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POD 05/12/2020

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    POD 05/12/2020


    POD 05/12/2020

    Thanks to our sponsor Terje Grefstad

    *RULES*
    Odds must be between 1.75 and 2.25 and only odds taken from these 3 bookmakers are allowed:

    Bet365
    Pinnacle
    SBOBet

    You can only take these bet types:

    -Asian handicap bets
    -Over/Under bets (Game total)
    -BTTS bets!

    *To be able to win the competition POD, you need to post 10 picks per month in 2020/21*
    For other details check the thread POD 2020 - RULES!

    Prices for POD:
    1st place - 110 EUR
    2nd place - 60 EUR
    3rd place - 30 EUR

    You can check odds for your picks here:
    http://www.oddsportal.com/

    #2
    Pick #2/ 0-0-1/ -100

    Rugby
    Australia vs Argentina

    This is the final match of the tournament, played in Sydney with spectators.
    New Zealand have all but won the tournament, as they have a huge points for-against difference. They can be equalled on table points, but the differential is poor for both Australia and Argentina, they'd need to win by 93-100 points, which is unrealistic.

    That leaves pride and a sense of accomplishment at stake. For Australia it means more, however. They must win to show something for this year, a poor year for the expectations they had, they must at least end it on a high.

    The Pumas have been hit by a decision by their federation, as they stripped Pablo Matera of the national captaincy and stood down the flanker and two other players from Saturday's final Tri Nations Test further to some "discriminatory and xenophobic" Twitter posts made years ago. In the meantime the three players have been cleared, but they still won't play tonight.

    These two teams met once as part of this competition two weeks ago, and Australia blew a 15-6 lead with 20 minutes to go, ending in a 15-15 draw, which saw them lose their hopes of winning the trophy.

    There have been a few changes to the Wallabies team, one of the most notable ones being the return of James O'Connor from injury and he will help gel the team nicely and hopefully not miss as many opportunities as they did last time.

    Bet: Australia -12.5 @2.03, Pinnacle
    16-16 pick lost

    Comment


      #3
      Pick #2 (1 Pending for 4th Dec)
      Chelsea - Leeds
      Over 3.5 @ 2.20 from Bet365

      Chelsea found defensive stability but the squaf is facing a really hard and busy schedule with the constant Champions Leagu games.

      Leeds comes off as a different team if you're judging their earlier results in the first league compared to their more recent under type of games.

      But if you watched those Leeds unders then you'll understand that it's nothing but bad luck. There were dozens of chances for goals in every single Leeds under. Chelsea plays attacking and so does Leeds, a match made in heaven for goals.

      My call is 2:2,
      good luck.
      3-1 pick won

      Comment


        #4
        Pick No 1

        Galatasaray vs Hatayspor

        Pick: Hatayspor +0.75
        Odds: 2.23
        Pinnacle


        Galatasaray are big favorites in this match, but I think Hatayspor could upset them. The hosts won 4:0 against Rize last week, however, the home form isn't at highest level. Galatasaray have one win, one draw and one defeat on the last three matches in Istanbul. Look the results:

        23.11.2020. Galatasaray - Kayserispor 1:1
        31.10.2020. Galatasaray - Ankaragucu 1:0
        19.10.2020. Galatasaray - Alanyaspor 1:2

        In addition, Galata have lot of injured players (Muslera, Babel, Belhanda, Elabdellaoui, Falcao, Kocuk, Ozornwafor) that limited the rotation's options.

        Few words about Hatayspor. They are tough nuts. So far they have just one defeat in SuperLig. It is worth mentioning they beat the reigning champions Basaksehir and played a goalless draw with Fenerbahce in Istanbul. I think they are able to remain unbeaten at Turk Telekom Arena.
        3-0 pick lost

        Comment


          #5
          pick 1
          Legia- Lechia
          Pick 1(-1.0) 1.94 Pinnacle

          Why?
          Legia are the def. champions and have to improve a defence. They played very well vs Piast, had at least 3 times more shots on goal and overall than Piast and had only 2:2 draw.
          They conceded in all 7 home games this season.
          Lechia finished 4th last season and they will be lower this season. F. Paixao, their best striker is doing well but he is old (35 years) and it's only a matter of time when he will start score less goals, maybe this already happen? Lechia lost last 2 games all to null.
          Legia are by far the best polish team, they have very good roster, strong bench and are eager to take revange for last 2worse h2h results with Lechia at home (0:0 draw and 1:2 loss). They should win w/o big problems if show football they played vs Piast
          Lechia played in the final of Polish Cup last year and won it in 2019 but imho this team lack of quality in 2nd line , Conrado can play superbly (like vs Slask) but only from time to time
          2-0 pick won

          Comment


            #6
            Tip2
            match Huachipato vs. Colo Colo
            pick over 2,5
            odds 2.14
            bookie Pinnacle
            Colo Colo is last on table,that is so bad for such a great name as that club.,from know every match will be more open,they must attack.i wacthed them a lot of time,there was games with rain of gols,colo colo has quality players,they will proove that they are capable of wininig,but for me is better on goals,cause in La Liga is playing open and dangerous football,good luck.
            2-2 pick won

            Comment


              #7
              Pick no.3
              Status: 0-2 -200
              Football, Europe
              Game: Burnley vs Everton
              Pick: 2 (-0.75 ah)
              Odds: 2.25
              Bookie: Pinnacle

              Everton haven't had much success in the second part of the season. After a great start where they were the number one team in the league together with Aston Villa, everything fell apart for Everton after the Merseyside Derby. One would say that justice was served because Everton should have lost the Merseyside Derby but due to bogus VAR call they were saved in what was a thrilling 2:2 draw that should have been Liverpool's 2:3 away win. Burnley does not have enough quality to stop Everton nor to reply back once they concede a few goals which is bound to happen.
              1-1 pick lost

              Comment


                #8
                Pick # 1 0-0-0
                Zwolle vs Vitesse
                pick: Vitesse @ 1.88 pinnacle

                In the 11`th round of the Eredivisie, Zwolle welcomes Vitesse. Zwolle is ranked the 11`th team with 1-6-3 so far while Vitesse is ranked second with 8-1-1. Zwolle is the king of draws so far but it has to be noted that 5 of those draws came against the teams from 10`th place lower. They are in really poor form and they just can`t win. They won in the cup but it hasn`t translated in the league. Zwolle has 1-2-2 at home with a 5:6 goal difference. Here, they lost to PSV and Feyenoord easily so the signs are good for Vitesse.
                Vitesse has 6-1-0 lately and without the Europa games, they can focus on the league entirely. This may just be their season and since a lot of strange things are happening, maybe they can be a real threat this season. Vitesse has 3-1-1 away from home while they played a 1:1 draw with Groningen. They got their key defender Bazoer back for this one and it will give them a boost.
                Zwolle is without their captain and that will add to their grief. Vitesse should win this.
                2-1 pick lost

                Comment


                  #9
                  pick 3 // -200
                  premiership
                  Manchester City - Fulham

                  pick Fulham +2 AH
                  odds 2.23
                  Sbobet

                  Fulham is slowly improving.

                  Their last match shocked many people and they were able to beat very strong Leicester at King's Power Stadium with a score of 1-2. Fulham had the lead of 0-2 and Leicester scored a late goal but the score remained 1-2.

                  Huge win for Scott Parker and his men. It was the perfect boost of motivation before the hardest possible away match against Manchester City.

                  City smashed Burnley with 5-0 in their latest Premiership match, however, in the meantime they had a long trip to Portugal in the Champions League. This was during the midweek while Fulham was resting and planning their away match at Etihad.

                  Fulham should suffer a +2 loss at the very worst case. Coming off such a huge win over Leicester should boost them highly.

                  Also remember that Leicester was the tema to smash Manchester City few months back. Fulham can even steal a point here. They are not going to lose with 3 goals, at least that's the way I see.
                  2-0 pick void

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Pick 5 1-3 -175

                    Championship

                    Reading - Nottingham

                    Reading @2.24 Pinnacle


                    The difference in goals scored should be the story here. The stats present enough value to bet on home win on their own. This year is definitely not going to be Nottingham Forest's year, the team is in deep crysis and they are having some major issues within the squad. The players can barely create chances and they look out of depth. Reading continues to impress and they have 24 tally for the season, this early as well. The home win is clearly great value and odds should be far lower than 2.24 for Reading's win
                    2-0 pick won

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Pick #2
                      1-0-0 +104
                      CAF Champions League quals
                      CS Sfaxien v Mlandege
                      Pick: CS Sfaxien -3.5
                      Odds: 1.9 Pinnacle


                      There is a huge gap in class here. CS Sfaxien is a professional club from Tunisia, one of strongest leagues on the continent. They were Tunisian vice-champions last season, they are regularly in top4 there and compete in continental competitions regularly as well. They have some Tunisian national team players and good foreing players. They are strong team and at home they'd be expected to beat most teams on the continent.

                      On the other hand Mlandege is an amateur, anonymous team from small island of Zanzibar. First leg in Zanzibar ended in 5:0 win for CS Sfaxien. Mlandege have shown some amateurish defending, especially from set-pieces.

                      If CS Sfaxien want, they can run up the score here. A big gulf in class and it's only a matter of finding motivation for the Tunisians to put several goals in the opponents net. CS Sfaxien are fresh after the pre-season break so I think they will be hungry to get a good score-line here before the local league starts next week for them.
                      3-1 pick lost

                      Comment


                        #12
                        #3

                        (1-0-1)

                        -19

                        german Bundesliga

                        SC Freiburg - Gladbach

                        pick : Freiburg +0,5

                        odds: 1,96

                        bookie : bet 365

                        Freiburg won the last 4 home games against gladbach. Freiburg is usually very strong at home, ok without spectators that is no longer a big advantage. you have to slowly win again, the draw in Augsburg showed some progress
                        gladbach with the most important game so far on wednesday in madrid will rotate, there will also be a defensive player out. don't think they win my tip 1: 1
                        2-2 pick won

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Pick #2 Won 1 +114
                          Soccer - Romania Liga 1
                          Game - FCSB vs. UTA Arad
                          Pick: Both teams scoring - Yes
                          Odds: 2.20
                          Bookie: Pinnacle

                          I give this bet high confidence as FCSB has the best attack in the league with a record of 9-0-2 this season they have 6 wins in a row and have scored 30+ goals so far, they are also not that secure in defense as they have a pretty weak keeper, Vlad, who is not really either that tall or skilled at saving his side from conceding goals, and so FCSB has results like 3-2 at Gaz Metan Medias, 4-1 at home with Botosani, 3-2 at home with Dinamo Bucuresti, during this run of 6 wins in a row where they have conceded and UTA is actually one of the best away clubs in the league.
                          And this has to do with the tactics which are excellent in defense in away games and absorb a lot of attacks, they have a secure keeper and a decent defense, they are not impenetrable but defend with all players, while up-front they have Vlad Morar who played and scored goals in Greece and is fine form and also Ioan Hora who was at FCSB not so long ago and also played in Turkey in the first league, I think at Konyaspor he was, and both are in superb form even though they only scored from the penalty spot a goal each in the cup some days ago they are in good shape and I do not see FCSB escaping a goal at least.
                          And you should not really be worried about FCSB not scoring here even though they have Fl. Tanase, Olaru and Denis Man all doubts before this game, while I read that back-up striker Sergiu Bus got injured, they should use a solid line-up up-front, and like I said above they have most goals in the league so far and with 6 wins in a row do not tell me they will not at least score a goal with odds being 1.30 for the home win, really not worth it, but 9/10 confidence on both teams scoring in this encounter.
                          3-0 pick lost
                          I've imagined a world of peace and tranquility... and it was so... boring

                          Comment


                            #14
                            #3 0W 2L
                            Austria 2. Liga
                            Horn - Floridsdorfer AC (Horn @ 2.25 from Bet365)

                            Two teams that were both in the relegation danger in the previous season. Horn is now somewhat poorer compared to FAC, but FAC were actually able to survive through the playout system. Horn was tied with 32 points just like FAC but had enough to make it out of the red zone.

                            Horn hosts FAC in the new season and I'm going to bet on home win here. FAC scored way less goals than Horn in the previous season, they also still have terrible defence and their weakness a the back can and should be exposed by Horn. In my opinion we are going to see a home win of Horn, more than likely in a high scoring game again.
                            2-1 pick won

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Pick # 3 ( 1-0-1...+11)
                              Italy-Serie A
                              Juventus-Torino

                              Pick: over 3
                              Odds: 2.13
                              Bookie: SBOBets

                              Derby time in Torino and of course one should exclude the possibility of a cagey affair, it's always on cards when huge derbies are involved but Grande Toro looks lost in defense this year, there is no cure as they had 2-0 lead at Inter and they received 4 in just less than half an hour, then last round against some poor defending in the 2-2 draw against Samp. Juve definitely not at their best also looking shaky at the back and Benevento proved it last round even if they scored a great goal but when they went forward they were looking like scoring in first half then in second Juve played poor and Benevento defended well but Juve at home usually has goals 2-3 easily and Dybala is bound for some goals and end his bad spell while Ronaldo like always scoring machine plus the good form of Chiesa. It does not look good for Toro here imo, they are having a bad season and their D does not look up for the task and Juve will be hungry for goals here and often they have trashed their local rivals in spots like this, so Juve should score 2-3 while from Toro you would expect a much more defensive game but they aren't shy on goals with a great striker like Belotti and with Juve shaky D it's not impossible to see them scoring.
                              2-1 pick void
                              My country is the world...and my religion is to do good.

                              Comment

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