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Really improving Polish Ekstraklasa 26-28.08.22+ Lower and other leagues

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    Really improving Polish Ekstraklasa 26-28.08.22+ Lower and other leagues


    #2
    Slavia- Rakow
    i don't want to be a prophet of doom but chances that Slavia win today are quite big.
    R. Podolinski, solid expert in tv and ex coach in Ekstraklasa, said that he gives 60 to 40 to Rakow (advance). I have to strongly disagree with him (in this situation).
    To me chances are 59 :41 for Slavia and i reckoned it before Slavia demolished some outsider in Czech R. 7:0
    Here experience will matter and home venue (+ i can not rule out that referees will be bad again, there is not VAR while in Poland even in 2nd league with poor teams from small cities there is always VAR excluding last round when games are played at the same time)
    If Rakow advance, it would happen quite likely to me after OT.

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      #3
      SLavia to win 1.83 1.8/10 and another 1.1/1 with odds 1.93 or higher +-0.3/10 1:1 CS, 0;0 draw will be for me a huge surprise

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        #4
        Yes Rakow played well in first half, but i am afraid that missed chances (first game and metal in first half + inches wide by Gwillia) will turn agains the team in 2nd half

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          #5
          I wrote so many times that i won't repeat
          i will give some great example how hard to predict european cups well :
          in season 94/5 GKS Katowice eliminated early very good team Bordo (1:0at home, 1;1 in Bordo and GKS had 1vs 1 chance vs 1:1 in 2nd half to win this game). Bordeaux had future 3 WC champions (in 4 years time: Lizarazu, Zidane, Duggary). GKS Katowice are times w/o success in Europe and Bordo one year later advanced with similar roster to Uefa Cup final when eventually lost with Fc Bayern.
          Last edited by WKSkofu; 25-08-22, 21:24.

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            #6
            2.42 for SLavia i have to take another 0.5/10 on 1+ 0.15/10 on away win 5.6 and 0,1/10 on 1:1 CS
            Slavia will surely risk and open if longer 0;0

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              #7
              Dudelange- Amica Poznan
              Hosts are under pressure as lost owner not long time ago, sold one good player to Germany and will have to sell more if do not advance to group stage. First game was not a good game but a defeat of Amica will be a big surprise but i don't rule out that that they may be loosing live.
              Dudelange have experience in EUrope, had sometimes really good results in Europe

              Comment


                #8
                Amica have an extra motivation as their biggest rival, arch-rival Legia Warsaw lost and drew with Dudelange couple years ago and led in 2 games for 0 minutes!

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                  #9
                  Sheriff 1 must be tried of course 3.4 0,85/10 +0,08/10 on 1:1 CS (0:0 now, 0:0 in first game)

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                    #10
                    Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 6.25 0,5/10 and over 0.5 g 0.10/10 have to be also tried (85th min)

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                      #11
                      Slavia won and pushed quite strongly in 2nd half in last 35 min, they will likely advance, Rakow's main opportunity is luck and penelties
                      Hapoel and SHeriff 0:0 but it was worth to back Cluj 1 and over 0.5 (3rd time the charm as in Hapoel and Sheriff and in Cluj, all games in first half ended draws and in 2nd we had also draws in all 3 and Cluj score in 90min)
                      To me it's wort to try Slavia to win OT + very small 1:0 CS after 120 min
                      and Hapoel - Un. Cluj over 0.5 goal in ot

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                        #12
                        even better in Slavia's game is fast 2:0 CS (odds were 3.6 during the break) and small back up 1:0 and if longer 1:0 very small 3:0 CS after 120 mi

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                          #13
                          so far bad game of Amica, 1:0 for DUdelange, so no bet (or very very small bets on CS only: 1:0 CS FT 0,3/10 6.1 and 1:1 CS 0,45/10)

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                            #14
                            Yes in Luxemburg Amica had very good chance (empty net) but when 1:0 it could be very fast 2:0 for hosts

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                              #15
                              if 1:0 after OT, Rakow to win penalties 0.9-1.2 should be tried (it's also imp. ho will start shooting- bigger chances statistically for first team)

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