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POD 08/05/2021

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    POD 08/05/2021

    Thanks to our sponsor Terje Grefstad

    *RULES*
    Odds must be between 1.75 and 2.25 and only odds taken from these 3 bookmakers are allowed:

    Bet365
    Pinnacle
    SBOBet

    You can only take these bet types:

    -Asian handicap bets
    -Over/Under bets (Game total)
    -BTTS bets!


    *To be able to win the competition POD, you need to post 10 picks per month in 2020/21*
    For other details check the thread POD 2020 - RULES!

    Prices for POD:
    1st place - 110 EUR
    2nd place - 60 EUR
    3rd place - 30 EUR

    You can check odds for your picks here:
    http://www.oddsportal.com/

    #2
    Pick #3 (+228) 2W
    England, Premier League
    Manchester City - Chelsea
    Pick: Manchester City -0.75 AH
    Odd: 2.25 - Pinnacle

    Manchester City plays Chelsea in this important match of Premier League. Chelsea is hoping to maintain their top four position in the Premier League seeing that West Ham United is only three points behind them. On the other side Manchester City is doing incredible well in this season as they are leading the Premier League with 80 points from 34 matches and with a win this evening, they'll be able to celebrate the Premier League title. Both these two teams are going to face each other in the Champions League final also three weeks later. Manchester City have won 33 out of their last 36 matches and I expect this to be another win for them as they want to celebrate the Premier League title in the most decent way and as earliest as possible so ill take Manchester City with handicap.
    1-2 pick lost

    Comment


      #3
      Pick no 1

      Liverpool vs Southampton

      Pick: Southampton +1.5
      Odds: 2.07
      SBOBET


      Liverpool are favorites on this match, but the truth is they play poor at Anfield. According to me, Liverpool don't deserve to play in the Champions League. There is a reason for the poor results as the key defenders suffered nasty injuries. All three centre-backs - Virgil van Dijk, Joe Gomez and Joel Matip have missed the majority of the season. Klopp was forced to improvise and tried almost 20 different centre back pairings. Fabinho, Jordan Henderson, Nat Phillips and Rhys Williams, together with new acquisition Ozan Kabak was tried on that positions, but without success. There is just one problem - Virgil van Dijk is irreplaceable, he is the World best defender.

      Southampton are on the 14th place with 37 points and it seems they are safe. The Saints have shown two faces in the current season - excellent in the first part, and poor in 2021. Southampton have lost 11 of the last 15 matches in the Premier League. But they showed teeth against favorites - Southampton played draw against Chelsea and Leicester City. The players are free from the pressure and I expect to cover the handicap on this match, meaning not to lose high.
      2-0 pick lost

      Comment


        #4
        Pick #5/ 4-0-0/ +366

        Australian Rules
        Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Crows

        Port Adelaide are a title contender.
        They lost badly last week away to Brisbane (another title contender), 93-44, and they now have the opportunity to make up for it. Their coach won't allow them to have two flat weeks in a row.
        Port Adelaide smashed the Crows last year by 75 points and 57 points, respectively.
        They have faced four teams from the bottom 10 this season winning all four games by big margins.
        Adelaide Crows is coming into this match after three straight losses to bottom 10 sides.

        Bet: Port Adelaide -26.5 @1.80, bet365
        87-38 pick won

        Comment


          #5
          Pick # 5 2-0-2 +14
          Dortmund vs Leipzig
          pick: Dortmund @ 2.20 bet365

          It is the 32`nd round of the Bundesliga and Dortmund welcomes Leipzig. Dortmund is fifth with 55 points and they are 1 shy of the Champions League place. Leipzig is surely second though they have some theoretical chance to get to first. But that is only wishful thinking. Leipzig lost their chances in the loss to Bayern and the recent loss to Koln away. Their form looks nothing but bad lately and this Dortmund should be too much for them.
          These teams play the DFB cup finale in 5 days' time so that will be a good motivating factor for both. This game, however, is clearly on the home side. Dortmund has won the previous 4 matches, scoring 13 goals. They are running hot and with 4-2-0 against Leipzig, they are the favorite.
          3-2 pick won

          Comment


            #6
            Pick #1


            Europa League
            Carlisle - Walsall
            Pick: BTTS
            Odds: 2.00
            Bookie: BET365


            Walsall is the team with the most draws in the league .... 19 matches have been drawn. A match without any competitive significance ... I expect relaxed football. In the previous tradition, in 5 matches when the Carlisle team was the host, BTTS was even 4 times.
            Today I expect a score of 1-1 or maybe 2-2.

            GL.
            0-0 pick lost

            Comment


              #7
              Pick #5
              3-0-1 +234

              Japan J-League 2
              Mito v Tochigi
              Pick: OVER 2.25
              Odds: 2.25 Pinnacle


              Japanese J-League 2. Mito were the most attractive to watch team in J-League 2 last season: 68:62 goals, 28/42 over 2.5, 3.3 goals on average in their games. This season they have started in same good fashion with 8/12 over 2.5 games, 18:15 goals for an average of 2.8 goals per game. Again they are scoring and conceding and their games are always where the action is. Their uncompromising style have resulted in 6 wins and 6 losses, no draws in Mito games.

              Tochigi last season were mediocre and quite boring team. This season they have started poorly, 3-4-5, and their defence is not working that well. Their goal record is 12:15, 6/12 over 2.5 games for an average of 2.3 goals per game.

              In previous season this fixture produced two good games with goals from both sides: 3:1 win for Mito and 2:1 win Tochigi. I think we should see similar game here and at least two goals. Odds on over are really good, considering it's a game where Mito are involved.
              1-1 pick 1/2 lost

              Comment


                #8
                #3
                1-0-1 (W-V-L)
                + 12 pts.
                Barty - Sabalenka ( WTA Madrid)
                Barty -2 AH
                2.12 (Pinnacle)

                This year's WTA Madrid final brings forward the world number 1 Ashleigh Barty and Aryna Sabalenka who is ranked 7th. This is their 8th official meeting with the ausie leading 4-3 in head to head. My pick for this one is Barty -2 in game handicap. One of the reason is that she's been crushing it in 2021, already 3 titles to her name. Another reason is that she's been playing more clay, surface that she lost only once this year on. She won the last 2 straight meetings (both this year) against Sabalenka including the only one between the two on clay in which the world number one handed the belarusian a 6-0 along the path to victory. Last but not least clay is far from being Sabalenka's favorite surface despite the 9-1 record in 2021, this is the first time in three tries going over the first round here in Madrid
                06 63 46 pick lost

                Comment


                  #9
                  #1
                  Italy Serie A
                  Udinese - Bologna
                  Pick: Under 2.5
                  Odds: 2.06
                  Bookie: Sbobet

                  Udinese and Bologna are both on 39 points and in the middle of the table of Serie A in Italy. Udine have been very underish in their home games. They haven't had a lot of action to offer at Dacia Arena. For today, they are still without Deloufeu, Braaf, Pussetto, Nestorovski and Jajalo. Bologna will miss out on Dominguez, Hickey, Santander, and Medel , who's still injured. Things in Italy have started to settle; Inter won the league, Crotone and Parma have both been relegated already and there's only the top 4 and Benevento/Cagliari relegation race remaining. One would think that it's not the best to opt for under when there's not a lot at stake, but both managers would love to end up in the top 10 for the season. We shouldn't see too much open football with these two involved.
                  1-1 pick won

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Pick 1
                    Barcelona - Atl. Madrid (BTTS Yes @ 1.75 from bet365)

                    Everyone clearly knows the fantastic story that is La Liga Primera Division 20/21. One of the most exciting finishes to the league in recent history could be very well decided in this matchup between Barca and Atleti.
                    Barcelona and Real Madrid both closed to gap thanks to Atleti's failures, the standings now are

                    1. Atleti 76 pts
                    2. Real 74 pts
                    3. Barca 74 pts

                    There's no more advantage for Atleti in terms of matches played, all three teams are on equal number of matches and the final clash of May begins.

                    Both teams simply must score here, there is too much on the line to play defensively. A draw doesn't suit anybody and only Real Madrid will profit from it. No major injuries for Atleti while Barca's form has been on the rise if we ignore their Granada and Real setbacks.

                    My call is 2:1 win for Barcelona,
                    GL!
                    0-0 pick lost

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Pick 4 -77
                      Barcelona-Atl. Madrid

                      Pick: Over 3.0
                      Odds: 2.24 (PINNACLE)


                      It all comes down to this. Barcelona's remaining games are vs Levante, Celta and Eibar. Certainly, those are all winnable. Atl. Madrid's remaining games are vs Sociedad, Osasuna and Valladolid. Both teams can win all 3 of those games and they will be the favoured team. This is why today's meeting at the Camp Nou is so important. Not only because these are two direct rivals for the title, but also because this could be a decisive factor in terms of winning the title. Two teams that must go in attack and try to win the title.
                      0-0 pick lost

                      Comment


                        #12
                        POD #1

                        Football, Spain - La Liga
                        Barcelona - Atl. Madrid

                        Bet - Barcelona -1 AH
                        Odd - 2.25 bet365

                        Lionel Messi's future could depend about these final 4 matches. He did want to leave Barcelona for Manchester City during the previous transfer window but he was unable to do so because the then president of Barcelona refused to grant him the right. After lots of public back and forth in media and Messi's official letter to the club, we're on the verge of Messi staying in Barca regardless of what happened last summer.

                        He probably does still want to give himsef a shot at some other club, however, there's a new president in Barcelona and the atmosphere around the club is better. If Messi can win the league against all odds he can probably get himself back into the Baloon d'Or conversation and give Barca another league trophy.

                        Also, there's another reason for staying. Pep does not need Messi. City equals to the best club in the world right now and Messi would not even be a regular starter in City. With his age and a missed opportunity of last year, he's probably not leaving Barcelona.

                        If there is one thing that Diego Simeone and Atletico Madrid are known for it is choking in the final stages. Whether it's the 90+3 of the Champions League final or a losing a big lead in Primera, somehow they always find a way to destroy all of their hard work. Barcelona at home with Messi in great shape and massive motivation has a better chance of winning this.
                        0-0 pick lost

                        Comment


                          #13
                          3rd / 1 half-win 1 win / +134
                          Eng > Premiership > Manchester City - Chelsea
                          Bet: BTTS @ 2.00 Pinnacle

                          This is a preview of the Champions League final in late May. Chelsea are struggling to keep their top 4 position so points are needed away at the Etihad. City are carefree, they are champions without a doubt and nothing can take that way from them. Defending might not be their absolute priority so that is a great reason to back the over at the Etihad. Chelsea are more than capable of scoring against City, especially in this moment when they reached the finals of the Champions League.
                          1-2 pick on

                          Comment


                            #14
                            pick 1
                            Manchester City - Chelsea
                            over 2.25
                            odds 2.06
                            SBObet

                            Chelsea cannot afford to allow City the ball.

                            There is only few weeks until the end of the season. Chelsea ranks 4th but above West Ham (58 pts for West Ham - 3 pt adv. for Chelsea). West Ham's next fixture is against the out-of-form Everton side.

                            The Citizens delivered 71 goals in 34 Premier League rounds, joint-best record in the league for both attacking and defending. The difference should come in form of urgency. And while the visitors from London must avoid defeat, the hosts won't be bothered much even if they lose.

                            The amount of talent on both ends of the pitch is enough to guarantee around two or three goals. Best of luck.
                            1-2 pick won

                            Comment

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