We have one free pick for today for BA forum readers:
FBK Kaunas - FK Suduva
pick: FBK Kaunas
Lithuania 2008/7/9 19:00
odds: 1.65
stake: 8/10
bookmaker: Betsafe
It's the lowest odds we have been taking ever in this project, but to get 1.65 for FBK Kaunas playing at home is not ordinary. Yes, I know that Betsafe is not the most popular bookie, but most of the bookies do not provide odds for Lithuanian League at all. You can get 1.57 at Bet365 as well. The best option, if you find (we haven't yet) anywhere is to take FBK Kaunas AH(-1) as the odds will be bigger then. Mind that bookie Triobet has not offered odds for this game yet, so I would suggest to check them from time to time, as they can offer decent odds for straight FBK Kaunas win...
FBK Kaunas have never lost to FK Suduva home or away. There were 26 games played and... FBK Kaunas won 20, 6 games ended in draw.
Last results between these teams playing in FBK Kaunas stadium are the following:
FBK Kaunas Suduva Marijampole 3:0
FBK Kaunas Suduva Marijampole 2:1
FBK Kaunas Suduva Marijampole 1:1
FBK Kaunas Suduva Marijampole 2:0
FBK Kaunas Suduva Marijampole 2:0
FBK Kaunas Suduva Marijampole 3:1
FBK Kaunas Suduva Marijampole 3:0
As far as I remember FBK Kaunas playing against FK Suduva at home, visitors do not have a chance to win... I do not know the real reason, but maybe they are affraid of the fact that FBK Kaunas is the best team in Lithuanian league for few years, maybe that's the reason, because Suduva always loses to FBK Kaunas, but somehow manages to win against other strong opponents and last few years is one of the strongest teams in all the league.
FBK Kaunas is preparing for the game in Champions League against Andorra's champions, so it will be like a preparation game and I am sure all the best players will be playing.
Last weekend these both teams met each other in Marijampole (city of FK Suduva), the game was a bit boring, but Kaunas were trying to win this match and was obvious that were not happy about the result. Once the ball hit the bar after the FBK Kaunas player shot. Last minutes FBK Kaunas tried to attack more, but did not scored a goal and after final whistle they were so unhappy like they have lost a cup, gold medals or something else important. I guess good money bonuses were promissed for the win in this game from the management. That's why I am sure win and only win will be the goal of this match in Kaunas for them.
FK Suduva is in second place, but they played one game less then FBK Kaunas, so by lost points there are in 1st place...
1. FBK Kaunas 14 8 4 2 29 : 5 28
2. Suduva Marijampole 13 8 3 2 15 : 10 27
That's another reason why FBK Kaunas will be playing only for a win and will achieve it. They always want to build up a large points margin from the team in second place in the middle of the championship and then they can relax... This time the situation is a bit different, as still FBK Kaunas is not in first place and the 2nd place is not ordinary for them.
FK Suduva is a "home team", even though their away results this season are the best in league 6 played: 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 loses.
But both AWAY matches with good teams (I mean good teams in LT league can be called FBK Kaunas, Vetra, Ekranas, Suduva. Others are just poor teams, who sometimes manage to do some miracles - that's all) with FK Vetra and FBK Kaunas ended with tragic result 0:3.
Last AWAY match against poorest team in a league FK Silute (3 draws, 12 lost games) ended 1:1. It's not a secret that FK Silute is a reserved team of FBK Kaunas for players who are incapable to play for FBK Kaunas yet. So, if they (reserved Kaunas team) can achieve draw against FK Suduva, FBK Kaunas can win at home for sure. They must win.
All key players which can not be replaced are fit to play. Only P. Mendy have not returned from Senegal national team and midfielder L. Pilibaitis most probably will not play. But I can see only one irreplaceble player brasilian forward R. Ledesma - he will play, so no worries then. Other ~20 players in the team are probably one class, so no big difference who will play and no reason to write about it anything more.
FK Suduva will miss Thiago Caetano because of injury and Bobi Bojinovski of yellow cards. Lithuanian football legend and most important player in the squad midfildier D. Maciulevicius has not been playing for FK Suduva in last matches as well. Suduva fans are worried about these missings of Maciulevicius and Bojinovski, as FBK Kaunas should dominate and control the field center.
Prediction: all in all, FBK Kaunas win as nothing else will satisfy the players, managers and club owner.
Good luck!
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