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Martingale experiment (7 step)

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    Martingale experiment (7 step)

    I saved up some money from side jobs in 2018 so I've got around 10 000 to waste on betting (not euros, my own currency in my country).

    I'm finally going to try martingale system, I know that everyone keeps saying how martingale is absolute failure but I'm sorry, I'm just feeling confident about it and I'm gonna try it, I never tried this in my life and I think it's going to work. I'm perfectly fine with losing if it doesn't work out.

    I'm ****ing CONVINCED there's no way that I'm going to lose 7 straight live inplay bets which I will carefully pick, so this is how it's going to work, my bank is 10 000 and I will go up to #7 straight losses at most!

    10 000

    #1 -50
    #2 -100
    #3 -200
    #4 -400
    #5 -800
    #6 -1600
    #7 -3200


    Which means that if I lose all 7 bets in a row, I will have 3650 left and at that point I'm giving up and breaking this experiment.

    They say that martingale is 50 / 50 which is true for casinos and other types of gambling, but my martingale will be over inplay system on football, which means that I'm going to pick games with a lot of action and shots on target for odds of 2.00 or a little bit more, every single time. I'm feeling pretty confident that I won't miss 7 straight of those bets.

    Why I opened this thread? Just to see how this journey will go and share it somewhere so I can have this written analysis/record somewhere in pre-failure form.

    Anyway, that's it. Let's see if this is possible. So I'll repeat, 10 000 in my own currency, not euros, so this is not much at all, not even 2000 euros really, but that's not the point. The point is it can be any currency, it's all about the numbers and this system that I think is more probable than what others suggest, if you involve live inplay bets.
    The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
    And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

    #2
    #1
    Stake: 50


    Alemannia Achen - FC Koln II

    Over 0.5 @ 2.50 bet365

    - 10 minutes left, a lot of shots on target and no goals so far, first try

    The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
    And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

    Comment


      #3
      Originally posted by KL1NCUNT View Post
      #1
      Stake: 50


      Alemannia Achen - FC Koln II

      Over 0.5 @ 2.50 bet365

      - 10 minutes left, a lot of shots on target and no goals so far, first try
      0-0 FT lost

      moving to step 2

      #2
      Stake: 100


      Valladolid - Villareal

      Over 0.5 HT @ 2.10 bet365

      - around 23 minutes left until the end of first half, solid tempo with few shots on goal already, second try



      The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
      And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

      Comment


        #4
        Originally posted by KL1NCUNT View Post

        0-0 FT lost

        moving to step 2

        #2
        Stake: 100


        Valladolid - Villareal

        Over 0.5 HT @ 2.10 bet365

        - around 23 minutes left until the end of first half, solid tempo with few shots on goal already, second try


        0-0 HT lost

        moving to step 3

        #3
        Stake: 200


        Dijon - Marseille

        Over 2.5 @ 2.20 bet365

        - whole second half left, good tempot and lots of shots from both teams, third try
        The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
        And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

        Comment


          #5
          Hi KL1NCUNT ,

          what happens when you win? Do you start over?
          Cheers!

          Comment


            #6
            Originally posted by KL1NCUNT View Post

            0-0 HT lost

            moving to step 3

            #3
            Stake: 200


            Dijon - Marseille

            Over 2.5 @ 2.20 bet365

            - whole second half left, good tempot and lots of shots from both teams, third try
            1-2 FT won

            +240 profit

            so I've lost -50, then -100 in #1st and #2nd picks which puts me on 9850 but with #3rd win profit is +240 on 2.20 odds for 200 stake which is now:

            TOTAL: 10090

            currently +90 after the 1st round
            The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
            And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

            Comment


              #7
              Originally posted by ellas98 View Post
              Hi KL1NCUNT ,

              what happens when you win? Do you start over?
              Cheers!
              Yes, I start over from step #1 every time I win a bet.
              The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
              And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

              Comment


                #8
                Will continue the second round this weekend, I'm done for today. Just to have everything fresh and written for later on, it went like this:

                --------------------------------------------------------
                ROUND 1: >#1 lost, >#2 lost, >#3 won
                profit: +90
                total current bank: 10090
                --------------------------------------------------------


                Btw, if anyone wants to try this same 7 step thing for their live overs but with lower numbers, all you need is 254 total bank:

                2
                4
                8
                16
                32
                64
                128

                254
                The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
                And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

                Comment


                  #9
                  You basically bet on yourself to have 100+ won bets without 7 lost in a row. I don't really take track of everything I bet live but I am sure 7+ lost in a row happened a couple of times. Still if you are good enough maybe it is worth it on a bigger scale 2000+ bets...
                  What is your goal if you don't miss 7 in a row in the next period ? You will stop at 20K or where , you have to have some goal...?

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Originally posted by Prusina View Post
                    You basically bet on yourself to have 100+ won bets without 7 lost in a row. I don't really take track of everything I bet live but I am sure 7+ lost in a row happened a couple of times. Still if you are good enough maybe it is worth it on a bigger scale 2000+ bets...
                    What is your goal if you don't miss 7 in a row in the next period ? You will stop at 20K or where , you have to have some goal...?
                    Very well put and simplifed, correct. I also had 7 in a row misses but those were combos and bigger odd bets, can't remember the last time I lost 7 in a row for 2.00 or similar in live overs tbh, that's why I'm trying this

                    I don't have a goal at the moment but I would definitely take the money and stop if I get to 20k, hell I will stop even if I get to 15k tbh, that would be amazing considering this is the first time I'm trying this, but I'm highly doubtful this will happen anyway, I'm moving on now with another round
                    The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
                    And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

                    Comment


                      #11
                      #1
                      Stake: 50


                      Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona

                      Over 2.5 @ 2.50 bet365

                      - 24th minute, plenty of time left and Barca got Messi, Suarez and Coutinho in attack while Bilbao looking like they could score here
                      The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
                      And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

                      Comment


                        #12
                        Originally posted by KL1NCUNT View Post
                        #1
                        Stake: 50


                        Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona

                        Over 2.5 @ 2.50 bet365

                        - 24th minute, plenty of time left and Barca got Messi, Suarez and Coutinho in attack while Bilbao looking like they could score here
                        0-0 FT lost

                        moving to step 2

                        #2
                        Stake: 100


                        Nice - Lyon

                        Over 1.5 @ 2.00 bet365

                        - less than 10 minutes left but the game is very open, Lyon trying to find their goal for 1:1
                        The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
                        And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Originally posted by KL1NCUNT View Post

                          0-0 FT lost

                          moving to step 2

                          #2
                          Stake: 100


                          Nice - Lyon

                          Over 1.5 @ 2.00 bet365

                          - less than 10 minutes left but the game is very open, Lyon trying to find their goal for 1:1
                          1-0 FT lost

                          moving to step 3

                          #3
                          Stake: 200


                          Club Aurora - Nacional Potosi

                          Over 1.5 @ 2.10 bet365

                          - it's halftime, with 45 mins left in 2nd half and this being a Bolivian league game with lots of shots so far, worth a try

                          The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
                          And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

                          Comment


                            #14
                            Originally posted by KL1NCUNT View Post

                            1-0 FT lost

                            moving to step 3

                            #3
                            Stake: 200


                            Club Aurora - Nacional Potosi

                            Over 1.5 @ 2.10 bet365

                            - it's halftime, with 45 mins left in 2nd half and this being a Bolivian league game with lots of shots so far, worth a try
                            0-0 FT lost

                            moving to step 4

                            #4
                            Stake: 400


                            Wolverhampton - Newcastle

                            Over 1.5 @ 2.00 bet365

                            - 29th minute, Newcastle are not playng bunker tactics and that alone is enough to try for 2 goals until the end, great odds so early in this game
                            The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
                            And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Originally posted by KL1NCUNT View Post

                              0-0 FT lost

                              moving to step 4

                              #4
                              Stake: 400


                              Wolverhampton - Newcastle

                              Over 1.5 @ 2.00 bet365

                              - 29th minute, Newcastle are not playng bunker tactics and that alone is enough to try for 2 goals until the end, great odds so early in this game
                              1-1 FT won

                              +400 profit

                              so I've lost -50, then -100, then -200 in #1st, #2nd and #3rd picks of the second round which puts me on 9740 but with #4th win profit is +400 on 2.00 odds for 400 stake which is now:

                              TOTAL: 10140

                              +50 from the second round and total of +140 since the start
                              The Aesir will welcome me. My death comes without apology.
                              And I welcome the Valkyries to summon me home!

                              Comment

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