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Danish leagues 20-24 Mar

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    Danish leagues 20-24 Mar

    Lyngby - Silkeborg. Good game here between 2 inform teams. Both teams have quality squads and a lot of young talent, especially Lyngby which is pure talent factory. They've have the upper hand on guests in recent meetings and I think the value is on Lyngby so taking them dnb @ 2.1 Bet365 and over 1.5 @ 2.32 Pinnacle. BTTS is looking likely too but for me the odds are not so attractive so will personally leave it. Silkeborg are heading for promotion right now, only 1st place is the safe route up there though so long way to go, while Lyngby have to really get going in the final part of the season to have any hope of finishing in the top 3 at least. Lyngby haven't named their squad yet but will be without midfielder Frederik Gytkj?r who's suspended. Silkeborg have taken young players defender Rasmus Carstensen and striker Oliver Haurits into the squad from the win over Fredericia. Looking forward to watching this, should be a good one as both will so for the win, nothing much really separates them imo, so it's fairly straightforward to take hosts here at the price. GL

    #2
    Odds are going up on Lyngby, so the market doesn't agree with me, for me the odds aren't realistic but maybe I'm wrong we'll see. Goals are expected by me and the market and odds have dropped considerably.

    Comment


      #3
      For Sunday games I'm looking at possible home wins for Viborg and HB K?ge, they're meeting bottomteams Helsing?r and Hvidovre respectively. Odds at 1.8 and 1.93 initially strike me as some decent value with the best teams playing at home.

      Comment


        #4
        Originally posted by RafaRoger View Post
        Odds are going up on Lyngby, so the market doesn't agree with me, for me the odds aren't realistic but maybe I'm wrong we'll see. Goals are expected by me and the market and odds have dropped considerably.
        Congrats on your bet! The market was wrong initially but adjusted just before the match.
        I took en live Over 2.5 & Over 1.5 later, shame some big chances wasn't converted.

        Comment


          #5
          Originally posted by RafaRoger View Post
          For Sunday games I'm looking at possible home wins for Viborg and HB K?ge, they're meeting bottomteams Helsing?r and Hvidovre respectively. Odds at 1.8 and 1.93 initially strike me as some decent value with the best teams playing at home.
          I agree. I don't watch 1st Division much but from the stats:
          Viborg - Helsingor
          Viborg is the 4th strongest home team (W5D4L2 G16:11). Last games they had some problem.
          The last home game lost 0-2 to Hvidovre, they were dominating but conceded 2 goals, top striker Andreas Albers got red card at 69' and they couldn't come back.
          The reference game is maybe 2-0 Thisted.

          Helsingor is the 2nd worst away team (W1D5L5 G9:15).
          They lost 0-1 deservely to strong Fredericia, and won 3-1 to fellow bottom team Thisted (quite equal stats).

          H2H:
          12/11/2018 Helsingor 1-3 Viborg (Albers brace)
          12/08/2018 Viborg 1-1 Helsingor

          Team news:
          Top striker Andreas Albers (5 goals this season) is suspended like the last match. But Viborg has various other options.

          Helsingor first goalkeeper Mikkel Bruhn still injured.

          Viborg win @ 1.83 seems quite value, 3U.
          Expect odd drop to 1.7.
          Not easy game though!

          Comment


            #6
            Originally posted by ArgentEagle View Post

            Congrats on your bet! The market was wrong initially but adjusted just before the match.
            I took en live Over 2.5 & Over 1.5 later, shame some big chances wasn't converted.
            Thanks mate. Shame that there wasn't more goals, the chances were there as you say..

            Comment


              #7
              .
              The last home game lost 0-2 to Hvidovre
              A small note to this: Key defensive mid Jeppe Gr?nning were missing with suspension for the Hvidovre game, not the whole explanation for the unexpected loss ofc, but could have contributed perhaps. Nice writeup btw.

              Comment


                #8
                Odds continue to rise on HB K?ge win @ 2 now Pinnacle...HB K?ge are the most scoring team in the league and especially prolific at home, now at the new stadium in K?ge where they will play on an artificial surface, might add to their home advantage and more spectators generally expected. They beat their sunday opponent Hvidovre 4-3 at home earlier in the season, a crazy game led 4-1, then even a 4-4 equalizer was close but they got the win. Later they lost 2-0 in Hvidovre deservedly. HB K?ge have pretty much same squad as before the break but does seem a bit more solid defensively where theres been a couple changes in the line up, offense about the same strength, a lot of quality.

                Hvidovre a good team can never be written off, you never quite know where they you have them, got their first away win against Viborg surprisingly. Lost a couple players in offense during the break, main one the very talented Louka Prip left for Horsens, in have come an also very talented young striker Marcus M?lvadgaard on loan from Randers.

                I see some value in HB K?ge win as I mentioned earlier in thread but will thread carefully so definitely no high stakes, main bet on this game will be HB K?ge over 1.5 @ 1.99 Pinnacle, I believe it has a good chance and is well paid. Hvidovre's defense can be very solid on any day but generally they let in many goals away from home and I can't see them keeping a clean sheet against a team like HB K?ge with their attacking power. Danske spil offers @ 1.75. GL

                Comment


                  #9
                  I like the look of ROSKILDE VS. THISTED - BTTS and Over 2,5
                  I am basing the tip purely on stats, because I have no opportunity to watch Denmark's 1st Division.
                  Roskilde is on the top spot of the Overs/Unders League table with average of 3.73 goals per game. Thisted are 4th with 3 goals avrg per game.
                  70% of Roskilde's home games include BTTS, and 64% of the Thisted's away games are also BTTS.
                  5 out of 5 last H2H meetings ended with BTTS and 4 out those 5 were Over 2,5 goasl.

                  Bet365 offers 2,00 odds at the moment for BTTS and Over 2,5, so I am more than glad to take it on those stats.

                  If Rafa or some of the others local guys with more experience in the league have some comment about missing important players or something else that might put people of this bet, please share this info, It will be much appreciated!!

                  I have looked on Fredericia home games against Nykoebing for goals, and was leaning on 2 or 3 goals in the game, again just on stats. Mostly because most of the Fredericia's home games against this opponent ended with 2 or 3 goals. And this season of 11 home games Fredericia have 7 with 2 or 3 goals... But somehow I am not convinced enough, so I've decided to leave it alone... If someone else have similar strong feelings about such bet, I will be glad tho hear his opinion!

                  Good luck with your bets!!!

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Originally posted by glimbo View Post
                    I like the look of ROSKILDE VS. THISTED - BTTS and Over 2,5
                    I am basing the tip purely on stats, because I have no opportunity to watch Denmark's 1st Division.
                    Roskilde is on the top spot of the Overs/Unders League table with average of 3.73 goals per game. Thisted are 4th with 3 goals avrg per game.
                    70% of Roskilde's home games include BTTS, and 64% of the Thisted's away games are also BTTS.
                    5 out of 5 last H2H meetings ended with BTTS and 4 out those 5 were Over 2,5 goasl.

                    Bet365 offers 2,00 odds at the moment for BTTS and Over 2,5, so I am more than glad to take it on those stats.

                    If Rafa or some of the others local guys with more experience in the league have some comment about missing important players or something else that might put people of this bet, please share this info, It will be much appreciated!!

                    I have looked on Fredericia home games against Nykoebing for goals, and was leaning on 2 or 3 goals in the game, again just on stats. Mostly because most of the Fredericia's home games against this opponent ended with 2 or 3 goals. And this season of 11 home games Fredericia have 7 with 2 or 3 goals... But somehow I am not convinced enough, so I've decided to leave it alone... If someone else have similar strong feelings about such bet, I will be glad tho hear his opinion!

                    Good luck with your bets!!!
                    Well, both games ended 2:1, so I was on right track! I'm more than happy to take btts and overs at Roskilde's game at Even money. If someone was more brave than me and took the other bet, I'm glad to help!!!

                    Have a nice week I'll try to post some thoughts in friday!

                    Cheers!

                    Comment


                      #11
                      oh, yes, and in fact, it is quite difficult to finally make sure that the game would go to my advantage. By the way, different betters give completely different information, but most of all I trust https://1xbet.cm/fr/ I have never had problems with it, it is very convenient and clear. Guys try

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