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POD Sunday 24/10/21

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    POD Sunday 24/10/21

    *RULES*
    Odds must be between 1.75 and 2.25 and only odds taken from these 3 bookmakers are allowed:

    Bet365
    Pinnacle
    SBOBet

    You can only take these bet types:

    -Asian handicap bets
    -Over/Under bets (Game total)
    -BTTS bets!


    *To be able to win the competition POD, you need to post 10 picks per month in 2020/21*
    For other details check the thread POD 2020 - RULES!

    Prices for POD:
    1st place - 110 EUR
    2nd place - 60 EUR
    3rd place - 30 EUR

    You can check odds for your picks here:
    http://www.oddsportal.com/

    #2
    #4
    1 won 2 lost
    -90

    Man. Utd-Liverpool

    Pick: Under 2.75
    Odds: 2.20
    Bookmaker: bet365


    Liverpool's defense is very strong these days. They are hard to score against and United does not strike me as a team capable enough of endangering Liverpool's current defense. Many teams that are in better form were not able to create many chances against Liverpool so I don't think that a team that lost so many of their recent league games will have much success against Klopp's defense.
    Man. Utd, on the other hand, will not rush things and make themselves vurneable to Liverpool's amazing counters. Utd should treat this game very carefully without rushing forward and playing careless or reckless. My bet is less than 2.75 goals. We put half of our stake on under 2.5 and half on under 3.0 so in case of max three goals its only a half loss. I'm taking this bet because I'm expecting less than three goals. With a defensive Man. Utd and tough Liverpool's defense, this clash should not go over 2.5 goals.
    0-5 pick lost

    Comment


      #3
      Pick 3
      1-1 -7
      Manchester Utd - Liverpool
      Manchester Utd 0 AH @ 2.20 Bet365

      I'm not a fan of Liverpool's midfield trio Milner-Fabinho-Henderson. They are good for some defensive duties like stopping the fast attacks of their opponents but they are not the best creators and creative midfielders. United mugs have equally enough rough midfielders in Fred, McTominay or Matic, but the big difference is Pogba who is world class in being creative and assisting his forwards with long or through passes. United are stacked too and they could win this at home, gl all.
      0-5 pick lost
      The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
      And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

      Comment


        #4
        pick 4 2-0-1

        Romania Liga 1

        Academica Clinceni vs UTA Arad


        pick over 2,25 goals


        odds 2,25 with Pinnacle


        This is a game between two teams that fight in different directions. UTA started well this year and they will fight until the end to rich the play off and Clinceni which had a terrible start and fight hard to avoid the relegation. I don"t know if UTA will make it into the playoff but I am pretty sure that Clinceni will be the first team to relegate this year. They already changed the trainer, which was the greatest mistake in my opinion, but nothing has changed on the contrary the things are worse there. The new trainer talks a lot about tactics and about how he will save the team but I think he will finish being fired in the next 2 or 3 rounds. Of course, he will try to win this game and his players will attack from the start but that will create a lot of spaces for UTA and I think they will use it. If you look at the table both teams are not very strong in offense, that we have these great odds on over, but I expect a very open game mainly because Clinceni desperately wants to win and to manage the first victory of the season though I don"t think they will succeed.
        Postponed, pick cancelled

        Comment


          #5
          Pick 3 1W/1L +8
          ATP Buenos Aires
          Monteiro - Baez
          Pick: Monteiro with AH+1.5 games
          Odds: 2.2
          Pinnacle

          Final in Buenos Aires. Two players for which clay surface is the best option. Baez is favourite regardless of bookmakers but I think it should be really balanced match. Monteiro is much more experienced player and for me he has solid chances to win that tourney. Baez except first round didn't have problems in this competition but I think today it will be hard obstacle for him. 3 sets are possible and then number of games should be really equal.
          0-2 pick lost

          Comment


            #6
            Pick #3 (1W-0V-1L) (+-0)

            League: USL Championship
            Match: Birmingham Legion FC - Sporting Kansas City II
            Pick: Over 3.25
            Odds: 2.12
            Bookmaker: Pinnacle


            Penultimate match of the regular season, host have clinched playoffs while guests are not last but 2nd from the bottom. Legion FC have point and game less than 2nd Louisville City and are absolute favorites in tonight's match. In very good form, not lost in last 8 (won 5), at home 9-2-3 score with nice wins lately two times by 3-1, and also two times 2-1. Prolific striker N. Brett is 5th on a scoreboard with 17 goals and will look for more in this match. Guests don't have any playoffs hopes of course but will try to play a good game and finish this season in a bit positive way. Five lost games in last six, five straight losses away with a 16 goals let against them in that negative streak, 7 scored. They cannot fix leaking defense but can fight and score some amount of goals. I expect clear home win with a nice training for hosts attackers. 4-1
            6-0 pick won

            Comment


              #7
              Pick 6 (3w 2 void but teams won but by one goal ,in last game Rakow conceded on 3:2 from 3:1 in 94th min :/

              Piast- Legia
              Legia -0.25 AH 2.04 Sbobet

              +1:1 CS in real life (small additional bet)
              I have to risk a bit (and fight for a victory in montlly comp) as my two bets despite victores were void inc. very unlucky last one.
              Odds on Legia are great and very seldom happens. Legia are still the def. champions, played really well in Europe, even vs Napoli game was not bad, yes Napoli won 3:0, they were def. much better team but Legia had post when 0:0 in 2nd half and less than 60 sec when 0:1 (before a goal on 0:2) they created another nice chance to score on 1:1.
              Main main concern here is 8 games w/o a draw in Gliwice. Piast have transitional season, they are not as good as last season. Selling great Swierczok, another goal in Japan after very nice ind. effort is not lone reason. Piast just play worse football now and their defence is not stable.
              Yes they won 1:0 with Wisla (strong roster but strongly underpeforming) but Wisla should have won that game and in worse case draw but innacuracy + big mistake of gk Kieszek (later on the bench)resulted lack of even 1 point
              Legia have very strong roster and stong bench but 6 defeats in 9 games and it should be enough for a while.
              Polish Ekstraklasa is really strongly improving and have now 6 teams ready to play in Europe (and Legia lost with Slask, Rakow, Amica(Lech), Lechia i.e. teams from top 6+ rev. of the season Radomiak that lost 0 games from first 7 vs top and top 5 this and last season.
              6th defeat was in a classic vs Wisla in Krakow (for Wisla this is 2nd mos important game)
              Legia won 4 from last 5 games in Gliwice and may win again
              4-1 pick lost

              Comment


                #8
                POD #4 (2-1-0) +192
                Netherlands, Football
                Groningen - AZ Alkmaar (pick: Under 2.5 @ 1.91 Pinnacle)

                Betting on unders in Netherlands is not the best choice, however, Groningen's last season showed one of the best home defences in the league. With only 13 goals conceded at home it will be hard even for AZ Alkmaar to put pressure on the home defence. To add more arguments for under, Groningen's home scoring suffers because of their defending. We really shouldn't see more than two goals today and I don't see AZ winning so easily as some might think.
                2-0 pick won

                Comment


                  #9
                  pick 3 [2W +229]
                  Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Chicago Bears
                  bet: under 48
                  odds: 1.79 Pinnacle


                  Defence is something Tampa Bay has to work on. They are good everywhere else but defending is an issue. Chicago Bears is not the kind of team to make you play ultra offensive. When you add a lot of injuries to that we should then predict a game with less than 48 points. 48 at most to be honest, it's hard to see Tampa going all out for no reason. Gaining confidence in defence will be their priority against this type of opponent. Almost every team so far had attacking success against Tampa's defence. The coaching staff will look to fix that.
                  38-3 pick won

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Pick #5
                    2W 2L +32
                    American Football, NFL
                    LA Rams - Detroit Lions
                    Pick: over 52.5 points
                    Odds: 2.20
                    Bookie: Pinnacle

                    To be honest I see this line too low. This match is really interesting as before the season both teams changed their quaterbacks. Goff went to Detroit Lions and so far they remain winless. Their main problem is weakest run defence in NFL and problems in scoring points.

                    Rams are rignt now are with 5 wins 1 loss and looking to get straight to playoffs. Stafford is working really well with Woods and Kupp. Henderson and Michel should have many occasions to score today against weak run Lions defence.

                    Also I expect Lions to add something to the outcome. Goff will be heavilly motivated to score while Lions have some solid weapons like Hockenson, Swift or corpse of young WRs.

                    In sum I see 52.5 points line too low and I expext both teams to pass it.
                    19-28 pick lost

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Pick 3
                      2-0, +216
                      Liga de Expansion MX Ascenso

                      Atl. Morelia - Tepatitlan de Morelos
                      Over 2.25
                      Odds 1.95 at Sbobet

                      Powerful home team such as Atl. Morelia should not find it hard to beat de Morelos. And although recent stats suggest that Morelia are winning with clean sheets as hosts, that wasn't the case earlier in the season.

                      They conceded a goal or more in their first 4 home games of the season. De Morelos will have to look for goals here if they're to avoid yet another away defeat.

                      There is no chance that they are keeping a clean sheet against Morelia.

                      My call is 3:1 won for the home side.
                      2-2 pick won

                      Comment


                        #12
                        4th pick (-200)
                        US MLS
                        Orlando v New England
                        Pick:Orlando win 2.12
                        Pinnacle


                        Four rounds left and with Seattle defeat yesterday New England managed to already clinch Supporters' shield and home field advantage throughout the playoffs. They are having an amazing season, one of the best ever, but this is their third game in a week and another travel, so I expected them to rest all their key players tonight for most of the game. On the other side, Orlando is still fighting for playoffs, they are only 3 points above the playoff line and need to win points at home. They are one of the best home teams in the league, they have in form national team striker Dike leading the line and I expect motivational edge to play a big part tonight.
                        2-2 pick lost
                        He who controls others may be powerful, but he who has mastered himself is mightier still.

                        Comment

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