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POD 01/12/2020

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    POD 01/12/2020

    Thanks to our sponsor Terje Grefstad

    *RULES*
    Odds must be between 1.75 and 2.25 and only odds taken from these 3 bookmakers are allowed:

    Bet365
    Pinnacle
    SBOBet

    You can only take these bet types:

    -Asian handicap bets
    -Over/Under bets (Game total)
    -BTTS bets!

    *To be able to win the competition POD, you need to post 10 picks per month in 2020/21*
    For other details check the thread POD 2020 - RULES!

    Prices for POD:
    1st place - 110 EUR
    2nd place - 60 EUR
    3rd place - 30 EUR

    You can check odds for your picks here:
    http://www.oddsportal.com/

    #2
    Pick #1
    England League One
    Blackpool - Portsmouth
    Pick: over 2.5
    Odds: 2.05
    Bookie: pinnacle


    The only way I see Blackpool actually winning this game against Portsmouth is through attack. Ipswich arrived here few rounds back and they dominated Blackpool with a 1-4 result. Portsmouth is in even better form with even stronger attack than Ipswich, but their defending has been a problem and therefore it is possible that Blackpool will find chances against the 5th best team in the league.

    No other group managed to score more goals than Portsmouth. With 26 goals in just 14 rounds Portsmouth's offenisve numbers are greater even when compared to the top teams of League One like Hull.

    Blackpool's home form has seen them struggle with defending and when facing this kind of powerful attack from the away team it is probably best to bet on goals.
    1-0 pick lost

    Comment


      #3
      Pick 1

      G.A. Eagles - Jong AZ
      Over 3.5
      Odds 2.21 at Pinnacle

      G.A. Eagles are not that impressive in offense this season averaging more than a goal per game. Still they only needed one half in the latest home game against Den Bosch to score 3 goals. I think they might have another good offensive performance in the upcoming game against Jong AZ that are just terrible in defence this season. Jong AZ have allowed already 41 goals in 13 games played and that is the worst defence in the league. They are conceding 3 goals per average match on the road, in the latest away game Jong AZ have suffered a 1-4 loss against Excelsior.
      Still visitors should have some chances in the upcoming game also. Jong AZ have combined 20 goals in 13 games played, they have made 36 shots in their latest three games played and they should break Eagles' defence that has allowed 3 goals in the latest game against Alere City. I expect this to be a high scoring match.
      0-1 pick lost

      Comment


        #4
        PICK 1

        Porto - Mancester City
        Pick BTTS 1.75 BET365


        For the beginning of the new month, I am choosing my favorite game again, a duel between two teams, which realistically solved the issue of moving on, but it is still not decided who goes from the first place. Porto could get closer with a victory and solve the issue in the last round. They are in a series of 21 games in all competitions with at least 1 goal scored .... simply, this team does not know how to play indoors and always goes for the win. Manchester is of course the favorite because they are better on paper but I don't think it will be that easy for them .... in the first match they easily won 3-1 but on the side is another story. I expect them to score a goal but I also expect them to receive at least one.

        Good luck to everyone in the new month!
        0-0 pick lost

        Comment


          #5
          PIck 1
          Atl. Madrid - Bayern Munich
          Bayern (+0.25 AH)
          Odds 2.25 @ Pinnacle

          Ok, so Neuer, Goretzka, Boateng and Lewandowski are rested for this game. Kimmich, Davies are long-term missings due to injury.
          And the odds moved further up since yesterday. I still can't write off this Bayern. They have a lot of talent up front in Sane, Douglas Costa, Koman, Gnabry in front who can run amoch against any defences.
          Martinez will be able to play the pivot in front of the defence, so I see a decent enough team to get something from this game.

          Atletico won only one game in the CL this season, drew twice against Lokomotiv Moscow, and lost 4-0 against Bayern. That is, while they are undefeated in the LaLiga after 9 rounds (7W-2D), sitting one point behind leaders Real Sociedad and two games in hand, they are less convincing in Europe. Just to put this in perspective, Atletico beat Bayern 1-0 in 2016 during the group phase, but they won 5 games in the group at that time. And Bayern were different then (e.g. they lost against Rostov as I recall).

          Even if Madrid are extra motivated, I expect Bayern to be able to handle them. They are relentless under Flick. Two days after the European Super Cup they lost against Mgladbach. Since then they are on an unbeaten run of 13 games, drawing only once.
          I take this bet without a bilink. GL!
          1-1 pick 1/2 won

          Comment


            #6
            Pick # 1
            Europe-Champions League
            Liverpool-Ajax

            Pick: over 3.5
            Odds: 2.11
            Bookie: SBOBets

            Ajax usually played underish games when in must win games, i remember playing cautious against Chelsea last year and the same they did with Liverpool and game again finished underish, but even if the race is on here, i do think Liverpool just needs a win with danish champions and they are through so this game should not be with so much at stake because it will come down to Ajax against Atalanta in last round so Ajax should enjoy this and try to steal something so playing bit more adventurous than they did in reverse fixture which even with those underish line-ups could have seen way more goals and also Liverpool at Brighton left me frustrated as i was on goals also on that one and it ended 1-1 with Brighton missing a first half pen and one on one then the Reds having a disallowed goal by VAR, inches offside, so they are due for a game with more goals and with those defensive issues this will come rather sooner than later, Brighton exposed them like it was expected, but the finishing touch wasn't there and this time Klopp will probably play the best team so good chances for goals here and this two can have pretty high scoring games, especially Ajax they could easily score 2 here if they will play their usual offensive card, while the Reds should also add 2-3.
            1-0 pick lost
            My country is the world...and my religion is to do good.

            Comment


              #7
              Pick #1
              Europe, Champions League
              Atletico Madrid - Bayern Munich
              Pick: Over 3
              Odd: 2.25 - Pinnacle

              Atletico Madrid plays at home against Bayern Munich as they want to secure their second position in the group stages of the Champions League. Bayern Munich did very well already as they are already on the 1st position of the group with twelve points from four matches that they have played already by securing the spot to the next round and also the first spot as Atletico Madrid has only five points from four matches. They are in danger from Lokomotiv Moscow that are two points behind meaning that if they win today against Salzburg than everything will be decided in the last match. In my opinion we must see a very tough match as no matter if Bayern Munich plays the first or the second lineup still they have a very strong team, enough strong to score at least one or two goals while Atletico Madrid is going only for a win in this match so they know that they will push in this match from the very first minutes. Only one out of the last 16 matches of Bayern Munich resulted with under 3 goals so in this case I would go for over 3 as I expect at least two goals from both these two teams and the odds are juicy in this case.
              1-1 pick lost

              Comment


                #8
                Pick #1
                England, League Two
                Oldham - Tranmere
                Pick: Over 2.5
                Odd: 2.04 - Pinnacle

                Oldham mugs have concede a goal or more in all of their last five home games. Their home record in defense is really poor and so far they look way too weak at the back for Tranmere to stay goalless in this away trip. The head to head between the two teams is really poor for goals, but they haven't competed in the same league for 90 % of the time since way back. Tranmere mugs are coming off a seven goal game where they won at Port Vale with a crazy epic score of 3:4. They conceded in four out of their last five away league games and Crawley put four goals past them. I can't see this game having less than three goals with the way both teams are defending in their respective home and away forms, gl all.
                0-1 pick lost
                The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
                And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

                Comment


                  #9
                  POD #1
                  So far 0/0/0
                  0

                  20:00 Elliot Slessor v Lu Ning, take Lu Ning @2,20 Pinnacle

                  Well, this is a confident bet, so much so that I will make it my first POD of the month December. Lu Ning is showing some incredible snooker here on UK Championship and of course against very streaky Elliott Slessor he is a favourite in my eyes. I have watched both recently and I see Lu as the better player.

                  First of all, he is more reliable. This season he is only 5/4 but still that is a positive result. But as it seems he is really motivated here in UK. In the first round of the tournament he managed to beat really strong Doherty, who played well recently, 6-4 and in the process managed two big centuries (124 and 126). Then in the second round he really impressed: 4 consecutive centuries, 134, 133, 105 and 103 and 6-0 beating of Matthew Selt who himself managed the same feat in the first round, that is pretty remarcable.

                  Slessor on the other side of couse eliminated Mann, who is among the worst players this season, winless and then Murphy who played terrible snooker against hime, I have watched that match and Slessor did nothing special, only picked what Murphy left to be taken...

                  My call is 3-6!

                  GL

                  1-6 pick won
                  MacotBet follow me on BA http://forum.bettingadvice.com/showt...=39806&page=34

                  Comment

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