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POD 27/09/2021

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    POD 27/09/2021

    *RULES*
    Odds must be between 1.75 and 2.25 and only odds taken from these 3 bookmakers are allowed:

    Bet365
    Pinnacle
    SBOBet

    You can only take these bet types:

    -Asian handicap bets
    -Over/Under bets (Game total)
    -BTTS bets!


    *To be able to win the competition POD, you need to post 10 picks per month in 2020/21*
    For other details check the thread POD 2020 - RULES!

    Prices for POD:
    1st place - 110 EUR
    2nd place - 60 EUR
    3rd place - 30 EUR

    You can check odds for your picks here:
    http://www.oddsportal.com/

    #2
    7 5-0-1 +410
    Aarhus - Sonderjyske
    over 2.5 @2.02 pinnacle


    Sonderjyske are coming off a 7-goal game which was in cup, they won 3:4. Few weeks back they also scored 5 goals in yet another cup game. Aarhus are conceding more goals than usually and this is not expected from them. It is clear that they have problems with defense so conceding to Sonderjyske is a big possibility considering that the guests have been involved in some crazy scores as of late. Sonderjyske did damage in league as well as they won their last one. They also scored against Brondby few weeks back and they were big underdogs.
    1-0 pick lost

    Comment


      #3
      #8 4-1-2 +193
      Poland Soccer - Ekstraklasa
      Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia

      Pick: Over 2.5
      Odds: 2.25
      Bookie: bet365

      On paper this is not the best idea. But if we look depeer into it and into the more recent form of the current season, the we can see that Piast had good exciting fixtures at home.

      These were the home fixtures of Piast in the new season, there were only 4 of them:

      Piast vs Zaglebie 0-1
      Piast vs Slask 1-1
      Piast vs Plock 4-3
      Piast vs Rakow 2-3

      3 of their 4 home fixtures had both teams scoring and in two overs there were 5 and 7 goals. Historically speaking, Cracovia scored in 3 of their last 5 visits here.

      Plast scored in every home fixture so far except the Zaglebie 0-1 loss one. Even there they deserved more with 15 shots total. The match should have more goals. It had a lot of shots, corners and good opportunities. Cracovia needs points because of the relegation danger. There's no more relegation group in Poland... so direct relegation for bottom places into Division 1 will be the final fate.
      2-4 pick won

      Comment


        #4
        Pick 7
        3 won 1 void 2 lost +164
        Celje - Tabor Sezana

        Pick: Over 2.75
        Odds: 2.20 (Bet365)

        Expecting a lot of goals in this one. Celje both scored and conceded 24 goals in their home games. They were easily one of the best clubs for overs and goals in the previous season, especially when they were the hosts. Tabor averaged more than a goal per away game but they also conceded 25 away goals which makes them ideal for over pursuits. Not much has changed in the new season and over the summer. The teams still look very similar and I expect somewhere around three to four goals. If you want better odds in case of only three goals scored then go for 2.5 which is 2.00. With three goals this pick only gives you +60 but with four goals it's a full win. I'm confident in 3+ but 3 is the minimum I expect this evening.
        2-2 pick won

        Comment


          #5
          #6 2-3 -121

          MLB Baseball

          CWS @ Detroit
          Pick: Detroit @2.25 Bet365



          Two starting pitchers here with not very impressive records. Namely Keuchel starting for Chicago has an 8-9 record with 5.18 ERA, 1.5 WHIP in 5.1 innings played ave.

          Manning on the other hand shows a 4-6 record with 5.73 ERA, 1.52 WHIP usually playing over 4 innings.

          The White socks have recently been playing black and white with a 5-5 record and Detroit has a 6-4 recent record.

          The sides played their last two mutuasl on Sep 20 and 21 when Detroit managed two wins.

          6/10
          8-7 pick lost
          GL

          Comment


            #6
            Pick #7 (6W-0V-0L) (+485)

            League: Premier league 2
            Match: Norwich U23 - West Brom U23
            Pick: Over 3,5
            Odds: 2.03
            Bookmaker: Pinnacle


            Meeting between 2nd and 8th but it's just a point difference that separates them. These two are very potent teams where hosts have almost average of 3 goals scored per game, guests exactly 2. The focus is clearly on offensive play as they are not having clean sheets when these two are playing, with very exciting last meetings 3-2, 2-2, 2,-4, 2-6, 0-4.. WBA U23 has all wins at home but has all defeats away and clearly they are stronger at home but i wouldn't write them off. Norwich has power in Abu Kamara, 18 yo, 6 goals scored and is on the right track in development. They are playing thrillers for whole month and i expect them not to change the course, that is they DNA, two 3-3, 4-2, 3-4 are recent results. WBA can play under games at home but away they provide a nice matches with good amount of goals and i believe that this will be one with plenty of goals too. 2-2
            2-5 pick won

            Comment


              #7
              Pick #9
              So far 3/0/5
              -177

              19:00 Denizlispor v Samsunspor, take Over 2,5 goals @2,14 Pinnacle

              Turkey, 1.Lig.

              Denizli are set as @5,00 underdog which I find unrealistic, but OK if there are really so many problems with the team and they are so much poorer than Samsun, I am sure we will at least see goals. You can not win easily if you don`t score 2-3 goals at least.

              Samsun are actually an average team and they have lost both their away games so far this season, 0-1 at Kocaeli and 1-4 at Bursa and they have a good average of goals at 3,2 per game.

              Denizli on the other side have won 2 out of last 3 and they have an average of 2,2 goals, recent results were 0-3, 2-0, 2-0 and 1-2!

              My call here is 3-2!

              GL
              2-3 pick won



              MacotBet follow me on BA http://forum.bettingadvice.com/showt...=39806&page=34

              Comment

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