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Pick of the day 28/2

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  • Pick of the day 28/2

    Well the end of this month and this competition is fast aproaching so good luck all!

    Please support the competition by visiting our sponsor!

  • #2
    My pick of the day:
    Ipswich - Preston OVER 2.5 goals, (1.80 @ Pointbet)
    BET LOST - 2:0 Tomor

    My preview is here:


    • #3
      Sint Truiden – Charleroi (+0.5) 2, 2.06 @ Gamebookers
      PICK WON - 1:2 Tomor

      Backing Charleroi this year has mostly payed off.They are a much better team with arrival of a few players in the january market, but seems like bookies don’t care about it and are constantly underestimating them.This time Gamebookers really surprised me with their generous offer, regarding that St Truiden isn’t so dangerous at home (4-4-3) as he was last couple of years, this is a pure value.Of course Charleroi’s score away (1-4-7), and their position on the table made odds compilers do their job that way, but that isn’t the same team any more.Adding that Charleroi has more to fight for as they’re still in the relegation zone and St Truiden is in the middle of table with small chances of reaching the spot for euro-competitions, we get another ‘for’.Charleroi has no injury problems, St Truiden without suspended Vrancken and De Ceulaer.
      He who controls others may be powerful, but he who has mastered himself is mightier still.


      • #4
        Leicester- Wolverhampton Over 2.5 @1.95 Bet365
        PICK LOST - 0:0 Tomor

        One of my two lost bets this month was Leicester-Bolton Over 2.5, couple weeks ago. It was 1:1 after 25 minutes, and after 90 minutes I was realy mad. So, it's payback time.

        :arrow: First - nice odds. I give about 70% for over, 20% for under and 10% for a draw. (I mean, two goals and one woodwork...) Seriously, I wonder why some of the bookies have bigger odds for over here. (...I hope, I will never find out...).

        :arrow: We have Leicester, team which conceded most goals at home (23), and Wolves, usually coming home with bus full of them. (30, only Leeds is worse). Overall in the league, Leicester conceded 1.96 goal per match, and Wolves only twice with clean sheet in away games.

        :arrow: Yes, Wolves scoring every second year in away matches (only 7 goals so far), but I think this is their chance for improving, against the worst home defence in the league.

        :arrow: For Leicester this is the chance for escape against direct relegation concurent, and for Wolves one of the rare away games where they can seek for three points.

        :arrow: Like I've said for Leicester-Bolton game, draw will not satisfied neither team. Ok, was 1:1, but did you have seen their faces after the game?

        :arrow: And last game between these two? Wow, admirers of live betting for sure have to say something about it! Wolves - Leicester: 0:3 HT, 4:3 FT!

        And don't ask me why I bolded this text. I guess, it just makes me more self-confident in the pick.

        Good Luck!
        Choose wisely


        • #5
          arttex Posted: Sat Feb 28, 2004 5:55 am Post subject:
          Zalaegerszeg - MFC Pécs 1 @2.00 Centrebet
          In Hungary there won't be any game this weekend, they are all postponed.
          It's easy to be Hard and Hard to be Smart.
          For instance, did you know it is technically illegal to own more than six vibrators in Texas? It's true.


          • #6
            Ok, thanks varganya, I will delete this, and looking for the other one. By the way, what you think about Zalaegerszeg in the second part of the season?
            Choose wisely


            • #7
              "Lucky" me... I had to be at work since early morning, so what else can i do instead of "betting studies"? So, good morning and here's my 9th pick of the day for February:

              Iraklis-Panionios - 1 - 1.85 @ William Hill
              PICK LOST - 0:3 Tomor

              Both teams r going to that game with missing players. The difference is the number of them and the impact they have at their squads... Iraklis will miss Machlas who's the first goalscorer of the team this year due to suspension, but with the likes of Ederson, Miecel and the youngster Kapetanos, who's all very capable i cannot see that there will be big problem. Key defender Katsiambis is injured, but there r plenty of players to cover his absense. Midfielder Kucharski is long term injured but he has lost his place at first 11 anyway, midfielder Muratti is suspended but he has missed many games recently (as far as i am concerned) because of injury. Yesterday the coach anounced that "u will see the most attacking Iraklis of the season" and i can understand that since the visitors have so many problems.

              Panionios will be missing influential argentinian midfielder Pino, the striker Klimek, the key defenders Smiljanic, Giannopoulos, the new transfer Katsiaros and two youngsters who could help the team go to Salonica with 18 players. Now they have only 16 and the key defender Vlcek comes from injury and will be in first squad because someone has to be there! As for the bench, there r four youngsters - only one is really good and able to help - but i guess the coach shouldn't bother cause they should be losing from first half with a difference.

              That was all, 1.85 is great for all those who have accounts at Will Hill and 1.80 at Interwetten for the "over" seems ok, although Iraklis might score just two and concede none.

              P.S.: I apologise for any misspelling of foreign names .

              Good luck.


              • #8
                Pick Number 8 (up to now 4/7 +35)

                Litex Lovech - CSKA Sofia 2 @2.55 BetAndWin
                PICK LOST - 1:0

                Match from Bulgarian Premier League. This is the derby of this round and it will be very interesting due to some reasons.
                The coach of CSKA is the former coach of Litex Ferario Spasov, and he knows very well the tactics of Lovech side, and now he will find ways to beat the opponent.
                CSKA Sofia hasn't win in Lovech from the moment Litex promoted from the lower division. Now the both squads are very good and well completed. CSKA has very good attackers and midfielders. They are playing with the idea: "The opponent can score 3, but we will score 4".
                For the home side will have two big missings - the national goalkeeper Zdravko Zdravkov, and the central defender Rosen Kirilov, who is also in the national team.
                CSKA will play with 2 attackers, and two attackeing-wings - Emil Gargorov and the new player Amiran Mudjiri. This will strengthen more the attacking phase.
                Litex has a lot of new transfers, but they haven't adjusted yet.


                • #9

                  This is my last POTD in this month.

                  So,now I have to write some info about this match,missing players,form of the clubs,last meetings etc,etc.
                  In this case I dont do that cause even birds knows that Nottingham dont win in last(who counts more)games.This is last chance for them IMO.Bradford really poor away record 3-3-10.I dont know what to say about this match anymore.If they lose next year we can see them playing vs Sheffield,Rushden or Blackpool.

                  Notthingam-Bradford ht-ft 1-1 2,50@Expekt
                  PICK LOST - D/H Tomor

                  P.S. I lost lot of cash betting on Nottingham and like my friend Arttex said its payback time. :wink:


                  • #10
                    Hehe, my countrymen just do not let me to finish the competition and take my 10th pick. Firstly I wanted to take Liverpool to win with 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0, but smagdanoz was faster. Now Filipo took the pick I wanted.
                    Filipo, good luck with your play.
                    Want to add few thoughts. Rosen Kirilov will play and will be in starting eleven certainty. But it is the same with Emil Gargorov - best CSKA's player. He is fit and will be away team's heart in this game.
                    Litex is very good team, no dispute here. But with the changes after the winter break they are no performing well, despite the 2 wins taken. CSKA play good football and after the unlucky lost 2 points (3-3 away first round after the break) they are in must-win situation. CSKA is the more ambitious team. This is key match for them. If champions win here they can bravely look for 2nd consecutive title. Until the match with the main rival Levski they will have several games against not so classy teams and will add lots of points in their assets.

                    I can recommend everybody to take the away win here. You can place and draw-cover bet. I really don't see Litex to win this match.
                    Probable scores: 1-2, 0-1, 1-1


                    What a misfortune it was... Lovech didn't perform good in their first 2 matches, despite they won. But today they were quite different team and made their best match for the second half of the season. Best CSKA's player, the heart of the team, played awful. Not only this, but he missed and penalty kick. Also CSKA hit the post twice. Today the luck definitely was not with the. Looked like someone have cursed them.
                    The match started with good speed play and both team had some goal chances. But CSKA missed theirs and Lovech scored. With the start of the second half CSKA began constant attacks, one after another. But Lady Luck was not on our side today. As I said CSKA even missed penalty kick and hit the post bar.
                    The missed penalty finally broke off psychically CSKA's players and all hope died.


                    • #11
                      Ok, Pick no9: Manchester City vs Chelsea pick Chelsea 2/2(HT/FT)@2.8 GB(2.5 for this competition)
                      PICK LOST - D/A Tomor

                      After a lucky match aT CL with Stuttgart, Chelsea back in Premier League with a team who play better away.
                      Last 2 matches home:
                      Manchester City Birmingham City 0-0
                      Manchester City Blackburn Rovers 1-1
                      Portsmouth Chelsea London FC 0:2
                      Blackburn Rovers Chelsea London FC 2:3
                      Manchester City defender Daniel van Buyten will return to the side after a spell out with a groin injuryand midfielders Joey Barton and Paul Bosvelt are available again after completing their suspensions.
                      Chelsea will welcome back Adrian Mutu after the Romanian striker missed this week's Champions League match with a thigh injury.
                      Damien Duff could start his first game in 2004 in Premier League.
                      From BBC:
                      Man City (from): James, Dunne, Distin, van Buyten, Tarnat, Wright-Phillips, McManaman, Sinclair, Sibierski, Barton, Bosvelt, Macken, Fowler, Arason, Jihai, Negouai, Jordan, Elliott, McCarthy.

                      Chelsea (from): Cudicini, Johnson, Terry, Desailly, Gallas, Melchiot, Bridge, Lampard, Makelele, Geremi, Parker, Gronkjaer, Cole, Duff, Hasselbaink, Gudjohnsen, Crespo, Mutu, Sullivan, Ambrosio.
                      14. Manchester City 26 6 9 11 36:38 27 (home)
                      4. Chelsea London FC 10 6 1 3 17:9 19 (away)
                      Manchester City Chelsea London FC 0:3 2002
                      Manchester City Chelsea London FC 1:2 2001
                      Manchester City Chelsea London FC 0:1 1995
                      Manchester City Chelsea London FC 1:2 1995

                      If Chelsea want win this game then will must attack in the 1 min.
                      GL to ALL!!


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by taurus
                        My pick of the day:
                        Ipswich - Preston OVER 2.5 goals, (1.80 @ Pointbet)

                        My preview is here:

                        He-he, good luck to you my friend, this is my favourite POD !!! I've posted my opinion since yesterday on it, in the relevant Div.1 thread, I'm sure you've seen it. The only way this pick can go sour, I feel, is if the game goes X2 !!! Meaning, that if Preston manage to get one of their usual good away results, it might be with a small score (0-1 or 1-1 for example). Overall, this has better than 75% for me...

                        Cheers 8)
                        Hasta la Victoria Siempre


                        • #13
                          Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen 1 @ 2.40 Interwetten
                          Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 WON



                          • #14
                            Mallorca- Athletic Madrid 0-0 level ----> 2 @ 2,15 Gamebookers
                            UNVALID PICK - Tomor

                            Mallorca will play today (only 2 days after their UEFA game in Russia).
                            So big journey even if they won.
                            I never seen that, only 2 days between two games.
                            In France it is impossible, i don't know for the other countries.
                            I am sure they will be tired and not really motivate for fighting in Spanish Liga.
                            Mallorca haven't won at home since 5 games, Athletico haven't won away since 7 games.
                            It seems to be a draw... So for the secure take level 0:0


                            • #15
                              February stats: 3/9 – 305 ops: ops:

                              I hope I can finish the month with wining pick to dig myself from very red numbers down there in the table. I'm hoping for better March. If nothing else it's my birthday's month, so it has to be better… :wink:

                              HSV – Bayer Leverkusen – over 2.5 goals @ 1.83 (Pinnacle)
                              PICK WON - 3:1 Tomor

                              Not much to say about that one. Both teams are playing attacking football with quite a lot of goals (scored and received). Leverkusen had played 14 overs and HSV 11 (their last three matches were under!) in 21 matches. HSV at home scores 1.7 and receives 1.3 goals per match and Leverkusen scores 1.55 and receives 1.18 goals in away matches.
                              The first match in September in Leverkusen finished 1:0 and I doubt these two can play another low scoring match today. I lost last two bets on over with HSV involved and now I hope the third time it will be lucky!

                              Good luck! :wink:


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