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"Zavaliya" style - Progressive 1:1 Strategy

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    Actually, don't bother.

    I've re-read your opening post and can see you are advising a loss-chasing staking plan. I'm not interested in those.

    I can also see from your other posts how high your stakes go. My guess is that since August 25th your system has already gone bust and that's why you've stopped posting results.

    I've done a little Monte Carlo sim of this system. Assuming 1-1 has a 12% probability on average, it will take about 45 consecutive losses to wipe out 1,000 units. In a period of 3,000 bets (roughly what you've had so far), you can expect this to happen on average about once. The longest losing sequence I saw in my simulation (300 runs) was 97. This would be more than enough to wipe out your starting bank and accumulated profits. A losing sequence of 63 would be enough to wipe out a 1,000 bank + 2,000 profits which is what you had on 25th August. In my simulation that happened 14% of the time.

    It's inevitable that this system will fail. Why? Because it chases losses, and all loss-chasing system fail, and they fail badly. They only work in a land of infinite time, infinite resources and infinite generosity on the part of the bookmaker. But if I had all those, I wouldn't need to chase losses because I'd already be infinitely wealthy.

    I wonder what the level stakes yield is of all your tips? But if you don't keep records, we'll never know.

    Comment


      For Today, Thursday (17.09.2015):

      Group 1 (Stake for each bet: 3 units less than the stake on Tuesday)

      17:00 Renova - Rabotnicki
      17:00 Al Sareeh - Al Ahli
      17:00 That Ras - Al Buqaa
      18:25 Al-Nahda - Al-Ettifaq
      18:30 HIFK - VPS
      18:30 Ilves - KuPS
      18:30 Jaro - Mariehamn
      20:00 Silkeborg - Vejle
      20:00 Bordeaux - Liverpool
      20:00 Gabala - PAOK
      20:00 Groningen - Marseille
      20:00 Liberec - Braga
      20:00 Midtjylland - Legia
      20:00 Rapid Vienna - Villarreal
      20:00 Sion - Rubin Kazan
      22:05 Anderlecht - Monaco
      22:05 APOEL - Schalke
      22:05 Asteras Tripolis - Sparta Pr...
      22:05 Dnipro - Lazio
      22:05 Fiorentina - Basel
      22:05 Lech Poznan - Belenenses
      22:05 Partizan - AZ Alkmaar
      00:30 Junior - Deportes Tolima
      00:30 Juventud - Emelec
      02:10 Racing Club - San Lorenzo
      02:30 Vila Nova FC - Confianca
      03:00 Lanus - Belgrano
      03:00 Libertad Asuncion - U. Catol...
      03:30 Gimnasia Jujuy - Central Cor...

      Comment


        Overall results?

        You've not posted those since 25th August.

        ---------------------------------------

        Comment


          So this doesn't seem good enough to be called "a strategy" this is basically just pure luck. There is no analysis that you can make on certain match that in the end you could call it "this will be 1:1", none of the factors that usually are used to predict a game, actually matters here. It's like playing casino or something like that.

          Overall statistics? As user above already requested, is there any profit by your side at all?

          Comment


            For Today, Saturday (19.09.2015):

            Group 1 (Stake for each bet: 3 units less than the stake from the last day)

            09:05 Suwon - Seoul
            10:00 Seongnam - Gwangju FC
            10:00 Jeju Utd - Pohang
            10:00 Hummel - Bucheon FC 1995
            11:00 Ulsan Hyundai - Jeonnam
            13:00 Yokohama M. - FC Tokyo
            14:00 Slavia Mozyr - Naftan
            14:00 Nurnberg - Sandhausen
            14:00 Paderborn - Karlsruher
            14:00 Munich 1860 - Kaiserslautern
            14:00 Dalian Aerbin - Yanbian
            14:30 Hunan Xiangtao - Guizhou Zhi...
            14:30 Shenzhen - Wuhan Zall
            14:45 Chelsea - Arsenal
            15:00 Paris FC - Evian TG
            15:30 Sorinet - Esteghlal Khuzestan
            16:00 Altinordu - Alanyaspor
            16:15 Montana - Slavia Sofia
            16:30 Bokelj - Decic
            17:00 Montrose - East Stirlingshire
            17:00 Prijedor - Siroki Brijeg
            17:00 R. Oviedo - Girona
            17:00 Berwick - Annan
            17:00 Rizespor - Antalyaspor
            17:00 NK Vitez - Travnik
            17:00 Velez Mostar - Olimpic Saraj...
            17:00 Sturm Graz - Austria Vienna
            17:00 Kilmarnock - St Johnstone
            17:00 Arbroath - Stirling
            17:00 Dundee Utd - Inverness
            17:00 Hamilton - Motherwell
            17:00 Aston Villa - West Brom
            17:00 Odense - Viborg
            17:00 Ross County - Partick
            17:00 Cowdenbeath - Forfar Athletic
            17:00 Airdrieonians - Ayr
            17:00 Queen's Park - Elgin City
            17:00 Stranraer - Albion Rovers
            17:00 Queen of South - Morton
            17:00 East Fife - Clyde
            17:00 Aldosivi - Atl. Huracan
            17:00 Swansea - Everton
            17:00 Sivasspor - Konyaspor
            17:00 Stoke City - Leicester
            17:00 Bournemouth - Sunderland
            17:00 Newcastle Utd - Watford
            17:00 Stenhousemuir - Dunfermline
            17:30 Karvina - Ceske Budejovice
            18:00 Hajduk Split - D. Zagreb
            18:00 Espanyol B - Sabadell
            18:00 Villa San Carlos - Deportivo...
            18:00 KAC Kenitra - FUS Rabat
            18:30 Tadjenant - Harrach
            19:00 Udinese - Empoli
            19:00 Somozas - Lealtad
            19:00 Oran - CR Belouizdad
            19:00 Kuban - Spartak Moscow
            19:00 Constantine - USM Alger
            19:00 Sandecja Nowy S. - Zaglebie...
            19:00 Levante UD B - Lleida
            19:15 Ath Bilbao B - Alcorcon
            19:15 Mirandes - Albacete
            19:15 Leganes - Lugo
            19:15 Llagostera - Tenerife
            19:30 Grodig - Mattersburg
            19:30 Sanliurfaspor - Giresunspor
            19:30 Ried - Altach
            19:30 Pena - Santander
            20:00 Guadalajara - Barakaldo
            20:00 ES Setif - MO Bejaia
            20:00 Hussein Dey - Saoura
            20:00 Eskisehirspor - Kasimpasa
            20:00 Borac Banja Luka - Zrinjski
            20:00 Olimpic Xativa - Huracan
            20:00 Trabzonspor - Galatasaray
            21:00 Caen - Montpellier
            21:00 Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu...
            21:00 Bastia - Nice
            21:00 Guingamp - GFC Ajaccio
            21:00 Barracas Central - Atletico...
            21:00 Defensores de Belgrano - Com...
            21:00 CFR Cluj - Astra
            21:00 Deportivo Riestra - Colegiales
            21:00 Angers - Troyes
            21:00 Leuven - Waregem
            21:05 CA Estudiantes - Brown Adrogue
            21:30 Liverpool M. - Defensor Sp.
            21:30 Central Cordoba - Excursioni...
            21:30 Tristan Suarez - Sportivo It...
            21:30 Villa Teresa - Sisley
            21:30 Danubio - Sud America
            21:45 AC Milan - Palermo
            22:00 Patriotas - La Equidad
            22:00 Sport Boys - The Strongest
            22:30 Argentinos Jrs - Boca Juniors
            22:30 Oeste - Bragantino
            22:30 Godoy Cruz - Rosario Central
            22:45 Ferreira - Rio Ave
            23:00 Real Sociedad - Espanyol
            23:00 Trujillanos - Estudiantes Ca...

            P.S.: I'll answer to the posts above and will post the results when I have time to do this.

            Good Luck!

            Comment


              No time so nobody hs time to keep reading your thread aswell.

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