CL Group stage 1-2 December 2020

[ellas98]

01 Dec - Group Stage		1	X	2
17:55	Lokomotiv Moscow - Salzburg	5.27	4.43	1.61
17:55	Shakhtar Donetsk - Real Madrid	7.98	5.67	1.36
20:00	Atalanta - Midtjylland	1.20	7.41	13.61
20:00	Atl. Madrid - Bayern Munich	2.08	3.87	3.34
20:00	B. Monchengladbach - Inter	3.09	3.78	2.22
20:00	FC Porto - Manchester City	5.11	3.90	1.70
20:00	Liverpool - Ajax	1.68	4.26	4.77
20:00	Marseille - Olympiacos Piraeus	2.39	3.24	3.21
02 Dec 2020 - Group Stage		1	X	2
17:55	Basaksehir - RB Leipzig	7.16	4.89	1.44
17:55	Krasnodar - Rennes	2.64	3.46	2.70
20:00	Club Brugge KV - Zenit	2.17	3.66	3.29
20:00	Dortmund - Lazio	1.63	4.40	5.09
20:00	Ferencvaros - Barcelona	7.50	5.11	1.41
20:00	Juventus - Dyn. Kyiv	1.27	5.77	12.41
20:00	Manchester Utd - Paris SG	2.87	3.53	2.48
20:00	Sevilla - Chelsea	2.77	3.41	2.62

[ellas98]

At first glance it is weird to see the odds on Bayern. Even if they do not need the points, they are an extremely competitive team.
Let's not forget that they won the last CL winning all games on the way!

[ellas98]

Atl. Madrid - Bayern Munich
Bayern (+0.5 AH) @ 1.96

Ok, so Neuer, Goretzka, Boateng and Lewandowski are rested for this game. Kimmich, Davies are long-term missings due to injury.
And the odds moved further up. I still can't write off this Bayern. They have a lot of talent up front in Sane, Douglas Costa, Koman, Gnabry in front who can run amoch against any defences.
Martinez will be able to play the pivot in front of the defence, so I see a decent enough team to get something from this game.

Atletico won only one game in the CL this season, drew twice against Lokomotiv Moscow, and lost 4-0 against Bayern. That is, while they are undefeated in the LaLiga after 9 rounds (7W-2D), sitting one point behind leaders Real Sociedad and two games in hand, they are less convincing in Europe. Just to put this in perspective, Atletico beat Bayern 1-0 in 2016 during the group phase, but they won 5 games in the group at that time. And Bayern were different then (e.g. they lost against Rostov as I recall).

Even if Madrid are extra motivated, I expect Bayern to be able to handle them. They are relentless under Flick. Two days after the European Super Cup they lost against Mgladbach. Since then they are on an unbeaten run of 13 games, drawing only once.
Double chance at around 2 for Bayern. I take it without a bilink. GL!

[ellas98]

Flick did a Klopp with the starting 11 leaving Koman, Gnabry and Muller on the bench. Odds are sky-high now.

[ellas98]

Sevilla - Chelsea
Pick: X

This looks like a dead rubber today in my opinion. Both are through and they cannot gain too much more. They should focus on not getting injuries. Under might be a good call as well. .
They might focus on the weekend opponents (Real Madrid and Leeds respectively, which are both promising clashes by the way!).
GL!

[ellas98]

Manchester Utd - Paris SG
BTS: No

Leading the group and having won in Paris, Manchester do not need to push, so they can sit back and try to counter.
PSG need all three points if they want have their destiny in their hands. In order to achieve this they need to shut down Manchester's attack.
They have the personnel and already showed that they can do it. They proved last season in the knock-out phase that they function as a team for the greater good. We should see an extremely focused PSG frustrating Man United in this game.

I think the odd goal will decide today, and I fancy the under 2.5 as well.
There is this weird thing about Manchester under Ole that after a string of good things there is something awkward inevitably coming. And the opposite is equally true.
GL!

[ellas98]

Ferencvaros - Barcelona
O3.5 @ 2.50

It's a no-brainer. Even if Barcelona are through and Messi won't travel there have to be goals in this game.
Ferencvaros tend to score in each game, and they always put up a fight. But they are just not good enough yet to compete with the big guns like Barcelona or Juventus.
Barcelona showed in Kyiv that they can score even without Messi. They can take their foot off the gas and that could result in a relaxed exhibition-like game. GL!