Martingale experiment (7 step)

[KL1NCUNT]

I saved up some money from side jobs in 2018 so I've got around 10 000 to waste on betting (not euros, my own currency in my country).

I'm finally going to try martingale system, I know that everyone keeps saying how martingale is absolute failure but I'm sorry, I'm just feeling confident about it and I'm gonna try it, I never tried this in my life and I think it's going to work. I'm perfectly fine with losing if it doesn't work out.

I'm ****ing CONVINCED there's no way that I'm going to lose 7 straight live inplay bets which I will carefully pick, so this is how it's going to work, my bank is 10 000 and I will go up to #7 straight losses at most!

10 000

#1 -50
#2 -100
#3 -200
#4 -400
#5 -800
#6 -1600
#7 -3200

Which means that if I lose all 7 bets in a row, I will have 3650 left and at that point I'm giving up and breaking this experiment.

They say that martingale is 50 / 50 which is true for casinos and other types of gambling, but my martingale will be over inplay system on football, which means that I'm going to pick games with a lot of action and shots on target for odds of 2.00 or a little bit more, every single time. I'm feeling pretty confident that I won't miss 7 straight of those bets.

Why I opened this thread? Just to see how this journey will go and share it somewhere so I can have this written analysis/record somewhere in pre-failure form.

Anyway, that's it. Let's see if this is possible. So I'll repeat, 10 000 in my own currency, not euros, so this is not much at all, not even 2000 euros really, but that's not the point. The point is it can be any currency, it's all about the numbers and this system that I think is more probable than what others suggest, if you involve live inplay bets.

[KL1NCUNT]

#1
Stake: 50

Alemannia Achen - FC Koln II

Over 0.5 @ 2.50 bet365

- 10 minutes left, a lot of shots on target and no goals so far, first try

[KL1NCUNT]

#1
Stake: 50

Alemannia Achen - FC Koln II

Over 0.5 @ 2.50 bet365

- 10 minutes left, a lot of shots on target and no goals so far, first try

0-0 FT lost

moving to step 2

#2
Stake: 100

Valladolid - Villareal

Over 0.5 HT @ 2.10 bet365

- around 23 minutes left until the end of first half, solid tempo with few shots on goal already, second try

[KL1NCUNT]

0-0 FT lost

moving to step 2

#2
Stake: 100

Valladolid - Villareal

Over 0.5 HT @ 2.10 bet365

- around 23 minutes left until the end of first half, solid tempo with few shots on goal already, second try

0-0 HT lost

moving to step 3

#3
Stake: 200

Dijon - Marseille

Over 2.5 @ 2.20 bet365

- whole second half left, good tempot and lots of shots from both teams, third try

[ellas98]

Hi KL1NCUNT ,

what happens when you win? Do you start over?
Cheers!

[KL1NCUNT]

0-0 HT lost

moving to step 3

#3
Stake: 200

Dijon - Marseille

Over 2.5 @ 2.20 bet365

- whole second half left, good tempot and lots of shots from both teams, third try

1-2 FT won

+240 profit

so I've lost -50, then -100 in #1st and #2nd picks which puts me on 9850 but with #3rd win profit is +240 on 2.20 odds for 200 stake which is now:

TOTAL: 10090

currently +90 after the 1st round

[KL1NCUNT]

Hi KL1NCUNT ,

what happens when you win? Do you start over?
Cheers!

Yes, I start over from step #1 every time I win a bet.

[KL1NCUNT]

Will continue the second round this weekend, I'm done for today. Just to have everything fresh and written for later on, it went like this:

--------------------------------------------------------
ROUND 1: >#1 lost, >#2 lost, >#3 won
profit: +90
total current bank: 10090
--------------------------------------------------------


Btw, if anyone wants to try this same 7 step thing for their live overs but with lower numbers, all you need is 254 total bank:

2
4
8
16
32
64
128

254

[Prusina]

You basically bet on yourself to have 100+ won bets without 7 lost in a row. I don't really take track of everything I bet live but I am sure 7+ lost in a row happened a couple of times. Still if you are good enough maybe it is worth it on a bigger scale 2000+ bets...
What is your goal if you don't miss 7 in a row in the next period ? You will stop at 20K or where , you have to have some goal...?

[KL1NCUNT]

You basically bet on yourself to have 100+ won bets without 7 lost in a row. I don't really take track of everything I bet live but I am sure 7+ lost in a row happened a couple of times. Still if you are good enough maybe it is worth it on a bigger scale 2000+ bets...
What is your goal if you don't miss 7 in a row in the next period ? You will stop at 20K or where , you have to have some goal...?

Very well put and simplifed, correct. I also had 7 in a row misses but those were combos and bigger odd bets, can't remember the last time I lost 7 in a row for 2.00 or similar in live overs tbh, that's why I'm trying this

I don't have a goal at the moment but I would definitely take the money and stop if I get to 20k, hell I will stop even if I get to 15k tbh, that would be amazing considering this is the first time I'm trying this, but I'm highly doubtful this will happen anyway, I'm moving on now with another round

[KL1NCUNT]

#1
Stake: 50

Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona

Over 2.5 @ 2.50 bet365

- 24th minute, plenty of time left and Barca got Messi, Suarez and Coutinho in attack while Bilbao looking like they could score here

[KL1NCUNT]

#1
Stake: 50

Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona

Over 2.5 @ 2.50 bet365

- 24th minute, plenty of time left and Barca got Messi, Suarez and Coutinho in attack while Bilbao looking like they could score here

0-0 FT lost

moving to step 2

#2
Stake: 100

Nice - Lyon

Over 1.5 @ 2.00 bet365

- less than 10 minutes left but the game is very open, Lyon trying to find their goal for 1:1

[KL1NCUNT]

0-0 FT lost

moving to step 2

#2
Stake: 100

Nice - Lyon

Over 1.5 @ 2.00 bet365

- less than 10 minutes left but the game is very open, Lyon trying to find their goal for 1:1

1-0 FT lost

moving to step 3

#3
Stake: 200

Club Aurora - Nacional Potosi

Over 1.5 @ 2.10 bet365

- it's halftime, with 45 mins left in 2nd half and this being a Bolivian league game with lots of shots so far, worth a try

[KL1NCUNT]

1-0 FT lost

moving to step 3

#3
Stake: 200

Club Aurora - Nacional Potosi

Over 1.5 @ 2.10 bet365

- it's halftime, with 45 mins left in 2nd half and this being a Bolivian league game with lots of shots so far, worth a try

0-0 FT lost

moving to step 4

#4
Stake: 400

Wolverhampton - Newcastle

Over 1.5 @ 2.00 bet365

- 29th minute, Newcastle are not playng bunker tactics and that alone is enough to try for 2 goals until the end, great odds so early in this game

[KL1NCUNT]

0-0 FT lost

moving to step 4

#4
Stake: 400

Wolverhampton - Newcastle

Over 1.5 @ 2.00 bet365

- 29th minute, Newcastle are not playng bunker tactics and that alone is enough to try for 2 goals until the end, great odds so early in this game

1-1 FT won

+400 profit

so I've lost -50, then -100, then -200 in #1st, #2nd and #3rd picks of the second round which puts me on 9740 but with #4th win profit is +400 on 2.00 odds for 400 stake which is now:

TOTAL: 10140

+50 from the second round and total of +140 since the start