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Really improving Polish Ekstraklasa 11-15.03.22

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    Really improving Polish Ekstraklasa 11-15.03.22


    #2
    I shared an advice about nuances of pressure (one week ago) and i think that i expained it quite well.
    If you read it and apllied to Termalica- KGHM Zaglebie you should have profit now.

    I wrote a very good example of Zawisza that was in a similar situation to Nieciecza.
    First when nobody counted on them they played suprisingly well but every time (yes they missed all 7 attempts) when they could leave a rel .zone they failed. We have the same story with Termalica today

    With a win they would leave a rel. zone. The last/final step is the most important
    Besides KGHM Zaglebie drew last 2 games 0:0, 3 0:0 in a row (and it was 0:0 until 65th min) was very unlikely, we have very small numbers of 0:0 draws in Ekstraklasa

    Comment


      #3
      Gornik-Legia,
      Legia should not loose but will they win? I don't know. It depends on motivation and disposition of the day.
      We have not seen a draw in this h2h duel for quite long time (circa 13 games) and Gornik are able not to loose.
      They are solid team, they started this season badly but they had very short holidays (they played last game almost 1 month later than Ekstraklasa's teams and circa 2 weeks later than Radomiak and Termalica- newcomers) and needed time and new players (late transfers) to play quite well

      Legia played badly vs Slask, yes they won 3 games in a row (1 vs Gornik in PC but in PC they have promised quite big money for winning the trophy). it should have been 0:0 with the worst now Slask but gk Szromnik and def. Golla made a mistake and Josue showed some genius again
      Last edited by WKSkofu; 11-03-22, 20:43.

      Comment


        #4
        If Gornik lead or long 0:0, x2 or 2 (in 2nd case) should be tried to me
        but you have to have in mind that this season in truelly amazing so be carefull with stakes

        tommorow i will write earlier some precious informations about games

        Comment


          #5

          One more thing:
          I will share some informations/observations about NHL so check NHL thread
          In this league i also see a bit worse time for bettors, a lot of surprises since 24.02.22 and some facts were really shocking for many fans of NHL (and long-term viewers) as Detroit RW conceding in 2 from 3 home games 9 and 10 goals at home and none of those goals conceded were scored via PP!

          Last edited by WKSkofu; 11-03-22, 21:15.

          Comment


            #6
            or shocking was that Arizona, very long worse or 2nd worst team (now still 3rst worse team from 32 in NHL according to points!) scored in 2 games (back to back) 8 and 9 goals, and only 2 goals was scored via PP (and one game was played on the road vs 10th team in the conf. Detroit RW)

            Comment


              #7
              I wrote that i don't belive that Slask would not be relegated but i have to change a mind
              Chances that Slask will be relegated are circa 18 procent now:

              They have only 3 players in the roster (Golla, Maczynski, Pich, all are important but Pich w/o a form) that fight in season 18/19 not to be relegated (Slask were in a rel. zone) couple rounds before a last round. I thought that Slask had circa 5 such a players with such an experience
              Why they may be relegated?
              1 Very bad form and only 2 points gained in last 8 games. So far (based on last results) Slask are w/o doubts the worst team of the league!
              2 Atmosfere after bad results is not good
              3 Pressure will be higher if no win with Radomiak, pressure is already high
              4 many players are w/o form
              5 their rivals made better transfers and are playing really well.Termalica already 3 wins this year, Gornik Leczna solid results excluding first circa 7 games but they had a very short holidays (by far the shortest), big disadvantage and made late (quite good transfers). KGHM have now very good coach and signed many good players, they just signed another one from Austria , one weak ago a player that have 24 caps for Venenezuala debuted. KGHM Zaglebie improved defence immensly. Wisla also made really nice transfers and and have very good coach (polish standards of course) J. Brzeczek

              Comment


                #8
                Why they should not be relegated?
                1 They have a strong roster, stronger than many clubs involed in rel. battle : Nieciecza, Gornik Leczna, Stal Mielec, Jagiellonia, Warta Poznan.
                2 They changed a coach and Tworek should raise a morale, self-confidence. Very good thing is that Gora is his assistent. He is one of the legend of Slask and have big experience, worked in Amica(Lech) with Skorza not long time ago and will be motivated as Slask is his club.
                3. They have better h2h with many clubs: Gornik Leczna, KGHM Zaglebie, Wisla Krakow (5:0 in Krakow), Stal Mielec (2:1 at home and 2nd game will be played), they will have better h2h2 if they win with Nieciecza as they lost 3:4 on the road. It mean 1 point more and they are still above a rel. zone.
                4. Some clubs have more difficult schedule and even Jagiellonia may be relegated if not win with Wisla Plock and their best player is injured= Imaz and after return should not be in the highest form(they will have tought nex 5 games after Wisla Plock and Wisla just sigbed a very good coach Stano, best coach in Slovakia, he had great results there with young players of Zilinia)
                5. Slask played in Europe and very very seldom such a team were relegated from Ekstraklasa.
                6. This team deserved to have much more points but were wronged by referees in 4 games (they should have had 6-7 points more)
                7 Finally, players may be motivated by money. It already happened 5 years ago . They lost first 2 games in the final round (7 games only ) and won next 5 when money appeared and they won it easily (evene 6:0 with Ruch , 14 times champions)
                Last edited by WKSkofu; 11-03-22, 22:00.

                Comment


                  #9
                  Relegation of Slask would be NOT SMALL disaster for mayor and for the city (best at PR, very avarage at ruling the city and in 2023 we have local poll and J. Sutryk do everything to win it, almost all important investments in the city will be ended in 2023...)
                  Huge stadium, venue of Euro 2012 costed more than 1 billion Zloty! and it's not easy to win a promotion from first league as there are circa 9 good teams and only 3 teams will be promoted

                  P.S. Slask won 6:0 with Ruch and Ruch was prepared and coached by Waldek the KING (in rounds 1-30), Slask played with them 3 weeks after Fornalik left

                  Comment


                    #10
                    I see now that even Jagiellonia may be relegated. They have a very good coach (P. Nowak won in the past MLS and was even close to be first coach of USA NT) but they have not good shedulle and still their best player is injured (when healthy Imaz was in top 4-5 players of the league)
                    Here key may be game with Wisla Plock, if Wisla do not loose it, Jaga may be relegated as next 5 games will be tough and Stano, very good coach from Slovakia will debut as first coach vs Jagiellonia

                    of course Nieciecza, Warta, Gornik Leczna, Wisla Krakow (and Stal Mielec) have bigger chances to be relegated but in this crazy and unbelievable season even Jaga (chances definitely smaller than 10 procent now but wit no win with Wisla will be quite close to 10 procent to me)
                    Last edited by WKSkofu; 11-03-22, 22:12.

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Slask could have really won in Warsaw but i wrote that they needed more players in form. It was long 0:0 game and one goal decided (winner in 69th min) and with Legia's defeat Legia would have quite nice chances to be relegated but now their situation is good +(pressure is down, morale and self-confidence is up)

                      Comment


                        #12
                        Yes Slask had 0.12 XG in this game but in such a game 1 good action of players that is in-form or even one reflected shot/ricochette and it could be 0:1 (but Slask did not have 2 players in-form) so it ended 0:1 atfer Szromnik/ Golla mistake

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Slask will very likely secure a spot if win 2 games + gain 3 draws in rem. games as they have superior h2h with many teams that may be relegated (even 1:0 and 0:1 with Legia and may have better goals difference in whole season)
                          and they should and will play better. Tworek made a great atmosfere in Warta, many people said that such an atmosfere have been almost not seen in last many years in any team in Poland (in Ekstraklasa)

                          but so far the fact is that are really bad (026 record) and many players out of form
                          Last edited by WKSkofu; 11-03-22, 22:34.

                          Comment


                            #14
                            Slask have really nice stats when new coach debuted (all debuts since 2008 when Slask returned to Ekstraklasa)
                            from Slasknet:
                            • Orest Lenczyk
                              Wisla Krakow - Slask 0:0, 01.10.2009
                            • Stanislav Levy
                              Podbeskidzie - Slask1:1, 14.09.2012
                            • Tadeusz Pawlowski
                              Cracovia - Slask 0:1, 02.03.2014
                            • Romuald Szukielowicz
                              Slask - Gornik Leczna 2:1, 11.12.2015
                            • Mariusz Rumak
                              Korona - Slask2:2, 11.03.2016
                            • Jan Urban
                              Wisla Plock - Slask1:1, 12.02.2017
                            • Tadeusz Pawlowski
                              Slask - Gornik Zabrze 1:1, 25.02.2018
                            • Vitezslav Lavicka
                              Slask - Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2:0, 09.02.2019
                            • Jacek Magiera
                              Jagiellonia - Slask 0:1, 05.04.2021
                            9 games: no defeat, 4 wins and 5 draws and for example Wisla Krakow (0:0 with Slask in Krakow) were sign. stronger than now and Slask lost 5 games in a row before a clash with Wisla and could have even won in Krakow (1 vs 1 chances that was whistled and it was no offside)
                            Last edited by WKSkofu; 11-03-22, 22:39.

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Last 2 informations today: i appreciate experts: Murawski and Kosowski (ex players) .Some famous polish commentators (for example like Twaro or Smokowski) are good but good at the leagues they usually comment like EPL, L1 etc. Don't make a mistake that somebody that is good at one or other league have to be good at other league (here Ekstraklasa)
                              Last edited by WKSkofu; 11-03-22, 22:47.

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