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Danish leagues 15-17 Mar

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    Danish leagues 15-17 Mar

    It's the final round of the basic games in the superliga, all games played at the same time on Sunday.

    FCM - S?nderjyskE. Not too much to say here. FCM needs the 3 points to keep up with FCK, they know they will very likely win at home to Hobro. FCM played in the cup yesterday, routine 2-0 win in Kolding with a strong team. FCM have important winger Gustav Wikheim back, also defensive mid Tim Sparv is back.

    S?nderjyskE will end either 10th or 11th and can't avoid ending up playing in the group stage to avoid relegation, ofc they know it will be hard against FCM but with their good recent form and performances, I expect that they will go for springing a surprise here. Key defensive mid Victor Empindi Ekani is suspended but topscorer/striker Mart Lieder returns, also key winger Alexander Bah is recently come back.

    I believe this will be an entertaining game and both teams have good offenses, so for me both teams will score @ 1.87 Jetbull with solid stakes. 1.8 @ Bet365 is also good. Danske spil is @ 1.68. GL

    #2
    Small update: Odds are up to 1.9 @ Bet365 and Danske spil now offers @ 1.78. As far as I'm concerned the value is only better now, no matter the odds moves, I'm still confident about the bet. FCM have normally a solid defense at home but they have not kept many clean sheets recently and S?nderjyskE usually manage to score home or away against FCM. I don't see it being any different this time.

    Comment


      #3
      Esbjerg - Vejle. Hosts playing for a place in top 6, can secure it with a win though depending on other results a draw or even a loss could suffice. Vejle can reach 12th place with a win and a better starting point in the coming group stage. So it's safe to say that Theres a lot of motive for both teams in front of this game.

      Esbjerg have done quite well at home this season and with Vejle having been so awful away from home it's only natural that homeside is favorites. It could look like some value on Esbjerg then, but Vejle have won in Esbjerg on the last 2 occasions and in the last 3/4 mutual meetings. Also with a new coach for Vejle and apparently some improvements in the mood of the squad I believe they can be dangerous here. Esbjerg might have key defender Rodolph Austin back from injury but his partner Markus Halsti is suspended, as is winger Oti Essigba. Vejle have striker Gustaf Nilsson suspended and defender Branko Ilic could still be injured.

      I expect both teams to have a positive approach to this game and I think odds are too high on goals. Both teams to score @1.95 Bet365 and Over 2.5 @ 2.23 Pinnacle look really tasty to me. GL

      Comment


        #4
        Some bad news concerning the Esbjerg - Vejle game: Rodolph Austin is back but that was expected so it's not that but very unfortunately topscorer/striker Adrian Petre is doubtful with illness, haven't trained today or yesterday. Fellow striker Yuri Yakovenko will take his place if Petre can't play, capably player but still a big weakness and it takes most of the value out the bets imo..

        Comment


          #5
          Originally posted by RafaRoger View Post
          It's the final round of the basic games in the superliga, all games played at the same time on Sunday.

          FCM - S?nderjyskE. Not too much to say here. FCM needs the 3 points to keep up with FCK, they know they will very likely win at home to Hobro. FCM played in the cup yesterday, routine 2-0 win in Kolding with a strong team. FCM have important winger Gustav Wikheim back, also defensive mid Tim Sparv is back.

          S?nderjyskE will end either 10th or 11th and can't avoid ending up playing in the group stage to avoid relegation, ofc they know it will be hard against FCM but with their good recent form and performances, I expect that they will go for springing a surprise here. Key defensive mid Victor Empindi Ekani is suspended but topscorer/striker Mart Lieder returns, also key winger Alexander Bah is recently come back.

          I believe this will be an entertaining game and both teams have good offenses, so for me both teams will score @ 1.87 Jetbull with solid stakes. 1.8 @ Bet365 is also good. Danske spil is @ 1.68. GL
          Okay, I'm being ever so slightly crazy here,.. but I don't think I can resist the @ 21 Bet365 for S?nderjyskE win + BTTS. Those odds must simply represent some value imo, but it's not very likely at all that it will hit obviously!! The reason is I see a confident and well working S?nderjyskE team and a FCM team that doesn't run over opponents like they have done earlier + showing a defense that is less convincing than we're used to seeing..
          Last edited by RafaRoger; 15-03-19, 19:53.

          Comment


            #6
            OB - Randers. In every game Theres something at stake for the teams but OB are staying on the 3rd place for the moment no matter the result against Randers. Ofc they're in good shape and want to keep the winning streak going and playing at home they should be motivated. Regular defenders Marco Lund and Ramon Leeuwin and key defensive mid Janus Drachmann are out.

            Randers have a place in the top 6 to chase, needs a win to be sure any other results and they will have to rely on other results going their way. Randers are with full squad, a solid team usually but are best at home. It's a bit hard to figure out which mindset Randers team will show up with tomorrow but I suppose it should be a positive one.

            It's an interesting game with 2 good teams and it should be a good game. Maybe a bit of value on Randers but I will much rather go for goals, I can't really see them keeping a cleansheet as OB have some very good players in offense. OB are solid as mentioned but with missings and Randers have the quality in offense too to get on the scoresheet. Both teams to score @ 1.84 Jetbull with medium stakes for me. GL

            Comment


              #7
              To the OB - Randers game, I'll add a bet: Randers over 1 @ 2.11 Pinnacle with small-medium stakes. Hope Randers won't disappoint. GL

              Comment


                #8
                With that last tip I think I'm done for this round! Anyway I would like to encourage others that maybe watch some Danish football and/or have an opinion about some game, to write their thoughts here, it doesn't have to many words but imo it's getting a bit borring with me as the only contributor (Almost).

                Comment


                  #9
                  Rafa, read your predictions every week. Dont know much about Danish football so cant much "argue" about your tips. This forum need people like you as its only a shadow what it was 5-6 years ago.

                  ***8203;***8203;***8203;***8203;***8203;***8203;would like to ask you about Silkeborg Fredericia BTS ? Is Silkeborg capable to win this also?

                  Comment


                    #10
                    About Silkeborg, well yes they're capable to win the game but probably goals is the best bet. They beat Roskilde 3-1 in the first game at home but gave away many good chances and had to thank their goalie for his performance. Also Fredericia is a good team especially as an away team with some luck they got 3-3 in K?ge and on artificial surface here also it could be a good game with some goals. GL



                    Comment


                      #11
                      Rafa,
                      as an old time member (once very active), I can assure you that good work here doesn't go unnoticed.

                      As for the games: I wonder if Solbaken will try again some youngsters in lineup, especially upfront. I hope Falk starts in midfield, cause he was missed vs Nordj and with Fischer not in good shape so far after the injury it could be a problem, last home games in Parken have been not as good as mid season ones for FCK. Another worry is that lousy pitch of Vendyssel, certainly a bad fit in theory at least for the attacking Nordj side. Other than that, it's interesting the way the market approaches the total line in Aab-AGF game. They really think that AGF believe they can reach top6 or that Aab is so defensively vulnerable when attacking?

                      All remain to be seen ofc, good luck with your bets.
                      Last edited by xaralas; 17-03-19, 03:27.
                      http://www.bettingadvice.com/tipster/xaralas/836
                      just tweets, no tips, here: https://twitter.com/mikexaralas

                      Comment


                        #12
                        Rafa, I'm surprised you didn't mention Vendsyssel - Nordsjaelland game... As I see it it's a must win for the visitors if they want to be in Championship round. So looking up the stats I see that Nordsejaelland are not great visitors and hardly take all 3 points in away games, but Vendsyssel are the weakest home side so far .. So what's your opinion on AWAY WIN.. the odds are not bad IMO ?

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Originally posted by RafaRoger View Post
                          It's the final round of the basic games in the superliga, all games played at the same time on Sunday.

                          FCM - S?nderjyskE. Not too much to say here. FCM needs the 3 points to keep up with FCK, they know they will very likely win at home to Hobro. FCM played in the cup yesterday, routine 2-0 win in Kolding with a strong team. FCM have important winger Gustav Wikheim back, also defensive mid Tim Sparv is back.

                          S?nderjyskE will end either 10th or 11th and can't avoid ending up playing in the group stage to avoid relegation, ofc they know it will be hard against FCM but with their good recent form and performances, I expect that they will go for springing a surprise here. Key defensive mid Victor Empindi Ekani is suspended but topscorer/striker Mart Lieder returns, also key winger Alexander Bah is recently come back.

                          I believe this will be an entertaining game and both teams have good offenses, so for me both teams will score @ 1.87 Jetbull with solid stakes. 1.8 @ Bet365 is also good. Danske spil is @ 1.68. GL
                          I like very much the look of that... The only thing that concerns me is that SoenderjyskE didn't score an away goal in the Leage since 10.11.2018.

                          Comment


                            #14
                            I also like for AC Horsens - Broendby IF BTTS. It's not the greatest odds - 1,66 in Bet365, but still.. The home side have 9 out of 12 games BBTS at home, and the guests have the similar 9/12 BTTS in away games, this season! Looking H2H stats for the past several years confirms this bet. I even keen to add BTTS and Over2,5 - that is 2,05 in Bet365 , just because the odds are better and the stats still support that.

                            I want to add, that my personal opinion on FCK - Hobro is home win but with smaller difference than the usual expectations, so ... Hobro +2 or even Hobro +2,5 Asian Handy ...is worth for sone ACCAs.

                            Good luck with your bets!

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Originally posted by glimbo View Post

                              I like very much the look of that...
                              #metoo. Regarding SoenderjyskE I have checked some highlights and they seemed unlucky in front of the goal in away games. They shot the bar in some games and missed some sitters. Their H2H in Midtjylland shows both to score in the last 5 games. Lately FCM conceded in their games.
                              I expect that today as well. GL!

                              Comment

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