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POD 21/11/2020

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    POD 21/11/2020

    Thanks to our sponsor Terje Grefstad

    *RULES*
    Odds must be between 1.75 and 2.25 and only odds taken from these 3 bookmakers are allowed:

    Bet365
    Pinnacle
    SBOBet

    You can only take these bet types:

    -Asian handicap bets
    -Over/Under bets (Game total)
    -BTTS bets!

    *To be able to win the competition POD, you need to post 10 picks per month in 2020/21*
    For other details check the thread POD 2020 - RULES!

    Prices for POD:
    1st place - 110 EUR
    2nd place - 60 EUR
    3rd place - 30 EUR

    You can check odds for your picks here:
    http://www.oddsportal.com/

    #2
    Pick #5
    2-1-1
    +59

    Soccer - Denmark 1st division
    SILKEBORG - HELSINGOR (13:00 CET)
    Pick: Silkeborg -1.25 AH
    Odds: 2.12 Pinnacle


    Helsingor had great start to season, they were newcomers and they won 3 matches in a row. First round was at home against Silkeborg and they really surprised with a win 4-2. I thought that Helsingor can do much better in this division, but they lost to Koge in the end of September 0-2 and from mid October things had turned even worse. Helsingor has 0-1-3 from last four matches and score 1-9. Momentum has gone.

    Silkeborg is doing really well and they would like to go back to Superliga as soon as possible. They have 8-0-3 and that loses are only against leader Viborg 1-2, against the third team Fredericia 0-1 and as I mentioned in the first round in Helsingor. They have fantastic score 29-12 and they won 7 games by 2 goals or more! Only last game in Koge was only 1-0.

    Slightly it is a bit revenge that can motivate Silkeborg to beat Helsingor, but I believe it is not just about this thing. Silkeborg is too strong for this division and Helsingor do not have the same advantage as in the first round - surprise and confidence after promotion from lower division.
    3-3 pick lost

    Comment


      #3
      Pick # 7 (4-0-2...+170)
      England-Premier League
      Aston Villa-Brighton

      Pick: over 2.75
      Odds:2.01
      Bookie: SBOBets

      Just when i thought Villa were to back to their average condition after a super start, it come the abysmal game made by the Gunners, prolly their worst under Arteta and Villa run rampant with a fascinating 3-0 at Emirates. It certainly looks like a good season for Villa ahead, but i still think they are overachieving even if they invested big in this team but after such a huge win you would expect them to be daring and full of belief here but i doubt they will see same spaces they saw at Arsenal, as Brighton likes to be tight this days even if they are at their best when dogs, such was the case at Spurs even if they lost, or at Palace where they simply battered them but only drew, so one could say their are underachieving, but it's like a constant thing, they just lack quality to score more as they do create chances, so i'm not so sure they deserve more, but i do think they gonna cause trouble to Villa and score as they can be expansive when they want. With Grealish in tremendous form, impressive even at NT you would expect them to go for 3 points here so this one can easily turn into an offensive affair since both do not look solid at the back.
      1-2 pick 1/2 won
      My country is the world...and my religion is to do good.

      Comment


        #4
        Pick 3 0(1,1l)

        Atletico- Barcelona
        Pick Atletico 0AH, 2.13 Sbobet

        Why?
        Atletico have a really good season and will fight with Real for tittle. They are doing well both offensively and defensively.
        J. Felix finally play very well and score goals, and he one of 5 most exp. players of the world.
        Barcelona are in a cisis, they are building a new team, need more time and transfers. They won only once in last 5 games, Messi scored p;u 3 goals so far inc. 2 in last game. Messi is angry and not happy in Barca anyMore, he will leave after a season.
        Barca have a great h2h with Atletico but every streak ends eventually and this should be this MoMMent.
        Atletico have hoe ground, better forM, players rigtht now (Suarez left and is playing and scoring for Atletico) and coach, SieMeone is the best paid player of the world, he should have won CL but referee were the best player of opposing teaM in gaMe vs Real (Atletico scored a right goal while Real offside goal)

        1-0 pick won

        Comment


          #5
          Pick #5 (+191)
          Soccer, Eng
          Newcastle - Chelsea

          Pick: Over 3.0
          Odds: 2.20
          Bookie: Pinnacle

          A lot of Chelsea players were involved in the international games during the last international week. With Chelsea being such a big and stacked club it is always expected that some players will struggle coming off directly from international weeks. With the coronavirus schedule and everything around it, it's not even worse for Lampard and Chelsea because the squad gets even busier. Luckily for Frank, his squad is incredibly deep and it should not affect them offensively as much. However, I fully expect Newcastle to create problems for Chelsea in today's game and it should be a two way street with goals from both teams. My call is 1:3 away win for Chelsea with a minimum of three goals scored.
          0-2 pick lost

          Comment


            #6
            Pick #7
            5W 1L +457
            Football, Serie A
            Crotone - Lazio
            Pick: Lazio -0.75 AH
            Odds: 1.96
            Bookie: Bet365

            Lazio is coming to this match after two wins in last three matches and drawing with Juventus 1:1. Finally Biancocelesti looked like in past season, when they scored a lot and very often in late minutes too by Caicedo. Against Crotone I expect Lazio to continue their positive streak as they simply need three points today to continue chasing top teams. Crotone from all newcomers so far looked the weakest. Their organization and style of play was really bad. It resulted in losing 17 goals in seven matches. What is interesting they drew with both teams from Torino - Juventus and Torino FC, but it was rather caused by rivals lack concentration (Juve) or skills and form (Torino). Lazio with Immobile, Correa or Luiz Alberto in the squad should be able to win today easily and only victory margin is soem sort of question mark. Biancocelesti will miss Milenkovic-Savic, Lulic and Luiz Felipe but those missings are long term and something they used too. In sum I smell at least two goals advantage so only -0.75 ah looks liek a great offer as it gives some guarantee if match will end with one goal Lazio win (obvious for me) and half of the profit too.
            0-2 pick won

            Comment


              #7
              Pick # 5
              2-0-2,+31
              Football
              Spain,LaLiga
              Atl. Madrid - Barcelona
              Pick:Barcelona -0.25 AH
              Odds:2.25
              Bet 365

              The Catalan giants,have already dropped too many points in the 2020/21 season,but a thrilling 5-2 win over Betis surely helped them regain a much-needed confidence.R.Koeman's troops aim to give fans yet another reason for celebration.Out of 36 previous meetings ,home team have 5 wins while Barcelona won 21 .Atletico will be without some key players:Suarez,D.Costa,L.Torreira,S.Savic,H.Herrer a,M.Hermoso and S.Vrsaljko,so away team can grab three points here...0-1..1-2..
              1-0 pick lost

              Comment


                #8
                Pick 5, 2-0-2, +40
                Villarreal - Real Madrid
                Pick: Villareal (-0.25)
                Odds: 2.13 @ bet365

                I have to try this pick even if odds have decreased a lot.
                Villareal are less exposed to the international break than Real Madrid. They do quite well this season being second with 18 points from 9 rounds. At home they managed to win 4 and drew once this season, GD 10-4. They have Alcacer and Moreno in good scoring form.

                Real Madrid have Ramos out due to the international games, and Varane at the center of defence becomes a liability without him. Benzema is also out. Casemiro and Militao are coming back from Covid, not fully fit. Kroos is coming from a huge defeat (6-0 suffered against Spain). Modric played against Portugal when they were one man less after 50 minutes.
                Real struggles a lot lately. They have a decisive CL-game coming up against Inter and they need to focus on that as well since things are not quite rosy in the group. I remember that immediately after the October international period Real lost to Cadiz and Shakhtar.

                H2H favours Real as they have only lost once against their host in the last 5 games away (1W-3D-1L), but I think present form and the general way of playing make Villareal deserved favourites. GL!

                PS: I learnt that Real always bounce back when they are close to the bottom and I go against them, but that's part of the package and I consider this pick nice value today.
                1-1 pick 1/2 lost

                Comment


                  #9
                  10 6-1-2 +452
                  Tottenham - Manchester City
                  Over 3.25 @ 2.25 Pinnacle


                  There's just too many attacking players on the pitch for this match to stay below at least 2.5 goals. Harry Kane and Hueng Min Son are both available for Tottenham. Meanwhile in the Manchester City's camp the Spaniards have done an excellent and outstanding job in the 6:0 trashing over Germany. City also can count on Gabriel Jesus and he eclipsed Aguero both in consistency and workrate. Great Belgium win will do wonders for Kevin De Bruyne, a lot of players had good international mactches and this battle between some of the best teams in this league has to go either above 2.5 or even 3.5 goals.

                  My prediction is a 2:2 draw between Manchester City and Tottenham, good luck guys!
                  2-0 pick lost

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Pick 3
                    +102
                    Hibernians - Hamrun
                    pick : 1
                    odds 2.02 at pinnacle

                    Here is game from Malta Premier League - at home Hibernians play against Hamrun. This is a good pick because the shape on host of Hibernians is impressive now. At last 3 games they won and current is 3rd, but if win today takes a leadership of Gzira so normal is the expectation for home victory on one of the top teams in Malta. Hamrun not bad team at all but since the great opening for last 3 rounds is winless - 2 ties one lose. Hibernians is the team with most effective attack 20 goals scored for 7 games this season. Good luck
                    2-2 pick lost.

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Pick 2.

                      1W +108;

                      Football - Italy - Serie A

                      Juventus vs Cagliari

                      Pick: Over 3,5
                      Odds: 2.06
                      Bookie: SboBet


                      The Serie A returned this weekend after the international break,and todays last game take us on the Allianz Stadium,where Juventus will hosts Cagliari.Juventus have played just three matches at their Allianz Stadium sofar this season and they have won against Sampdoria and Napoli with the same 3-0 score,along with an 1-1 drawn versus Verona.They are still unbeaten sofar with 3 wins and 4 draws and they are just 4 points behind the early lead leaders AC Milan,but tonight they have a good opportunity to further reduce the points deficit with a win over Cagliari.The visitors sit mid-table in Serie A on the 11th place after a slow start in this new season they manage to win 3 out of their last 4 matches:3-2 vs Torino,4-2 vs Crotone and 2-0 win over Sampdoria.Cagliari's recent succesfull run may give them confidence before tonight clash against the giants Juventus and the good form of Joao Pedro should bring us some goals too. A big win from Juventus what I expect today where Cagliari should also score a goal ..4.-1 is my call!!!
                      2-2 pick won


                      Comment


                        #12
                        #3 / +145

                        Cuiaba Esporte - CSA

                        Pick: Cuiaba Esporte -0.5 @ 2,13
                        Sbobet

                        Football. Brazil. This is a match for Serie B in Brazil at home is slight favorite like Cuiaba Esporte and my pick is host to win today. CSA with 8 wins this season overall and the place is current 12th, with 9 points less of Cuiaba Esporte. CSA is a weak away from home recorded one win for 1 visits and lost the last 1:2 against Guarani. On the other side is the best home team in Serie B - Cuiaba Esporte is with 7 wins 4 draws and 0 losses at home for a current season - with 16:5 GD. The situation looks like easy home win we will see.

                        Good luck,
                        AL
                        0-1 pick lost

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Pick #1
                          Standing: 0/0/0 (+/-)

                          Football, Mexico Apertura
                          02:00 Santos Laguna - Pachuca
                          Pick: BTTS @1.90 - Bet365

                          Both teams took almost 2 weeks break or preparation time after finishing the regular part of the season.

                          Santos Laguna closed the competition with a 4-0 clear and comfortable home win against Mazatlan FC, continue their amazing run where the hosts have been defeated only once in the last 7 matches. Santos Laguna is definitely one of the best home side teams, where more than 15 months they have suffered by only one defeat by UNAM Pumas, losing the game with 1-2. Their home domination allows a feeling comfortable and unbeatable place for the opponents.

                          Pachuca has been defeated by 0-1 in the last match vs Necaxa, breaking their run from 7 straight undefeated matches in a row, presenting rock-solid performances overall. Moreover, the visitors are one of the hardest opponents in the league, despite the final standing. They have shown the quality and capacity of pushing hard and being hard to play against. Those tactics showed solid results that can**8217;t be underrated at the play-off rounds.

                          Since the importance of the games shares such an important value for both sides, I will not take their chances for the clash. Having them into some great form facing at the moment where will be forced to present their best, my pick here will be based on expecting at least a goal by both opponents.

                          Good luck!
                          0-3 pick lost


                          Comment


                            #14
                            Pick 1
                            Football Mexico
                            Guadalajara - Necaxa
                            Tip: Necaxa with AH +0.5
                            Odd: 1.77
                            Sbobet

                            For both teams regular season was almost the same - Guadalajara finished on 7th place with 26 points after 17 matches. Necaxa collected only 2 points less. In last rounds Nexaca was in great shape - they won 5 last matches, in four of them they didn't lose even goal.
                            In first direct match in this season between that teams Necaxa scored first goal in 65th minute but Guadalajara finally won after goal in 94th minute.
                            It's only one match in this stage so I expect defensive attitude from both sides. From last match was almost 2eeks break but I hope Necaxa in this period maintain great form.
                            1-0 pick lost

                            Comment

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