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Pick of the Day 22/2

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  • Pick of the Day 22/2

    I will update the results on Sunday, until then - happy hunting

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  • #2
    Thanks Per

    Let starts this day.

    My favorite pick from this day is

    Hertha - Frankfurt H 1.72@WillHill
    PICK LOST - 1:2 Tomor

    This should be an easy one. Hertha, a team which was thought, before the season of course, that they could win a championship is fighting against relegation. They were in big problems and they still are, but after the 2 last games which they have won (Stuttgart in Berlin and Freiburg in Freiburg) they have enough selfconfidence for another win. This time it is against Frankfurt, one of the worst teams in Bundesliga. For Hertha, this is the first time this season that they have a chance to move a way a bit from 16 place and to stay in Bundesliga. They have quite a good team, and all that they have needed was to win a game against a strong team like Stuttgart, to start believing in themselves again.
    This is how they should play, if nothing changes:
    Hertha: Fiedler - Friedrich, Van Burik, Simunic - Rehmer, Dardai, Fathi - Reina, Marcelinho, Rafael - Bobic.
    Eintracht: Nikolov - Preu***1071; - G***1100;nther, Chris, Hertzsch, B***1100;rger - Cha, Schur, Skela, Kreuz - Amanatidis.
    Eintracht has not won in Berlin since 1977, but of course these 2 teams have not played against each other every season, because Hertha was in 2nd Bundesliga and Regionalliga for quite a long time.
    I will put maximum on this game, and of course on Herthas win.

    Now some (ir)relevant statistic:

    Games from Hertha - Frankfurt the last 4 season:

    23/08/2003 Eintracht Frankfurt-Hertha Berlin 0-0
    28/04/2001 Hertha Berlin-Eintracht Frankfurt 3-0
    25/11/2000 Eintracht Frankfurt-Hertha Berlin 0-4
    08/04/2000 Hertha Berlin-Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0
    08/04/2000 Hertha Berlin-Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0
    06/11/1999 Eintracht Frankfurt-Hertha Berlin 4-0
    06/11/1999 Eintracht Frankfurt-Hertha Berlin 4-0

    Hertha the last 10 Games :

    14/02/2004 Freiburg-Hertha Berlin 2-3
    08/02/2004 Hertha Berlin-VFB Stuttgart 1-0
    31/01/2004 Werder Bremen-Hertha Berlin 4-0
    16/12/2003 FC K***1094;ln-Hertha Berlin 3-0
    13/12/2003 Hertha Berlin-1860 M***1100;nchen 1-1
    06/12/2003 Bor. Dortmund-Hertha Berlin 1-1
    30/11/2003 Hertha Berlin-Schalke 04 1-3
    23/11/2003 Kaiserslautern-Hertha Berlin 4-2
    08/11/2003 Hertha Berlin-Bor. M***1094;nchengladbach 2-1
    01/11/2003 Wolfsburg-Hertha Berlin 3-0

    Frankfurt the last 10 Games:

    14/02/2004 Eintracht Frankfurt-Hansa Rostock 1-1
    07/02/2004 Bayer Leverkusen-Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2
    31/01/2004 Eintracht Frankfurt-Bayern M***1100;nchen 1-1
    16/12/2003 Eintracht Frankfurt-Hamburger SV 2-3
    13/12/2003 Bochum-Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0
    06/12/2003 Eintracht Frankfurt-Hannover 96 2-2
    29/11/2003 Eintracht Frankfurt-Wolfsburg 3-2
    23/11/2003 Freiburg-Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0
    08/11/2003 Eintracht Frankfurt-VFB Stuttgart 0-2
    01/11/2003 Werder Bremen-Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1

    Hertha Berlin(Home Record)

    Record 9
    Wins 22.22%
    Draws 33.33%
    Lost 44.44%

    Eintracht Frankfurt(Away Record)

    Record 9
    Wins 22.22%
    Draws 11.11%
    Lost 66.67%

    Hertha The 16 place
    Frankfurt The 17 place

    good luck to all!


    • #3
      Xamax-0.5-Wil @1.93 PointBet
      BET LOST - 0:2 Tomor

      Couple words here:
      Choose wisely


      • #4
        Elazigspor-A.Sebatspor 0:0 asian h. :arrow: 2 :arrow: 1.89@ pinnacle

        [delayed to tomorrow so i am gonna use it on monday] As a result of this here is my sunday pick::

        Tottenham-Leicester :arrow: over2.5 :arrow: 1.93@ :arrow: pointbet

        Tottenham is in a great run and feeling safe after good results.Leicester had some bad end at previous clashes.24 goals at 13 home games for tottenham.Kanoute is back for Tottenham forward line from the nations cup but probably Defoe will play at upfront.Darren Anderton also back.Muzzy Izzet will be fit for Leicester.Both must win here,so they have to attack.I am expecting some goals.

        4-4 WON
        visit me at


        • #5
          Jablonec - Opava 1 @ 1.65(betandwin)
          PICK WON - 2:0 Tomor

          This is the standings:

          10. Teplice 18 5 7 6 17 - 19 22
          11. Brno 17 5 7 5 19 - 22 22
          12. Opava 17 6 2 9 22 - 34 20
          13. Jablonec 17 3 9 5 14 - 22 18
          14. Plzen 17 3 5 9 13 - 27 14
          15. Zizkov 17 3 4 10 8 - 22 13
          16. Blsany 17 2 3 12 16 - 38 9

          Two teams who will fight for to stay in Czech Gambrinus Liga...Last 3 home games for Jablonec are 2 wins and 1 loss(from Pribram).Against first three teams they haven`t loss!This season Jablonec at home make draw 1:1 with the first in the standings Banik Ostrava and beat Sparta Praga(the second team in standings) with 4:2;With third in the table Slavia Praga they make draw 0:0 like guests.Jablones have only 5 defeat this season.

          What to say about Opava - from 8 away games they have 8 loss and scored only 3 goals and received 25 (last goal at away game was on 1 november last year).

          First match this season:
          Aug 9, 2003 Opava - Jablonec 1 - 1

          Earlier Seasons:
          Oct 21, 2001 Opava - Jablonec 1 - 0
          Apr 14, 2002 Jablonec - Opava 5 - 0
          Nov 28, 1999 Opava - Jablonec 2 - 0
          May 17, 2000 Jablonec - Opava 4 - 0
          Aug 23, 1998 Opava - Jablonec 2 - 1
          Mar 7, 1999 Jablonec - Opava 1 - 0

          Everytime home win!!!

          I think that the strong Jablonec will beat the weak guests 0pava.


          • #6
            Bet nr. 6
            England, Premier League: Tottenham - Leicester
            Date of match:220204
            Prediction: 1
            Odds 1,65 at Interwetten.

            PICK LOST - 4:4 Tomor

            Last 2 meetings at White Heart Lane:
            09-02-2002 Tottenham - Leicester Premier League 2 - 1
            25-11-2000 Tottenham - Leicester Premier League 3 - 0

            Last meeting:
            19-10-2003 Leicester - Tottenham Premier League 1 - 2

            It seems like Tottenham has the edge when meeting Leicester. Futhermore Tottenham are doing good right now: 5 0 1 in the last 6 games.

            Leicester´s last 11 games says 0 6 5 !!!!!

            Leicester is working hard to get their points, but against Tottenham they might collapse if Tottenham can follow up on their recent form. Allso notice that Leicester is awfull then playing away.

            Tottenham @ home 7 1 5
            Leicester away 2 3 7

            At home (last 3) Tottenham is:
            07-02-2004 Tottenham - Portsmouth 4 - 3
            18-01-2004 Tottenham - Liverpool 2 - 1
            07-01-2004 Tottenham - Birmingham 4 - 1

            Away (last 3) Leicester is:
            07-02-2004 Newcastle - Leicester 3 - 1
            18-01-2004 Middlesbrough - Leicester 3 - 3
            07-01-2004 Southampton - Leicester 0 - 0

            Tottenham will take 3 points here.

            Bet nr.
            1: -100
            2: +130
            3: +83
            4: +70
            5: +105


            • #7

              today 's pick is :

              Arizona (-10) vs. Oregon St. (+10) 1 @1.91 [betandwin] LOST 84-90

              I expect Salim Stoudamire to show up tonite too and do his thing. The Wildcats beat Pac-10 rival Oregon on Thursday by 23 points and Stoudamire scored a career-high 37 points.

              Good luck!



              • #8
                Fiorentina - Albinoleffe :arrow: 1 :arrow: 1.60@NordicBet

                WON (2-1)

                I usually don't go for such odds, but this one seems to be like very probable home win. I backed Fiorentina four times (with asian handicap) since start of the spring part of the season, and they let me down only once. To summarize: Viola have strenghten their squad a lot in winter break, bringing 7-8 very good players for this level. But they haven't impressed, results were so-so, and they finally changed a coach 10 days ago. Last week, accoriding to Italian sources, they were robbed by ref, who disallowed four goals in match against Vicenza. Now they play second game in a row on home ground, where they are very good this season (they won 28 out of 34 points this season at home).

                On the other side is Albinoleffe, average team whose main aim is to avoid relegation. Last week they were trashed in local derby against Atalanta. Seria B is tough league, with hard defences and usually few scoring chances. Viola will not have easy task today, but their quality and ambition should prevail today.

                Good luck!
                Ken Rosenberg: Of course my client looks guilty. Just because he looks guilty doesn't mean he is. You look like an idiot, but that doesn't mean you are.


                • #9
                  Chievo Verona - Lazio Roma under 2.5 goals, 1.95 @ Expekt
                  PICK WON - 0:0 Tomor

                  I'll be short, it's late.Also because firstly i wrote a pick on Aachen, but when i saw they will miss Krontiris and Salou i decided to skip them.Old betting rule says: when you see 2 Italian teams are satisfied with the same outcome, that result will very likely happen.After a sad Inter defeat Lazio can be satisfied with a draw, we can say the same about Veronesi who beat Perugia last week and with this point they will confirm their place in the top.But also under is very probable, Lazio have been defending very well lately, and Chievo will play more carefully too.Lazio never won in Verona (2 matches).I'll play draw and under for money, for this competition under looks better.
                  He who controls others may be powerful, but he who has mastered himself is mightier still.


                  • #10
                    my pick of the day
                    Brescia - Lecce over2.5 2.000 at Pinnacle
                    PICK WON - 1:2 Tomor

                    Lecce - 8 goals on last three away games all victories(Chievo,Ancona,Reggina)They play with no respect to anyone and can score against everyone(Milan).No problem with injures and I don't see reason to not score against Brescia.
                    Brescia - two close games against favorites (Milan, Roma)and tie(Sampdoria).
                    I think that guests will start with open game and try to suprice(like games before), and if early goal be scored over is very close.

                    Oct 5, 2003 Lecce - Brescia 1 - 4
                    Sep 16, 2001 Brescia - Lecce 1 - 1
                    Jan 27, 2002 Lecce - Brescia 1 - 3
                    Dec 23, 2000 Brescia - Lecce 2 - 2
                    May 5, 2001 Lecce - Brescia 0 - 3
                    Oct 18, 1998 Lecce - Brescia 2 - 0 SERIE B
                    Mar 14, 1999 Brescia - Lecce 0 - 0 SERIE B
                    Nov 2, 1997 Lecce - Brescia 2 - 0
                    Mar 8, 1998 Brescia - Lecce 3 - 2


                    • #11
                      VfB Lübeck - Jahn Regensburg H (-0.5) @ 1.93 Pointbet
                      VfB Lübeck - Jahn Regensburg 0-3 LOST

                      This decision is very much based on value thinking more than actual home/away statistics which point towards a draw:

                      VfB home 2 6 2 15 - 15
                      Jahn away 2 5 2 16 - 14

                      (call that balanced...)

                      Form (last 6):

                      VfB 3- 3- 0, but only one home victory
                      Jahn 1- 4- 1, but last 3 away not lost

                      So, Lübeck actually surprising many by the latest run and even made it to DFB- Cup semi finals. Especially their away record is stunning, at home they haven't shown their best yet- to me it seems like Lübeck has problems in build up when being a favorite, thus surprising potentially stronger opponents on the road with tactical discipline. The last home game I saw was the match against Duisburg (1-1) and Lübeck showed pretty nice but offensively inefficient football. Against Regensburg, and with these odds they must be backed, nothing else is being expected from Lübeck.

                      Meanwhile, some must have cut out the table from a newspaper and pinned it to their walls at home, people around the club and supporters are becoming somewhat greedy: Promotion, although coach Hecking is realistic, has been set as a possible new goal... and exactly that might be the biggest threat to them in this game against a team they should normally be able to beat with this form and a working squad. Suddenly VfB became the favorites! How will they cope with this situation?

                      I hope, they'll be doing well, otherwise it's business as usual in 2.BL today and Regensburg can get something unexpected here. But as of now I am confident that Lübeck are in a good position to convert a 3rd home win for the season and odds are really worth the bet- my estimations show fair odds of around 1.85.

                      Pick No. 6

                      Stats: 3/5
                      Won: +45


                      • #12
                        PICKS 2/4
                        PROFIT -7
                        RANK [???]
                        ================================================== ============================
                        My 5th pick is once again an under/over one, but this time from EPL.
                        ASTON VILLA - BIRMINGHAM - UNDER 2,5 goals @ 1,75 BY SPORTINGBET Bet lost /Per
                        Though Birmingham let me down last week, winning 3-0 at home against Everton and denying my under bet, i will trust this team once again.
                        :arrow: Birmingham has 9 unders in 12 away games, with overs coming from Tothenham, MU and Liverpool. In away games Birmingham usually plays very defensive football with rare counter-attacks.
                        :arrow: Aston Villa has 7 unders in 12 home games. Results against teams playing in similar with Birmingham style (tight defense and counters) - Middlesborough, Saints - 1-0, 0-2.
                        :arrow: 1st leg game resulted in a goalless draw.
                        :arrow: Both teams have several squad problems - striker Darius Vassell (AV) is fit to play, but i think illness he had suffered in mid-week will have its consequances. Birmingham is without key winger Stan Lazaridis (harmstring injury) and this will probably affect their attacking potential.
                        All in all we have here a good offer by Sportingbet which i will take.


                        • #13
                          Plzen - Vsetin...home win 1.50 with Bet&Win WON (6-2)

                          After yesterday's win at Karlovy Vary Plzen become one of the hottest candidates to reach 8th spot (last for play-off). But they definitely need to win this one. Vsetin have only theoretical chance for play-offs (even if win all ucoming games it wouldn't be probably enough). Must win situation for home and great goalie Malek in goal - home win for me.


                          • #14
                            Rugby Union : Six Nations - Handicaps :
                            Ireland v Wales (+9,5) 2 * 1.90 * Gamebookers

                            1 min: Byrne scores first try... Ireland rout woeful Wales 36-15 LOST

                            Head to Head - All-Time
                            Played 108
                            Ireland won 42
                            Wales won 60
                            Drawn 6
                            Ireland 2003-04 season
                            Wales W 35-12
                            Italy W 61-6
                            Scotland W 29-10
                            Romania (RWC) W 45-17
                            Namibia (RWC) W 64-7
                            Argentina (RWC) W 16-15
                            Australia (RWC) L 16-17
                            France (RWC) L 21-43
                            France L 17-35

                            Wales 2003-04 season
                            Ireland L 12-35
                            England L 9-43
                            Romania W 54-8
                            Scotland W 23-9
                            Canada (RWC) W 41-10
                            Tonga (RWC) W 27-20
                            Italy (RWC) W 27-15
                            NZ (RWC) L 37-53
                            England (RWC) L 17-28
                            Scotland W 23-10

                            Fom last year WC Ireland shows sore decline, where Wales seems awaking from the pause for decades...

                            Wales was astonishingly close to beat RWC 3rd NZ and at the knock out stage was leading to Champion England at half time.

                            +9.5 is far too much points for a side would probably win here
                            It's easy to be Hard and Hard to be Smart.
                            For instance, did you know it is technically illegal to own more than six vibrators in Texas? It's true.


                            • #15
                              Bologna+0.5 - Juventus-0.5 away 2.02@bet365
                              BET WON - 0:1 Tomor

                              Bolonia home 4-3-4
                              Juve away 5-3-2

                              After yesterdays' win of MIlan, Juve is 9 points behind, and in 3 weeks they host Milan in Torino.
                              So, they'll try to close up to 6 today, and in the next two rounds hope Milan lose points once, and with two wins of Juve(Ancona and Brescia), the gap should be just 3, 4 points, so managable to overcome with victory over great rivals.
                              Offcourse, first step is today, and without a win over Bologna, all those projects to save the championships are failed.
                              And, a little conspiracy theory (like Real yesterday)...I feel Juve paid something to Bologna in advance, with that 3-1 away win at Udinese, great 'friends' of Juve...
                              Oh, and to mention that there's a class difference between todays' oponents.


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