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Australian Rules - 2021

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    Sydney Swans vs West Coast Eagles

    This match is played in Melbourne, neutral venue. The Eagles are from Perth and they are coming off a big loss at home. However, they are welcoming a whole heap of players back in, so they should be able to bounce back.

    Bet: West Coast Eagles @2.02


      Port Adelaide vs Melbourne Demons

      Two top four teams with two of the best defences in the league.
      Both teams have had unders in their respective last 3 matches.

      A home crowd, 100% capacity allowed, and the Demons not looking at their best in their last few games, means a chance for Port to cement themselves in the top four towards the business end of the season.

      Bet 1: Total Points Under 146.5 @1.88
      Bet 2: Port -3.5 @1.80
      Last edited by Quill; 08-07-21, 11:19.


        Essendon vs Adelaide

        These are two of the most entertaining teams to watch.

        The average in Essendon's matches this year average has been 177.
        Adelaide matches points average has been 170.
        Marvel Stadium average this year has been 172.

        Bet: Total Points Over 165.5 @1.88


          West Coast Eagles vs North Melbourne Kangaroos

          The Kangaroos have been improving every week. They are rock bottom, but their results in the last few weeks have shown improvement. They lost by 20 points away to mid-table and play-off contender St Kilda, they drew with another play-off contender, Great Western Sydney, they lost by 23 points to title contenders Brisbane Lions, they beat a bottom half team and they lost to the top team in the league, Western Bulldogs, by 29 points.
          They normally used to get beaten by bigger margins than that, 30-40-50 or more points, and tonight's handicap is set at 29.5.

          The Eagles need a response after two very bad results, which endanger their play-off hopes. They are now sitting just at the edge of the play-off zone. Their last two results were two defeats, 43-98 at home to the Bulldogs and then they were demolished 118-26 in an away game to Sydney Swans.
          They have to get a response at home in front of a full capacity crowd, and re-establish their position in the play-off zone.

          However, the weather is going to be rainy, but the pitch has very good drainage, so that the grass is maintained dry, only the ball is wet.
          With the Kangaroos improving over the past few weeks and the weather being bad, I think that they can stay within the handicap.

          West Coast's games are in general high scoring, their last 16 matches have gone over the total match points line tonight.

          Instead of taking North Melbourne at the line of 29.5, I'll take the extra value and buffer with West Coast winning margin by 1-39.

          Aaron Hall has had 25+ Disposals in the past 9 rounds, except once.

          Bet 1: West Coast Winning Margin 1-39 @2.00
          Bet 2: Total Points Over 139.5 @1.91
          Bet 3: Same Game Multi - Aaron Hall 25 or more Disposals + West Coast win @1.90


            Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats

            Fremantle are bracing for a physical contest against Geelong, with the Cats naming an experienced line-up.

            The Dockers sit 7th having won three of their past four matches, but have beaten just two teams outside of the bottom five this season.

            The Cats are 3rd and would move equal first on the ladder with a win tonight, and get closer towards another top four finish.
            They have one of the best defences in the league and I expect them to restrict the Dockers scoring opportunities tonight, especially in wet weather conditions in Perth today.

            I'm expecting expecting a low-scoring slog here, with Geelong winners.

            Tom Hawkins (Geelong) didn't score a goal last week for the first time this season, so he should score one now.
            Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) has had 25+ Disposals for the past 11 rounds.

            Bet 1: Same Game Multi - Andrew Brayshaw To Get 25 or More Disposals + Tom Hawkins To Score 2 or More Goals @2.25
            Bet 2: Geelong win @1.80
            Bet 3: Team Total Points - Fremantle Under 69.5 @1.89
            Bet 4: Total Points Under 143.5 @1.91


              Richmond Tigers vs Brisbane Lions

              Brisbane are looking to bounce back, they've been very good this year. They lost last week and their coach said they're gonna respond, and one would expect that they will, considering the calibre team that they are.
              They were off their game last week and the way they played was not what was expected of them, and they will tidy up all those aspects that went wrong for this match.

              Richmond are undermanned, lots of injuries and they can hardly keep up. They lost their last four games after entering all four as favourite, with their last three defeats coming at the hands of teams outside the top eight.
              The Tigers have been dominant at home for a long time, but not this year. From their eight games at this stadium, they**8217;ve covered the line just once.

              The Lions are missing Eric Hipwood through injury, but with the likes of Daniher, Cameron, McCarthy, Bailey and McStay up front there**8217;s no doubt they will continue to kick big scores. They**8217;re currently ranked second in the competition for points scored.

              Brisbane has won and covered in their last two wins over the Tigers, including in Round 10 when they won by 28 points in a high-scoring affair. This Richmond outfit has dropped a lot and since Round 7 they**8217;re ranked 16th in the competition for points against.
              Expect Brisbane to pile more pain on Richmond and kick a big score.

              Bet 1: Brisbane -13.5 @1.72
              Bet 2: Brisbane Over 83.5 points @1.95
              Bet 3: Total Points Over 149.5 @1.91


                St Kilda vs Carlton

                These two teams are sitting next to each other in the table. St Kilda are 2 points outside the play-off zone (4 points for a win and 2 pts for a draw), while Carlton are 4 points behind St Kilda.
                Marshall return to St Kilda's line-up. With Marshall playing in 2021 the Saints are 6-3, but without Marshall, they**8217;re a dismal 2-7, which shows how important is this player for them.

                St Kilda lost the last two, but they were against top 8 opposition.
                Carlton on the other hand is coming off a loss to the bottom team. They are not playing too well at the moment.

                Bet: St Kilda winning margin 1-39 @2.10


                  Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows

                  The Bulldogs are sitting at the top of the ladder and are the highest scoring team this season.
                  The Crows are in the basement and have one of the leakiest defences in the league.
                  This is a very disproportionate encounter.

                  Bet 1: Bulldogs Team Total Over 96.5 points @1.91
                  Bet 2: Bulldogs -37.5 @1.80


                    Collingwood vs West Coast Eagles

                    West Coast have everything to play for now, as they are coming into this match from two consecutive wins to arrest their slump in form.
                    The teams they beat are of similar calibre to Collingwood.
                    The match is played in an empty stadium.
                    Collingwood are rebuilding their team, fielding players debuting in the last few weeks and experimenting to find out if they can play in different positions.

                    Collingwood has lost their last seven games at this stadium (MCG).
                    Each of the last five matches at the MCG have gone over the total match points line.

                    Bet 1: West Coast @1.72
                    Bet 2: Team Total West Coast Over 74.5 points @1.89


                      Geelong vs Greater Western Sydney

                      Geelong are on a long winning run and they are at the top of the ladder.
                      GWS are just outside top 8 for the play-offs and although the difference between these two teams is big, GWS have not been losing matches by big margins. At the same time, Geelong hasn't been winning by big margins either.

                      Bet: GWS +40.5 @1.80


                        Good conditions on the ground and with Geelong playing at home, I expect points.
                        Bet 2: Over 146.5 @1.91


                          Richmond vs North Melbourne

                          Although rooted to the bottom of the table, North Melbourne have been playing well enough to stay within the handicap for 12 of their last 13 games, even winning a few against fancier opposition.
                          Richmond are the defending champions, but they are in free fall. They are out of form and keep losing.

                          Bet: North Melbourne +15.5 @1.91


                            Adelaide vs Port Adelaide

                            Port have been beating Adelaide by big margins for a few years now, and nothing suggests that this will change now.
                            Adelaide are struggling in the basement, while Port are in for the title.

                            Bet: Port -37.5 @1.91


                              St Kilda vs Sydney Swans

                              St Kilda is trying to get into the play-offs, but they lost their last three. In the first h2h this year, the Swans won a tight match (92-83) at home.
                              Sydney's Lance Franklin is getting closer to 1000 career goals, and his team plays to support him with this. They have had some high scoring games and Franklins should score here as well.
                              Although St Kilda lost matches, they haven't been demolished, they've been staying close.

                              Bet 1: Sydney win 1-39 @2.10
                              Bet 2: Over 165.5 points @1.91


                                Australian Rules

                                West Coast Eagles vs Melbourne Demons

                                The Eagles are the 2018 champions and their team hasn't changed much.
                                However this season they have been on and off, alternating the wins with unbelievable big defeats. They are now coming off another big defeat at the hands of a basement team.
                                They are still in top 8, play-offs, while Melbourne are a top 4 team, and with a win today they can go straight to the top.
                                All the talk around the Eagles this week has been about bouncing back, especially playing at home. The coach spoke about what they did during this week to address the shortcomings from the last game and made four changes to the team, sending a message that the players should respond and play for their contracts.
                                It is going to be wet weather in Perth and the last time a game was played in the rain the Eagles lost 60-70 to a bottom team. That was also the lowest score recorded at their stadium in a very long time (years). However, North Melbourne Kangaroos, the winners on the day, have a poor attack, so the total today looks attractive at 134.5, dropped a lot by the bookies because of the wet weather, considering that both the Eagles and Melbourne Demons have very good attack lines.

                                Bet 1: West Coast Eagles +16.5 @1.80
                                Bet 2: Over 134.5 points @1.91


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