Really improving Polish Ekstraklasa 11-14.02.22

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	Leczna - Slask Wroclaw			19	2.88	3.04	2.51	Today 18:00
	Cracovia - Lechia Gdansk			19	2.97	3.20	2.35	Today 20:30
	Wisla - Stal Mielec			19	1.92	3.44	3.75	Tomorrow 15:00
	Radomiak Radom - Rakow			19	2.98	3.32	2.27	Tomorrow 17:30
	Lech Poznan - Termalica B-B.			19	1.26	5.41	10.29	Tomorrow 20:00
	Wisla Plock - Piast Gliwice			19	2.47	3.19	2.76	13.02. 12:30
	Pogon Szczecin - Zaglebie			18	1.51	4.07	5.92	13.02. 15:00
	Legia - Warta Poznan			19	1.56	3.96	5.38	13.02. 17:30
	Gornik Z. - Jagiellonia			19	2.07	3.40	3.31

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18:00 Gornik- Slask u 2,5 6/10 1.77 (odds dropped now to 1.65), u 2.25 1.25/10 and u 2.75 1,2/10

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I did not want to open thread earlier as odds would have changed (probably) earlier.
Gornik w/o best striker Spiaczka (10 goals) and with good defence. Slask w/o 2 best players that are also 2 best offensive players.
Exposito took part in 14 goals (goals, assists, 2nd degree assists what was 2nd best score in the league after Jimenez/Gornik who had 15 points). Praszelik moved to Hellas and debuted very fast in away game vs Juventus (and had even 1 nice chance in the game from the bench).

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Friendlies (from futbol24.com)

06.02.2022	D1	Warta Poznan	1-1	Gornik Leczna
30.01.2022	CF	Gornik Leczna	CANC	Motor Lublin
27.01.2022	CF	Gornik Leczna	0-0	FK Novi Pazar
27.01.2022	CF	KF Prishtina	1-2	Gornik Leczna
24.01.2022	CF	Gornik Leczna	0-1	Neftchi Baku
20.01.2022	CF	Gornik Leczna	2-2	Zira FK
15.01.2022	CF	Gornik Leczna	4-0	KSZO 1929

Nefchi are the champions of Azerbeijan (but have worse season now) , so these are ok results vs

05.02.2022	D1	Lechia Gdansk	2-0	Slask Wroclaw
26.01.2022	CF	Slask WrocLaw	0-2	FK Vojvodina
22.01.2022	CF	Slask Wroclaw	0-0	Floridsdorfer AC
21.01.2022	CF	Slask Wroclaw	3-2	Qarabag FK
19.01.2022	CF	Slask Wroclaw	2-1	Hartberg
14.01.2022	CF	Slask Wroclaw	1-0	Warta Poznan

Slask played all games w/o Exposito (C19) and the circa 2 w/o striker Piasecki (very good round in Stal and very good last 2-3 games in Slask before a loan), Slask should have drawn at least vs Vojvodina but made a serious mistakes at the back (AGAIN)Slask conceded 2 goals in Gdans after set pieces, earlier this season both goalkeepers and defence made many easy mistakes that resulted 32 goals conceded in just 20 games and Slask were 4th team in season 20/21 and played well in Europe this summer.

I wanted to play here draw as Gornik have a very good record 310 in last 4 and lost only once in last 8 games and Slask lost last 4 games and last 5 on the road but their defence is not trusted, they need time to play better with Piasecki and new midfielder Jastrzembski (good game vs strong Lechia in Gdansk, it was his debut) who played many games for Germany youth teams and played 8 games for Hertha Berlin
but Kieres (to me small kings) will led today his team in 100th game.
Slask should not loose and Gornik are probably too good to loose so maybe draw? But i would like to see first 15MIN, small number of goals are more likley (and it increases chances for draw) or a vicory by one goal (probably 0:1, rathem than 1:0)

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I have to write it NOW. Many people thinks that Gornik Leczna, Termalica, Warta are 3 teams that will be relegated but to me this is:
1 public bet
2 this season is very difficult to predict and full of big surprises,. really big surprises
3 we have generally more suprises in Covid 19 times
4 i feel that we may see 1 sensational team that leave the league. I wrote in a prev. thread that pressure not to be relegated is much bigger and different than anything else with bad start Wisla/KGHM Zaglebie may struggle and will play with huge pressure (fans of Wisla put extra pressure on own players)
and i am not putting even 1 Euro that mentioned Gornik (good+ results in last 8 games, they are still in 1/4 PC+ very good coach, small kings to me), Termalica (good and experienced coach but bad injury of probably key player Kozulj) and Warta (very young and very talanted coach that could even led in Poznan with leading Amica/Lech and led 1:0 with 2nd Pogon in Szczecin until the last action in stoppage time) will be relegated.
Not even 1 Euro. So watch you money and think twice or even 3 times!

P.S. In history of polish football we had many cases that big clubs (Wisla 13 tittles, KGHM Zaglebie are not big club but won the league twice as many times as quite big Slask) were sensationally relegated.
Slask in 2 seasons from 1st league to 3rd, Ruch (14 tittles) were very close to play in 3rd league as well (won 3:1 first play off game and lost 0:2 in 2nd at home and could have lost 0:3 with small Zniczn!)
I could write much more examples...
Wisla, Gornik, KGHM Zaglebie all those teams played in 2nd league (called now first) and it took place not ages ago...

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Cracovia-Lechia, Cracovia have very good momentum and great results with new coach J.Zielinski (won tittle with Amica/Lech) with strong teams. He already worked in Europe and won first ever promotion to Europe with club from Krakow
Hard game to predict as we have just 2nd round after quite long break and both coaches are working not long yet (both were w/o a job when season started!)
Very very likely at least 1 goal, Cracovia may have momentum in first half so maybe small 1dnb ht1 but no more to me than 0,9/10 and if longer 0:0 over 0,5 ht 0,2/10

Cracovia have not won for 6 home games with Lechia in first halves and scored only 1goal so today there is a chance that they may score

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Of course you are welcomed to my NHL 2021/22 thread where i am giving many opportunities to have good and profitable picks
last 3 picks won (and i am not counting Blues- NJD game where over 1,25 was also won, 2 nd goal was scored late in 16th min with really nice odds, with this game last 4 won)

I am giving hope and faith (as Jesus, my Lord) from Wrocloooove!

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Wroclaw-UNIQUE City that has: one of 4-5 the most beautiful Town Hall and Market square in whole Europe (the biggest medieval market square in Europe with Town Hall and pillory!). VENICE of the North (over 100 bridges, 5th place in Europe!) 1 of 7 new ZOO wonders of the world (only 4 are located in Europe!),People's Hall(UNESCO Heritage) and 200+ m skyskraper with 200m above the ground viewpoint! The city that contributed to 13 Noble Prize winners (Alzheimer worked and died here, Creuzfeld and above all M.Copernicus worked and lived here). You will surely meet very nice and hospitable people. Still quite cheap in comparison to western Europe.
And Wroclaw is also the best place in Poland for business according to 809 chiefs of companies in a survey "Business Environment Assessment Study"
Wroclaw-the Meeting Place. So when are you going to Visit Wroclaw and Poland?

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This season of Ekstraklasa is mainly to watch. I can bet that we will see many suprises like Cracovia- Amica (3:3 from 1:3 in 77th min and almost nothing indicated when 1:3 that Amica wouldn't win this game, but when only 2:3 , they were really freightend and 3rd goal for Cracovia was possible).
Lechia -Slask, 2:0 but if no set pieces, Slask could easily have drawn that game
Warta- Gornik, here it could be 1x2, Warta deserved to win having 3 bars/posts and conceded a goal after a mistake and equalized after gk's shot in the stoppage time!
KGHM Zaglebie- Legia 1:3 is misleading as even some fans of Legia are saying that it was a lucky win thanks to small genius of Josue and worse first half of KGHM Zaglebie
Termalica- Jaga 2:1 but fair result would be an away win, Jaga were much better, created at least 6 good chances and conceded 2 goals after penelties, one ws a gift to Termalica

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Rakow- WIsla, Wisla had the best chance in first half (when 0;0) , 2:0 FT, deserved win but if Wisla had scored , Rakow would have struggled to win
Piast- Pogon, very bad pitch and if no a good game from 2-3 players of Pogon (Kowalczyk, Grosicki and debuting Biczachczjan) we could see a draw
Radmiak - Wisla 1:1, double profit here (bets ht x and ht x when 0:1, and 1:1CS taken with odds circa 4), but the game could end easily 2:1. 1:2 3:1 or even 1:3
Stal -Gornik Zabrze 1:2(1:0 i.e. 1/2) this game could end 1, x or 2, Stal missed a penaly (when 1:2) in 90th min

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So the best pick is (if you are not quite certain) is to watch game live, observe and wait for better odds/real opportunities
like in Denmark- Russia in hockey (0:1 until 60th min) od Latvia- Finaland 0:0 until 38th min or Juve- Sassuolo, goal on 2:1 in 88th min with odds circa 5.0 just before a goal

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H Finland to win had to be tried odds 3.6 in 3rd period (i wrote when it was 0:1 after 40min and later it was lomg 1:1 and odds were fantastic on Finland)

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Snow and quite hard pitch conditions in LEczna (i wrote earlier that also pitch in Gliwice is awfull while pitch in Czestochowa is almost perfect)

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Famous Y. Konoplanka is new player of Cracovia, so the league is really getting stronger, more fans should now watch it/observe as over 1mln Ukrainians are leaving now in Poland, circa 90k in Krakow

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of course when 1:0, bet no more goals should be tried 0,2/10 very small and now draw also small 0,8/10 (not all now) in Leczna- Slask

[WKSkofu]

You should have earned a really nice money today:
-Slask u 2.5 (very big stakes, ok odds), won easily (yes Slask had in 94 and in 95th very good chances and should have won but bet should be already cashed in in stoppage time)
- you should try also another u 2.5 live when 1:1 (odds circa 1.53) if you played u with odds circa 1.7 and later countered a bit when long 0:0 and odds on over 2,5 rised very fast due to a very bad weather/conditions
-draw also won (they score a bit to fast, Gornik's new defender (from bench) made a mistake and deputee Lyszczarz scored a goal having 2 defenders against him
- Cracovia 0:0 ht (they should have already led in 6th min) but over 0.5 goals- bet won here and first goal quite late in 68th min with very nice odds

I wrote that you should wait for significantly better odds when public bet and odds on PSG to win were 7-8 before a goal in 91th min (not 1.55!), Also Sevilla scored on 1;0 with sign. better odds (circa 2.25)..
This advice should be followed!


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Wroclaw-UNIQUE City that has: one of 4-5 the most beautiful Town Hall and Market square in whole Europe (the biggest medieval market square in Europe with Town Hall and pillory!). VENICE of the North (over 100 bridges, 5th place in Europe!) 1 of 7 new ZOO wonders of the world (only 4 are located in Europe!),People's Hall(UNESCO Heritage) and 200+ m skyskraper with 200m above the ground viewpoint! The city that contributed to 13 Noble Prize winners (Alzheimer worked and died here, Creuzfeld and above all M.Copernicus worked and lived here). You will surely meet very nice and hospitable people. Still quite cheap in comparison to western Europe.
And Wroclaw is also the best place in Poland for business according to 809 chiefs of companies in a survey "Business Environment Assessment Study"
Wroclaw-the Meeting Place. So when are you going to Visit Wroclaw and Poland?