12.03.2012 NBA

Prusina · 12-03-12, 18:27

Units: +90,56 59picks = 36w/4v/19l

Pick #60 New Orleans Hornets vs Charlotte Bobcats , Charlotte Bobcats ML @3,40 (2/10) Pinnacle Sports
-This are the kind of bets that I like to take , both at the bottom of their conferences , in last 5 games only 1 win , Charlotte against Orlando and NOH against Minnesota , but Minnesota went into the game a lot shocked by loosing their playmaker Ricky Rubio for the whole season. All the injured players are finally back for Bobcats and I think they can do some damage at least to the bookies. NOH is still out of the most of the big players (Okafor , Landry , Smith) and afcours Eric Gordon. Not especially grateful game to bet on but because of the high odds I will with no remorse take Bobcats ML.

Pick #61 New Jersey Nets vs Milwaukke Bucks , Milwaukke -3 @1,93 (6/10) Pinnacle Sports
-Milwaukke plays very well , they have 3 won of last 5 , and they lost by the Rose buzzer against Chicago , NJN on the other hand also has 3 victories but 2 of them came against Charlotte. On their long list of injured players Deron Wiliams is now added and he is set on "doubtful" for tonights game. "Doubtful" almost every time means not playing. Also they have a good tradition , Bukcs won last 5 matches.

Pick #62 Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves , Phoenix Suns -4 @1,93 (5/10) Pinnacle Sports
-I see great value in this , Phoenix plays really great basketball in last time , they have won 7 of 10 , and 5 last at home. Minnesota won just 4 od 10 and they are now without Ricky Rubio and that is gonna be a big blow for them in the play-off race. JJ Barea is injured too so they have trouble with playmakers and Nash is going to know have to take advantage of that. Last 5 meetings when Phoenix was at home , Phoenix won.

Pick #63 Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves , over 206 @2,62 (3/10) Bet365
-Both known by their games with lots of points , in last time Phoenix strengthen up their deffence and that could be a minus for this bet but to play solo on tradition it is worth it , last 10 games 9 went 206+ and the 10th was 200 points also. For this kind of odds anyday...

Players coming later...

STAT · 12-03-12, 19:09

Deron Williams (calf) will not play in Monday's game against the Bucks

Al Jefferson is questionable for Monday's game against the Pistons due to a family matter

source Espn Nba

TudituI · 12-03-12, 20:12

I like Bucks for (more than) 2 reasons:
- Nets very bad at home
- Bucks in a run for playoff
- Nets are coming home after couple of road games
(coming home has never been easy)
- D. Williams out tonight

Prusina · 12-03-12, 21:09

Pick #64 Carmelo Anthony over 21,5 @1,73 (6/10) Pinnacle Sports
-I have to take this one , in regular situation it would be an under pick for me but Deng is out and he is not coming back tonight so Melo will have a lot easier job. Lin will be guarded by Rose , Stoudemire by Gibson and Boozer and I think Chandler and Melo will get the most of this game , maybe with a one bench player joined(J.R. or Steve). Melo has raised his form up a little bit and is 22-22-27 last three games , he does a very good job on the free throw line and he could go a lot tonight too.

kfcpro · 12-03-12, 21:21

I must agree with bobcats pick,those odds are valuable. For me it is a 50-50 game,2 crappy teams,there is no need to dig a lot in this pick as conclusion is simple-2 below nba standard teams face each other,and one of them is priced 3.4.

I will gladly stake a 1 unit on it and will just check result later.Its like a flip of a coin,though here one outcome pays better so just because of this reason it is worth to take it as betting in the end/long run is all about valuable odds.

baraba · 12-03-12, 21:31

D.Rose over 23.5 @ 1,85
7/10 , bet365

This are the kind of games where Rose is at 100%. Often when his team is leading heavily with double digit he starts to slow down , but against the most hyped team in the NBA after Miami i think we will see Rose in superb condition. Also the Lin factor is there , probably want to prove to the wordl that Lin isnt so good as presented in public , or not just a thought ...Deng , Hamilton , Watson all out , Noah will play after skipping saturday and sunday cause of ilness , remains to be seen how he will play today , but should be close to 100% . Boozer best player exept of Rose in this conditions, but will have a tough matchup with Amare who despite getting larger and Boozer losing weight is still quicker than Boozer . Also Chandler in the paint ... Lin is not a player who can defend Rose , i dont see the Bulls crushing NYK , or leading from first to last minute. NYK can make points in series , can do damage , and thats why Rose should and will play better than against mediocre teams

baraba · 12-03-12, 21:41

New Jersey Nets - Milwaukee Bucks / Milwaukee -3,5 @ 1,99
5/10 , bet365

Well D-Will is out , doubt Nets can compensate that. B.Lopez , Okur , D.James , Shawne Williams also still out ...
Nets lineup : Brooks , Farmar , Shelden Williams , Humphries , Stevenson + bench : Morrow , G.Green ... Way to mediocre ... Humphries best player with Williams absent is involved in Howard trade rumours , he can not spin this alone. Farmar to mediocre , Brooks to young , Morrow just a jump shooter , G.Green and idiot who dunks most of the time , ex-Boston , great flair and potential but did nothing from it , last match 26 from the bench but i dont overrate this ...

Only problem here is that Bucks also have injury trouble with Luc Mbah a Moute, Shaun Livingston and Stephen Jackson all out , and Bogut from before. Despite the fact that the Bucks are a moody team , they have more motive cause they want to reach the playoffs as the Nets want , but that for the Nets this year isnt the priority. Bucks have more chemistry , using their players best they can, Ilyasova , Jennings and Gooden in very good form , bench is a beat teen with just Dunleavy and Udrih but not worse than what Nets are offering.

rosel · 12-03-12, 22:15

i go again with the knicks i like this bet tonite , they are playing bad no defance , many lose balls , but still they got qualtiy players that could beat any team in NBA by 20 in any moment and thats makes this bet value for tonite when everybody thinks they gonna get raped again by 20 they will make a suprise win

NY knicks to win ML @ 4.00 @ 3/10
NY Knicks +8.5 8.5/10 for me gl.

baraba · 12-03-12, 22:32

Quote:

Originally Posted by rosel

they got qualtiy players that could beat any team in NBA by 20 in any moment .

no comment ...

tkt · 12-03-12, 22:32

Nets team total under 98,5
in last 5 encounters H2H against Milwaukee Nets never scored more than 92 at home

Prusina · 12-03-12, 23:26

Quote:

Originally Posted by rosel

i go again with the knicks i like this bet tonite , they are playing bad no defance , many lose balls , but still they got qualtiy players that could beat any team in NBA by 20 in any moment and thats makes this bet value for tonite when everybody thinks they gonna get raped again by 20 they will make a suprise win

NY knicks to win ML @ 4.00 @ 3/10
NY Knicks +8.5 8.5/10 for me gl.

In my opinion the first one , ML on NYK is a good and valuable bet , but the handicap isn't because NYK falls in play when they loose and if they are going to loose I think it is going to be 10+. (I don't play NYK because they are my favorite team and I hold myself somewhat subjective when playing them)

Your words about they got quality players are good until this bolded part , Miami can't do that and not NYK.

About Rose I agree to his over but I didn't have him in Pinnacle or in my Local so I didn't play him.

sirac · 13-03-12, 00:18

I doubt there is some value in this NY team, we are talking about a sick team.They may have quality, but they dont play like a team.Melo is too selfish and takes too many shots, slowing down their offense although he still puts good numbers, Amar'e is good for pick'n roll but he also settles for too many jumpers, and he misses many of them.They got a boost when Li put some life into this team, but opponents figure it out his play and they defend better on him.They are a jump shooting team and they can get hot some times, but Bulls are a team that defends better agaist this sort of teams.Missing of Deng and Hamilton might hurt them a bit but they have decent people coming off the bench, Korver did nice lately.
I'm not saying to bet on Bulls, i'm saying that this NY team is far from being trustable, they have many issues and are in danger of missing the playoffs considering the recent resurection of The Bucks.Of course, NBA is all about situational betting any team can beat any team on a given day given the right ingrediants and if Orlando, another team that lives from outside shooting, then why not NY?Yea and now i see that Bulls have next game with Miami, possible look ahead spot and Knicks got Chandler back, hmm...
My bet here is on over, i got 191,5 at my local, which was strange for me, online is 198 and it's closer to reality.Bulls havent played much D lately and with Deng out and with Miami on the verge i dont see them playing it here either.NY if it's good at something then it's at scoring, they have plenty of shooters from all other the place, they dont play much D either, although with Chandler back their defense should improve.I see both teams capable of landing around 100 mark.

Prusina · 13-03-12, 00:32

Quote:

Originally Posted by sirac

I doubt there is some value in this NY team, we are talking about a sick team.They may have quality, but they dont play like a team.Melo is too selfish and takes too many shots, slowing down their offense although he still puts good numbers, Amar'e is good for pick'n roll but he also settles for too many jumpers, and he misses many of them.They got a boost when Li put some life into this team, but opponents figure it out his play and they defend better on him.They are a jump shooting team and they can get hot some times, but Bulls are a team that defends better agaist this sort of teams.Missing of Deng and Hamilton might hurt them a bit but they have decent people coming off the bench, Korver did nice lately.
I'm not saying to bet on Bulls, i'm saying that this NY team is far from being trustable, they have many issues and are in danger of missing the playoffs considering the recent resurection of The Bucks.Of course, NBA is all about situational betting any team can beat any team on a given day given the right ingrediants and if Orlando, another team that lives from outside shooting, then why not NY?Yea and now i see that Bulls have next game with Miami, possible look ahead spot and Knicks got Chandler back, hmm...
My bet here is on over, i got 191,5 at my local, which was strange for me, online is 198 and it's closer to reality.Bulls havent played much D lately and with Deng out and with Miami on the verge i dont see them playing it here either.NY if it's good at something then it's at scoring, they have plenty of shooters from all other the place, they dont play much D either, although with Chandler back their defense should improve.I see both teams capable of landing around 100 mark.

How can you say there is no value at all at a @4,00+ odd. I mean you are right when you say they are inconsistent , don't play like a team(getting better here) , and simmilar stuff but Bulls without Deng are really less effective in defence(again helps your over bet) , and if you just look at the matchups I think NYK has a chance and @4,00 is a great value.

PG Lin-Rose (Rose a lot better afcours but Lin can explode anytime so I would give advantage to Rose but not to much- the reserve PG's I would say NYK has better situation because Baron is a quality PG and Lucas the III nothing special)
SG Fields-Brewer ( I would say a fair matchup , but better bench in NYK Smith and Shumpert-who plays 1-2-3 positions)
SF Anthony-Korver ( Anthony a lot better , Korver can shoot 3pt's but the major diference in quality will be shown tonight in my opinion)
PF Stoudemire-Boozer (Simmilar players , not so good defensivly as ofensivly , I would say Stoudemire is better but the reserve PF Taj Gibson is good for Chicago , so euqaly strong)
C Chandler-Noah (both deffence-minded centers but Chandler is a lot better , plus Noah had illnes so he is not 100% but they have Asik who is also a good center)

As of team like a team , Chicago is usually in great advantage but they are also not used to this starting lineup and their rotation is a lot changed now so I wouldn't give them that much advantage there.

For me the key of this game lies in Rose on one side and Anthony and Lin on other. If Melo and Lin put up a good show I think this Chicago can't stop them. But if not Rose is probabbly going double-double tonight and bringing the victory to Chicago.

NBA4EVER · 13-03-12, 00:43

Quote:

Originally Posted by Prusina

ML on NYK is a good and valuable bet

??? wtf, Bulls are absolutely 100% Banker here @home, and there´s absolutely NO need to join any risk and go with the guests here. Odds around 1,20 are low, of course, but - combine it with some tasty other bets in combos or systems, if you need a banker.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Prusina

I don't play NYK

A very good and logical decision, please, don´t waste any cent on the dog here, because it´s really clear who will win here...
I think, most of the people agree...

GL 2 every1 !

sirac · 13-03-12, 00:43

I say that cause i've seen this NY team and every serious team would blow them apart, that bad they are and still there are a lot of people giving them credit and saying how talented they are and after the game come crying: what's wrong with Knicks, why they suck so bad?There might not be the case here as you have made some good arguments and like i said they can get hot and simplu outscore The Bulls like Magic did, few days ago,benefiting from Bulls light approach due to possible look ahead spot, and missing of Deng ,but as a generale note this Knicks team is fading material for me

Prusina · 13-03-12, 00:50

Quote:

Originally Posted by sirac

I say that cause i've seen this NY team and every serious team would blow them apart, that bad they are and still there are a lot of people giving them credit and saying how talented they are and after the game come crying: what's wrong with Knicks, why they suck so bad?There might not be the case here as you have made some good arguments and like i said they can get hot and simplu outscore The Bulls like Magic did, few days ago,benefiting from Bulls light approach due to possible look ahead spot, and missing of Deng ,but as a generale note this Knicks team is fading material for me

I watched every game since the begining of the season and I can just say there are moments in the game when NYK looks like , not like a good team , but like a champhion team! But I haven't seen one game that they were looking good for the whole 48 minutes and that's what stops them , this team just can't be a team for the whole game..I think trading Amare for a defensive mind PF would help a lot but I don't think that is going to happen , NYK is a show basketball team with offensive goals and an offensive coach and they will loose in the first round of PO almost for sure.

Prusina · 13-03-12, 00:53

Humphries is going wild...2 fouls Ilyasova nad Sanders not looking good for the Bucks..

NBA4EVER · 13-03-12, 00:58

Quote:

Originally Posted by Prusina

Humphries is going wild...

yeah, really crazy, he´s makin´it all alone....incredible! he seems to be in pretty good form atm...

sirac · 13-03-12, 01:02

common guys, join livescore section for live comments, let's keep the topic for pre-game analisis

markovic · 13-03-12, 02:48

good picks on Milwaukke,thanks mates.Milwaukke 105-99 end.

kfcpro · 13-03-12, 03:42

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kacpro

I must agree with bobcats pick,those odds are valuable. For me it is a 50-50 game,2 crappy teams,there is no need to dig a lot in this pick as conclusion is simple-2 below nba standard teams face each other,and one of them is priced 3.4.

I will gladly stake a 1 unit on it and will just check result later.Its like a flip of a coin,though here one outcome pays better so just because of this reason it is worth to take it as betting in the end/long run is all about valuable odds.

saasasassa

Prusina · 13-03-12, 06:36

Quote:

Originally Posted by Prusina

]Units: +90,56 59picks = 36w/4v/19l

Pick #60 New Orleans Hornets vs Charlotte Bobcats , Charlotte Bobcats ML @3,40 (2/10) Pinnacle Sports
Pick #61 New Jersey Nets vs Milwaukke Bucks , Milwaukke -3 @1,93 (6/10) Pinnacle Sports
Pick #62 Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves , Phoenix Suns -4 @1,93 (5/10) Pinnacle Sports
Pick #63 Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves , over 206 @2,62 (3/10) Bet365
Pick #64 Carmelo Anthony over 21,5 @1,73 (6/10) Pinnacle Sports

Units: +94,80 64picks = 39w/4v/21l

This can't be happening , Carmelo Anthony is falling by 1 point 3 games in a row. He is going on my black list until he improves or falls down in form drasticaly.

VicVance · 13-03-12, 08:46

Good job everyone, excellent (profitable) tips!

NBA section rocks lately, keep it up

baraba · 13-03-12, 13:30

Quote:

Originally Posted by baraba

D.Rose over 23.5 @ 1,85
7/10 , bet365

32 points , win

Quote:

Originally Posted by baraba

New Jersey Nets - Milwaukee Bucks / Milwaukee -3,5 @ 1,99
5/10 , bet365

Milwaukee +6 , win