POD 04/12/2020

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Pick #1

Brazil Serie B
Ponte Preta x Parana

Bet - Over 2,25 Goals
Odds - 2.10 in Pinnacle


For many years Parana has been known as a team that is very strong in defence. Rarely has anyone scored many goals in the last five years against Parana. But everything comes to an end at some point and so did Parana's great defence. Parana is one of the worst teams this season and it was their great defence in the past that became their biggest weakness. Parana lost five games in a row and in those five rounds, they had two huge defeats. It was 5:0 against Juventude and 4:1 against Vitoria. Ponte Preta has ambitions for a better finish and they hope to be close to fourth place. They are still in the game for promotion to the first league and will go all or nothing against the team in terrible form with five latest defeats in the league. Parana will most likely have to score a goal here and also go for all or nothing. Ponte Preta is not a team with an extraordinary defence and almost every team in this league can score against them. Parana is struggling to avoid relegation to Serie C and will simply have to score a goal or more if they want to stay undefeated here.
2-1 pick won

[pranav]

Pick # 1 (0-0-0)
Besiktas vs Kasimpasa
Pick: Besiktas -0.5 (AH)
Odds: 1.80
Bookie: Pinnacle

Besiktas in great shape at this moment. They have deep bench, powerfull and well working offense. Besiktas has good roster by names and should be very motivated today after opening wins to Basaksehir and Fenerbahce. Kasimpasa form is quite poor at the away with 3 losses in the last 5 away matches. I see Besiktas winning this game quite easily.
3-0 pick won

[Rexxar2600]

Pick #3 2/0/0 + 215

Football, France Ligue 1
Match: Nimes - O. Marseille
Pick: Both to score
Odds: 1.95 @ bet 365

Friday's game in the French Ligue 1 will face against each other the poor performing Nimes and the always struggling with the balance, Olympique Marseille.
Where should I start from, well, The Crocodiles are having a bad moment for sure, being 16-th with only 11 points of 36 possible. The situtation is that they need points and usually they count on home games. They need to play, it means they have to score and actually Marseille is the right team, to score against, acording to the history. The last 10 official games on both fields are 9 BTTS and only 1 no goal. They have as well 6 friendly games, 5 of them again BTTS. The point here is that Nimes is quite near to Marseille and I smell a kind of regional derby. Moreover, of course Nimes will jump into fire against one of the most glorious teams in France. Apparently Olympique is trying to reach at least the EU places, may be something more, who knows, but still I don't believe. Very important is the fact that the visitors are with 7 victories within 8 games in the league, including the magnificent surprise against PSG. Not so many BTTS among these results, but tonight Nimes are playing for goals for sure. Frankly, Nimes are having a lot of problems in defense and they have to miss tonigh Lucas Deaux's services, because of suspension(red card). A little bit of derby spirit, good mood in Olympique squad after winning in CL, no lack of deteramination for the home side, because the things can get any worse---> 1:1, or 1:2 or 1:3 to me. GL!!!
0-2 pick lost

[Rexxar2600]

Pick #3 2/0/0 + 215

Football, France Ligue 1
Match: Nimes - O. Marseille
Pick: Both to score
Odds: 1.95 @ bet 365

Friday's game in the French Ligue 1 will face against each other the poor performing Nimes and the always struggling with the balance, Olympique Marseille.
Where should I start from, well, The Crocodiles are having a bad moment for sure, being 16-th with only 11 points of 36 possible. The situtation is that they need points and usually they count on home games. They need to play, it means they have to score and actually Marseille is the right team, to score against, acording to the history. The last 10 official games on both fields are 9 BTTS and only 1 no goal. They have as well 6 friendly games, 5 of them again BTTS. The point here is that Nimes is quite near to Marseille and I smell a kind of regional derby. Moreover, of course Nimes will jump into fire against one of the most glorious teams in France. Apparently Olympique is trying to reach at least the EU places, may be something more, who knows, but still I don't believe. Very important is the fact that the visitors are with 7 victories within 8 games in the league, including the magnificent surprise against PSG. Not so many BTTS among these results, but tonight Nimes are playing for goals for sure. Frankly, Nimes are having a lot of problems in defense and they have to miss tonigh Lucas Deaux's services, because of suspension(red card). A little bit of derby spirit, good mood in Olympique squad after winning in CL, no lack of deteramination for the home side, because the things can get any worse---> 1:1, or 1:2 or 1:3 to me. GL!!!

7 within 8 as guest. ABOUT MARSEILLE.

[Cam]

pick #1
Colombia Liguilla

Patriotas - Millonarios
Pick: Over 2.25 @ 2.13
PINNACLE

Usually Millonarios have great advantage because of the altitude in their home fixtures, that won't be the case versus Patriotas. I'm still surprised by such large odds goals. Mainly because Patriotas are underrated here and also because of the Liguilla opener against Once Caldas where Millonarios have scored five goals in a 5-2 trashing.
Liguilla is different this year because of COVID so the group system is first, this allows us to see more attacking football from all Colombian teams becaus it is not a do-or-die situation.
After the seven-goal game I am expecting at the very least two or btts, but 2.25 seems safer in case of 0-2 / 0-3 away win.
2-3 pick won

[thebetmaestro]

1
Paraguay
Primera Division
12 de Octubre - Guairena FC
Over 2.5 @ 2.02 (Pinnacle)

12 de Octubre finished the Primera Division Apertura with a home record of 3-1-7 and 12 scored goals with 24 goals allowed in their own net. If we compare their stats at home vs their stats away from home which are 2-5-4 with 11/15 for and against, the over percentage is much higher for their home games.

They both scored more goals and conceded more goals in their home games compared to their away games of the last year's Apertura. This was somewhat expected because 12 de Octobre are one of the weaker teams and to stay within the first division this is what they always need to do in away games.

Guairena FC only had one single away win last year and they are far from good when they are guests. 12 de Octobre should pose a great danger for Guairena FC.

My call is 2:2 draw,
good luck.

Cancelled

[thebetmaestro]

Pick #1
Japan J1 League
Yokohama FC - Sagan Tosu
Over 2.5 @ 2.10 from Pinnacle

Okay, so my Paraguay pick was cancelled and re-scheudled for the 6th of December therefore I am going to take another pick for the 4th here, according to the rules this still belongs to the 4th Dec.

Unlike their fellow rivals with the same club name, Yokohama are doing a bad job in the current J1 League season. The team is near bottom and their defense has been struggling to find consistency and reliability for some time. Their opponents here - Sagan Tosu, have the same kind of problems in the current season.

It's a game between two bad defenses that are both struggling with their back four and also goalkeeper position. I expect to see see a lot of goals scored in this game and therefore I'm going with over pick. The defending is terrible for Sagan on the road while Yokohama keeps conceding everywhere they go no matter home or away.

My call is 2:2,
good luck.
1-1 pick lost