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Spain/Portugal


Spain/Portugal
Spanish and Portuguese league picks and analysis discussed here. Premier and 1.div.
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Old 11-01-18, 22:56   #1
Macot
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Default Spain La Liga 13/01/2018 14/01/2018

Tomorrow, 12 Jan 1 X 2 B's
20:00 Getafe - Malaga 1.78 3.47 5.02
52
13 Jan 2018 1 X 2 B's
12:00 Girona - Las Palmas 1.75 3.82 4.64
52
15:15 Real Madrid - Villarreal 1.24 6.77 10.30
52
17:30 Eibar - Atl. Madrid 4.10 3.26 2.00
52
19:45 Dep. La Coruna - Valencia 2.98 3.48 2.34
52
14 Jan 2018 1 X 2 B's
11:00 Levante - Celta Vigo 3.03 3.27 2.39
51
15:15 Alaves - Sevilla 3.28 3.33 2.23
52
17:30 Espanyol - Ath Bilbao 2.59 3.08 2.91
52
19:45 Real Sociedad - Barcelona 6.51 4.76 1.45
51
15 Jan 2018 1 X 2 B's
20:00 Betis - Leganes 2.19 3.24 3.45
49
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Old 11-01-18, 23:14   #2
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Eibar vs Atletico
1x / -3.5
@2.02


Atletico without some important players (e.g. Felipe Luis or Gabi). Eibar is in a good form. They should't lose it, imo.

Getafe vs Malaga
A home win looks quite possible but Djene Dakonam and Markel Bergara are missing. Do you think that there's a chanse for x2?

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Old 13-01-18, 11:26   #3
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Girona surely big favourites against Las Palmas.
Odds on the short side though, around 1.75, and Las Palmas will surely get their new manager effect soon. Hard game to predict. Possible bookie trap.
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Old 13-01-18, 11:30   #4
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Eibar-Ath Madrid looks like a juicy game to me. Eibar is my fave team in Spain too.
Those of you who have followed this site for a while know I like underdogs, Norwich, Brann, Kongsvinger, Eibar, Stuttgart, etc.
I admit to liking Rome in Italy, which is probably the only big team I support.

Back to this game.

Eibar with terrific form, 6-1-0 last 7, sniffing on EL.
Ath Madrid without Costa, Gabri, Savic and Felipe Luis.
Eibar without Pedro Leon, and Arbilla suspended.

Depleted teams, both of them, but Eibar must be brimming with confidence.
Ath Madrid usually win these games 1-0 after a defensive super show, but I think Eibar can score here.
4.5 or thereabouts on Eibar is too much.
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Old 13-01-18, 12:26   #5
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www.footalyct.com/blog - Missing players, short previews and betting suggestions on La Liga, Serie A, Premier League and Bundesliga. French Ligue 1 is followed professionally so it's available only for subscribers.

Girona v Las Palmas; 13:00

Girona will miss defender Alcala and attacker Kayode.

Las Palmas is coming without defenders Michel, Bigas and holding midfielder Samper.

Short preview:*as mentioned last week, I will keep picking overs on matches of Las Palmas, especially in encounters like this one where the home team is extremely offensive minded. I suggest over 2,5 goals and both teams to score with odds above 2,00 here. Garcia, Stuani,*and Portu are still on fire and they are playing against a team which conceded at least 2 goals in 12 of last 13 matches! Still, regardless the position of Girona, this is a newcomer to La Liga and Las Palmas must take points from teams like this if they don’t want to be pushed back into Segunda. Without Bigas, Michel and Samper, their chances are cut short, but they will have to score on more than Girona in this one if they want something out of the match, because Girona will score for sure. For those unable to pick combination, over 2,75 at 1,90 looks decent as well.
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Old 13-01-18, 14:41   #6
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6-0 at the time of writing. Well done, Pep004
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Old 13-01-18, 22:44   #7
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Levante vs Celta Vigo
x2 is on my mind. Don't know if I'll bet but I'd like to get some opinion from you. Celta looks really nice and Levante suckd a **** at home in latest games. I'm not sure if Celta can win this game but a draw is very possible. Maybe after 0:5 against Barcelona they want to show and prove, you know.


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Old 14-01-18, 11:48   #8
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Alaves today must be a decent bet, given recent home form, and the problems Sevilla are in.
3 of last 4 homes games won by Alaves, but against poor opposition.

Sevilla with Montella as coach, catastrophic start with 3-5 in the derby vs Betis.
I can see an ugly 1-0 or 2-1 home win by scrapping Alaves. Odds very good on Alaves, around 3.3 in the general market.
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Old 14-01-18, 11:49   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SeanPrice View Post
Levante vs Celta Vigo
x2 is on my mind. Don't know if I'll bet but I'd like to get some opinion from you. Celta looks really nice and Levante suckd a **** at home in latest games. I'm not sure if Celta can win this game but a draw is very possible. Maybe after 0:5 against Barcelona they want to show and prove, you know.

Celta such a hard team to bet on, or against. They can suddenly win 4-0 away, and then lose at home, totally unpredictable.
I donīt dare to bet here
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Old 14-01-18, 13:30   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by grefstad View Post
Alaves today must be a decent bet, given recent home form, and the problems Sevilla are in.
3 of last 4 homes games won by Alaves, but against poor opposition.

Sevilla with Montella as coach, catastrophic start with 3-5 in the derby vs Betis.
I can see an ugly 1-0 or 2-1 home win by scrapping Alaves. Odds very good on Alaves, around 3.3 in the general market.
I agree with that. Watched games with Betis and Cadiz and Sevilla is really nowhere.
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Old 14-01-18, 13:45   #11
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I know that Bracelona had problems in recent matches against Sociedad but tonight i think that they will blow away hosts and i see plenty of goals in that match like 1-4. Opinions?
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Old 14-01-18, 13:58   #12
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Yep i think they wont have issues. Sociedad is poor lately but they can definitelly put up a fight at Anoeta. I can see them scoring if they decide to play their usual game but if they go more defensive minded then it can get more tight scoring wise as Barca plays pragmatic under Valverde altghough they look more potent offensivelly as of late with Paulinho in good form, Suarez also returning to his good form, Dembele returning from injury so they look really great.
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Old 14-01-18, 16:12   #13
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I'd be more cautious about backing Barca today, mainly because they haven't won at Sociedad since the 06/07 season, almost 11 years now. They did win last year 1-0, but that was a Cup game. Sociedad was relegated for a few years, since they've promoted back in La Liga in 10/11, Barca have 2 draws and 5 losses against them. I dunno, there is something really strange about this ground, they just can't seem to be able to win and have had some poor displays over the years.

As for this game, Barca should look something like this:

Ter Stegen - Alba, Vermaelen, Pique, Sergi Roberto - Iniesta, Busquets, Paulinho, Rakitic - Messi, Suarez.

The catalan press suggests Dembele wont start, as he felt a little fatigue after the cup game. Valverde prefers this 4-4-2 for the strength and control that the middle provides, he mainly uses this formula against dangerous teams and in away games.

I think the odds are really short on Barca here, they are in a great form atm and on a streak of 28 undefeated games (22 wins and 6 draws), but i can't oversee the problem that this field has been for them. So imo it should be a way more closer game, than the odds suggest + Barca has a little of a rough patch ahead, playing away games at Sociedad, Espanyol (Cup) and Betis, all 3 in a 7 days span. Valverde has shown to be pragmatic and quite cynical when needed this season, and if Sociedad can put up a good fight i don't see a trashing here...
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Old 14-01-18, 16:41   #14
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Sociedad +1.5 @1.90 is tempting given the anazing history here.
Sure, Barca can well win, but if so, likely not a trashing.



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