comment


                            #43
                            Molde again showed their class. Eikrem look like most important player. For the rest it doesnt mater who play.
                            Aalesund should have won today match. Goal was pretty naive but their gameplay was superb. Stromsgodset created one chance on whole match.
                            RBK won. Dont know is it just today or better days coming at Lerkendal ?!
                            Bodo continue their run. Tough match today but only final result counts.

                            Comment


                              #44
                              Thursday 02.07.2020 Kristiansund - Molde

                              Both teams are using artificial turfs at their home stadiums.

                              Max amount of spectators: 200 (as good as closed game)

                              Game start: 18:00 CET

                              Kristiansund (2-2-0) won 2-1 away against Mjondalen last round, and top scorer Amahl Pellegrino (Att 3/4) was back from injury, and only needed 7 minutes as sub to score his 4th goal of the season.
                              Kristiansund are 1-0-0 at home, with goal score 7-2.
                              The hosts were 8-4-3 at home, with goal score 31-16 in Eliteserien 2019.

                              -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              Molde (4-0-0) simply cant stop scoring. 4-1 at home against Stabak last round, even though the guests sure had their chances to get something from the game, but one or two goals simply arent enough to beat the reigning champions at the moment.
                              Molde are 2-0-0 on the road, with goal score 7-3.
                              The blue and whites were 8-3-4 on the road, with goal score 31-21 in Eliteserien 2019.

                              Kristiansund - Molde ended 3-2 in 2019.

                              The local rivalries between Kristiansund and Molde always brings out that extra spark in the players, and of coarse its extra special for Kristiansund to defeat "big-brother" Molde at home. Kristiansund have won the two latest mutual games at home now, and the pressure is on the reigning champions to turn the tide now.
                              Kristiansund defeated another local rival, Aalesund, 7-2 at home in their only home game so far this season.
                              Molde did also defeat local rival Aalesund, 4-1 away, in the season opener.
                              Its sad for both teams that these local rivalry games arent played for a full stadium, but be sure that the nerve and the extra intensity will be present in the match. Molde have several possible goalscorers in form, and Kristiansund have the likes of Pellegrino that can make this a very interesting game to watch.

                              - 2 of the 4 latest mutual rivalries between these sides (home/away) have ended in 5 goals scored.
                              - A pre-season friendly at Aker Stadion Molde - Kristiansund ended 4-2 at 4th of June 2020
                              - 2 of Kristiansunds 4 Eliteserie games have ended Over 3.5 goals so far (Rosenborg 0-0 away, Aalesund 7-2 home, Haugesund 2-2 away, Mjondalen 2-1 away)
                              - 3 of Moldes 4 Eliteserie games have ended Over 3.5 goals so far (Aalesund 4-1 away, Rosenborg 1-0 home, Start 3-2 away, Stabak 4-1 home)

                              Pick:

                              Over 3.5 goals, 9/10 stakes, odds [email protected] Good luck!

                              Comment


                                #45
                                Wednesday 01.07.2020 Rosenborg - Valerenga

                                Rosenborg are using natural grass at Lerkendal. Valerenga are using artificial turf at their home stadium.

                                Max amount of spectators: 200 (as good as closed game)

                                Game start: 20:30 CET

                                Rosenborg (1-1-2) fought well, and got their first win of the season away against Brann (2-1) after a 90th minute goal on Sunday.
                                Caretaker manager Trond Henriksen got a victory in his first game in charge this season, after coach Eirik Horneland was sacked last week.
                                The top scorer is Eliteserien 2019, and the top goalscorer so far in Eliteserien 2020, Torgeir Borven (Att 4/6) has been signed from Odd, and will be available for play against Valerenga (that he scored 3 goals against one week ago).
                                Rosenborg are 0-1-1 at home, with goal score 2-3-
                                The Trondheim side were 11-3-1 at home, with goal score 34-16 in Eliteserien 2019.
                                Birger Meling (Def 3/0) is suspended.
                                Per Ciljan Skjelbred (Mid - Hertha Berlin) has joined Rosenborg, but will have to await quarantine period before he can be available.
                                ----------------------------------------------------------

                                Valerenga (2-1-1) won 2-1 at home against Viking on Saturday, and new coach Fagermo are undefeated at home at Intility Arena (1-1-0).
                                The Oslo side are 1-0-1 on the road, with goal score 2-4.
                                A lot of mess from officials regarding Herolind Shala (Mid) being suspended or not, but as it looks right now he will be available to play here.

                                Rosenborg - Valerenga ended 3-0 in 2019.

                                Rosenborg have finally signed the top scorer Torgeir Borven from Odd, and the Trondheim side can finally get, hopefully, a positive distraction from the sacked coach, hunt for replacement, and their underperforming season so far.
                                The home side showed character as they fought out the tough and tight battle away against Brann into victory (2-1) in the final minutes, and the signing of Borven can not only equal more goals by him, but more opportunity for the rest of the players, as the opponents often use 2-3 players to stop him.
                                Valerenga experienced that first hand one week ago, Wednesday 24.06, as Odd and Borven won 4-1, and Borven scored 3 goals, against his former coach Fagermos new side.

                                - Rosenborg have won 10 of the 11 latest mutual games at Lerkendal against Valerenga in Eliteserien
                                - Rosenborg have won 9 of the 11 latest mutual games at Lerkendal against Valerenga in Eliteserien, by 2 goals or more
                                - Torgeir Borven scored 21 goals in 30 games in Eltieserien 2019, and hes scored 6 goals in 4 games so far this season.
                                - Borven scored two goals or more in 4 of 30 Eliteserie games last season, and in 2 of 4 Eliteserien games in 2020.
                                - Borven scorer 3 goals for Odd against Valerenga (4-1) one week ago.

                                Rosenborg are not in a normal state, and the perfect debut for Borven, and the clear sign of things to change in Trondheim, are not 100% obvious. Then again, Borven has showed multiple signs the latest seasons, that he can score at anytime, and what a timing it would be if he scores in his debut, and help Rosenborg their first home win of the season.
                                Borven are normally first choice on penalties, but Rosenborg have other alternatives like Helland as well.
                                Unibet always call bets void if the anytime goalscorer/multiple goalscorer player isnt included in the starting lineup, and there is a chance Borven will not be in the starting XI, as the transfer was done the day before the game.

                                Pick:

                                Torgeir Borven (Rosenborg) to score, 6/10 stakes, odds [email protected]
                                Torgeir Borven (Rosenborg) to score 2 goals or more, 4/10 stakes, odds [email protected]

                                Good luck!

                                Comment

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