PLK/Poland 2020/21

[Raffie]

04/01/2021 17:30 CET
Polski Cukier Torun - HydroTruck Radom over 171
1.89 (Pinnacle)
5/10

9-1 Polski Cukier on this line at home and draws practically everyone into it. The only exception was the match against GTK Gliwice, which presented themselves terribly. Radom with Hinds and Stumbris should be better offensively, and the model for me is the recent away match with Polpharma, which ended with the score 93:85 and shows that Radom can play offensive battles.

[Raffie]

06/01/2021 17:30 CET
Trefl Sopot - Anwil Wloclawek over 165.5
1.87 (Pinnacle)
5/10

Trefl recently with two high results - 71:100 with Arka and 92:117 with Polpharma on the away. Now the match against Anwil, who will play without McKenzie Moore, who stopped many time Anwil's attack by towing the ball and missing shoots, which gave the opponent's defenses some play, because they did not have to cover him from distance. Additionally, Moore was give something in defense. Now the set of Clarke - Zamojski - Almeida - Lichodiej - Radic is ultra-offensive and should allow for many points in defense, and they should also throw a lot themselves. Trefl is now a club with a high rotation can also play at a fast pace for a change.

[Raffie]

07/01/2021 17:30 CET
Spojnia Stargard - Legia Warszawa (-3)
1.89 (Pinnacle)
5/10

Today Spojnia is playing heavily in the bookie by bettors and the handicap and the odds for Legia to win went up a lot, so you have to rebound the other way. Spojnia after a series of good matches recently presented terrible in last game and was knocked out by King. The short rotation has made itself felt + Dyson, who is out of shape and will either take time to play or he will be out because he has a tryout and Spojnia may still be able to out contract Dyson. Legia recently played a match against Zastal, where they lost only after two overtime, and the last trip was a win with Polski Cukier. A month ago they also played a trip against King, who played in the hall in Stargard, and won 70:60 with King. With their good defense, they should make defense into offense and I think that they are able to win in double digits with the smashed Spojnia.

For me, Legia is a definite favorite and I would put the odds on 1.15-1.20.

[Raffie]

12/01/2021 19:30 CET
Astoria Bydgoszcz - Legia Warszawa
2.27 (Pinnacle)
5/10

50-50% game for me. In the last 30 days, Legia playing away matches with Radom (defeat) and Spojnia with many injuries, where Legia led to a nervous ending - this shows for me that Legia can now lose to anyone. After Justin Bibbins and Sokolowski leave a team is no longer a top team in league but still the balance sheet remains.

Astoria in his own hall has a balance of 4-4 and is dangerous for everyone. Recently, Sanders has finally woken up, who had a long period of terrible games, which translated into Astoria's results, because he is their leader and the most important figure. Full healthy is Dambrauskas and now the trio Sanders-Chylinski-Dambrauskas circuit looks promising + add role-player and on a good day Astoria can deal with Legia. After such a course, it's worth trying for me.

[Raffie]

17/01/2021 19:30 CET
King Szczecin (-14) - Arka Gdynia
1.86 (Pinnacle)
5/10

King in a strong start in 2021. Since the arrival of a new coach, by acquiring new players, they expanded their rotations + changed tactics. They destroy Spojnia 105: 80 and beat Anwil in W**322;oc**322;awek 75:78 (although they were even leading for a moment +20). They have been doing great defensive pressing on fullcourt which can be especially useful today with Arka, which has young playmakers who should have huge problems with such pressing.

Arka recently on trips: -6 with GTK, -15 with Lublin, -33 with Ostrow, -35 with Polpharma. All in all, only in the match against GTK they managed, where Woloszyn 28 points (10/16 in the game), 41-year-old Dylewicz (6/10 in the game), 37-year-old Hrycaniuk (16 points + 12 rebounds) and Kolodziej played great - 10 minutes he made 10 points on 3/5 of the game + 2/2 free. Virtually all the best players played their best, and lost -6. King has a wide squad and will be driving his 40 minutes because there are no juniors there. If there is not another great match of the mentioned Arka players, the handicap should come in, and overall it should be +20 and more for King.

[Raffie]

18/01/2021 17:30 CET
MKS Dabrowa Gornicza - PGE Spojnia Stargard over 169.5
1.86 (Pinnacle)
5/10

The most important thing for me in this bet - Spojnia is 7-0 in away games with this line since November after the coaching reshuffle. Dabrowa's tactic to score more points than the opponent is another great game to a beat line 170 points in the match. MKS is at home on this line 4-4, but now they have a wide squad (there are many times have out from injures player in this season), and the coach has tactics and the idea to play fast, offensively and to score more points than the opponent.

In Spojnia, Kacper Mlynarski will return to the game, who will add rotation and should allow for a better offensive game and faster, because they played with Legia without him in 7. Jerome Dyson also had some time and should look better doing something positive in the attack and nothing good in defense.

[Payou]

VERY GOOD WORK

[Raffie]

Payou - thank you!

22/01/2021 17:30 CET
Spojnia Stargard - Polski Cukier Torun over 171
1.87 (Pinnacle)
5/10

Francis Han and Jay Threatt (new players Spojnia) will make their debut in the match, which should give Spojnia 40 minutes of running and faster pace, because they both came prepared and look good. This will throw Cowels (true SG) away from playmaking, which was not good against Dabrowa.

Both teams also have one thing in common - they don't defend anything. The first meeting of both teams ended with a score of 108:95 - mega pace and no defense. Looking at the Spojnia game in Dabrowa, it is known that they will not change anything in such a short time and the defense should still be weak. That's why I expect shooting here and a high score with a fast pace.

22/01/2021 19:30 CET
Trefl Sopot - HydroTruck Radom over 160.5
1.84 (Pinnacle)
5/10

Trefl in the new year - 96:83 (179) with Anwil, 71:100 (171) in Gdynia, 92:117 (225) with Polpharma, 95:73 (168) in Ostrow. Line done 4-0 and very far from the indicated line. It's a shame they've had a hiatus due to the coronavirus now, but since Nuni Omot came in, they've been playing faster and the scores are high.

Radom this year 2-1 on this line, and Dayon Griffin has finally woken up, which is needed because it broadens the rotation and gives strength in attack, and with a larger rotation they can play faster. Jabarie Hinds recently got in excellent form and if they play at least 80% of what they do with last game with Astoria, the over 160,5 in points should come.

[Raffie]

24/01/2021 17:30 CET
Slask Wroclaw (-6) - Start Lublin
1.86 (Pinnacle)
5/10

Slask is great in its own hall. It has a balance of 8-1, and the only loss is at the beginning of the season with Zastal Zielona Gora, when, in my opinion, Slask was weaker, and now, after adding new players, this team has become strong, which was evident during the last demolition of Anwil Wloclawek. New center Slask - Ben McCauley was very powerful in attack from the start and he didn't need any time to recover.

Start with a balance of 5 wins and 4 losses on trips, but including 4 wins on the 4 weakest PLK teams - Arka, Polpharma, Anwil and HydroTruck. They have not won the away game with any of the top PLK team. Recently, they played quite clunky matches and in my opinion, if both teams keep their last matches, Slask should cover the handicap.

[Raffie]

01/02/2021 17:30 CET
King Szczecin - Stal Ostrow over 163
1.86 (Pinnacle)
5/10

179 (Ziona), 168 (Sporting), 170 (Szolnoki), 183 (GTK), 168 (Trefl) - these are the last 5 matches of Stal Ostrow on points. After the coach and roster change, there is now a wide roster that can play fast and offensive because there is a lot of rotation and many great offensive weapons.

King's last 3 home games: 185 with Spojnia, 132 with Arka and 175 with Polpharma, so 2-1 on this line in the last 3 home games. At that time, Arka was still playing with the players after injuries, and Vragovic barely joined the team. Today I expect an offensive match with a fast pace and I think this line should be beat.

[Raffie]

02/02/2021 17:30 CET
Anwil Wloclawek - Polski Cukier Torun under 173
1.90 (Pinnacle)
5/10

Anwil today without Lichodiej and Zamojski. They have 8 to play + youngs Tomaszewski and Pluta. Of these 8 players, 7 are over 30 and the youngest Shawn Jones is 29. It's not a running squad, and in my opinion it has a good chance of improving defense with Jones and Dykes. I think they will play similar to the last matches in the FIBA Europe Cup - a big fight and not a great pace.

Polski Cukier I wrote before some time ago once that sheds much less points on trips than at home. There is a new player, Marko Ramljak, who has a terrible three-point throw throughout his career, so he will break the attack, but should improve defense.

[Raffie]

05/02/2021 16:00 CET
Spojnia Stargard (+13.5) - Zastal Zielona Gora
1.89 (Pinnacle)
5/10

Zastal with a marathon of matches. Monday - CSKA, Wednesday - Radom, today - Spojnia, Sunday - Nizhny. In my opinion, it is impossible to constantly play with something like this at 100%, and in addition, concentration and fatigue should affect Zastal. Without Ponitka (sign with Parma Perm), they have 8 to play.

Spojnia has long been neglected by the bookies, but they built their squad again and now they have 8 to play + Matczak is expected to return to the game today (28 MPG, 12.1 PPG, 47% FG, 3.8 APG), which will give a 9-person rotation and they can fight with Zastal.

I think it should be a different match than the one against Radom, which has the worst attack in the league for me at the moment, and it is enough to focus on Hinds who is still dribbling there. There are many more options here, and the Spojnia attack is much more diverse and powerful.

[Raffie]

06/02/2021 17:30 CET
Astoria Bydgoszcz - Anwil Wloclawek under 172
1.91 (Pinnacle)
5/10

Astoria without Dambrauskas (28 MPG, 12.4 PPG, 48.7% FG, 3.5 APG). Anwil without Almeida, Zamojski and Lichodiej. So Anwil with a 7-person rotation, including 3 centers - Sulima, Jones and Radi**263;. PG-PF with Mielczarek (1984), Jerrells (1987), Clarke (1989) and Dykes (1987) + 2 youngs Pluta and Tomaszewski, who do not contribute much in attack and gives more fight and defense. This is not a running squad and they should take a slow pace, and Astoria also doesn't have a squad wide enough to play fast pace the entire game.

The composition of Anwil also offers great defensive possibilities, because Dykes and Jones are able to defend, and they were not there with Anwil's high results scores before. Therefore, it will be difficult for my opinion to beat this line. Recently Anwil had 77:75 with Cukier - I'm counting on a repeat and another under in Anwil game.

[Raffie]

06/02/2021 15:30 CET
King Szczecin (-9) - Start Lublin
1.87 (Pinnacle)
5/10

King with Maciej Lampe. This gives King a with his huge rotation. They have been looking great recently and looking at the last meetings of both teams, when they repeat their form, they should end tomorrow with a double-digit result for King.

Start recently got a lost with stronger opponents a double-digit result (Slask, Ostrow), and he beat down two most bad teams in league Radom and Polpharma, but also not in any good style and high.


06/02/2021 17:30 CET
Stal Ostrow (-4.5) - Legia Warszawa
1.84 (Pinnacle)
5/10

Legia recently won 4 games in a row, but it was all down to the bottom of the table - Anwil, Radom. Polpharma, and game with Spojnia where then played in 7, where they practically did not have a squad. Therefore, for me, the bookies/odds was dormant and should be much lower, because at that time Ostrow was competing in the FIBA Europe Cup and teams fighting for a medal (Szczecin, Wroclaw).

I think that tomorrow Stal wake up after 2 defeats in PLK and he will be quite confident with Legia, which has already done its result above the limit.

[Raffie]

27/02/2021 17:30 CET
MKS Dabrowa Gornicza - Stal Ostrow over 167
1.92 (Pinnacle)
5/10

Since Dabrowa goes his series of home matches (10 a row), it is with this line 7-3 (including 166 with Zastal). Ostrow recently with line 2-3, but played with the very under teams in points Radom and Lublin, where the points are not going at all.

Both teams now have very broad lineups and can play at high intensity and high pace for 40 minutes and I think this is what the game will look like - fast pace, lots of shoots.