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Summer POD 05/08/2020

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    Summer POD 05/08/2020

    Thanks to our sponsor Terje Grefstad

    *RULES*
    Odds must be between 1.75 and 2.25 and only odds taken from these 3 bookmakers are allowed:

    Bet365
    Pinnacle
    SBOBet

    You can only take these bet types:

    -Asian handicap bets
    -Over/Under bets (Game total)
    -BTS bets!

    *To be able to win the competition POD, you need to post 15 picks from 1st of June until 31st of August, 2020.*
    For other details check the thread POD 2020 - RULES!

    Prices for Summer POD:
    1st place - 150 EUR
    2nd place - 75 EUR
    3rd place - 50 EUR

    You can check odds for your picks here:
    http://www.oddsportal.com/

    Good luck !

    #2
    Pick #8

    4-0-3 +113

    Chinese Super League
    Shandong Luneng v Shanghai Shenhua
    Pick: OVER 3
    Odds: 2.21 Pinnacle


    Shandong Luneng last season played in ACL and in the league they have finished 5th. They've had 3 goals on average in their games, 55:35 goal record and 19/30 over 2.5 games. They have started the season with 3:2 win against Dalian Pro, with hat-trick from Belgian star Maroune Fellaini, and then they have drawn 0:0 against other strong team Jiangsu Suning. With players like Fellaini or Italian striker Graziano Pelle, this team is always good for goals.

    Shanghai Shenhua was among the most overish teams last season. They've had 3.3 goals on average in their games, 43:57 goal record and 24/30 over 2.5. With Obafemi Martins, El Shaarawy, Giovanni Moreno and Kim Shin-Wook all in the squad, this team can score goals in every game, but their defence, made up from local players, was their downfall as they have finished on 13th place. In first game of the new season they have lost 0:2 to Guangzhou Evergrande and then won a 3:2 thriller against Shenzhen.

    In previous two seasons the league fixtures between this teams resulted in very exciting games, two 2:2 draw and two 3:1 Shandong Luneng's wins. Both this teams are known for their attacking skills and there will be a lot of good, foreign attacking players on the pitch. I expect at least 3 goals scored here.
    0-1 pick lost

    Comment


      #3
      Pick #1

      YBC Levain Cup
      Shimizu - Nagoya
      pick: over 2.75
      odds: 1.95 bet365


      I like teams like Shimizu and Nagoya for overs. In league games Shimizu had 11 overs in 17 home games in 2019, this year 4 overs in 4 home games. Nagoya had 10 overs in 17 away games in 2019, this year 2 overs in 4 away games. In cup games Nagoya played very open games last two years - 11 overs in 12 games.

      This year Nagoya started this cup with narrow win 1-0 against Kashima. Shimizu lost to Kawasaki 1-5 away.

      As I said I like meeting of these two teams. In recent history you can find 4 overs in 5 games (in older history it is much better for overs, but it is not relevant). They have already met this year in league game and Shimizu lost 1-2 at home. All goals have been scored in 1st half.

      My call is 3-2.
      0-3 pick 1/2 won

      Comment


        #4
        Pick #3/ 1-0-1/ -5

        Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar

        The match is going to be played in Sydney. However, the Phoenix have had this as a home base for a couple of months now, since the creation of the A-League hub, so it's not quite a neutral territory for them. These two teams are sitting 3rd and 4th respectively.

        Wellington have never finished above the 4th in the league and now they have a huge opportunity under Ufuk Talay, a prize for himself too, to finish the highest ever for them in the A-League. They can even finish second if Melbourne City stumbles on the way somewhere.
        Two more rounds to go in the regular season.

        Ufuk Talay transformed the Phoenix since he took over and they are a pleasant side to watch now, scoring goals and getting results.

        The Roar set themselves as target a second spot finish, which means winning their last remaining games, and hoping that Melbourne City stumbles, as I said above.
        On the other hand, if Roar loses this and they don't get a result in the last round either, they will have to fear for their play-off spot, as Western United have 4 games in hand and they are playing well.
        Their coach encouraged the players to give it all they have as the finish line gets nearer.

        I'd take BTTS & Over 2.5 if this type of bet was allowed, but it's not clear from the rules if it is.

        Bet: Over 2.5 @1.98, Pinnacle
        1-1 pick lost

        Comment


          #5
          Pick #2 (1-0-0) +84
          Club Friendly, Football
          FC Koper vs Ferencvaros
          FC Koper +1.75 @ 1.79 (Pinnacle)

          Going to get involved in Ferencvaros game once more. Koper is a solid team, that returned to 1.SNL this year. I rate them even better than Tabor that played Ferencvaros yesterday. Koper played many friendlies since March but their first real tests came in Kranjska Gora against two Hungarian teams MTK Budapest and Budafoki. They lost 2:1 against MTK and won 3:2 against Budafoki.
          Bookmakers underestimating Slovenian team once again, fair handicap is 1.25 in my opinion, so value on the "home" team.
          0-2 pick 1/2 lost

          Comment


            #6
            PICK #5 -1
            Serie B
            Cittadella - Frosinone
            Over 2.25 @ 2.12 Sbobet

            Serie B mugs are usually not that offensive but now we have the playoffs underway and the motivation to win is much higher so we should see more offensive approach from both teams. Yesterday it was a huge mugfest in the first Serie B playoff game between Chievo and Empoli cause both teams missed penalties LOL, today I believe we will see more goals because the teams match each other offensively and over is my call.
            2-3 pick won
            The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
            And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

            Comment


              #7
              Pick #3 (0-1-1) -100
              Football
              Europa League, Knockout Round
              Inter Milan - Getafe CF
              Pick: Inter Milan -0.75 AH
              Odds: 2.09
              Pinnacle

              Inter Milan have looked much better in the last months as Getafe.
              Getafe won only 1 of the last 12 matches and with a poor 0-2-4 record in the last 6 they finished only 8th in LaLiga and outside European football. They also haven't played a official match for almost 3 weeks now.
              Inter finished the Serie A last weekend and after an excellent 5-2-0 run in the last 7 matches finished second only 1 point behind champions Juventus.
              I expect Inter to win this match and advance to the next round.
              2-0 pick won

              Comment

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