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APRIL POD 16/04/2019

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    APRIL POD 16/04/2019

    Thanks to our sponsor Terje Grefstad

    *RULES*
    Odds must be between 1.75 and 2.25 and only odds taken from these 3 bookmakers are allowed:
    Bet365
    Pinnacle
    SBOBet

    You can only take these bet types:

    -Asian handicap bets
    -Over/Under bets (Game total)
    -BTS bets!

    For other details check the thread POD 2018 - RULES!

    Prices as usual:
    1st place - 110 EUR
    2nd place - 60 EUR
    3rd place - 30 EUR

    You can check odds for your picks here:
    http://www.oddsportal.com/

    Good luck !!!

    #2
    Pick nr.8
    5-2 +398
    Barcelona x Manchester United
    Pick: Over 3.5
    Odds: 2.25 in PINNACLE

    Manchester United did not try and force a goal in the first game. Barcelona had a quick 1:0 lead and then they kept ball possession for most of the time. United did not want to concede second away goal so they played like cowards and basically just gave up. But this was their plan all along, to repeat the same kind of performance like against PSG. It will be much harder but not impossible, Barcelona have their weaknessess and they can be exploited, mainly from set piece due to their lowe height per average player. This game must be an attacking one. United will for sure concede more goals at Camp Nou and they must score mutliple goals anyway.
    3-0 pick lost

    Comment


      #3
      Pick 3
      +164.5

      Champions League
      Barcelona - Manchester Utd

      Pick: 1(-1.75) ah
      Odds: 2.25
      Bookie: bet365

      Second leg match of the Champions League. Barcelona rested all of their best players in last weekend's round vs Huesca in a 0:0 draw. Meanwhile Manchester United had to use their full squad and best players in a tough weekend match vs West Ham that Manchester barely won 2:1 thanks to two converted penalties of Paul Pogba.
      In the first match Manchester United were atrocious in offense having zero shots on target. If they were that bad at home then there's very little hope for United in this second away leg.
      Moreover United's challenges motivated Lionel Messi. Chris Smalling was really rough on Messi few times so Barcelona will remember that and they shouldn't stop with 1:0 or 2:0, there's a desire to humiliate this Manchester team and what better place to do that than on this pitch.

      Barcelona -1.75 asian handicap home win, good luck!
      3-0 pick won

      Comment


        #4
        Pick #1 (0W-0V-0L) (+-0)

        League: Champions League quarter finals
        Match: Juventus - Ajax
        Pick: Over 2,5
        Odds: 1.82
        Bookmaker: Sbobet


        First match finished 1-1 and it favors Italian side but if we watched 1st leg, Ajax had more better chances to score a goal. They proved that they can be dangerous and what i like in this team is one great thing: they play their game regardless of opponent and they are really joy to watch imho. Their style shouldn't change here as they need goal. Ajax must score at least once if they want to hope for semi-finals. Their philosophy should be to try to score as many as they can which raises their chances drastically. Thinking in that way also matches with their game so i think that it is the way to go. Same result was in clash against Real in 1st leg but we know what happened then. I doubt that Juventus will play for draw here or a bit defensive especially in front of their fans and teams with CR7 in attack don't play catenaccio. This will be great game to watch with many dramatic moments and i expect to see at least three goals in it.
        1-2 pick won

        Comment


          #5
          Pick #4 Won 1 Lost 2 -98
          Soccer - Czech Republic Youth League
          Game - Sparta Prague U21 vs. Mlada Boleslav U21
          Pick: Sparta Prague U21(-1)AH
          Odds: 2.19
          Bookie: Pinnacle Sports

          Well odds going up on Sparta Prague U21 here, so probably either Sparta is not playing with their best line-up or Mlada decided the two defeats in this group stage are enough and are going to play today with a strong side. I do not really see how this could help Mlada though as I watched them cowardly defend at home last game played against an in-form Sigma Olomouc U21 side and with the score being 3-0 for Sigma by the 49th minute of the game and with their opponents allowing them to attack they did not even score a single goal while they could have easily conceded a couple more goals but Sigma strikers did not focus that much when it came to scoring more goals.
          Now Sparta U21 themselves came close to shame last round, 1-0 down at Brno in the 2nd minute of the game, they found themselves conceding 2 more goals despite playing 11 vs 10 men, made it 3-1 by half-time, while in the second half Brno U21 received a second red card and Sparta was of course all over their opponents but only managed to score just 2 goals as it ended in a 3-3 draw, but really Sparta U21 should have won that game given the circumstances, the Brno U21 players did all they could to stall time in the last 20 minutes, and it they succeeded in keeping a draw. Under normal circumstances Brno should have won that game by even more than one goal difference, as for example yesterday they beat a decent Plzen U21 side with no less than 5-1 on the road, showing just how strong they are. But Sparta is tough themselves, winning the league during the normal season by many points ahead, they did draw in the start of this season 2-2 with Mlada U21 at home, but really they have some of the best players at this Youth Level.
          Mlada has 4 defeats in their last 5 games, except for a 6-1 win away at Dukla Prague U21 team which I do not rate that highly as yesterday they lost to a poor Trinec U21 side with 2-1 at home despite being in full control of the game, they had 20 shots and scored just one goal, while their opponents could have catched them on the break but were too defensive. This while Mlada U21 lost 2-0 at home to Ceske U21, not something to be proud of, 3-1 loss in this group away from home at Bohemians U21, a mediocre side, and a really poor 6-2 loss at Liberec U21.
          So given all this even if Mlada U21 put on a better side I still see Sparta winning this game even by 2 goals difference and since odds went up on the home win I am going to take the -1.25 AH on the hosts to win this one.
          0-2 pick lost
          I've imagined a world of peace and tranquility... and it was so... boring

          Comment


            #6
            Pick #5
            1-0-3 -176

            Algeria Cup
            ES Setif v Bejaia
            Pick: ES Setif -1.25
            Odds: 2.07 SBObet


            First leg of Algeria Cup 1/2-final.

            Bejaia is a team from 2nd league. In current season they are 8th in 2nd league after 27 of 30 rounds, no chance of promotion or danger of relegation. They've enjoy a good run in the cup, eliminating two lower leagues teams, a 2nd league team and then after two draws 1st division Paradou. It's important to notice that like most Algerian teams Bejaia's strenght is at home stadium, but their away record in 2nd league is awful: 2-3-9 with 9:19 goal difference. That they've managed to eliminate Paradou by snatching a 1:1 away draw(after 0:0 at home) is a big achievement but not something that should be expected to happen again.

            ES Setif are much stronger and well known team then their opponents. They were recently Algerian champions in 2017, finished 8th in 2017/18 season and in current season are 5th, 2 points behind the 3rd place. ES Setif is strong home team, this season they are 7-2-3 at home, in previous seasons were 9-3-3 and 12-3-0. In Cup this season they've eliminated 2nd division Bou Saada, two first division teams Medea(13th place) and USM Alger(current league leaders) 3:1 in January, and then 2nd league Annaba(0:2, 4:0). ES Setif's not the best performance in league this season might be explained by them being busy with a lot of continental football. They were involved in Arab Club Champions Cup, where they've eliminated UAE Al-Ain before losing to Saudi Al-Ahli Jeddah. They also have had a great run in CAF Champions League, where they've reached semi-final before losing to Egyptian giants Al-Ahly(0:2, 2:1). In their home games in CAF CL they've beaten teams like Difaa El Jadidi and Wydad Casablanca from Morocco, Egyptian Al-Ahly and also had a respectable 1:1 draw against Congolese giants TP Mazembe. Recently ES Setif have been in good form, they've regrouped and improved their league position after a fine run of wins and also sealed cup semi-final with emphatic 4:0 home win over Annaba.

            The point is, ES Setif is a strong team that was able this season to compete against absolute top teams on the African continent. Home advantage will be on the stronger teams side here and I expect them to fully utilise it. Bejaia away from home struggle big time even in 2nd division(2-3-9, 9:19) and ES Setif should build a good advantage here before an always tricky away 2nd leg.
            1-2 pick lost

            Comment


              #7
              Pick 5 / +259

              Vila Nova FC - Bragantino

              Pick 1 (AH -0.5)
              Odds 1.90
              bet365

              Football game from Brazil Copa do Brasil - Vila Nova FC at home play with Bragantino.
              Vila Nova FC at home looks like a team with good chances to win the game for round 3 on this championship.
              Bragantino weak away from home, they are lower division squad all in all - serie d on Brazil.
              Vila Nova FC team from 2nd division on Brazil, they should to win at home against team from the lower level.
              In last games 2 wins 2 ties for home records on Vila Nova FC. Bragantino away from home is with 1 win 4 ties and 3 losses in last 8. Good luck!!!
              2-0 pick won

              Comment


                #8
                Pick 5 (1w,3l)

                Munchen-Augsburger
                Pick 1(-1.5), 2.17 ,Pinnacle

                Why?
                There is 3:3in the series and Munchen have a crucial home rink.They have also slight better players and bigger experience.
                h2h isalsoon their side.They have not lost any of last 6 homegames with Augburger winning 4 of them,drawing 2 (one lost after OT).
                Bad thing is that they scored only 3 goals IN TOTAl in last 3 games vs Augsburger but the good is that they allowed only 2 in reg.time.
                They should finally play better up front.They have som adv.as they were able to win once on the road in 60 min (2:1) and once in a regul.season.
                Munchen gained 23 points more in a reg. season, big gap! They were also very strong at home in a reg.season while Augsburger were very mediocre away from home (9th place).
                2-0 pick won

                Comment


                  #9
                  Pick # 7

                  -180

                  New York Yankees - Boston Red Sox

                  Pick : OVER 9.0
                  Odds : 2.22
                  Pinnacle

                  New York Yankees meet at home Boston Red Sox in this game from USA, MLB like a small favorite.
                  New York Yankees is with 6-9 w/l record season overall, while Boston Red Sox is with 6-11 w/l record season overall.
                  I think the best for this game is pick for total runs over. The both starters are good for this, also tradition is a good for Over total runs.
                  Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
                  The Red Sox pitcher is Chris Sale. The left-handed is with poor performance this season 0-3 w/l, 9.00 ERA. Over is 8-2 in Sales last 10 starts overall. Also Over is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts against the Yankees.
                  On the other hand NY Yankees with left-handed James Paxton. He is with 1-2 w/l , 6.00 ERA.
                  8-0 pick lost

                  Comment


                    #10
                    #1 Handball Poland
                    Chrobry Glogow v Vive Kielce
                    pick Chrobry +8,5 goals
                    odds 1.95 bet365

                    First match of the play off stage. Vive is big favorite here but like usual like in last months they has some missings problems. Many players are injuried ( Lijewski, Dushanbaeev, Jurecki, Cindric and Iviv) ,other six players played in week in nationals team in qualifications and today hey can be tired after only 2 days of rest. Today Vive take to Glogow only 12 players including two goalies. Vive soon has important match in champions league so i dont expect that they will fight to much today. Chrobry also has some internal problems but only one or two players can be out. Vive will win for sure today but i think that a margin of win will be 6-8 goals.
                    22-41 pick lost

                    Comment


                      #11
                      7th pick
                      3 won 3 lost +56

                      nba playoff

                      Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
                      Over 227.5
                      2.25 bet365

                      In the first game Oklahoma had one of the worst possible shooting nights and they still gave their best fight to Portland that had to work really, really hard for that Game 1 win.
                      Now Oklahoma can only do better, it's almost impossible that the ball won't obey them as much it didn't in Game 1. Portland are a high shootng offensive team with a high pace and Oklahoma City are no different. Game 2 and a lot is at stake here, both will want to win it and their way of winning is constantly attacking.
                      114-94 pick lost

                      Comment

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