Polish playoffs 2021/22

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	Ruch Chorzow - Stezyca			14	1.83	3.47	3.65	Today 17:45
	Suwalki - Motor Lublin			14	2.15	3.26	2.95

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17:30 Ruch 1dnb 3,8/10 and another 2,1/10 if Ruch are down live (of course if they are down in 70th min and later use significantly less)
why?
In this duel Ruch have stronger roster, home adv (very numerous and loud fans), atmosfere in the team is good, coach Skrobacz is experienced, won promotion with Jastrzebie (or maybe some more in the past) , worked in Miedz in first league. He did a very good job with NEWCOMER Ruch. Ruch struggled in last weeks as i wrote that Skrobacz did not trained extremly hard during prep. camps and his teams had problems in last matches of the round+ they missed by far the best in 2022 in Ruch Szczepan (in many games man of the match, he not only scored 8 from 11 goals in 2022 but worked also very hard in the defence)

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odds 1.4
Szczepan played in last 2 games (45 min and 45 from the bench), Radunia have no pressure and they already won in Chorzow (Ruch had 962 at home) and both games in this duel were won by the visitors
Normally i would put more on RUch but Ruch lacked a bit of stamina in last games and Szczepan is not in 100 proc this Szczepan we knew
It will be very big suprise if Ruch loose in 90th min and big surprise if Radunia advance

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Radunia (they are also a newcomer) played averagly on the road with recorf 548 and only 1 win in last 5 games

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Here you have stream (TVP Sport) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T530rJVqUrc
The same with Wigry- Spartakus(Motor), also for free on YouTube

Ruch better so far but we may see OT

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in last 10 minutes Ruch had 2 very good chances
i added another 1,5/10 on 1dnb and put 0,3/10 on HW and will add another 0,15/10 on hw after 79th min

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These are 5th playoffs (1st and 2nd league) after a changes and so far it was no 2 draws in 2 games before a big final.
Maybe today?
Spartakus Lublin will struggle to win with hot and very good at home Wigry Suwalki

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But they may not loose, i will try 1,7/10 on draw in WIgry- Spartakus(Motor) and 0,35/10 Wigry to win by one goal and 0,2/10 Spartakus to win by one goal

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Wigry were led earlier this season by very talanted and getting more popular Szulczek (one of the best coach in Ekstraklasa last season) so Wigry are slight fav. They learned a lot by Szulczek, atmosfere is very good, momentum is good, pressure is on away team, that should play this game at home but lost last game 0:3 in Pulawy

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Ruch dnb in OT 4,8/10 and later over 0.5 ht in OT in total 0,7/10

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Ruch had great chances in last minute of the stoppage time, no more on RUch as missed chances may turned against the team...

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Wigry 0:4 now, you should try very small 0:4/no more goals just after 0:4 and very small Wigry score 5th goals and btts, last 2 bets in total 1.7/10 (inc. 0.2/10 after 85th min on over 4,5 goals), on first one circa 0,55/10

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I decreased a bit stakes on Wigry to score to in total 1.45 as Wigry wanted to match be finished, really shocking result as Spartakus(Motor) won earlier 0 games vs best 6 (i.e. 5 teams as Spartakus Lublin are also in top 6) e
but don't hurry with backing Ruch as visitors may be a bit better prepared physically and Ruch won only 2 from 5 home games with Motor (+ 0:0 with Spartakus this season) i.e. only 2 wins in last 6 home games

Ruch scored in 118th min, 1:0, nice profit

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Today Arka w/o best scorer Czubak (14 or 15 goals) and Diaw (regular def. in last 4 games, he was signed late). Deja- captain and impr. midfielder is back after suspension
Korona with strongest possible, roster, many fans will be on the stadium + 400 from Opole (visitors)

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I saved some money on Ruch (w/o it i would try Ruch -0.25 AH) here as i read an interview with journalist Grygierczyk that have been watching games of Ruch this season, from Silesia region. Ane he observed that last teams of Skrobacz have worse 2nd part of round due to not really hard training during camps

So once again it's worth to read/ listen to the people that watch football regularly, all games, not only highlights like mainly me (+ of course some live games as well)