VUELTA A ESPAÑA 2011
Can Igor Anton finally fulfil his dream of winning the Vuelta?
It looked like last year was finally Igor Anton's year. With the golden jersey on his possession, Igor Anton fell and had to withdraw when he looked to be the rider to beat in the Vuelta. Vincenzo Nibali took advantage of that and eventually won the race. Now, these two riders are coming back to the Spanish race ready to fight for the win once again. We may have in fact seen better rosters for this race in previous years, but I don't think excitement will be lacking with such race profile.
Race Profile:
Check every stage profile in detail in here
Well, this is the Vuelta a España, so obviously the profile is suiting the climbers, as always. Six stages end in mountain climbs of 1st category. Seven stages end in very hard uphill roads or have very tough mountains in the middle of the stage. There is also one team time trial and one individual time trial, while only six stages are flat and should end in mass sprints. The same number of mountain finish stages. I guess this says it all. The Vuelta starts with a team time trial around Benidorm and that is following by two flat stages where the riders should struggle with the heat. The fourth stage brings immediately the first mountain finish in Serra Nevada. That is followed by a hilly stage which ends in Valdepeñas de Jaén, where the riders will face a final km with a ridiculous inclination (25% at some point!). The next stage should be tricky as well, with a 2nd category mountain with just 20km to go. That stage is followed by a flat stage and a very hilly and tough stage which will end in San Lorenzo de El Escorial. Stage 9 is the second mountain stage of the race and it ends in La Covatilla. That stage is followed by the ITT around Salamanca and after the time trial, the riders have finally their first rest day.
In stage 11, the riders have another mountain finish, this time in Galiza, in the winter resort of Manzaneda (where I have spent some very nice vacations, haha). That stage is followed by a flat stage, until stage 13 gives us another hilly stage, with a tough 1st category in the middle of the stage. In the following stage, the mountains come back, with the stage ending in La Farrapona. That stage is followed by the queen stage of the race, which ends in the most feared mountain in Spain: El Alto de L'Angliru. After the ridiculous effort that the riders will have their second rest day.
The riders will ride a flat stage in stage 16, but in the following stage, they have another mountain stage, with it ending in Peña Cabarga. Then, the race is almost over, but there's still time for three very tricky stages until we get to Madrid, with lots of 1st and 2nd category mountains in the middle of the stages, which will be ridden in the Basque Country. The final stage is the typical flat stage around Madrid, just to crown the winner of the race.
Bottom line, this race will full of mountains, ready to make gaps between the team leaders. And even if they can't create a lot of differences between them in the first mountain stages, there's always the Angliru to solve everything. The sprinters will have a very tough time with few flat stages for them to sprint and lots of mountains for them to climb, so I don't see many of them finishing the race, with a flat profile in the world championships waiting for them two weeks later.
Teams & Riders
Check the whole updated entry list & backnumbers in here
Liquigas
Their team leader is obviously last year's winner Nibali. They have some talent to help him in the mountains, especially Agnoli and Capecchi, however none of them will be there to help Nibali when things get really tough in the mountains. Liguigas is also bringing their massive talent Sagan and he should surely sneak one or two of those hilly stages as well.
AG2R La Mondiale
Their leader will obviously be Nicolas Roche, who was 7th last year. The lineup is clearly poor and besides the veteran Dessel and time trialist Champion, the other riders aren't exactly quality ones. Mondory will be the team's sprinter supposedly, but he is nowhere near the level required to win a stage in a race like this one. One of the weakest teams in the race for sure.
Andalucia - Caja Granada
They will surely fight a lot, attack like mad men, but their lineup is simply too poor. Their leader is veteran climber David Bernabeu and he's nowhere near his level at his prime and he was never a rider good enough to be even in the Top 10 of a Grand Tour. I predict their riders to try to escape a lot, but they won't show anything else really.
BMC
Still on a hangover from winning the Tour de France with Cadel Evans, BMC isn't coming with a lot of expectations for this race. While they bring nobody good enough for an interesting placing in the general classification, Greg Van Avermaet can be a real outsider for the points classification, considering how he sprints well and he is also a very good rider in hilly profiles. The other riders should try to enter some escapes, but nothing else really.
Cofidis
Basically they are bringing Moncoutie and Taaramae plus seven helpers. Moncoutie will try to once again win the king of the mountains competition, something he has achieved over the last three editions of the race. On the other side, Taaramae is coming from a 12th placing in the Tour de France, so if he has still some form left, he should be good enough for a Top 10 placing, however that may be asking too much for a 24 years old rider. Still, Moncoutie should show the sponsers of the team a lot of time in the television during the race.
Euskaltel Euskadi
The team's leader is obviously Igor Anton, who is in my opinion the biggest contender for the overall win. To help him, Euskaltel is bringing Nieve, Verdugo, Martinez and Txurruka, so things should be really okay for them in terms of mountain help for Anton. They will be focusing in helping Anton as much as possible and they have a strong enough lineup to do it. Even without Sanchez, they will seem to be the strongest team in the mountains on paper.
Geox
They have bringing both Menchov and Sastre, so they are immediately a team to take in account. The main problem is that Sastre has done absolutely nothing this season and he is on the verge of retirement. Menchov was 8th in the Giro, but he never looked comfortable the whole race and he has done nothing since that race. Other riders like Ardilla, Blanco and Cobo make them a very strong team on paper, but results have been quite poor. Even with so many good names, I don't see them being a very impressive team during the race.
HTC - Highroad
Last year, Peter Velits was surprisingly 3rd in the overall, but he isn't riding the Vuelta this season. So, the team will focus on helping Cavendish getting some wins on the few flat stages that this race has. Besides the regular sprint helpers, they are also bringing Tony Martin (who will probably focus on winning the time trial and nothing else) and Kanstantsin Sivtsov, who was 10th in the Giro this season and may try to repeat a Top 10 placing in this race.
Katusha
After that all-Russian nonsense from the Tour de France, the team is bringing a good squad to this race and they have a general classification contender in Joaquim Rodriguez. He will have a strong support in Moreno, Karpets and Horrach, while Paolini may try something in the sprints and in the hilly stages. This is obviously a good team thanks to their leader and they should do much better than they did in the Tour de France.
Lampre
This is another very strong team with Scarponi as their leader. After being 2nd in the Giro behind Contador, I believe that if he regains his form, he should also a very strong contender for the overall win. Niemiec should help him a lot in the mountains and these Lampre duo should cause havoc in the climbs. They are also bringing Petacchi and his helpers to this race, expecting to do much better than they did in the sprints in the Tour de France.
Leopard Trek
Their lineup is incredibly poor for this race. Sure Cancellara may win the time trial, but Bennati isn't the sprinter he once was, while Zaugg and Monfort aren't good enough to be team leaders on a Grand Tour. Basically, they should appear on the television very much during the race.
Movistar
For a top Spanish team, their lineup looks poor. But after the tragedies with Tondo and Soler, they can't do much better than bringing Bruseghin, hoping he finally shows something positive once again, and a couple of decent climbers like Lopez Garcia or Intxausti, hoping for a stage win in the mountains. They will try a lot during the race, but I don't see them achieving anything remarkable.
Omega Pharma - Lotto
They are bringing Jurgen Van Den Broeck, but I don't see him being at 100%, after such a fall in the Tour de France. A collapsed lung is no joke! Besides that, the team is pretty weak. No climbers, no sprinters, just a bunch a decent combative riders. Either Van Den Broeck is capable of showing some of his climbing skills or nobody will notice them in the race.
Astana
They got Kaschechkin from Lampre and they are bringing some climbing talent to the race, even if they have no strong leader. But with climbers like Kessiakoff, Kiserlovski and Jufre, they should appear in the mountain stages. They are also bringing Gasparotto, so they have also a good rider for the hilly stages. Even if they won't be a top team in the race, they won't be that bad neither.
Quickstep
After a very bad Tour de France, they are bringing Boonen, Chavanel and some climbing talent like Seeldrayers and De Weert to try to do something. But honestly, more than a stage win would shock me. They simply aren't a very strong anymore and they won't do very well in this race neither. However, they should appear in the escapes quite often.
Rabobank
With Barredo, Leon Sanchez, Garate, Kruijswijk and Mollema on the roster, at least one of them should make the Top 10 at the end of the race. They have a decent team for the mountains, with no top riders, but a lot of decent riders who can help each other. They are also bringing Freire and Breschel, so this is surely a top team for the hilly stages with so many options. Now, let's just hope they don't bomb like they did in the Tour de France. If they don't, they will be a very strong team in this race.
Saxo Bank
Another extremely poor team. Chris Sorensen may appear once in a while in the mountains, but barring that, nobody will notice them. Nick Nuyens is obviously a very good rider, but for the classics, however he may try to do well in one or two hilly stages. Besides that, nobody will notice them in the race.
Skil - Shimano
Surely a poor team as always in the Grand Tours, however Marcel Kittel won four stages in the Tour de Pologne, so he is in excellent form to contest the sprints. The main problem is called Cavendish... However, expect them to try to help Kittel in the sprints as much as possible, while trying to put riders in every single escape.
Sky
They are bringing Bradley Wiggins, but this is not a race for Wiggins, as he will die in the Angliru, as every tempo climber dies. He will surely be very well supported with Lovkvist, Zandio and Cioni, but I simply don't see him even being in the Top 10 at the end of the race. Chris Sutton is also coming to the Vuelta, so Sky may have a chance to do some decent placing in the sprints as well. Besides that, the team won't do very much in this race.
Garmin Cervelo
They will have a strong leader for the overall in Daniel Martin, let's see if he can finally do well on a Grand Tour, after good results in other important stage races. Besides that, the team is bringing their armada of sprinters and Farrar should once again be in the discussion for the sprints and sneak a stage win somewhere. If that happens, the team will have to consider this race as a positive one.
Radioshack
They are bringing Brajkovic and Kloden, so they have immediately two leaders for the overall classification. Also Zubeldia is in very good form, while Machado is very talented and may cause a surprise in this race. Other riders like Paulinho, Irizar or Lequatre are good helpers and so, this team has surely quality to have a good race. Let's see if bad luck doesn't kill their chances as it happened in the Tour de France. If that doesn't happen, they should have a chance of doing a very good race.
Vacansoleil
With Mosquera not riding due to his doping affair from last year, the team has no leader for the overall. Riders like Carrara and Devolder will do well in the hilly stages, but they shouldn't be able to do anything else neither in the mountains or the sprints. This should be another poor race for them, like the Tour de France was.
The Contenders
For the win: Igor Anton & Vincenzo Nibali
For the podium: Joaquim Rodriguez, Michele Scarponi, Denis Menchov
For the green jersey: Mark Cavendish, Tylar Farrar, Alessandro Petacchi, Igor Anton, Vincenzo Nibali, Greg Van Avermaeat, Peter Sagan, Joaquim Rodriguez
For the polka dot jersey: David Moncoutie, Amets Txurruka, Joaquim Rodriguez, Igor Anton, Vincenzo Nibali, Michele Scarponi
For the white jersey: Daniel Martin, Steven Kruijswijk, Rein Taaramae
Note: My Future Bets for the race coming soon!
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