Norway Adeccoligaen 12 - 13 June 2011 Round 10

mightye · 07-06-11, 22:30

Nordicbet:

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Sunday 12.06.2011 Sandefjord - Bryne:

Both these teams use natural grass at their home stadiums.

Sandefjord got a early penalty against them in the away game against Sandnes Ulf, but they failed to strike back to get points from that game (0-1).
Their latest home game (4-0) against Randaberg was impressive in new coach Arne Sandstøs debut though.
Sandefjord are 3-1-1 at home so far, with goal score 9-3.

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Bryne lost at home to Hønefoss (0-1) in their latest game, and they have lost two games in a row now.
They are 2-1-1 on the road so far, with goal score 5-6.
In front of the Hønefoss game were these players injured:
Captain Esben Ertzeid (Mid), Klaus Vikesdal Petersen (mb) and Kai Ove Stokkeland (Mid).

Sandefjord - Bryne ended 1-0 in 2008.

Meeting between two sides with ambitions to fight for promotion this season. Sandefjord disappointed away against Sandnes Ulf, but they have been solid at home so far.
Bryne have some injury problems on the midfield, and they have lost their 2 latest games. I doubt theyll turn things around away against Sandefjord.
Good chance for the home team.

Sandefjord, 9/10 stakes, odds 2.20@Centrebet. Good luck!

mightye · 07-06-11, 22:51

Monday 13.06.2011 Hødd - Ranheim

This game will be played on natural grass. Ranheim use artificial grass at their home stadium.

Hødd were 2-0 up away against Randaberg in their latest game, but Randaberg equalized (2-2) in the final minutes. In that game, Hødd had to use debutant Jan Lennart Urke (Kee), due to the first goal keeper, Ørjan Håskjold Nyland (Kee), was on International duty. Nyland is back for this game.
Hødd are 3-1-0 at home so far, with goal score 10-3.

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Ranheim are in top of Adeccoligaen so far, and they are actually undefeated (4-5-0).
Easy win at home to Mjøndalen in their latest game (3-0).
Ranheim are 1-3-0 on the road so far, with goal score 7-6.
Star defender Simen Wangberg has been in Ranheim on loan from Tippeliga side Rosenborg since the start of the season, but he has returned to the Rosenborg squad this week. He will be greatly missed in the Ranheim defense.

Hødd - Ranheim ended 3-2 in 2007.

Hødd have impressed so far as a newly promoted side, and especially at home. They will have their first choice goalkeeper back from International duty for this game.
Ranheim have yet to lose, but they have played their best games at home so far. Star defender Simen Wangberg has returned to Rosenborg as his loan deal is ended.
Hødd should be favorites at home.

Hødd, 9/10 stakes, odds 2.20@188bet. Good luck!

mightye · 08-06-11, 12:38

Monday 13.06.2011 Nybergsund/Trysil - Løv Ham:

Both teams use artificial grass at their home stadiums.

Nybergsund/Trysil lost their latest game away against HamKam (0-1), but they got a early red card, an their performance were not as bad as it looks.
3-2-0 at home so far, with goal score 10-6.
Damian Williams (Mid 6/0) is on International duty.
Demba Traore (Att 9/4) is suspended.

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Løv Ham disappointed in their first home game with a new coach against Alta (1-2). It was an even game, but still the results was fair in the end. Most home supporters expected a bit more enthusiasm from the players, but it looked instead like the team was missing former coach Arne Sandstø at the sideline.
0-2-2 on the road so far, with goal score 0-3.
Captain Erlend Storesund (Mid 9/2), Efe Ehiorobo (Mid 7/2) and Anders Næs (Mid 6/0) are suspended.

Nybergsund/Trysil - Løv Ham ended 1-4 in 2010.

Two teams with important players out for this game. Løv Ham have the biggest problems, as Captain Erlend Storesund (Mid) is very important for the team. Løv Ham are struggling with bad economy, and the squad is very thin. Former coach Arne Sandstø left for a bigger club a couple of weeks ago.
Nybergsund/Trysil are also missing a couple of regulars, but they have much better backup for those players. Nybergsund/Trysil have yet to lose at home this season, and strong sides like Sandefjord and Kongsvinger are defeated so far.
Good chance for 3 points to the home team, against a very reduced Løv Ham.

Nybergsund/Trysil, 9/10 stakes, odds 2.30@188bet. Good luck!

grefstad · 13-06-11, 11:35

Quote:

Originally Posted by mightye

Monday 13.06.2011 Nybergsund/Trysil - Løv Ham:

Both teams use artificial grass at their home stadiums.

Nybergsund/Trysil lost their latest game away against HamKam (0-1), but they got a early red card, an their performance were not as bad as it looks.
3-2-0 at home so far, with goal score 10-6.
Damian Williams (Mid 6/0) is on International duty.
Demba Traore (Att 9/4) is suspended.

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Løv Ham disappointed in their first home game with a new coach against Alta (1-2). It was an even game, but still the results was fair in the end. Most home supporters expected a bit more enthusiasm from the players, but it looked instead like the team was missing former coach Arne Sandstø at the sideline.
0-2-2 on the road so far, with goal score 0-3.
Captain Erlend Storesund (Mid 9/2), Efe Ehiorobo (Mid 7/2) and Anders Næs (Mid 6/0) are suspended.

Nybergsund/Trysil - Løv Ham ended 1-4 in 2010.

Two teams with important players out for this game. Løv Ham have the biggest problems, as Captain Erlend Storesund (Mid) is very important for the team. Løv Ham are struggling with bad economy, and the squad is very thin. Former coach Arne Sandstø left for a bigger club a couple of weeks ago.
Nybergsund/Trysil are also missing a couple of regulars, but they have much better backup for those players. Nybergsund/Trysil have yet to lose at home this season, and strong sides like Sandefjord and Kongsvinger are defeated so far.
Good chance for 3 points to the home team, against a very reduced Løv Ham.

Nybergsund/Trysil, 9/10 stakes, odds 2.30@188bet. Good luck!

Very good analysis, and an even better pick. I completely agree with this one.
I went to see Løv-Ham play against Alta in the last round, where Løv-Ham grabbed a 1-0 lead on a penalty, only to surrender to a 1-2 loss, against a depleted Alta (but admittedly Alta played well on the day).

Løv Ham now miss a lot of players, Storesund is mentioned by Mightye, and he was on the verge of joining Brann in the close season, and is a very important player, defensively sound, and good on the ball.
Imho, maybe too much goes through Storesund when Løv-Ham plays, almost like a local Zidane.

Anyway, Nybergsund with 3-2-0 at home, and played well in the marginal 1-0 loss at in-form HamKam in the last round.
Still. history is on Løv-Ham's side, as Nybergsund only got 0-2-4 against Løv-Ham in total.

Pretty clear home win anyway for me, at very good odds as well.

grefstad · 13-06-11, 11:47

Value is often found in well-paid draws in Norway, both in 1.div, and also espescially in 2.div and 3.div matches.

Possible draws in this round are:

Hødd-Ranheim
Ranheim tough to beat, league leaders, not lost yet. 5 draws out of 9. Hødd also 5 draws out of 9 so far this year, and hard to beat at home.
Very possible draw, and looks like an UNDER game as well.

Hønefoss-Bodø/Glimt
Both teams boasting 3-3-3 records so far, but Bodø have really picked up, 3 wins on the trot, 2 of them after the change of coach.
Hønefoss normally a tough team to beat at home, but they are very unpredictable. Beat solid Bryne 1-0 away in the last round, a result that cost me a few quid.
Bodø are on a run, but I think they will be reasonably happy with a draw here.
Expect teams like Hønefoss, Bodø., Kongsvinger and HamKam to be in the top end of the table come October/November.
Looks like a scoring draw to me, 1-1, 2-2.

Alta-Asker
I saw Alta win against Løv-Ham last week, pretty impressive game, but Løv-Ham were a pretty easy pray on the day.
Asker is promoted, and have played very defensively sound so far. Only 5 goals conceded, and 8 goals scored in 8 games.
Alta play indoors on artifical grass, but Asker are not unfamilar with the surface.
Alta carry a lot of injureies, and their top scorer Vegard Braathen is doubtful here, inflammation in his leg.
He played vs Løv-Ham but was pretty anonymous even though he scored a penalty.
Looks like a goal-shy draw to me, but Alta are marginal favourites, and rightly so.
0-0 or 1-1?

Mjøndalen-Hamkam
Mjøndalen is a typical hometeam, grabbing almost all their points at home and pick up the occasional point away. Ham Kam is promoted, but a team that belong in this division. Expect them to climb the table during the year.
They changed formation from 4-2-3-1 to 4-3-3 and got 3 wins on the trot after that.
Mjøndalen have not won for a few games, and their coach wants back to the basics, which usually means more direct type of football.
I struggle to decide wether to jump on the HamKam bandwagon or settle for the draw.
Ham Kam is a tempting bet at 2.70-2.80, , but the draw is quite likely. Ham Kam usually operate in games where there is only 1 goal settling the contest.
I'll estimate the chances of a draw to 35-40%, and there is value around 3.5.

Dex · 13-06-11, 13:32

Quote:

Originally Posted by grefstad

Very good analysis, and an even better pick. I completely agree with this one.
I went to see Løv-Ham play against Alta in the last round, where Løv-Ham grabbed a 1-0 lead on a penalty, only to surrender to a 1-2 loss, against a depleted Alta (but admittedly Alta played well on the day).

Løv Ham now miss a lot of players, Storesund is mentioned by Mightye, and he was on the verge of joining Brann in the close season, and is a very important player, defensively sound, and good on the ball.
Imho, maybe too much goes through Storesund when Løv-Ham plays, almost like a local Zidane.

Anyway, Nybergsund with 3-2-0 at home, and played well in the marginal 1-0 loss at in-form HamKam in the last round.
Still. history is on Løv-Ham's side, as Nybergsund only got 0-2-4 against Løv-Ham in total.

Pretty clear home win anyway for me, at very good odds as well.

Lov-Ham is only scoreles away team in league and with missing players I think they will park the bus.

my crazy local give 2.70 for Lov-Ham not to score and this is gift of the day

wow another gift for the same game 2.70 on Nybergsund to win first half ....... who is crazy in my local bookie?

eldie57 · 13-06-11, 13:50

Quote:

Originally Posted by grefstad

Value is often found in well-paid draws in Norway, both in 1.div, and also espescially in 2.div and 3.div matches.

Possible draws in this round are:

Hødd-Ranheim
Ranheim tough to beat, league leaders, not lost yet. 5 draws out of 9. Hødd also 5 draws out of 9 so far this year, and hard to beat at home.
Very possible draw, and looks like an UNDER game as well.

Hønefoss-Bodø/Glimt
Both teams boasting 3-3-3 records so far, but Bodø have really picked up, 3 wins on the trot, 2 of them after the change of coach.
Hønefoss normally a tough team to beat at home, but they are very unpredictable. Beat solid Bryne 1-0 away in the last round, a result that cost me a few quid.
Bodø are on a run, but I think they will be reasonably happy with a draw here.
Expect teams like Hønefoss, Bodø., Kongsvinger and HamKam to be in the top end of the table come October/November.
Looks like a scoring draw to me, 1-1, 2-2.

Alta-Asker
I saw Alta win against Løv-Ham last week, pretty impressive game, but Løv-Ham were a pretty easy pray on the day.
Asker is promoted, and have played very defensively sound so far. Only 5 goals conceded, and 8 goals scored in 8 games.
Alta play indoors on artifical grass, but Asker are not unfamilar with the surface.
Alta carry a lot of injureies, and their top scorer Vegard Braathen is doubtful here, inflammation in his leg.
He played vs Løv-Ham but was pretty anonymous even though he scored a penalty.
Looks like a goal-shy draw to me, but Alta are marginal favourites, and rightly so.
0-0 or 1-1?

Mjøndalen-Hamkam
Mjøndalen is a typical hometeam, grabbing almost all their points at home and pick up the occasional point away. Ham Kam is promoted, but a team that belong in this division. Expect them to climb the table during the year.
They changed formation from 4-2-3-1 to 4-3-3 and got 3 wins on the trot after that.
Mjøndalen have not won for a few games, and their coach wants back to the basics, which usually means more direct type of football.
I struggle to decide wether to jump on the HamKam bandwagon or settle for the draw.
Ham Kam is a tempting bet at 2.70-2.80, , but the draw is quite likely. Ham Kam usually operate in games where there is only 1 goal settling the contest.
I'll estimate the chances of a draw to 35-40%, and there is value around 3.5.

super previews thanks alot, will do the draw teams +0.5, better price than double chance...

sarabia · 13-06-11, 14:35

alta-asker

asker not loose this season, i think it is time to lose with alta,

bluesman/ · 13-06-11, 19:56

Thanx mighty(e) (queen, Bob Dylan).
Im here in Greece, played a combo out of Nybergsund, Haugesund and Inter Turku by state lottery. Nice money.

S.S. Lazio 1900 · 14-06-11, 11:14

thank you ver much mightye and grefstad. I took Nybergsund @ 1,85 with a high stake
and also Nybergsund -1 @ 2,50 with the same stake and won very good cash