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The 6 month plan (Strictly 1.01!!)

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    The 6 month plan (Strictly 1.01!!)

    This is an audacious attempt at making thousands for pennies with a simple plan that could be very lucrative given a bit of luck ! You have to be in it to win it, or so they say !! Starting tommorow, Monday September 27th 2010

    So here goes:

    Month 1
    September 27th to October 31st
    6 bets per day = 210 selections
    End bank should be £72.54

    Month 2
    November 1st to November 30th
    5 bets per day = 150 selections
    End bank should be £295.00

    Month 3
    December 1st to December 31st
    4 bets per day = 124 selections
    End bank should be £973.88

    Month 4
    January 1st to January 31st
    3 bets per day = 93 selections
    End bank should be £2351.51

    Month 5
    February 1st to February 28th
    3 bets per day = 84 selections
    End bank should be £5213.61

    Month 6
    March 1st to March 31st
    3 bets per day = 93 selections
    End bank should be £12`352.25

    Total selections needed to complete challenge 745

    5% commission has been taken off the figures quoted above

    Starting bank £10.00 @ Betfair

    All bets must be lays @ 100 (or as near as), or backs @ 1.01

    The selections weekdays will consist of mainly horse lays, with a football bet in the evening, as thats what im most comfortable with, unless that isnt possible due to no racing, or not enough possible lays due to small fields - Then and only then will I replace them with other bets to make the days quota. Probably football bets, but anything goes. If I fall behind due to xmas day etc when there`s nothing to bet on, I may make it up the next week by adding 1 lay per day to that week, or something similair.

    The bets at weekends could be a mixture of both, or occasionaly just football due to limited laptop access, and having to bet via Betfair mobile.

    All bets must be singles

    In theory its possible, and it also should get easier as the months tick by as the selections per day lessen. Whether i`ll have the minerals to keep going if I get to say the end of month 4 unscathed, and will be willing to lay out 2.5k on a 100/1 lay, remains to be seen, BUT at this stage im more than up for the challenge.

    Cheers, and thanks for reading, roll on next March

    CSS
    Last edited by Correct Score Specialist; 26-09-10, 20:30. Reason: Typo*

    #2
    Originally posted by Correct Score Specialist View Post
    [...]
    Total selections needed to complete challenge 745
    [...]
    All bets must be lays @ 100 (or as near as), or backs @ 1.01
    [...]
    In theory its possible[...]
    This is the summary of your project. And there is a (small) mislead: in theory is very unlucky to do that! Why? Because you have a 99.94% chance to have a losing bet in a 745 series of 1.01 bets... If you don't trust me, please search "streak of losses calculator" (or something like that) with google and I'm sure you'll find many valuable informations...

    Chapeau!

    Comment


      #3
      Originally posted by One View Post
      This is the summary of your project. And there is a (small) mislead: in theory is very unlucky to do that! Why? Because you have a 99.94% chance to have a losing bet in a 745 series of 1.01 bets... If you don't trust me, please search "streak of losses calculator" (or something like that) with google and I'm sure you'll find many valuable informations...

      Chapeau!
      This assumption is correct if 1.01 os correct price, which isnt always right
      I am the only thing that I'm afraid of.

      Comment


        #4
        So, I still think its worth a try even if you try it 10 times and fail i would still think its worth it. Gl mate

        Comment


          #5
          Originally posted by SickJoce View Post
          So, I still think its worth a try even if you try it 10 times and fail i would still think its worth it. Gl mate
          745 bets in a row @ 1.01 is just like you have a single bet @ 1657.385 odds.
          Do you really think 10 times trial will be enough?

          Comment


            #6
            .
            The One's appreciation is correct.
            To lose £ 10 is not expensive, but you lose time too.

            The next info you can use for your calculations:
            http://img638.imageshack.us/img638/4051/sparadox.jpg
            .

            Comment


              #7
              Time that would normally be spent watching dvds or Jeremy Kyle - its not wasted believe me

              Comment


                #8
                [001] Hi Note 2:10 Kempton laid @ 85

                Comment


                  #9
                  [001] Hi Note 2:10 Kempton laid @ 85 (unplaced) £10.11

                  [002] Deveze 2:20 Ffos Llas laid @ 100

                  Comment


                    #10
                    [001] Hi Note 2:10 Kempton laid @ 85 (unplaced) £10.11
                    [002] Deveze 2:20 Ffos Llas laid @ 100 (unplaced) £10.21

                    [003] Gower Rules 2:30 Bath laid @ 100

                    Comment


                      #11
                      .
                      Some things are on your side, I think: on BF you cann't find odds lower then 1.01 so in such odds you can find value (the space/time between 1.01 and 'no odds offer').

                      Good Luck anyway!!
                      .

                      Comment


                        #12
                        [001] Hi Note 2:10 Kempton laid @ 85 (unplaced) £10.11
                        [002] Deveze 2:20 Ffos Llas laid @ 100 (unplaced) £10.21
                        [003] Gower Rules 2:30 Bath laid @ 100 (unplaced) £10.31

                        [004] Boogie Star 3:30 Bath laid @ 95

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Originally posted by L.C.M. View Post
                          .
                          Some things are on your side, I think: on BF you cann't find odds lower then 1.01 so in such odds you can find value (the space/time between 1.01 and 'no odds offer').

                          Good Luck anyway!!
                          .
                          Many thanks L.C.M

                          Comment


                            #14
                            Originally posted by One View Post
                            745 bets in a row @ 1.01 is just like you have a single bet @ 1657.385 odds.
                            Do you really think 10 times trial will be enough?
                            Funny, this made me think of this... http://img824.imageshack.us/i/c36201064235pdfbc.jpg/
                            Only two things are infinite. The universe and human stupidity. And I'm not too sure about the first one... A Einstein.

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Originally posted by Palini View Post
                              Funny, this made me think of this... http://img824.imageshack.us/i/c36201064235pdfbc.jpg/
                              Thats fantastic Palini, was that yours ???

                              Comment

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