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POD October 22/10/2020

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    POD October 22/10/2020

    Thanks to our sponsor Terje Grefstad

    *RULES*
    Odds must be between 1.75 and 2.25 and only odds taken from these 3 bookmakers are allowed:

    Bet365
    Pinnacle
    SBOBet

    You can only take these bet types:

    -Asian handicap bets
    -Over/Under bets (Game total)
    -BTTS bets!

    *To be able to win the competition POD, you need to post 10 picks per month in 2020/21*
    For other details check the thread POD 2020 - RULES!

    Prices for POD:
    1st place - 110 EUR
    2nd place - 60 EUR
    3rd place - 30 EUR

    You can check odds for your picks here:
    http://www.oddsportal.com/

    #2
    ?/2 (87 pts?)
    Darya Kasatkina - Jennifer Brady
    Pick: Jennifer Brady -1.5 sets
    Odds: 2.11 @ Pinnacle

    Round of 16 of the WTA Ostrava open brings Darya Kasatkina and Jennifer Brady face to face for the first time. Here we have two pretty different players with different forms. Kasatkina who's broken the top50 once had a low 2019 season which extended to 2020 as well. She is just 18-13 on the year and ranked #75 at the moment. Brady on the other hand enjoyed a big jump (#26th WTA) and some real success, especially this yearh when she won the Lexington title. She came back from a set down to beat Yastremska in the first round so that's even more good vibe. In this one I am going for a straight set win. She's the player who is going up and she's pretty ruthless on hardcourt. I don't think Kasatkina will be much work, she had to play decisive sets in her last 2 matches here and that is saying even more.
    57 26 pick won

    Comment


      #3
      Pick#9 6/2 +508

      Football, UAE

      Al Sharjah - Al Wahda

      Pick: over 3.5
      Odds: 2.00
      Bookie: Pinnacle

      Both teams in opening round showed really decent offensive performances, pretty much a thing you can expect from teams having such decent attacking lines. Sharjah won 4-2 vs Fujairah, Wahda 6-0 vs Hatta. Of course Wahda played an hour with one man advantage, but even before it they scored twice and were creating chances constantly. Good sign was that their star signing Matavz scored twice, he struggled a bit before it, but finally proved his class and showed that he will be major boost in offense. Another star of team M'Poku is back after injury and also put his name on scoresheet. Luvannor is doubtful, but even without him there're lot of options to score. Meanwhile Sharjah had more troubles in opener, but thnx to their super trio upfront won the game. Their pace, creativity, versatile football in attack already looks good enough and will cause lot of troubles to every rival. Basically this is a game where offense must decide the winner, there is much more class than at the back. So goals seems like logical choice to bet on too. GL
      2-1 pick lost

      Comment


        #4
        Pick #3 +181
        Bayer Leverkusen - Nice
        over 3.0 @ 2.11 from Sbobet

        Leverkusen is hosting Nice and the visitors from Ligue 1 should be able to score one goal at the very least in Leverkusen. They are coming off two consecutive wins and the form of the tema looks terrific. Leverkusen always likes to play offensive football and this group is wide open for top two so they should chase their first home win.

        I expect 2:1 at the very minimum and I think that the earlier schedule will work in favour of goals. Nice in this form are no easy task to complete for Leverkusen and the Bundesliga defences are never to be trusted.
        6-2 pick won

        Comment


          #5
          Pick #6 Won 4 Lost 1 +369
          Soccer - Russia PFL - Group 1
          Game - Krasnodar 3 vs. Tuapse
          Pick: Over 3.5 goals
          Odds: 2.03
          Bookie: Pinnacle

          Well both are low league clubs but Tuapse is really bad as at home they have conceded 21 goals this season while away from home they have played just 3 games and despite scoring 6 times they also conceded 13 goals as all those games went as high as over 4.5 goals scored in all of them. First they played on the road away at Inter Cherkessk and lost there with 3-2, than they failed to score but lost big away at Forte Taganrong 6-0, and a few days ago they played a 4-4 draw away at 2nd from bottom Yessentuki, a game in which all 8 goals were scored from the 37th minute till the 78th minute. My point is their defense is crap as I do not even know those 3 teams they have played on the road that well and they are not top teams for this league level for sure, and they are bottom in the league as that 4-4 draw last game was the only point they won so far. And I shall also list some of their recent home games, losing 5-1 against Kholding, 3-0 with Legion Dynamo and Maykop, 2-1 to SKA Rostov, 2-1 to Mashuk and 6-1 to Kuban, but really on the road their defense is even worse, and Krasnodar 3 is with 8 points maybe not that high in the league standings but they are an attacking minded side full of talented youngster, they have no reason to be cautious here and I expect an attacking game from them and 3+ goals scored, maybe even 4 as opponent is the weakest in the league and worse defense as well, but the guests can score at least a goal if not more, time is ticking up and they do need to start getting results.
          5-3 pick won
          I've imagined a world of peace and tranquility... and it was so... boring

          Comment


            #6
            pick 1

            Europa League

            Liberec vs Gent


            pick Gent - o,25 AH

            Odd 2,11 with Pinnacle


            Liberec is 7-th in the Czech Liga.I saw them in the Europa League playoff, against FCSB. Nothing special, just an average team. They defeated FCSB, 2-0 but it must be said FCSB was absolutely decimated by covid19 so the result means nothing and in my opinion, if FCSB were complete the result was much different, and in FCSB favor. Anyway, tonight they will play against a much better team. Gent is another level even if they started very bad in their domestic league. They changed 2 trainers but now it seems bad time is in the past. They were eliminated from CL by Kiev but their game was not so bad as the results show.I think the better team should prevail here and this is clear Gent.
            1-0 pick lost

            Comment


              #7
              Pick #2 (0-0-1) -100
              Football
              Europa League group stage
              Napoli - AZ Alkmaar
              Pick: Napoli -1.75 AH
              Odds: 1.96
              Pinnacle

              AZ have been struggling so far this season. They only won 1 game so far and that win was after extra time against Viktoria Plzen. They were leading 3-1, 4-0 and 2-0 in the last 3 matches but all ended eventually in a draw. Now they have also been hit by the Covid virus with a couple of players out including one of their best attackers Boadu.
              Napoli have won all matches so far this season and are also scoring goals easily with 12 goals in 3 matches. Their only setback was the regulary 0-3 defeat against Juventus because they didn't show up.
              Given the current form of both teams, i expect Napoli to start the Europa League with an easy win.
              0-1 pick lost

              Comment


                #8
                Pick #4 (+133) 2W / 1L
                Europe, Europa League
                Tottenham Hotspur - LASK
                Pick: Tottenham Hotspur -1.75 AH
                Odd: 1.98 - Pinnacle

                Tottenham Hotspur and LASK are against each other in this Europa League evening. LASK didn't start the Austrian season in the right way as they have only seven points from four matches that they have played so far while Tottenham Hotspur dropped few points also in this Premier League season as they are standing on the 7th position with just eight points from five matches. Tottenham Hotspur had two very good matches in their last three matches as they won against Maccabi Haifa 7-2 for Europa League and than 1-6 against Manchester United. In my opinion this match should be a very easy match for Tottenham Hotspur so I would go for Tottenham Hotspur to win this match with at least 2-3 goals ahead and take them with handicap.
                3-0 pick won

                Comment


                  #9
                  Pick 2 1 Void
                  Europa League
                  Lech Poznan v Benfica

                  Pick Lech +1,5 AH
                  odds 1,76 Sbobet

                  Benfica is huge favorite here but question is that they will this game seriously. In last seasons Benfica many times set mix first and reserve team in eueropean cups even in knock out round. Now to Poznan coach took strongest squad but perhaps some biggest star will leave on bench. Poznan make impressive road to group stage after 3 away wons over swedish, cyprus and belgian teams. Lech in team has many quality players like Tiba Moder or Dani. Especially Tiba who came from Portugal will give today 100 % of ability. I expect low margin win of Benfica here.
                  2-4 pick lost

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Pick No 5 (2-2) +27

                    Rapid Vienna - Arsenal

                    Pick: Arsenal -1.25 AH
                    Odds: 2.20
                    Bet365

                    Arsenal are probably going to use a weakened first line-up than their usual starting eleven. However, even that is enough to beat Austrian team like Rapid Vienna. No matter how many changes we see from Arsenal and Mikel Arteta it should not change the final outcome of this game. Arsenal with greater defence and much better attacking players both starters and the usual subs. Vienna are out of their depth against the English giants and anything but a comfortable Arsenal win would come as a shock to me
                    1-2 pick 1/2 lost

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Pick 7

                      (4-0-2)

                      +190

                      German Handball Bundesliga

                      Balingen - Ludwigshafen

                      pick : under 50,5 goals

                      Bookie: Pinnacle

                      Odds: 2,19


                      today it's handball, german bundesliga. balingen receive ludwigshafen. this will be a fight for points against relegation, both teams as well as coburg and nordhorn will have a very difficult time this season. Balingen with some important players who are injured against the owls who are playing today without 3 players there are covid quaratane. ludwigshafen so far always under 50.5 goals this season, defense and goalkeeper (skof) very good. think there will be few goals in this close Game . my tip 24:24
                      26-27 pick lost

                      Comment


                        #12
                        Pick #2 (1W-0V-0L) (+79)

                        League: Europe league - group stage
                        Match: Napoli - AZ Alkmaar
                        Pick: Over 3,5
                        Odds: 2.23
                        Bookmaker: Pinnacle


                        Hosts coach Gattuso is actually excited about EL start even tough some bigger clubs don't treat it seriously, he is fielding decent lineup with Politano, Mertens, Lozano and Osimhen in the upper part of the team. AZ don't have striker Boadu and GK Bizot in the lineup but still the rest of the players who played last match against Venlo are there, Midtsjo, Karlsson, de Wit, Stengs... I expect a nice and fast match to watch, Napoli started great this season, dismantled Atalanta 4-1, playing extremely well in the first half scoring four in that period. AZ have problems to close some matches in the Eredivisie but managed to score. Their defense is problem and i don't think that this game will be hard for them as they have a slim chances to get a fine result just in case that Napoli don't show which i hope won't be the case. 4-1
                        0-1 pick lost

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Pick #6 2/0/3 0

                          Europa League
                          Match; Celtic - Milan
                          Pick: Both to score
                          Odds: 1.75 @ BET 365

                          Well, very interesting clash between these two teams, because they are on totally different poles after their last games. Celtic lost against Rangers, and Milan won over Inter in the Derby de la Madonna. Last decade Celtic are unpredictable in EU tournaments and The devils from Italy were producing poor performance, especially the first halfseasons in Seria A. Now Celtic are at home and historically they lost only one game at home against Milan(in Italy Milan totally dominates). I expect Celtic to react like stinged after the big disappointment against Rangers.
                          On the other hand we have Milan with some big blows like Chalahanoglu, Rebic and Duarte, but Castelleho will replace with Tonali, still not bad. Ibra is a real inspirataion for Milan, their leader and scorer. So I expect 1:1, 1:2, 2:2 in this game, perhaps 2:3 may happen.Don't forget Milan had already made 2:2 with Rio Ave as a guest and now Celtic, trying to repaint their mood. GL !!!
                          1-3 pick won

                          Comment


                            #14
                            Pick 6 (3-0-2 +160)

                            Europa league
                            Braga vs AEK Athens
                            pick: AEK +0.75 ah
                            odds: 2.14 at SBO


                            Game takes place at the Est?dio Municipal de Braga, between Sporting Braga and AEK Athens. The home side head into this game on the back of their back to back wins over Tondela and Nacional. Confidence is back.

                            The visitors, on the other hand, had a tough draw against PAOK last weekend. But overall, their form looks not bad. They should be more than ready to tackle the favorites Braga here.

                            Hosts are in good mood. But this is a total different competition than their domestic league. So, don't expect an easy win for home side here. The away team has a smart coach, Carrera. So, this could be a tricky match. My heart is with Braga but my head keeps telling me to back the visitors. My call is 0-0 or 1-1 here. Thus, back Away +0.75AH.
                            3-0 pick lost


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