Spain Primera 22-23/03

[polaki]

Mallorca - La Coruna 112 2.14 3.18 3.22 22.03.2008 - 20:00
Sevilla - Atletico Madrid 113 1.89 3.29 3.87 22.03.2008 - 22:00
Levante - Villarreal 111 4.47 3.35 1.74 23.03.2008 - 17:00
Zaragoza - Almeria 110 1.84 3.29 4.01 23.03.2008 - 17:00
Barcelona FC - Valladolid 111 1.23 5.25 10.96 23.03.2008 - 17:00
Osasuna - Betis Sevilla 111 2.01 3.18 3.47 23.03.2008 - 17:00
Santander - Huelva 109 1.84 3.28 4.00 23.03.2008 - 17:00
Murcia Real - Espanyol Barcelona 110 2.96 3.14 2.27 23.03.2008 - 17:00
Real Madrid - Valencia FC 110 1.49 3.73 6.45 23.03.2008 - 19:00
Bilbao - Getafe 109 2.19 3.15 3.11 23.03.2008 - 21:00

from BetExplorer

[GREENPICKS]

After the match Valencia - Barcelona the odds for Real Madrid have risen a little, in betfair to 1.60 and in other bookies I have seen up to 1.58, until Sunday they can keep on rising and be 'values'.

At present Real Madrid without Van Nistelroy does not give any guarantee, 10 parties stay to finish the league and this is the important moment of the season and 7 points to the Barcelona, which can accuse enough the yesterday 'blow'.

I hope there is luck and the odds of the Real one keeps on rising.

[bgfallen]

I was thinking on the Sevilla - Atl. Madrid Over 2.5... The odd seems nice about 1.75-1.80 but I am afraid that Jimenez will improve the team and they will become more stable in the back and stop conceding that much goals. He needs a little more stable team in order to get that 4th place if he wants to play in the CL next year. I am not sure if we will see so open game here. Anyway I am still considering the over here. Maybe the fire power of both teams will secure it here.

[Luchiano]

Originally Posted by bgfallen

I was thinking on the Sevilla - Atl. Madrid Over 2.5... The odd seems nice about 1.75-1.80 but I am afraid that Jimenez will improve the team and they will become more stable in the back and stop conceding that much goals. He needs a little more stable team in order to get that 4th place if he wants to play in the CL next year. I am not sure if we will see so open game here. Anyway I am still considering the over here. Maybe the fire power of both teams will secure it here.

agreed, but i would like to add that it would be good here to cover over with 1-1 cs. If both teams will score, they will probalby think not to loose, and game could slow down.

[Ultraumit]

Originally Posted by GREENPICKS

After the match Valencia - Barcelona the odds for Real Madrid have risen a little, in betfair to 1.60 and in other bookies I have seen up to 1.58, until Sunday they can keep on rising and be 'values'.

At present Real Madrid without Van Nistelroy does not give any guarantee, 10 parties stay to finish the league and this is the important moment of the season and 7 points to the Barcelona, which can accuse enough the yesterday 'blow'.

I hope there is luck and the odds of the Real one keeps on rising.

Bookies are confused and they miscalculate the risk, value and everything i think.

Valencia will not be the same Valencia as Thursday night. The King Cup was the only objective and they did well. I don't see them scoring at Bernabeu. They have a poor away record recently.

Valencia couldn't score against Sevilla, Villareal, Atletico, Getafe and Espanyol on away games. Also against Osasuna and Santander. Thet cannot do anything against strong teams. They will have huge problems in scoring to Real on Sunday evening.

Real has conceeded 7 goals in their last 5 matches, and it may be a time for a clean sheet. Because the team had this charecteristic: 11 clean sheet so far in the league.

Real will be champion by winning this one, because Barcelona will play European games and Real has a relatively easier fixture (especially ' consider home matches).

You agree or not my picks will be:

Real Madrid To Win To Nil @2.37 bet365 -- 7 stake

Correct score 2-0 @ 6.00 bet365 -- 2 stake

Correct score 3-0 @10.00 bet365 -- 1 stake

[the king is back]

whats about mallorca´s Homewin???
But la coruna is strong atm especially when they playin away(maybe a draw)
:idea: :idea: :idea:
any idee is welcome

[Alexiusz]

MURCIA - ESPANYOL
Espanyol will visit the currently worst team in Spain this weekend. Murcia have had a run of six consecutive defeats and will play football in the Segunda Division next season. Espanyol is still in the running for Uefa cup football so they will do anything to get the points this weekend. Espanyol is capable of playing really good away matches and winning this one should be possible.
Prediction: 1-2
11predictions.com advice: Espanyol win @2.30

[litost]

Couple of fancies from me allready on mp , forgot to mention Getafe will very liekly be w/o Granero and Hernandez (plus Manu ) still tehy can field a good side and their momentum is great with huge undefeated run .

good luck .

[GREENPICKS]

Comments with regard to Real Madrid - Valencia

It is the second time that RealMadrid is going to align the one that they call a 'better defense of the world', the first time was in the Barcelona - madrid with the acquaintance resulted from 0-1, S.Ramos, Pepe, Cannavaro, Heinze and goalkeeper's Casillas.

The targets only have allowed to escape 3 points in the Bernabeu and it was with the Getafe (with the silly-goal), the problem of the current madrid is that as they go getting the form the players are getting injured, it has happened with Van Gol, Robben, Robinho, Sneijder, Pepe, Heinze. For names if they all will be almost but a player would not be able to say that it should be now in form.

The game of Valencia will not be clear, to play to it against, yesterday against the barça 2-0 to the rest and the possession 40 %-60 %, it is not strange that the same happens.

Another fact to bear in mind is time of the party that it is to 19.00 local time, at this hour it will have finished the party of the barça, the result of the party there will influence very much the result that the barça has obtained in a big porcetaje it usually happens like that, for the effect known like pressure.
Particularly I will bet minutes before the party knowing the result of the barcelona to take a decision and looking at the quotas that exist.

Comments about the Sevilla - At Madrid

Rough match, of local favor and that is very probable that there are many yellow and perhaps some expelled one, are divided very very hot in the last times, something seemed as when it plays Osasuna with some of them.

On Sunday to the night we will see that it happens.

[Luchiano]

need some help from spanish friends about Mallorca

as far as i know Guiza and Ibagaza are very important absents for tommorow, are both team leaders? and how important are Ballesteros and Basinas?

[GREENPICKS]

Originally Posted by Luchiano

need some help from spanish friends about Mallorca

as far as i know Guiza and Ibagaza are very important absents for tommorow, are both team leaders? and how important are Ballesteros and Basinas?

Don't play Ibagaza & Basinas, Guiza plays (Manzano said) , Ballesteros I don't know.

[GREENPICKS]

Originally Posted by Luchiano

need some help from spanish friends about Mallorca

as far as i know Guiza and Ibagaza are very important absents for tommorow, are both team leaders? and how important are Ballesteros and Basinas?

Don't play Ibagaza & Basinas, Guiza plays (Manzano said) , Ballesteros I don't know.

Mallorca is the king of the draw (13/28)

[soveprognoze]

Sevilla - Atletico Madrid

After all bad things that had happened to Sevilla, they could be satisfied
with current situation. With new three points they could overtake Atletico and take fourth
table spot. For both clubs the aim was similar at the beginning of the season, placement
in top four and Champions League table spot.

After Antonio Puerto died in the opening day of the campaign Sevilla players
were shocked and they had had problems to concentrate on things on the pitch. Juande Ramos
had tried everything to stabilize the squad, but team had continued to sink. Another bad
news for supporters was that the coach who was the main part of the machinery which won
two consecutive UEFA CUP trophies left the club and joined Tottenham. He was replaced by
his assistant Jimenez, who had many problems during the next a couple of months. Finally,
we can see Sevilla in the race for Champions League table spot with huge changes to finish
season in the top four.

Sevilla has collected points in recent weeks, even though they haven't played
on high level. They have a lot of problems against teams from Valencia, but they managed
to beat them by identical result 2-1. The main Jimenez's weapon in recent weeks was the
form of Diego Capel and fantastic Luis Fabiano. All players are available, so we can
expect the best eleven in Sevilla's shirt.

On the other hand Atletico has had a different season so far. They have spent
the big part of the season in the top four and in one moment they were just one step away
from second table spot. All in the club have believed that Atletico, finally, has a team
for great results. Recent away form demands all expectations due to the fact that Atletico
haven't won single point in last two away matches. In the same period they were ousted
from Uefa Cup, so fourth table spot remain as only aim for team from Calderon. The main
problem for coach Aguire is big influence which has a new Maradona, Aguero Kun, on the
whole team performance. If talented Argentinean plays well then Atletico make victories.
In opposite, whole team fails to deliver. This scenario is the most likely when team plays
under pressure. This match will be just like that. Another big influence was Maxi's
injury, so team haven't had real leader on the pitch, who can consolidate situation in
critical moments. Now he will be back and it will be interesting to see how the team will
respond. Motta, another in form player, has sidelined for a few weeks and he still hasn't
recovered.

I believe that Sevilla will press hard for the first whistle, so Atletico will
have huge space in counter-attacks. Kun Aguero, Simao and Forlan will be very dangerous in
situations when they have enough space in attack. On the other hand Sevilla is a
well-known as attractive team, which away try to score one goal more. Odds for Over 2,5
are about 1.75 at Bet365 and it is fair price so it is my choice. Stake 9.

[erhan79]

Sevilla - A.Madrid

This late game of the day has big potential of being an exciting game. Sevilla is one of the most offensive team of the league. They have pacey attackers and they are really good on dead balls. They recetly didn't fail any game to score. Last week they score early two goals to Valencia and missed many more. However their defense is below the La Liga standards. Especially high balls they are very poor. I don't think they will keep clean sheet here. Recently they only saved the clean sheet against Zaragoza where they won 5-0.

Atletico looked very hot on attack recently. Last week they easily passed Levante with 3-0. Agüero, Forlan and Simao trio are very in form recently. Their away form is rather poor where they concede so many goals but their strong attack can score some goals here. Over looks good selection imo.

[Luchiano]

Originally Posted by GREENPICKS

Don't play Ibagaza & Basinas, Guiza plays (Manzano said) , Ballesteros I don't know.

i heard Guiza is doubt, and it will be late minute disigion. i nned to know how important all this players for Mallorca

[GREENPICKS]

Originally Posted by Luchiano

i heard Guiza is doubt, and it will be late minute disigion. i nned to know how important all this players for Mallorca

Yes, Güiza plays and Mallorca wins 1-0.

And Sevilla - Atletico 1-2 Congratulations for the tipsters for over 2.5, the match finished with 1 red & 7 yellow cards and thanks to the referee that to wanted delay everything possible extracting cards.

The play of the sending off is the same than Zidane-Materachi but with Maresca and Agüero.

[lihach]

what about Murcia Real - Espanyol Barcelona 110 2.96 3.14 2.27 23.03.2008 - 17:00
I think Espanyol must win. Espanyol shows good football on foreigns stadiums. Murcia going to segunda and nothing save them

[roven123]

today i think barca could cut 2 points or even full 3 , if valncia will manage to suprise with a draw mayb a win ... and barca should get easy win by 2 goals or more .... good chances that they will back to race to champions

[bill2210]

Barca is back today after the lost to Valencia....haven't won in laliga since
23/02/08 when they trashed Levante 5-1......I've noticed the odds have risen from 1.22 to 1.25 and with their curent form I think is a joke....but then looking at Valladolit's form it might be just right

Anyhow...I couldn't find any info regarding injuries and suspensions
from both teams...I am still in two minds whether to take a bet on this
game or just leave it alone...

What does the friends from Spain think about this game....with a win Barca will close the gap to few points(ofcourse if Real draws or loses)

Any info about the curent teams(injuries,suspensions etc.....will
be well appreciated

GL

[fanatik1]

What about zaragoza to win today? I think "La Romareda" will be full of fans and their support will help the team to win against an Almeria team who seems to be worryless.

[jompy]

Barca cant allow next mistake ,and exactly today against this team
i think that its a sure home win , whatever real m is doing..

[conline]

Barca will play without Ronaldinho, Messi, Deco, Giovanni and Milito.

[aleksandarsaso]

Here what i found on barca official site for today game:
This time Barça will be without seven injured players (Messi, Deco, Márquez, Giovani, Oleguer and Jorquera) and the suspended Milito. Ronaldinho had to pull out at the last minute with abductor problems in his right leg. Ezquerro will also be absent following a technical decision.

[mongrel_1]

I'd be surprised if Levante manage to get anything today. We're talking about completely different level here. Villarreal could even push for the title while Levante are a Segunda team. Villarreal 1.80 at Ladbrokes stake 9/10

I can also see Zaragoza win today. Almeria got an undeserved draw from two corner kicks that the once again school-kid defence of Barca allowed them. I doubt they will be that lucky again. Zaragoza 1.80 at GB stake 7/10

Recreativo could get something today. Encounters vs Getafe in both league and cup has cost Racing both physically and in morale and managed to get them become very nervous (they had players sent off in both matches). Their motivation is also questionable now and they look to be lacking concentration. Recre recovered from embarassment vs Mallorca and today are expected to give 100% to get something in their battle against relegation.
Recre +0.5 1.90 at GB stake 8/10

Finally Espanyol's bad form seems to be over. Finally managed to pull together and look again like a team in last three matches. If they want to push - as they claim - for 4th spot they need to win already relegated Murcia today. Espanyol 2.25 at Expekt stake 6/10

[lark]

I will make a combo with Osasuna and Atletico Bilbao.Two teams have got a great performance in last matches.And Betis is always unlucky to Osasuna.They lost 3-0,5-0 and 5-1 in last three matches to Osasuna.Osasuna will send betis to bottom of the league.The Bilbao have got a good home performance.I think Osasuna and Bilbao have got a new dream .go to Europan Cups.And I think that these two teams will make this.

Odds from Bet 365
Bilbao to win: 2,1
Osasuna to win:2,05

[AIKfan]

massive odds drop on Bilbao HW and Zaragoza HW...verry Massive !

[mantis]

Yes I know, I bet against Getafe...
sorry for not being around but facing connection problems upgrading my line...

Ath Bilbao - Getafe

Pick: H, Odds: 2.20, Stake: 6, Bookmaker: Paddy Power

It’s not the first time I am betting against Geta, and I have lost everything trying to make them lose, but this time I hope for a better result! Their record is not human, as their president stated, and coming from another hard-fought game in the midweek which gave them a copa final ticket I doubt their motivation will be at the same level as Athletic’s. Laudrup has manage to built a solid squad and rotation make no harm. But as I said, this should be a motivation issue and can not ignore the overload from the continuous games. Bilbao need this and should push it to the end. The momentum is calling for Getafe’s defeat.

Geta are without Braulio, Celestini (suspended) and Pablo Hernández, Granero, Cata Díaz, Mario, Pallardó, Del Moral (injured). Athletic without keeper Armando.

***

Zaragoza - Almeria

Pick: H, Odds: 1.83, Stake: 7, Bookmaker: William Hill

This is crucial for Zara and judging by their recent performances especially against Villarreal, they can win against safe Almeria. Diego Milito will take the nod replacing Oliveira in the peak of the attack, in Villanova’s 4-1-4-1 formation. This sounds a defensive one, but los manos attack with four players in the opposite area and they feel safer in the middle line. Almeria played a nice game against Barca and what Zara should do here is to take care of their set pieces. Zaragoza will leave relegation places soon and today they will start a new era.

Odds on Almeria are reducing a bit but find no reason for this. Zara’s quality and motivation shall give them all three points. Odds around 1,80 are decent.

***

Racing (-3/4) - Recreativo

Pick: H, Odds: 2.39, Stake: 8, Bookmaker: 10bet

Racing is a team similar to Getafe, hard to lose and make me regret every time I bet against them. They miss important cd Gary and keeper Tono but mediocre Recre missing Camuñas who’s presence is of vital importance in the middle line. Recre recover confidence by winning Murcia but they will struggle to avoid being relegated. Racing should recover their midweek copa elimination today. Home win.

***

Murcia-Espanyol

Pick: A, Odds: 2.20, Stake: 6, Bookmaker: Paddy Power

Can not save Murcia… They performed decent enough in many of their games, but they failed and their morale is low. Baiano returns but has been out of form since some time. Mediocre offence and vulnerable defense para los Murcianos who are obligate to win this and the pressure is on them. I expect a clinical win for Espanyol who are with captain Tamudo again while keeper Carlos Kameni is also back.

good luck to all!

[djole236]

Originally Posted by AIKfan

massive odds drop on Bilbao HW and Zaragoza HW...verry Massive !

Odd on Bilbao home win start to drop a couple dayes ago and there is very good reason to fall down.It was obviously for me still thursday, when I saw Getafe's injures and suspension list that Bilbao will be one of most surest bet in Primera in this round.But I wait today's report to be sure.So today:

Getafe without:

Daniel Cata Diaz Def-24 app.-1 ass.
Fabio Celestini Mid-18 app.-2 ass.
Nobrega Braulio For-14 app.-3 goals
Esteban Granero Mid-19 app.-2 goals-3 ass.
Manu del Moral For-25 app.-4 goals-4 ass.
Mario Def-13 app.
Miguel Pallardo Mid-11 app. (long term injured)


Bilbao without:

Armando Goal.-7 app.
Aitor Ramos Def-5 app.-1 ass.
Inaki Munoz Mid-9 app.-1 ass.
David Cuellar Mid-5 app.

H2H:

Getafe CF-Athletic Bilbao 2:0 Wed 31-10-2007
Athletic Bilbao-Getafe CF 2:0 Sun 18-02-2007
Getafe CF-Athletic Bilbao 0:0 Sun 24-09-2006
Athletic Bilbao-Getafe CF 1:0 Sat 28-01-2006
Getafe CF-Athletic Bilbao 1:1 Sun 11-09-2005
Athletic Bilbao-Getafe CF 1:2 Wed 16-03-2005

Bilbao need today's 3 point to reach more safer position on table.Bilbao is known as strong home team and for Getafe will not be so tragic if lose all 3 points.With these circumstances I will try pick:

Home win @2.30 by Europlay stake: 9/10 FT 1:0 +11.7 u


I also see value on VIllarreal away win against poor Levante which has 5 or 6 first team players out for this match and Zaragosa under 2.5 cose Almeria has full team on disposal and it known as team with very strong defences.Possible result for this match-1:0.

GL to all !

Levante-Villarreal FT 1:2
Zaragoza-Almeria FT 1:1
This round is great...

[mazzigol82]

I'm with Zaragoza too..I think it's quite the bet of the day, something similar to Newcastle match yesterday...

[Louis]

Santander - Huelva

Pick: we will see goals here :idea:

Santander was eliminated in Copa Del Rey by Getafe, and now only Primera is left for them... they have 44 points on 7-th place and with chance for European cups next year... so, they will search three points today, and they will attack hard... and they have over matches in last two in Primera:
Getafe - Santander 2:1
Santander - Betis Sevilla 3:0

Recreativo play some crazy matches lately and they are fighting for survival in Primera... they need points badly and i don't see them defend searching for scoreless draw today... they always attacking and i must say that Huelva in last 12 matches always score and conceded
... and they played 3/3 over 3.5 in last matches:
Huelva - Murcia Real 4:2
Mallorca - Huelva 7:1
Huelva - Real Madrid 2:3

Santander is one of the better home teams in Primera with 8 3 2 record...
Huelva is not bad in away matches and they didn't lose on 50% in away matches: 3 4 7 record...

HW is possible outcome here, but maybe Santander players are little tired and demotivated with Cup elimination in Wednesday... and because this struggling teams like Huelva is always motivated and ready to make suprice... and because Racing missing great goalkeeper Tono, and important defender Garai... so, Recre can score here and i'll not going with HW, but i'll try some goals.

Over 2.5 (6/10) -odds: 2.23 / 10bet
Over 3.5 (2/10) -odds: 4.00 / Unibet

Good luck