of course to decrease potential loss if NYR lead live (1.05 CET) you can try very small hw 0,45/10
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I think that it's worth to try St Louis- Colorado draw 4.8 0,9/10 tonight
Colorado won last 5 games in ST Louis in regular time-quite long streak and have not drawn for last 11 games there (*and Colorado drew 2 from last 3 home games vs St Louis!)+
they have no draw in circa 10 away games and won all 4 games on the road so far in playoffs- pretty much
and St Louis won last game 5:4 despite being down 0:3 and 3:4 lat in 3rd period!
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St Louis- Colorado 2:2 until 59:54, so close...
but i hit and gained nice profit in Canada- Czech R. (Polish playoffs 21/22, i tried also very nice odds and solid stakes in CL final, Liverpool- Real mainly 1:1 and 2:2 CS)
I tried once more NYR Carolina Draw 2,9/10 4.25 (before odds dropped) and 1,7/10 2.63 away win
NYR tied their record and won 5 consecutive home games in playoffs, Carolina tied their record and lost all 5 games on the road (and they won 7 at home i.e 12/12 times hosts in Carolina's games in this playoffs won)
I think NYR won't win today, in Carolina's games (12 in playoffs) visitors scored 0 times more thyan 2 goals, i think this streak will be end very soon
in last playoffs in games with Carolina only 3times we saw a home win in a regular time (1 in last 5 games of 2nd period!)
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i really regret that i did not share with you Carolina- NYR x2 in game number 7 (but i had to have some rest), i wrote and tried x2 earlier in game number 6 (bet lost), i was pretty sure that chances for x2 in last 7th game very very nice. Carolina had 13/13 games in playoffs when always hosts won and i wrote also that day when guests will finally score at least 3 goals is very soon (it could happen in game 6 but Carolina missed again PP's ....
I believe that some of you were consequent and tried x2 im Carolina- NYR (easy 2:6 win), pressure was on Carolina
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bad Sunday ( again you had an opportunity to see POWER of Sunday i.e. many suprises) but good results after a break today
i wrote and gave you a hint that Tampa should advance here as i wrote that Pens would have had almost no chances with Tampa/Florida or Colorado and soon we may see a final Tampa- Colorado (but Edmonton have now still some circa 25 proc chances to play in the final) and earlier that Colorado would be suckers if they had not won President's trophy (and they lost it in last couple of games that seemed to be quite easy)
I really like Tampa and i am afraid that NYR winning 2 games will be max they get here
Tampa have great team, are damn experienced, fresh,
NYR have no pressure, have really nice momentum but they lack of 2 very key things freshness/stamina now and experience
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Respect for NYR certainly, they had circa 15 procent chance of advance vs Penguins after 4th game according to statistics (12 procent of teams advanced when loosing 1:3 as them but in first round it was circa 20 procent chance) and even less than 5 procent when they were down 0:2 in 2nd period when 1:3 in the series but they did
Later they had also very slim chances when 0:2 after 2 away games (circa 20) and especially when 2:3 after 5th game and perspective of playing 7th game on the road
but fatigue factor should be key here with experience(or lack of it for NYR im conference finals)
Certainly great story but past won't repeat (after 4:3 from 1:3 with Pens last time they reached SC final where lost with legendary Kings, team experienced in great , unbelievable come backsLast edited by WKSkofu; 01-06-22, 23:11.
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of course statistics were from the past and past do not equal the future but here the chances were really similar to teams potential/situation with one exception
Carolina screw the job up in game 6 or earlier game in NY as favs to me in game 7 were RangersLast edited by WKSkofu; 01-06-22, 23:19.
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Ok and very small bet as well NYR to win the series 4:2, 0,35, if it will be 7th game, Tampa should win this game having more energy and experience
First game lost but result is misleading, yes 6:2 suggest an easy win but only Kucherov had in first period when 1:1 two very good chances to score on 2:1
Vasilevski allowed 6 goals first time in 93th game in playoffs
Today Tampa should play signif. better, NYR won 7 home games in a row in playoffs, they are extending their all time record
but Tampa are def. champions in last 2 seasons + winners of President's trophy in 2019 so they had 3 great season and showed strength in both series this season
and they won last 17 games after loosing a game in playoffs- by far the best such a streak in historyLast edited by WKSkofu; 03-06-22, 23:15.
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Tampa to win the series 2.05 or higher, Tampa ML 1.78 or higher, Tampa dnb 1.75
Tampa had a bit too long break after 2nd round as they won 4:0vs best team in reg. season Florida (lastr game 2:0) and NYR played 7 games,
Tampa will play signif. better today and i really doubt that NYR will play even in 80 proc as good as in first gameLast edited by WKSkofu; 03-06-22, 23:35.
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I beleive that next 2 games will be good for us. I skipped Colorado's game and Edmonton lost and there is 0:3 in the series, i will try certainly game number 4.
Tampa- NYR 1 ML 1.57 3/10, Tampa to win 2.06 0,2/10 and another 0,3/10 to 0.35 already used NYR to win the series 4:2 and 0,15/10 NYR to win 4.3 (i still have 6.2 Tampa to advance
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Tampa disappointed in game nr 2, i expected as many experts that they would have played like vs Toronto when they led in Toronto by 4 goals (of course i am not mad and knew that they would not have le so high but with good display they should have won, they pushed strongly in last 3 minutes and could easily mad 3:3 from 1:3).
Kucherov disappointed again, he had 4 good+ or even pretty good chance in game nr 1 and had a turnover in 3rd period thaty resulted in goal on 1:3
Tampa should win likely today, They won 4:0 with the best team of reg. season
Yes Tampa lost a very important game and NYR are now favs but chances are to me 60:40 for NYR.
Tampa should win next game in NY , they should play better and Rangers should finally play worse game at home (record 8 games winning streak at home- best everLast edited by WKSkofu; 05-06-22, 19:01.
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