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Old 10-01-18, 12:43   #1
Raffie
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Default PLK 10-14/01/2018

10/01/2018 18:15 CET
Czarni Slupsk - Asseco Gdynia over 164
1.89 (Pinnacle)
5/10

An hour ago Czarni Slupsk leave point guard Dominic Artis (15.3 PPG, 6.1 APG) and SG/SF Justin Watts (15.8 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 2.7 APG). Czarni with 7 players rotation on Asseco. From USA we have now only one player Drew Brandon who from this 3 players USA on Czarni play most fast and crazy basketball. Still on team we have Stelmach and Cesnauskis - more, more better players on offence than defence. Asseco loves play fast attack and counters. With short rotation Czarni I think Asseco all game play quickly actions and make great pace for over. Short rotation Czarni does not allow strong defence without fouls. In another players takes foul trouble and leaves game.

In o/u we not lost value. On handicap for Asseco we lost value. Bookies from Poland they had this info faster. On start we have Asseco on 1.85/1.90 odds. Some bookies on Poland in yesterday night have 1.50/1.60 for Asseco because they already had this info and move odds/line.
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Old 10-01-18, 17:37   #2
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Worst shooting i have ever seen. Bet lost after 1st q.
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Old 10-01-18, 18:04   #3
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Originally Posted by tininho View Post
Worst shooting i have ever seen. Bet lost after 1st q.
Is 35:35 after 2 quarters. Pace is great - 41 shoots Czarni, 35 Asseco. Only efficiency very bad.
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Old 10-01-18, 18:56   #4
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So.... odds on Asseco have dropped to @1.1 in my book , while odds on host raised to almost @6 from the bigging @2,2.

Obviously Asseco lost. Its incredible how the whole betting world is ****ing fixed. Is a pure shame. Its everything a no sense , i'm 100% sure this was fixed there is no other explanation.
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Old 10-01-18, 19:18   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raffie View Post
Is 35:35 after 2 quarters. Pace is great - 41 shoots Czarni, 35 Asseco. Only efficiency very bad.
To bad for us is that efficiency is the most important part
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Old 11-01-18, 07:17   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raffie View Post
10/01/2018 18:15 CET
Czarni Slupsk - Asseco Gdynia over 164
1.89 (Pinnacle)
5/10
82:73=155. Czarni with - 19/43 2FG, 9/31 3FG - 28/74 FG, 17/27 FT and only 7 turnovers. Asseco with - 16/33 2FG, 9/30 3FG - 25/63 FG, 14/24 FT and 13 turnovers. Game with 137 shoots for 2 or 3, 51 free throws and we have only 155 points.

takerozzo - is not fix. Watts he had not played before leave on some games. Artis in last games he was not key player and play 20-25 minutes. Both together makes 8 turnovers per game and many times takes actions for statistic without thinking about team. Czarni still with 7 guys on level PLK and with chances for some winning games.

tininho - yes is most important. Only I don't predict so bad efficiency. Is great pace with many open shoots and many miss.

11/01/2018 18:30 CET
AZS Koszalin (+12.5) - Anwil Wloclawek
1.90 (Pinnacle)
5/10

First of all. Anwil in last games play average or bad basketball. Anwil had great start season and now have some crisis. Last three games is hard game on home with Trefl, easy lost in Zielona Gora with Stelmet and 50-50% game with Polpharma. Anwil gives some good basketball on last minutes and take won on Starogard.

Koszalin on last game plays great game and take win in Ostrow with Stal. Koszalin on this game with Ostrow play great on defence and play good sets on attack. Line is very high. I see 2-3 points down. Anwil is overatted now on away games. This team always in last year play great on home and have many problems on away games (2016-17 balance: home 15-1, away 10-6, 2015-16 balance: home 16-0, away 8-8). I don't see today easy game for Anwil.

Last edited by Raffie; 11-01-18 at 07:23.
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Old 11-01-18, 07:26   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raffie View Post

tininho - yes is most important. Only I don't predict so bad efficiency. Is great pace with many open shoots and many miss.
Yep. It was a good bet. Great tempo and many open shoots but it was one of those days when shoot wont go in.

GL today
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Old 11-01-18, 16:41   #8
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They have bad players so that is the reason why they miss... I mean look at the % from free throw line.. Both at 50% from FT is really bad for a pro player.
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Old 11-01-18, 18:31   #9
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They have bad players so that is the reason why they miss... I mean look at the % from free throw line.. Both at 50% from FT is really bad for a pro player.
Szubarga with 0/7 3FG. All season - 41/115 3FG 35.7%
Seweryn with 0/5 3FG. All season - 29/80 3FG 36.3%
Cesnauskis with 1/6 3FG. All season - 29/84 3FG 34.5%

Is statistic with this game. All this guys shooting on 37-38% on 3FG. In this game togethers makes 1/18 on 3FG. This kill over.
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Old 13-01-18, 10:06   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raffie View Post
11/01/2018 18:30 CET
AZS Koszalin (+12.5) - Anwil Wloclawek
1.90 (Pinnacle)
5/10
80:91 for Anwil.

13/01/2018 17:00 CET
Stelmet Zielona Gora - Trefl Sopot over 166
1.88 (Pinnacle)
5/10

Four results in PLK Stelmet when Urlep coaching this team: 92:80 (172) with Stal Ostrow, 91:90 (181) with GTK Gliwice, 94:83 (177) with Anwil Wloclawek, 100:76 (176) with Polski Cukier Torun + 99:96 (195) with Besiktas on Champions League.

Stelmet change style for up-tempo. With many shooters is great style for this team. Is another chance for 170 points game. Trefl with new PG - Obie Trotter. It's valuable PG for PLK who played in last season in Polski Cukier Torun (second team in PLK 2016/17). Trotter it will raise the level up attack Trefl.
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Old 14-01-18, 11:15   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raffie View Post
13/01/2018 17:00 CET
Stelmet Zielona Gora - Trefl Sopot over 166
1.88 (Pinnacle)
5/10
90:94=184.

14/01/2018 18:00 CET
GTK Gliwice (-4) - Miasto Szkla Krosno
1.98 (Pinnacle)
5/10

GTK Gliwice with the most difficult schedule in all league. 12 games on away and only 4 in home. All games in home with strong/average teams - Polski Cukier, Anwil Wloclawek, Stal Ostrow and MKS Dabrowa.

Miasto Szkla Krosno on some 25-35 days work with only one coach without assistant (no money for assistant). Is a funny. In last game with Start Lublin out with injury during the match Anton Gaddefors (22.5 MPG, 9.5 PPG, 3.2 RPG) lose miss month or more. Miasto Szkla now with only 8 players rotation. Is big problem.

For me today GTK Gliwice is higher favourite than today line. Gliwice is unappreciated team for hard schedule. Now play more games with weak teams on home. Krosno now with too many problems need some new players on roster.
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Old 15-01-18, 11:53   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raffie View Post
14/01/2018 18:00 CET
GTK Gliwice (-4) - Miasto Szkla Krosno
1.98 (Pinnacle)
5/10
67:84 for Miasto Szkla Krosno.

15/01/2018 19:00 CET
Legia Warszawa (-3.5) - Czarni Slupsk
1.87 (Pinnacle)
5/10

Czarni Slupsk without Piotr Stelmach (6.9 points per game). Stelmach on last game scores - 12, 7, 17, 14, 15. Stelmach with bad start season but now is very good player. I don't know how they will play today Czarni. On PF-C is only three players - Blaus without form, Wall is chaotic and Bonarek play badly in all season. Legia with high advantage on this position and glass.

Czarni with 8 players for play today - Jakubiak - debut today in Czarni. It's young guy from Poland. Powidel - he played 20 minutes in all season. Blaus, Bonarek, Wall - nothing special and Brandon, 36-years-old Seweryn and 37-years-old Cesnauskis. Is very bad roster. I see Legia on double digit won.

Last edited by Raffie; 15-01-18 at 11:56.
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Old 15-01-18, 19:13   #13
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This teams are not normal )
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Old 15-01-18, 23:27   #14
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This teams are not normal )
Ehh - no words for this sh*t. 28:3 after first quarter and win with great luck only 77:75...
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