Pick Of The Day 29/10/05

[nikola_scg]

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[nikola_scg]

PICK #9 4/8 -121

KOLN – BAYERN away win @1.55 interwetten

What to say about these teams – there is a big class difference between these teams. Koln is situated at the 14th table position. They have 5 lost in a row. They are in very bad form:

22.10.2005 German Bundesli Eintracht Frankfurt - FC Köln 6:3
16.10.2005 German Bundesli FC Köln - Hannover 1:4
01.10.2005 German Bundesli Nurnberg - FC Köln 2:1
25.09.2005 German Bundesli FC Köln - Hertha Berlin 0:1
21.09.2005 German Bundesli Bayer Leverkusen - FC Köln 2:1

So, they are in bad form and Bayern comes in very bad time.
Bayern is the best team in Bundesliga, but they didn’t win in last two away games, but it was against strong teams (HSV and Schalke). Now, they have much easier task.
Cullmann,Weiser, Scabics are out for Koln. Lizarazu, Hairgreaves and Lahm are still injured, but Magath can count on best line up.

Bayern played not well in cup match against Aue and after that I believe they will not underestimate Koln and it will be enough for easy away win.

PICK WON

[nightwatcher]

Pick no.10

so far....5/9....+128

Urawa Reds - Kawasaki Frontale

Pick: over 3, Odds: 2.04 @ Pointbet


Much same situation as in Oita's game also here.
Urawa was last year top team, but this year they faced a few problems and nothing goeas as tehy planned. Now IMO they will try to save what can be saved. They stil are in fight for top places and I am sure they won't let that from hand. In last games they showed that even without few players who are injured, stil can score. Even against Omiya, who IMO have strong defence they scored 3.Ok, against Reysol they manage to score 7, but Reysol was without 2 players. But stil I think Urawa here at home ground can put one or two to Kawasaki. And Kawasaki, they are just amazing. donno what happened to them, maybe they are on drugs.. who knows, but take a look at last 6 games. 6-0-0 score and 16:5 goal difference. They will sure continue their fight too, and what is important, they will stay in J1 league. So they are relaxed for sure, and another win can put them just higher..much more that they expected at start.
So.. one team anger to show fans that they are stil top team, and another one who already showed them and play just "for fun"... could be over here.

GL to all.
8O

FT 3-2 Pick won.

[_Razvi_]

#9
4/8 +405

Otelul Galati - FC Arges

I don't have now time to wrote long previews.

I take here the home win because i think that Arges here is a value betting,and that BetAndWin is making a mistake offering such a price.

Why?
Here is a battle between the 14th place and the 8th place,against Arges Coach Cartu and his last team Otelu.
Otelu where in the last two games over my expectation,making 1 point home against Jiul,and eliminated,a not motivated team,in the cup with 2-0.
Their bigest plus in this game is that they are playing home,and one of the big blow is the injury of their captain.
On the other part Arges will come will full squad,a squad who are day after day more stronger,playing a nice football.
They trained today on Galati,because Cartu know good that the field can make to them big problems
In this game are two kinds of motivations,one of Arges team,to win two consecutive away games,after the first one against National,and the second one of Galati,who whant to escape from the "hot zone of the table"

I cannot see here a home win,maybe a draw(in the last 6 games,only 1 time one of the two team won the game,last year Arges,the rest of the games were draws),but on this value i will give a chance to Arges.


Pick: A/A [ht/ft], Odds: 5.50, Stake: 6, Bookmaker: Betandwin

0:1 (0:0), PICK LOST

[salas]

Pick #9 6/8 +635

Thun - Ziruch , Thun @2.20 Interwetten
Thun currently on the fourthly place with the same points like Ziruch. Thun had to play 5 games away in a row where they lose 3matches, thats a huge lost of points for them, and they have to back on their winning streak again, after their last match was won with 5-1 against Sankt Gallen at home. Ziruch's huge problem today is that they are missing alot of players, actually they have 13players available for the trip at Thun, also their last 2 matches was played against the strong team of Basel and Grasshoppers, which Ziruch lost them both and the next strong team is Thun, wont be easy for Ziruch. Thun with 4 straight wins at home, scored 12 received 2 and Ziruch's problems today I belive Thun can win again.

1-6 PICK LOST !!! 8O

[YAMAN]

I corrected my mistake..Sorry Minov... My post can be seen below..

[afos21]

Pick #8
So far: 5/7 +257

Cyprus First League: Olympiakos Vs Omonoia Pick OVER 3 1.95 @ 10BET

As i've mentioned in my preview in the forum for Cyprus League i'm almost certain that Omonoia will win the game tonight. However there is a pure value in such odds. The reason? Both teams are attacking minded. They never like to play defensive football and they both have coaches who like to attack and many players who can easily score goals.

Statistically, Omonoia had 5 of its 7 matches this year finishing over 2.5 goals, 3 of which were also over 3. Olympiakos has also 5/7 matches over 2.5 goals and 4/5 over 3 goals.

However, i never base my picks on statistics. Omonoia will be without its goalkeeper for the first time this season because he had an injury in the last game. The substitute is a good goalkeeper as well but he lacks of self-confidence. So i expect him to probably make some mistakes and generally not give confidence on its team.

Olympiakos has the second goalscorer of championship, Paulo Rink who can score from nothing and he will give hard time to the slow defenders of Omonoia tonight. The big problem of Olympiakos is their bad defence. They really don't know how to defend and despite they have a good goalkeeper they concede goals very easily. They lack of tall players in defence and they will have problems on the free-kicks which is the big weapon of Omonoia

[Minov]

Originally Posted by YAMAN

So, my pick is ; @2.90 in BETANDWIN

P.S. If it was not limited by ther rules, I woul bet on HT/FT DRAW @ 4.00-4.30

So your pick is ???? It's draw, of course, but you missed to write it :P

And it is allowed to take odds higher than 3.50 ( it means you can take HT/FT DRAW ), but maximum points you can get is 250 !!!!

Good luck !

[YAMAN]

Pick # 10 :wink:

So Far 5/9 + 301

AC MILAN - JUVENTUS

First of all I wish you all a percect and a profitable weekend.
Well, as everybody knows it's on of the biggest derbies in whole world. Most of the countries will broadcast the game live on TV.
I could have given you the statistics which shows exactly the equality of the teams. Goals they score at home/away or conceded at home/away or Juve won all 9 macthes since the beggining of the season etc etc...

I always beleive in catch points in the matches. And if the game was not M***304;LAN- JUVENTUS but TROMSO - VALERENGA or BET***304;S-R.SOC***304;EDAD or another 2 not top class teams plying with the same conditions which MILAN and JUVENTUS have at the moment in table I would again and again wrote the same which is IMO the catch point of the match and can be found below ;

"BOTH TEAMS ARE TOO STRONG TO LOOSE"

I always say that sometimes the answer may not be that complicated and maybe easy, like sometimes life itself...

So, my pick is ; DRAW HT/FT @4.50 in BETANDWIN

pick lost !!!

[Muuki]

Pick #9
6/8
+554

Rijeka - Dinamo

Pick : DRAW
Odds : 3.15
Bookie : Expekt, Multibet, Worldbet

Well this won't be a very long preview as i'm preety much out of time.
Rijeka with terrible preformance in last 2 games ( 0:3 vs. Pula and 0:4 vs. Cibalia) and coach Scoria has some big troubles and there were rumors that this will be a turning point for him as if he loses this game he'll defintley resign or be kicked out.

This is not true as no matter what will be the outcome of todays clash - Scoria will stay on the bench!
Dinamo on the other hand is the best team in Croatia no doubt, but at their last 3 games (1:0 vs. Pula, 1:0 vs. Cibalia and 3:1 vs. Osijek) they were not so dominant as they were a month ago...

Their H2H matches :

06-08-2005 1. HNL Ozujsko Dinamo Zagreb Rijeka 5 - 1
20-11-2004 1. HNL Ozujsko Rijeka Dinamo Zagreb 4 - 2
21-08-2004 1. HNL Ozujsko Dinamo Zagreb Rijeka 1 - 1
12-05-2004 1. HNL Ozujsko Rijeka Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 1
17-04-2004 1. HNL Ozujsko Dinamo Zagreb Rijeka 5 - 0
09-11-2003 1. HNL Ozujsko Dinamo Zagreb Rijeka 2 - 0
03-09-2003 1. HNL Ozujsko Rijeka Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 0
09-03-2003 1. HNL Ozujsko Rijeka Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 1
28-09-2002 1. HNL Ozujsko Dinamo Zagreb Rijeka 2 - 1
14-04-2002 1. HNL Ozujsko Dinamo Zagreb Rijeka 2 - 3

Notice that RIJEKA won only once in last 10 games!
Although they had a bad performance in last 2 games i'm sure supporters will come in big number and i'm expecting full stadium Kantrida tonight as they heavent lost a single game on this stadium this season.
If Dinamo wins here - championship will definitley be over as they are allready 10 points in front and i don't think any side will have anything against a fair DRAW.

Yes - Dinamos attack seems unstopable and defence unbrekable but expect Rijeka to have a bigger motive in front of home crowd. Daniel Saric is back for Rijeka which can be very important fact as he is rijeka's captain, while Kuze (dinamo's coach) will give chance to Kardum instead of Silvijo Maric.

GL :wink:

Edit : Odds and bookie!

0:1, PICK LOST !!!

[Minov]

Originally Posted by Muuki

Bookie : 10Bet (is allowed? :roll: )

GL :wink:

No, sorry !!!You can take the odds from 10Bet, but from November 1st !!!

[Morfeo]

Pod #9 3/8 -88 ops:

my pick from the main page:

Israeli Premier league: 7th round:

Hapoel Nazrat Ilit vs Maccabi Petah Tikva pick: Draw
odds: 3.20
bookie: BAW


The bookies belives in Petah Tikva(7th) advantage in this game and gives pretty high odds on 1,X. In the matter of fact, i think that Nazrat Ilit(9th) is sligthy better then the bookies favorite.

Petah Tikva is playing in Uefa cup this season, and with their small squad, their players are already feel exausted . They have two important midfielders injured(Dobrovin and Tuama) and without them it seems that the team lacks creativity. Since the loss to Palermo in UC 2 weeks ago, PT had a draw with Kfar Saba at home, in the very boring game, that the guests were much better and now thay have NI away.

Nazrat Ilit have serious problems in scoring. Only 4 goals scored in 6 games! However they aren't conceedeng much (6)(Petah Tikva 8/8) , so for me it would be very defensive, low scoring game.

I see a draw as a very possible outcome here, cose PT will not want to loose league game before UC clash at midweek, and NI would want to collect some points at last. Draw 3/10. GL!!

2:0, PICK LOST !!!

[ivan-dzo]

5/8
+751
9th pick
Boston United - Torquay pick :arrow: 1 1,83 Bet365
Ok, last two picks, it is very, very hard to decide what to pick. I am a little nervous, you know...
Boston is now high flying, only 2 points behind spot who leeds in play off.
No defeat last 9 games in league, good spirit in club, only problem is injury of Noel Whelan who goes to operation, and no available until next year, while midfielder David Noble is back in contention after missing the last four games with a rib injury.
Boston form, last 6:
10-22 (7) Oxford 0-0 Boston D
10-15 Boston 3-1 Bristol Rov. (14) W
10-07 (15) Notts County 1-2 Boston W
10-01 Boston 1-0 Peteborough (8) W
09-27 (9) Darlington 0-0 Boston D
09-24 Boston 1-1 Grimsby (3) D
Solid ...
On the otherside, Torquay is full of internal problems. Supporters of club are becoming louder aginst coach,who is travelling 200 miles each day.
he also get few days of before the game.Ad to that they have some selection doubts. Really bad atmosphere. Results last 6:
D Torquay 1-1 Macclesfield (24) 10-22
L (11) Wrexham 4-2 Torquay 10-15
D Torquay 0-0 Barnet (21) 10-07
W (13) Cheltenham 0-1 Torquay 10-01
L (2) Leyton O. 2-1 Torquay 09-27
W Torquay 2-1 Lincoln (18) 09-24
Torquay winger Tony Bedeau has been ruled out of after he suffered a thigh strain in the draw with Macclesfield.
The Gulls also have doubts over midfielder Kevin Hill (flu) and centre-back James Sharp (leg), but both should be available/bbc
H2H:
2004-02-28 Torquay 2-0 Boston
2003-10-25 Boston 4-0 Torquay
2003-03-29 Torquay 1-1 Boston
2002-10-12 Boston 2-1 Torquay
Everthing looks and smell like Boston victory.\
And I am going for one with 7/10 stake.
GL
WELL DONE, BOYS!!!
1-0/2-0
PICK WON!!!

[Moldoveanu]

2/8 -100

Pick #9

Wining Margin

Nation WIde Confernece

Grays winz by 2 goals or more odds 3.6 bet365

Grays has been imprssive and has been scoring alot of goals and playing really solid defnse. Grays have been playing good teams and have been scoring tons of goals vs them! SOuthport gave up 25 goals on the season
grays need to take advantage vs these bottom division teams! everyone on top is playing tight and from 1 loss they can be down to the 3rd place and still just 2 3 pts from being down to the midle of the table!! when there is opportunity to win vs a weak team Grays are really looking forward to win this game

Grays 4 Southport 1

Pick Won 4-1 +400

[Muuki]

Originally Posted by afos21

Pick #8
So far: 5/7 +257

Cyprus First League: Olympiakos Vs Omonoia Pick OVER 3 1.95 @ 10BET

Afos21 - 10bet is not allowed in the competition yet ( from November 1st you can use that bookie) so please change your bookie or your pick will be VOID!
:wink:

[CSKA/SF/fan]

Pick#9 7/8 +703

Olympique Lyon-Sochaux FC
Pick-X2
Odd-3.00-Sportingbet

I know this bet is a little bit strange but I just think that it is not possible for team from the biggest leagues like France to lead with so many points and to give 100% in each game.The standings show:
1. Olympique Lyon 12 9 3 0 22:8 30
2. Paris Saint Germain 12 7 2 3 15:9 23

7 points over PSG is too much for France.It is sure that Lyon is the best team at France at the moment but they have to travel to Greece for CL game next week.And this game is no so important for Lyon.Lyon is not so impressive at home-only wins and 1 draw but all the wins were with one goal difference and made hard.On the other side Sochaux is close to relegation zone and the start of the season is awfull for them.They really need points at the moment.And they will give their best and fight with Lyon.Last games at this stadium between this two teams shows that Lyon win rare against Sochaux at home:
Olympique Lyon Sochaux FC 1:1
Olympique Lyon Sochaux FC 1:1
Olympique Lyon Sochaux FC 4:1
Olympique Lyon Sochaux FC 1:1
Olympique Lyon Sochaux FC 1:1
Only one win in last 5 games at home.Actually I think Lyon would not be so disapointed if this game end with draw.

1:0, PICK LOST !!!

[afos21]

THNX FOR NOTHING MAN!!! I always check the allowed bookmakers. When a bookmaker is not allowed yet you might consider it place it on the rules WHEN is available

[afos21]

Pick #8 (again! :evil: )
So far: 5/7 +257

Primera Division: Real Betis Vs Real Madrid CF Pick DRAW 3.25 @ BET 365

Both teams are in really bad shape lately. They both come from two straight loses in the local championship while Betis had also been defeated 10 days ago from Chelsea by 4-0. So you can realise how bad the morale is when it has conceeded 12 goals in the last 3 matches. Things are not good either for Real having suffered two straight loses in 3 days without even fighting the games.
The big characteristic of the game will be the many absences for both teams. Joaquin, Varela, Assuncao and many others for Betis. For Real just mentioning Ronaldo, Julio Baptista, Zidane, Beckham and Graversen. So you can realise that this match won't have all those great players when expecting such a game.
I think that none of the two can afford a third consecutive defeat and to be honest none of the two seems to be in a shape to be able to win. This is the major reason for taking this bet.
Also, last two years the games ended draw 1-1 and i think the same thing will happen today.

0:2, pick lost !!!

[Palini]

Pick #8, so far: 5/7 +470

Icehockey, NHL

Atlanta - Tampa Bay 2 ----> 2.00 @Expekt

Not much value at these odds on Tampa, but the diffrence in class is pretty obvious. Pretty much everything seem to go wrong for Atlanta at the moment. In their last game they lost to the Penguins (5-7) and that was Penguins first win of the season. Atlantas defence is obviously in shambles. They have conceded 42 goals in 10 games. An avarage of 4.2.
They have an obvious problem with finding a solid goal keeper. In those 10 games, they have used no less than 5 (?!) diffrent goalkeepers.
They have scored 29 goals in those 10 games, and that's more than decent, but bare in mind that over half of those goals (15), were scored in 2 consecutive games against Washington.

These two teams met just over a weak ago in Atlanta. Tampa won that game 6-0. Not too much should have changed since then.
Tampa should normally be much better, much stronger, much more organized, and in much better form at the moment. Pretty much anything though is possible in NHL with a marathon long season, but anything but an away win here would surprise me.

2:3, PICK WON

[Minov]

Originally Posted by afos21

THNX FOR NOTHING MAN!!! I always check the allowed bookmakers. When a bookmaker is not allowed yet you might consider it place it on the rules WHEN is available

It is writen in the rules that you can use the odds from 10Bet after 1st of November !!!! You should have read that !!!

[Macot]

Pick #8
So far 2/7, -30

Tigres UNL v Toluca 1 @2,25 WillHill
Mexican Primera.


It is a very tight league 4 rounds before the end of Apertura 2005 and one of more important games is going to be played on Universitario Stadium in Leon. Tigres are currently 7th and need to win to stay in touch for play- offs and Toluca is one place in front of them, but the difference is 5 points, so they can breathe a bit easier. It is interesting, Tigres had better results away from home (5:0 win at Veracruz, win at Morelia and a draw at Tecos... but at home, they are without a win since end August! On the other side, Toluca won last two away games.
But, I count on motivation here, home team has to win this to stay in touch for playoffs. Honestly, Toluca has motivation, too they play for home advantage and better position. So, it is a wide open game, low stakes required.
GL
:roll:

1:3 Pick lost!