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PLK/Poland 2020/21

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  • Raffie
    replied
    05/04/2021 17:30 CET
    Trefl Sopot - Slask Wroclaw over 160.5
    1.83 (bet365)
    5/10

    147 and 163 - this is how many points have been scored in the two games so far. At 5/23 in G1 Slask for 3 and Trefl with 4/28 for 3 and in G2 3/22 for 3 Trefl. It will be the key in this game for Trefl to launch three-pointers shoots and hit them, otherwise they have nothing to look for in this series. As a result, Stefanski should give more offensive line-ups today. By the way, it could be the last game and if the score is even, they will foul and be free shoots. When three's start to come in, the line should raise today with a much stronger result.


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  • Raffie
    replied
    03/04/2021 20:20 CET
    Legia Warszawa - King Szczecin under 163.5
    1.83 (bet365)
    5/10


    After the first game, the line was raised because they made 170 points in regular time. However, looking at the entire season and especially at Legia's matches in this hall, because there are not many points in this hall. The game was 2 days ago and I think the pace of the match today will be weaker, because it was really fast in 1. If Lampe plays more, the pace should also be slower, because he is a tall player who takes a long time to move from basket to basket compared to Fakuade.
    Last edited by Raffie; 05-04-21, 13:49.

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  • Raffie
    replied
    21/03/2021 17:30 CET
    MKS Dabrowa Gornicza (-7.5) - GTK Gliwice
    1.96 (Pinnacle)
    8/10


    And another promotion. The odds don't take this into account, but GTK today without Varnado (17.2 PPG, 47.7% FG, 5.2 REB), Bogues (10.6 PPG, 42% FG, 2.6 APG) and Persons (13.4 PPG, 5.8 APG). Probably without Diduszko too. They have 7 to play in rotation, including 18-year-old Wi**347;niewski, young Helinski who has not played almost the entire season (23 minutes throughout the season), 39-year-old Szewczyk and the very bad Mario Delas. If there are no miracles, MKS should easily win this match.
    Last edited by Raffie; 23-03-21, 13:59.

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  • Raffie
    replied
    20/03/2021 19:30 CET
    Polpharma - Anwil (-5.5)
    1.90 (Pinnacle)
    8/10


    Last minute info. Polpharma without Kowalczyk, Trevon Allen and Jarecki. There are practically no people to play and Anwil should win it with double digits.
    Last edited by Raffie; 21-03-21, 15:00.

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  • Raffie
    replied
    20/03/2021 17:30 CET
    Start Lublin - Zastal Zielona Gora under 173.5
    1.89 (Pinnacle)
    5/10



    Start Lublin in its own hall is 1-13 on this line. Zastal did it 8 times and 6 times not. However, most of these games were played by Lundberg and Groselle, who are their best offensive players. Without the two, Zastal should have much more trouble with easy points and individual advantage.

    Additionally, Zastal played matches of the Polish Cup in this hall with and they made 1 overs and 2 unders.
    Last edited by Raffie; 21-03-21, 15:00.

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  • Raffie
    replied
    19/03/2021 17:30 CET
    Spojnia Stargard (-8) - Arka Gdynia HF
    1.95 (Pinnacle)
    8/10

    Spojnia Stargard (-15) - Arka Gdynia
    1.94 (Pinnacle)
    8/10


    Woloszyn, Kolodziej, Hrycaniuk, Malczyk will not play in the Arka today, but there are also gaps, which the odds do not take into account, because Szubarga (30 MPG, 11.6 PPG, 5.0 APG) and Wadowski (21 MPG, 6.7 PPG, 3.2 APG) they don't play too. There are 6 people left to play, including Kaszowski 2001 and Kowalczyk 2002 + juniors. Spojnia, especially in the first half, should win high, and then have such an advantage that the juniors will not smash it anymore. You can also try the highest handicaps.
    Last edited by Raffie; 20-03-21, 00:48.

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  • Raffie
    replied
    17/03/2021 17:30 CET
    King Szczecin - HydroTruck Radom over 156
    1.88 (Pinnacle)
    5/10


    I recommended few days ago the under in King - GTK game and I had a hard time on it, when practically after the 1st quarter they over is easy made. In small time nothing will change in tactics and this time Radom, who plays for fun now, and recently is in good shape, will come to the pressing King and I think that guards from Radom Hinds with Griffin will work with their statistics tomorrow.

    This is the end of the season and the over machine has moved forward, and here we have the line and course as if it were the beginning or middle of the season.
    Last edited by Raffie; 19-03-21, 16:15.

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  • Raffie
    replied
    14/03/2021 17:30 CET
    King Szczecin - GTK Gliwice under 163.5
    1.86 (Pinnacle)
    5/10


    The line has been heavily up in the last two days, because two days ago it was at 157.5. There are no arguments why it is so high, because the latest results of King at home and GTK on away shows low results and the breakthrough of the line of 164 points is not probably going to come out here. In addition, there will still be no Lampe in King, which could swing King's attack a bit, and at the same time worsen the defense, and so his time takes on will Fakuade, who can switch everything in defence.

    GTK today without Wisniewski and Diduszko. They have 8 to play, including 4 under-basket players - Delas, Varnado, Szymanski and Szewczyk. So on PG-SF there are 4 left to play. This does not indicate crazy basketball on their part, because there may be no electricity.
    Last edited by Raffie; 15-03-21, 23:39.

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  • Raffie
    replied
    28/02/2021 15:30 CET
    HydroTruck Radom - Spojnia Stargard (-4)
    1.90 (Pinnacle)
    5/10



    Spojnia after a great Polish Cup, where they reached the final, and were the only ones able to play a fairly even match with Zastal, who had previously demolished their opponents. In my opinion, Spojnia recently shows that it deserves top 8 and is a strong team at the moment.

    Radom is the lowlands of PLK, and yet we have a 1.55 odds to Spojnia. With Hinds' weaker match, there are practically no people to score, and today he will be heavily covered by Cowels and Matczak throughout the match. If both teams maintain the form of the last matches, I think Spojnia will come out with a win.

    * Only Nick Faust's performance is in danger and he will probably not play, but he already played in PP with an injury and Spojnia was doing well with Faust limited game.
    Last edited by Raffie; 28-02-21, 17:19.

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  • Raffie
    replied
    27/02/2021 17:30 CET
    MKS Dabrowa Gornicza - Stal Ostrow over 167
    1.92 (Pinnacle)
    5/10


    Since Dabrowa goes his series of home matches (10 a row), it is with this line 7-3 (including 166 with Zastal). Ostrow recently with line 2-3, but played with the very under teams in points Radom and Lublin, where the points are not going at all.

    Both teams now have very broad lineups and can play at high intensity and high pace for 40 minutes and I think this is what the game will look like - fast pace, lots of shoots.
    Last edited by Raffie; 27-02-21, 19:32.

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  • Raffie
    replied
    06/02/2021 15:30 CET
    King Szczecin (-9) - Start Lublin
    1.87 (Pinnacle)
    5/10


    King with Maciej Lampe. This gives King a with his huge rotation. They have been looking great recently and looking at the last meetings of both teams, when they repeat their form, they should end tomorrow with a double-digit result for King.

    Start recently got a lost with stronger opponents a double-digit result (Slask, Ostrow), and he beat down two most bad teams in league Radom and Polpharma, but also not in any good style and high.


    06/02/2021 17:30 CET
    Stal Ostrow (-4.5) - Legia Warszawa
    1.84 (Pinnacle)
    5/10


    Legia recently won 4 games in a row, but it was all down to the bottom of the table - Anwil, Radom. Polpharma, and game with Spojnia where then played in 7, where they practically did not have a squad. Therefore, for me, the bookies/odds was dormant and should be much lower, because at that time Ostrow was competing in the FIBA Europe Cup and teams fighting for a medal (Szczecin, Wroclaw).

    I think that tomorrow Stal wake up after 2 defeats in PLK and he will be quite confident with Legia, which has already done its result above the limit.


    Last edited by Raffie; 27-02-21, 14:48.

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  • Raffie
    replied
    06/02/2021 17:30 CET
    Astoria Bydgoszcz - Anwil Wloclawek under 172
    1.91 (Pinnacle)
    5/10


    Astoria without Dambrauskas (28 MPG, 12.4 PPG, 48.7% FG, 3.5 APG). Anwil without Almeida, Zamojski and Lichodiej. So Anwil with a 7-person rotation, including 3 centers - Sulima, Jones and Radi**263;. PG-PF with Mielczarek (1984), Jerrells (1987), Clarke (1989) and Dykes (1987) + 2 youngs Pluta and Tomaszewski, who do not contribute much in attack and gives more fight and defense. This is not a running squad and they should take a slow pace, and Astoria also doesn't have a squad wide enough to play fast pace the entire game.

    The composition of Anwil also offers great defensive possibilities, because Dykes and Jones are able to defend, and they were not there with Anwil's high results scores before. Therefore, it will be difficult for my opinion to beat this line. Recently Anwil had 77:75 with Cukier - I'm counting on a repeat and another under in Anwil game.
    Last edited by Raffie; 07-02-21, 00:06.

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  • Raffie
    replied
    05/02/2021 16:00 CET
    Spojnia Stargard (+13.5) - Zastal Zielona Gora
    1.89 (Pinnacle)
    5/10


    Zastal with a marathon of matches. Monday - CSKA, Wednesday - Radom, today - Spojnia, Sunday - Nizhny. In my opinion, it is impossible to constantly play with something like this at 100%, and in addition, concentration and fatigue should affect Zastal. Without Ponitka (sign with Parma Perm), they have 8 to play.

    Spojnia has long been neglected by the bookies, but they built their squad again and now they have 8 to play + Matczak is expected to return to the game today (28 MPG, 12.1 PPG, 47% FG, 3.8 APG), which will give a 9-person rotation and they can fight with Zastal.

    I think it should be a different match than the one against Radom, which has the worst attack in the league for me at the moment, and it is enough to focus on Hinds who is still dribbling there. There are many more options here, and the Spojnia attack is much more diverse and powerful.
    Last edited by Raffie; 06-02-21, 13:37.

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  • Raffie
    replied
    02/02/2021 17:30 CET
    Anwil Wloclawek - Polski Cukier Torun under 173
    1.90 (Pinnacle)
    5/10


    Anwil today without Lichodiej and Zamojski. They have 8 to play + youngs Tomaszewski and Pluta. Of these 8 players, 7 are over 30 and the youngest Shawn Jones is 29. It's not a running squad, and in my opinion it has a good chance of improving defense with Jones and Dykes. I think they will play similar to the last matches in the FIBA Europe Cup - a big fight and not a great pace.

    Polski Cukier I wrote before some time ago once that sheds much less points on trips than at home. There is a new player, Marko Ramljak, who has a terrible three-point throw throughout his career, so he will break the attack, but should improve defense.
    Last edited by Raffie; 02-02-21, 22:53.

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  • Raffie
    replied
    01/02/2021 17:30 CET
    King Szczecin - Stal Ostrow over 163
    1.86 (Pinnacle)
    5/10


    179 (Ziona), 168 (Sporting), 170 (Szolnoki), 183 (GTK), 168 (Trefl) - these are the last 5 matches of Stal Ostrow on points. After the coach and roster change, there is now a wide roster that can play fast and offensive because there is a lot of rotation and many great offensive weapons.

    King's last 3 home games: 185 with Spojnia, 132 with Arka and 175 with Polpharma, so 2-1 on this line in the last 3 home games. At that time, Arka was still playing with the players after injuries, and Vragovic barely joined the team. Today I expect an offensive match with a fast pace and I think this line should be beat.
    Last edited by Raffie; 02-02-21, 11:54.

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