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Really improving Ekstraklasa 25-28.02.22 + i warned you about a war before it begun!

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    #16
    Pogon- Amica 0:3, the only suprise is scale of victory, i gave you hints and reasons to play x2 or even Amica+0.25

    Today very important things happened/are happening.
    1 Polish Prime Minister M. Morawiecki went to Berlin and said:
    "I came to shake the conscience of Germany so that they finally decide on really crushing sanctions that will influence the Kremlin's decisions, Putin's decisions to stop attacking Ukraine. 5,000 helmets? Is this a joke?"


    Officialy very well trained and brutal (more crime wars?) Kadyrov's men are officialy in Ukraine in at least 10000.

    2. Poland won't fly to Russia and won't play with Russia WC qualifier, also Sweden (potential rival in 2nd game) won't play vs Russia. Poland and Sweden are now convincing Czech Republic to do the same. G. Linekar liked it and put some pressure on FIFA.
    In Poland evrybody are united and agree with this decision: chairman of football assasiation C.Kulesza, President, Prime Minister, footballers, fans.
    Best footballer of the world in last 2 years(FIFA the best)
    Robert Lewanmdowski wrote (already 44,4k likes after this post) on Twitter:
    "The right decision! I cannot imagine playing a match with the Russian national team in a situation when armed aggression in Ukraine continues. Russian footballers and fans are not responsible for this, but we cannot pretend that nothing is happening."
    Last edited by WKSkofu; 26-02-22, 19:00.

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      #17
      Jaga -Warta after las win 3:1 from quite bad first half (0:1, i.e. 2/1 victory and 3 goals scored at the beg. of 2nd half in JUST 6 min), players are very confident, many claimed that they would not loose with Jaga
      I wrote that they should win couple games and they will likely win at least 2, quite likely min 3 games (they would have a bad luck or be wronged by referees not to do it as they have ex Sheriff player, good offensive now tha couple months ago played in CL and had a very good numbers in Moldavia)
      Last edited by WKSkofu; 27-02-22, 13:39.

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        #18
        15:00 Radomiak- Lechia, Radomiak lost a game that should not been lost and Lechia won a game that should be lost 0:3 or even 0:4 (at home) with the best polish team now Amica(Lech), so momentum is on Lechia
        Radomiak won't have as good round as first round as they lost 2 regular midf. (Kaput and Nascimento that is injured) and they conceded a lot of goals this winter + 3 vs Warta that scored 3 goals first time (at home and 2nd overall) this season

        ===
        Another war crimes on civilians, many children are killed by russian (and perhaps their allies from BE): 6 yo boy and 10 yo girl(with family) in Kiev and 7yo girl were killed in Ochtyrka, next hospitals are attacked like oncological hospital for children in Kiev, in Kharkiv 9 floor block of flats
        collapsed after the attack! We will witness and see MUCH MORE such a things and examples of huge barbarity/ inhumanity!
        Last edited by WKSkofu; 27-02-22, 13:49.

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          #19
          Again my 3 major advices allowed to save/secure a lot of money:
          1. Skip first 1-2 rounds after a long break (winter or summer) or play (rather small number of games) with significant decreased stakes, i did really think that Korona would win with Stomil and LKS with Jastrzebie and both teams being big favs (1.58 for Korona and 1.77 for LKS) drew 1:1. Widzew lost shockingly 2:5 at home, the worst such a home result in last 70 years(!!!)
          2. Use extra small bets to secure capital put on bets. It was obvious that LKS would score, they had great friendly results, scored goals easily, still had Pirulo (best man in first part of the season in whole league). So if you took LKS to win you had to play small bets on 1:1 as well, the same in Korona, very good results, scored goals easily, good defence, if draw it should have been 1:1 (most likley) and they drew 1:1 (in both games Korona and LKS).
          3. Livebetting is a key to nice results: less uknowns as you know how teams play, you can check in first 15 (sometimes 20th min) the form of current teams/players like in Piast- Gornik. I was very certain that it will be min 1 goal but first half was very boring and later (i wrote it couple times and even before a game, both teams played firstly not to loose) and we had 2nd in a row 0:0 result between both teams in a very short period of time (earlier 0:0 after 90+30 min of OT in PC)

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            #20
            and another rule: winter (or summer) games in friendly games may be misleading. Legia won all of them in a very good style and struggled in all games even in one game vs Wisla (a winner in 94). LKS and Korona played very well as well this winter , scored a lot of goals, almost all wins and 1:1 and 1:1 results as big fav in first round after a return.
            Slask also played quite well this winter (even in lost game vs Vojvodina, they created more games , conceded 2 goals after serious mistakes at the back) and in the league: lost 0:2 with Lechia, drew 1:1 with newcomer Gornik (being down in 2nd half and scoring on 1:1 when Gornik reduced to ten men and made a serious and easy mistake at the back) and lost easily 1:3 (1:3 ht) with Piast (transitional season)

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              #21
              Slask- KGHM Zaglebie
              these are 2 worst teams now in Ekstraklasa (results from 2.10.22), 8 points each team (the same record 229 and 28 and 29 goals conceded, also the worst score). Very important game mainly for Slask that can not loose this game.
              Exposito is back but he is not the same Exposito (2nd best players in terms of goals created in Ekstraklasa as he missed preparations due to covid and later went to China for tests, so he surely will need more time and he may be upset and not fully motivated as he counted on nice money and better league).
              I have no idea what will be the final result. It may be x, 1 or 2. Slask lost 2 games in a row first time in over last 2,5 years , so the home defeat ill be medium suprise but KGHM Zalebie are able to win here


              ------
              After a pressure on Germany they finally sent

              (really embarrassing!) those promised 5000 helmets for Ukraine and will send also 500 Stinger rockets and 1000 anti-tank weapons and they agreed to cut off (some russian bank) from SWIFT.
              As you know Russia conquered Charnobyl atomic power station and also wanted and still want to conquer nuclear power plant in Zaporizhzhia. This is the biggest such a power plant in Europe!
              Even Turkey (they have been balancing between Russia and NATO) finally called agression of Russian Feder. a war!
              Last edited by WKSkofu; 27-02-22, 15:38.

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                #22
                F. Nascimento in first 11 of Radomiak with new signing Luizao but i doubt that first mentioned player is in good form after an injury.
                Radomiak should score signif. worse in this part of the season as very often a newcomer- revelation play worse in 2nd part like Slask Wroclaw in 2008/09 season, like many more clubs. Warta from last season (5th spot, very close to Europe) are exception to the rule.
                Lechia with new striker Clemens (big experience in Bundesliga) in first 11.
                Last edited by WKSkofu; 27-02-22, 16:13.

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                  #23
                  Wow, weekend of big and numerous suprises especially in Poland:
                  Slask- KGHM Zaglebie, draw is not a suprise, it was my first call but 0:0 is a suprise, just 4th in 48h2h game and what is more supising 2nd 0:0 at home in a row (it happened first time in history)
                  Piast- Gornik double 0:0 at home in a row (in first match after 120 min), it also happened first time in history , afer just 1 draw in first 14 h2h games, we had 4 draws in last 7 games inc. 3 0:0 draws!)

                  quite shocking results in first league (first round after a break): big shock Widzew- Arka 2:5 (for Widzew worst such a result in last 70 years!), Tychy- Podbeskidzie 0:0 again and those teams are offensive minded and 0:0 draw in first game was already a big suprise,
                  and mentioned draws Korona- Stomil 1:1 and Jastrzebie- LKS 1:1 when both teams played very well in the friendly games, scored a lot of goals and were big favs here. Also Sandecja- GKS Tychy only 1:1 and fav. Sandecja were down untill 78th min

                  + many more in foreign leagues: GAE- Ajax 2:1 , Martimo Sporting 1:1, Monaco Reims 1:2 (despite 1:0 until 89th min!) etc

                  ====
                  First russian oligarchs are against war and stoped to be silent: Michail Fridman, Deripaska, one oligarch even posted a photo of oppositionist of Kremlin murdered near to it 7 years ago.
                  Last edited by WKSkofu; 27-02-22, 20:33.

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                    #24
                    Slask- KGHM Zaglebie, it could really be x 1 (first very good chance in the game by Golla) 2 Dolezal missed a great chance from 5.25m, almost empty net). This is not bad result for hosts and Warta may regret that they did not win a game that they should have won (11 vs 10 and led in 63th min).
                    Bad period now and soon for Wisla Krakow as a loss in 94th min and bad schedule may bury them in a rel. zone (w/o fast and good transfers), now not Legia but Wisla are under big pressure...

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                      #25
                      Slask- KGHM Zaglebie, once more why this result (no goals) is a big suprise:
                      28 shots in the game, Slask had 2-3 good chances (Golla, Pich had the best chance from short distance), KGHM Zaglebie 3-4 (but only 1 shot on target, also big misses from very good situation inc. great chance Dolezal from 5.25 almost empty net) and those teams conceded 28 and 29 goals in their last 11 games (i.e 2.54 and 2.63 goals per game!
                      Last edited by WKSkofu; 27-02-22, 23:24.

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                        #26
                        Once again an old maxim: derby have their own rules worked well (like in Piast- Gornik when we had also surprising 0:0)

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                          #27
                          Almost 20 childrens were killed in Ukraine (just couple days of aggressions!), overall almost 400 civilians! What is even worse those barbarians/monsters are attacking quite often purposely. I wrote that many times in many regions even ambulances were fired, in Kharkiv big school was completly damaged (for 600 childeren before a war!). Ukrainians just destroyed a subversive group that was to attack buses with the civilians and russian army are now close to Belarus- Ukraine border and may attack this country on the west to cut off from humanitarian aid!

                          In such a bloodcurdling circumstances, it's waiste of time on betting when people are dying, are homeless and humanitarian crisis is coming (despite the fact that some neighbours are helping very intensevily, Poland already accepted over 200 refugees from Ukraine).
                          Clothes, food and especially money are very welcomed and further pressure on own politics to introduce devastating sanctions on Russian Federation (and Belarus, army is attacking from this country, also missles were fired from this country)

                          Comment


                            #28
                            "Bild" wrote already 4 days ago that Putin allowed his army to attack civilians. Effects are shocking, for example the agrresor have almost completely turned Volnovakha into ruins! Those barbarians are capable of anything!

                            P.S. I checked quickly yesteday's results and again Sunday turned out to be Sunday of miracles (my observation/advice based on experience that there are a bit more surprises on Sunday),
                            Ajax lost with weak GAE, Flamengo almost lost at home with very weak team (0:2 until 90th min), Slask-KGHM Zaglebie 0:0 despite 28 shots, many good chances of 2 teams with the worst defence from 2.10.22. Porto drew at home 1:1 with big underdog and they were down 0:1 in 2nd half despite 11 vs 10 men (rival scored shorthanded) and many more like Lyon- Lille 0:1, Monaco- Reims 1:2 (despite 1:0 until 89th min...
                            Last edited by WKSkofu; 28-02-22, 10:48.

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                              #29
                              Cracovia- Termalica
                              to me it will be no suprise as we had quite loads of them this weekend and Cracovia are now sign. better team and have good momentum

                              Comment


                                #30
                                Termalica should win at least 6 remaining games as they have now only 16 points so they have to risk , if longer live draw, very small away win should be tried, the morale is not good to me and their chances decreased when very good (in Pogon Szczecin especially) midf. Kozulj got injured and won't play this season

                                Broenby to win ,it may be an interesting options but i don't know which players won't play today and their significance

                                ===
                                More war crimes in Kharkiv, many civilians are killed and hurt. Russian aggresor is using cluster amunition that is prohibited.
                                Poland have accepted/welcomed almost 300k refugees (in just 5 days) and in total half million of this poor nation left the country!
                                Last edited by WKSkofu; 28-02-22, 19:19.

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