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England/Scotland/Ireland/Wales
English, Scottish, Irish and Welsh soccer leagues. Analysis and predictions, from Eng Prem to Conference. From Scottish Premier to 3.div.
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Old 20-10-06, 13:48   #1
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Default league one weekend 21st/22nd october 2006

Sat Oct 21, 2006 Best Book
Bournemouth (2.3) Draw (3.25) Rotherham (3.1)
Bradford (2.2) Draw (3.25) Scunthorpe (3.4)
Brentford (2.25) Draw (3.25) Gillingham (3.2
Brighton (2.25) Draw (3.25) Northampton (3.4)
Carlisle (2.38 Draw (3.25) Tranmere (3)
Crewe (1.91) Draw (3.4) Blackpool (4.3)
Doncaster (2.1) Draw (3.25) Chesterfield (4)
Leyton Orient (2.25) Draw (3.25) Cheltenham (3.2
Nottm Forest (2.1) Draw (3.25) Bristol City (3.5)
Port Vale (2.3) Draw (3.25) Huddersfield (3.2)
Yeovil (2.2) Draw (3.25) Oldham (3.6)
SUNDAY 22ND OCTOBER
Swansea (1.91) Draw (3.3) Millwall (4.3
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Old 20-10-06, 14:12   #2
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Default

And today's letter of the day is the letter b. Interesting week of games this week, top two clash in forest v bristol city, upcoming sides yeovil and oldham, bradford v scunthorpe, carlisle v tranmere, eight viable contenders battling.
At the bottom leyton orient v cheltenham is already a huge relegation clash.

Brief preview
Bournemouth v Rotherham: Kevin Bond will hope to turn around the cherries season, while Rotherham who have clawed back their points defecit will look to get out of trouble, a real coin flick game, that unlike a coin, unless it's a magic one, could go three ways.
Bradford v Scunthorpe: Scunthorpe beat them in midweek and both teams have had surprising defeats in recent home games. On the fact that there is little in these sides, scunthropre's greater goal threat and in form strikers makes me see them as value for the away win.
Brentford v Gillingham: Brentford have gone off the rails and gillingham were never on them, avoid like the jeremy kyle show.
Brighton v Northampton: Northampton tend to travel better and Brighton are slowly finding their feet under new manager, one to avoid.
Carlisle v Tranmere: Both sides started well and have sliden badly, maybe a draw, maybe carlisle to shade it, but can't see any value here.
Crewe v Blackpool: Crewe should win here, but their highly unpredictable nature means anything less than 2.00 can never be considered value.
Doncaster v Chesterfield: Probable home win, but they draw too many to take any comfort in backing them.
Leyton Orient v Cheltenham: Both sides are really playing badly and this should be a very close passionate affair if a little short on quality.
Forest v bristol city: I'm taking forest on here just because I believe this is a fifty fifty call and city are being undervalued here. Home advantage doesn't even sway it as the weight of expectation on forest can often be a burden for them rather than a help.
Vale v Huddersfield: The league's two most unpredictable sides meet and who could call it.
Yeovil v Oldham: An interesting match that could go all three ways, and one that seems priced about right.
Swansea v Millwall: Big value in the away win here, millwall are firing under their caretaker manager don't get me wrong swansea are a good side with goals in them but they can blow both hot and cold and millwall seem good value here in taking them on.

Millwall are my gold bet of the week, bristol city silver and scunthorpe the bronze, the strategy this week is to look at close games and try get the value in away teams.
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Old 20-10-06, 19:28   #3
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Doncaster v Chesterfield

Doncaster have on the face of it, have really disapointed this season since the start of the campaign, a season in which many people thought they may well be right up there challenging for the top 2 spots. A change in management happened, and now former Bournemouth boss Sean O'Driscoll.

They come off the back of a confidence boosting win in the now bizzarly named Johnstone's Paint Trophy, and the boss reckons it could signal a turning point in their fortunes, and he signalled out one player comeing through for praise, the promising Lewis Guy; "Guy is constantly getting in good positions and there is one hell of a player waiting to get out of him. He has been a pleasure to work with in the short time since I have been here."

Guy as also on the scoresheet against Cheltenham in a very impressive 2-0 win, in which they seemed to fully deserve their win.

For this match Donny will be boosted by the return of Gareth Roberts to the squad, who has been out for around a month with an ankle problem. Midfielder Brian Stock will also continue on at Doncaster after extending his loan spell from Preston for a further month, and he is another player who really can perform well at this level with his intelligent passing, and someone O'Driscoll knows well from their day's at Bournemouth.

Chesterfield's last league game was a loss to Swansea at home, and that afternoon they let in 3, and by all accounts it could well have been more. They have shiped in alot of goals for far this season, 21 in just 14 games, and it's clear that defence is not their strong point. However, the visitors are boosted by the return of leading hit man Caleb Folan to the starting line up following suspension.

Despite the fact this game is somewhat of a local Derby, I really feel the imputus is with the home side, and I would have to say that I'd expect this to be a home win 50% of the time, giving the odds available nice value.

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