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POD 14/04/2021

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    POD 14/04/2021

    Thanks to our sponsor Terje Grefstad

    *RULES*
    Odds must be between 1.75 and 2.25 and only odds taken from these 3 bookmakers are allowed:

    Bet365
    Pinnacle
    SBOBet

    You can only take these bet types:

    -Asian handicap bets
    -Over/Under bets (Game total)
    -BTTS bets!


    *To be able to win the competition POD, you need to post 10 picks per month in 2020/21*
    For other details check the thread POD 2020 - RULES!

    Prices for POD:
    1st place - 110 EUR
    2nd place - 60 EUR
    3rd place - 30 EUR

    You can check odds for your picks here:
    http://www.oddsportal.com/

    #2
    Pick no 5 (4W 0V 0L) +378

    Vardar vs Renova

    Pick Renova -0.5
    Odds: 2.02
    Pinnacle


    This is another 6-pointer in the relegation battle. Vardar are hosts, but there will be no fans at the stadium. Vardar lost 6:0 to Sileks during the weekend and now sit on the 11th place with 27 points, meaning they are on place with direct relegation. Renova, meanwhile, are third from the bottom, at the play-out zone. They also have 27 points, but better goal-difference. Both teams are four away from the first team outside drop zone. It is clear this is a derby in the relegation battle, but I will give advantage to Renova. As I wrote many times, Vardar are in very difficult situation. The ex-owner Sergej Samsonenko left the club and cut the finances. The players are unpaid for a longer period. All the best players left the club during the winter transfer period and Vardar now lack quality. The former champions are in series of four defeats in which they scored just one goal. The last defeat was very hard, they lost 6:0 to Sileks. The players confidence is low, so I expect Renova to win the match.
    1-1 pick lost

    Comment


      #3
      Pick 5
      3-0-1, +191

      Kolner - Straubing Tigers
      OVER 5.5
      Odds 1.94 at Pinnacle

      Kolner are solid in scoring in the DEL this season averaging three goals per match. Their offense is led by Jason Akeson and Jonathan Matsumoto and both are among the league's Top 10 in points.
      Straubing Tigers have combined 92 goals in 34 games played and had good results recently. They have scored 11 goals in their latest three games played. Straubing Tigers should continue scoring today as Kolner are far from impressive in defence allowing 3.5 goals per average match.
      Kolner and Straubing Tigers have met just few days ago and Kolner have recorded a 5-3 win in that game. Teams have combined five goals in the final period of the match and both have made 64 shots on goal in that game. Another high scoring match is my prediction.
      4-5 pick won

      Comment


        #4
        Pick #6/ 3-1-1

        Adelaide vs Macarthur

        Adelaide play very well at home and made their home ground a fortress. last home game they drew but they played in 10 from the first half..
        They lost the away match to Macarthur, but the coach admitted the he used the wrong tactics.
        For tonight he said the team is ready for the win and go for the top 2 position on the ladder.

        bet : Adelaide -0.25 @2.13, Pinnacle
        Unfortunatelly still 1 hour rule, pick cancelled. Sorry, mate.

        Comment


          #5
          Originally posted by Quill View Post
          Pick #6/ 3-1-1

          Adelaide vs Macarthur

          Adelaide play very well at home and made their home ground a fortress. last home game they drew but they played in 10 from the first half..
          They lost the away match to Macarthur, but the coach admitted the he used the wrong tactics.
          For tonight he said the team is ready for the win and go for the top 2 position on the ladder.

          bet : Adelaide -0.25 @2.13, Pinnacle
          Missed the deadline by one minute.

          How are we going with the limit before the games, is it still one hour?

          Comment


            #6
            Pick 6
            1/1/3
            -134
            Soccer Poland
            Division 2
            Lech Poznan 2 - Pruszkow
            Pruszkow +0,25
            2,19 pinnacle


            Meeting of the warriors at the bottom of the table.Both of it still must fight agains relegation.
            Lech won last away game but earlier lost three in a row. Their coach was last season in Pruszkow team
            Pruszkow have 3 win in a row.
            Today we have the same situation as usual in the Pruszkow match.There is no reliable information from the clubs and the odds flying down on away victory.
            Both teams at the similar level and in a similar place at the bottom of the table. I dont have any key news from clubs so far. Looks like 50/50 game. In this attractive odds I take Pruszkow.
            2-5 pick won

            Comment


              #7
              Pick #3
              1W 1L +22
              Tennis, ATP Monte Carlo
              Daniel Evans - Hubert Hurkacz
              Pick: Hurkacz -3.0 games AH
              Odd: 2.09
              Bookie: Pinnacle

              Odds rising on the Pole which I can't agree.Daniel Evans for sure had more pracitce on clay lately as he played on Sardegna in Cagliari and here in Monte Carlo. In both Evans played much better than his skills and style of play may suggest. He forced talented claycourter Musetti to play three sets and tiebreak in final set. In fact he was leading high in it and could even win. Also he beat Lajovic on clay which was even bigger surprise.

              Despite that I think Daniel Evans is playing too predictable tennis to beat Hurkacz. He is basing on agressive serve and attacking the net very often. During relays English tennis player lacks consistency, good movement and make way too many unforced errors.

              Of course Hurkacz will play his first match on clay for a long time. However he is coming after huge success - winning Masters in Miami. He had time to rest and adapt to changing time zone. Also he should get plenty of self confidence. Moreover in only h2h meetings he beat Evans on clay after three sets in Rome.

              Today I expect much onesided contest. Evans after beating Lajovic achieved more than he could expect. Of course he will try his chances but Pole should be able to limited offensive actions by Evans with several passing shots which are made by Hurkacz really good. In sum I smell Pole to win in straight sets but -3.0 games asian handicap looks much better bet as this line can be covered also after a match lasting for three sets,
              64 61 pick lost

              Comment


                #8
                Pick # 2 1-0-0 +119
                Lisen vs Dukla Praha
                pick: Lisen Ah 0 @ 1.97 pinnacle

                Lisen welcomes Dukla Praha in the 18`th round of the Czech FNL League. There are only 9 rounds to be played and the home side is in an excellent position. For the team that promoted only in the previous season, the chances for promotion looks like a dream. They ended in the middle of the field in the previous one with 8 wins all season long. Now, they already have 8 wins but they are third and 3 points behind the leaders Hradec Kralove. Lisen is the best host of the league with 6-2-0 and 17:7 gd which also makes them the best attacking home side.
                Dukla Praha is the regular team in the top flight but they were relegated two seasons back and they failed to promote in the previous one. Actually, they lost in the promotion play-off. This season hasn`t been good for them even though they were tipped for promotion again. There were a lot of changes in the team and this team just doesn`t look good. The team was affected with the coronavirus a couple of weeks back and this has also left a mark it seems. Dukla has started the spring part with a 5:0 win but the recent matches haven`t been good. They just took a 2:2 draw with the lowly Trinec away while they lost at home to Varndsdorf 1:2. The coach remarks on the performance as disgraceful.
                Dukla has 3-2-3 away from home but with no wins this year. To me. Dukla can`t be a favorite in this match and I will try with the home side.
                3-0 pick won

                Comment


                  #9
                  Originally posted by spkutano View Post
                  Pick no 5 (4W 0V 0L) +378

                  Vardar vs Renova

                  Pick Renova +0.5
                  Odds: 2.02
                  Pinnacle


                  This is another 6-pointer in the relegation battle. Vardar are hosts, but there will be no fans at the stadium. Vardar lost 6:0 to Sileks during the weekend and now sit on the 11th place with 27 points, meaning they are on place with direct relegation. Renova, meanwhile, are third from the bottom, at the play-out zone. They also have 27 points, but better goal-difference. Both teams are four away from the first team outside drop zone. It is clear this is a derby in the relegation battle, but I will give advantage to Renova. As I wrote many times, Vardar are in very difficult situation. The ex-owner Sergej Samsonenko left the club and cut the finances. The players are unpaid for a longer period. All the best players left the club during the winter transfer period and Vardar now lack quality. The former champions are in series of four defeats in which they scored just one goal. The last defeat was very hard, they lost 6:0 to Sileks. The players confidence is low, so I expect Renova to win the match.
                  1-1 pick won
                  Sorry for the comment, this is great pick, but I see no such odds at the time you posted this pick. Prove me wrong.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Pick # 3 (0-0-2) -200
                    Burgos vs Gipuzkoa
                    Pick: Burgos -15.5
                    Odds: 2.19
                    Bookie: Pinnacle

                    I see huge class difference between teams here. Burgos is much better team, especially on the bench and should benefit from this on the match distance. Burgos has much better and experienced players. They should be very motivated today after loss to last 3 games. Gipuzkoa is the weakest team in this league. I expect Burgos to win this one by 20+ points.
                    79-90 pick lost

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Pick # 4 (3-0-0) +239
                      Montreal Canadiens vs Calgary Flames
                      Pick: Calgary Flames (+ 0.5AH)
                      Odds: 1.91
                      Bookie: Pinnacle

                      The Habs take on the Flames at Bell Center tonight. We're in the North Division. The hosts are in 4th place and they will most likely stay for the play off stage. Otherwise, they have big oscillations, and they take victories against strong teams but lose from underdogs. In any case, after three consecutive defeats, they picked up a victory in the last match against the leader Leafs at home.

                      The hosts amassed 18 wins after 39 rounds. At home, they have 9 wins after 19 rounds.
                      So they have 6 points more than their opponent. They enter this match with several key injuries. Nevertheless, they have very strong potential, although they have fired their head coach and the new one has no significant impact on their game.
                      They will rely on Toffoli 19 goals, Douin, Tatar and others.

                      On the other hand, the visitor show great fighting spirit, however, it is not enough for them to reach 4th place. Their new head coach Daryl Sutter has brought some freshness to their game, but as things stand, it**8217;s too late for the visitors. In the last two matches they have picked up two wins against the top two teams in divisions such as the Leafs and the Oilers. However, this is not the true picture for their potential. Anyway, they are a stubborn team, very aggressive and they will enter this match with the desire to win.

                      They will rely on their proven players such as Gaudreau 14 goals, Lindholm, Tkachuk and others. Otherwise, they have a weaker attack and weaker defense.
                      Also, they have 18 wins 42 rounds. On the road they picked up 8 wins after 22 rounds.

                      All in all, this should be a home win after all. Hosts are better in all aspects. On the other hand, the only thing visitors have is their enormous hunger to win. I respect the great will of the visitors and I would opt for a surprise and a slight advantage on the visitors in this match. GL!
                      1-4 pick won

                      Comment


                        #12
                        Originally posted by Tabak View Post

                        Sorry for the comment, this is great pick, but I see no such odds at the time you posted this pick. Prove me wrong.
                        I have checked and actually they probably were. They were opened at 01:05 on 14th and were 2,62 (!) then the next odds Oddsportal shows are at 08:49 and they were at 1,81... pick was posted at 06:30 and I believe odds were about what spkutano presented. I am sure he was not intentionally improving odds, I will count the pick with odds presented. But of course I hope we are all posting picks in the fairest of plays.

                        Regarding Quill`s pick, I won`t be able to count it.
                        GL all!
                        MacotBet follow me on BA http://forum.bettingadvice.com/showt...=39806&page=34

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Originally posted by Macot View Post

                          I have checked and actually they probably were. They were opened at 01:05 on 14th and were 2,62 (!) then the next odds Oddsportal shows are at 08:49 and they were at 1,81... pick was posted at 06:30 and I believe odds were about what spkutano presented. I am sure he was not intentionally improving odds, I will count the pick with odds presented. But of course I hope we are all posting picks in the fairest of plays.

                          Regarding Quill`s pick, I won`t be able to count it.
                          GL all!
                          I think he wrote the wrong handicap. It was -0.5 for Renova, not +0.5. +0.5 handi was for Vardar, who opened as the slight underdogs. So, 2.02 were odds for Renova win not +0.5(double chance) and with a draw that's a lost bet.

                          Comment


                            #14
                            Yes, the pick is lost. I made a mistake, my pick was Renova -0.5 AH (as Arbiter wrote). It is clear from my text that I was expecting Renova to win. Sorry for the mistake.

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Thanks, mates. Will correct the result, very sporting of you, spkutano!
                              MacotBet follow me on BA http://forum.bettingadvice.com/showt...=39806&page=34

                              Comment

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