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Old 29-12-09, 11:54   #1
vm
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Default NBA 29 Dec

Not a good night with the lakers not doing their job and Nets again having a poor performance on last quarter and not covering the handicap. Hope we can improve tonight. Brief comment on each of the 4 bets i took:

Cleveland Cavaliers (+2.5) @ 1.94
Prediction: 96:97

The hot game of the night, i´ve a higher probability for Cavs not lose this game. Any + handicap on them worths to take, according my estimation.

Washington Wizards @ 1.9 && Under 202.5 @ 1.95
Prediction: 99:97

Favorite is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings and even Durrant make is season high vs Nets, i'm estimating Wizards to won tonight, even the OT they played yesterday night. As my estimatimation gives me both teams to not reach the 100 points, under is also a good investment.

Minnesota Timberwolves/San Antonio Spurs (U 198.5) @ 1.91
Prediction: 99:91

This line is so high due to both teams has ~99 avg/points but my line being more fair around 195 points.
Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in San Antonio and my estimations gives me Spurs to not reach the 100 points and Wolves to score around 90, so good edge on this total.
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I want to wish you an Happy New Year,
Redragon
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Old 29-12-09, 12:48   #2
yves
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the cavs were so good against the lakers on the 25th , if they play the same game they will beat anyone, home or away
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Old 29-12-09, 14:07   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by vm View Post
Not a good night with the lakers not doing their job and Nets again having a poor performance on last quarter and not covering the handicap. Hope we can improve tonight. Brief comment on each of the 4 bets i took:

Cleveland Cavaliers (+2.5) @ 1.94
Prediction: 96:97

The hot game of the night, i´ve a higher probability for Cavs not lose this game. Any + handicap on them worths to take, according my estimation.

Washington Wizards @ 1.9 && Under 202.5 @ 1.95
Prediction: 99:97

Favorite is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings and even Durrant make is season high vs Nets, i'm estimating Wizards to won tonight, even the OT they played yesterday night. As my estimatimation gives me both teams to not reach the 100 points, under is also a good investment.

Minnesota Timberwolves/San Antonio Spurs (U 198.5) @ 1.91
Prediction: 99:91

This line is so high due to both teams has ~99 avg/points but my line being more fair around 195 points.
Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in San Antonio and my estimations gives me Spurs to not reach the 100 points and Wolves to score around 90, so good edge on this total.
--
I want to wish you an Happy New Year,
Redragon
I am agree with you about San Antonio game and I will bet Minnesota +12 too. It looks good for me.
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Old 29-12-09, 19:40   #4
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Cavaliers +2.5

25 points win in Houston, 15 points win in LA, 19 points win in Phoenix without breaking a sweat and now they get points here. I'll gladly accept that, as I do not see who is playing better basketball in the Association at the moment than these Cavs.In addition, Cavs are 9-2 SU against the Hawks, they won six straight games and last 4 of those by double-digit. Hawks are good, but one class below at this moment and will also be a bit weary, coming home after 4 games road trip.

Pacers@Bulls Under 194

Both teams are having problems offensively. Now, while Bulls can play good defense, Pacers will have to, if they want to get something in Windy City, as its hard to imagine them getting over 90 points here.
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Old 29-12-09, 20:12   #5
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NBA 2009.12.29, final 6 picks:

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks: Atlanta Hawks -2 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

New York Knicks @ Detroit Pistons: Detroit Pistons -4.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

New Orleans Hornets @ Houston Rockets: Over 193.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Minnesota Timberwolves @ San Antonio Spurs: Under 198.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek

Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers: Golden State Warriors +11.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers: Golden State Warriors ML +600 (7.00) Bookmaker


The Warriors ML is too good to pass, no NBA team barring injuries and suspensions should have less than 0.30 win probabilities... The pointspread has a also a nice value and if Golden State can control the game, has a nice chance of winning.
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Old 30-12-09, 00:09   #6
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----wrong selection lol ----------
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Old 30-12-09, 02:39   #7
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what about over 220,5 in lakers-warriors,I know it seems high but have some nice value
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Old 30-12-09, 06:52   #8
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NBA 2009.12.29 results:

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks: Atlanta Hawks -2 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (84-95: LOSS)
New York Knicks @ Detroit Pistons: Detroit Pistons -4.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (87-104: LOSS)
New Orleans Hornets @ Houston Rockets: Over 193.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (108-100: WIN)
Minnesota Timberwolves @ San Antonio Spurs: Under 198.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek (117-99: LOSS)
Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers: Golden State Warriors +11.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (124-118: WIN)

NBA 2009.12.29 finished 2-3 and -1.18 units won/5 units risked on point spreads and totals
NBA 2009/2010 Handicaps and Totals Record: 101-72-1 (+19.59 units won/173 units risked)

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 17-17 (+9.2 units won/34 units risked)
Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers: Golden State Warriors ML +600 (7.00) Bookmaker (124-118: LOSS)


NBA 2009/2010 Pointspreads and Totals L10 Days Tracker: 21-19-1 and +0.11 units lost/40 units risked.
NBA 2009.12.29 finished 2-3 and -1.18 units won/5 units risked on point spreads and totals
NBA 2009.12.28 finished 3-2 and +0.73 units won/5 units risked on point spreads and totals
NBA 2009.12.27 finished 4-0 and +3.64 units won/4 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.26 finished 3-2 and +0.73 units won/5 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.25 finished 2-1 and +0.82 units won/3 units risked on point spreads and totals.

NBA 2009.12.23 finished 3-4 and -1.27 units lost/7 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.22 finished 2-2 and -0.18 units lost/4 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.21 finished 0-4 and -4 units lost/4 units risked on point spreads and totals.
NBA 2009.12.20 finished 2-1-1 and +0.82 units won/3 units risked on point spreads and totals.
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