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Old 17-04-17, 19:10   #1
AgainstModernFootball
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Default Ekstraklasa round 30. 22.02 LAST ROUND



Last round regular season. All matches 22.04 18:00.

Jagiellonia
Legia
Lechia
Lech
Wisla - sure to be in top 8.

Pogon
Termalica
Korona
------------
Wisla Plock
Zaglebie fighting for last 3 places.

Cracovia - Legia X2 but odds are poor. I think Legia today play to not to be in 1st place. 2nd place have also nice fixtures in playoffs.

Arka - Wisla Plock
Arka with new coach...Plock are fighting for life...no bet.

Piast - Jagiellonia - for me 1X 1.5 4/10

Korona - Nieciecza...For me Korona is better who will win will be in top8.

Leczna - Wisla Krakow. No bet.

Zaglebie Lubin - Slask regional derby. Zaglebie must win siutation. For me this is team for 5-6 places in ekstraklasa. Home win 2.25 4/10

Lech - Ruch home win 1.40 7/10

Pogon - Lechia 1X. Pogon need to get some points and be in top8. This is will be end of season for them. The same as 2 last seasons. Lechia will win against them in playoff 3for3 Pogon 1X 1.44 4/10

If i must to chose who will take 3 lat places - Korona, Pogon and Lubin.

Korona will win, Pogon 1x and Lubin will win.

Last edited by AgainstModernFootball; 17-04-17 at 19:14.
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Old 19-04-17, 22:44   #2
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I think as follow:

Wisla Plock will miss Dominik Furman if I heard right during the interview with coach Ojrzynski after Lechia - Arka. That means important central midfielder who takes care of free kicks and corners. Donīt think Wisla Plock are ready to handle this kind of pressure (just travel to Gdynia and dominate the game) even though they are making it OK so far. Under normal circumstances (no funny own goals, cheap penalty kicks etc) 1X @1,40 should be enough here.

Lech should win against Ruch and it should be comfortable. Odds are around @1,40. Hrdlicka is a very good goalkeeper but it is a big risk that he will pick the ball from the inside of his net more than once in this game. Ruchīs offensive midfielder Patryk Lipski is unhappy and wants to tear apart his contract. He claims that he didnīt receive two month salaries. There are surely some intending buyers behind the scene that we donīt know about. Ruch played relaxed and effective for a few spring rounds but it seems like reality catched them up...They look limited on some positions, wingers for example as Cwielong and Mazek left this winter. Lech plays for the double crown!

Wisla will miss Maczynski, Sadlok and Gonzalez against Gornik but they look stabile anyway. Kiko Ramirez is doing good job as coach. Wisla X2 @1,30 is worth a try.

Rest of the games i agree almost with all that you wrote beside two things.

Pogon - Lechia

I would go for X2 instead of 1X. Same odds around @1,44.

Cracovia 1X instead of Legia X2. Odds are @1,72 instead of @1,27. Legia will miss Vadis. Smells draw.

Best Regards
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Old 20-04-17, 19:08   #3
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Important update:
Fornalik has just resigned and is not coach of Ruch Chorzow anymore. Also some important players (Lipski etc) possibly won't participate in Saturdays game- there is a horrible match. if somebody could catch still odd around 1,45 for Lech to win then it is 10/10
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Old 20-04-17, 19:46   #4
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home win 1.45, PT - for me Lech -1 is a banker. After 0-0 against Leczna and 0-1 against Legia they need to win this one
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Old 21-04-17, 11:31   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AgainstModernFootball View Post
home win 1.45, PT - for me Lech -1 is a banker. After 0-0 against Leczna and 0-1 against Legia they need to win this one
Yes but I lost too many on handicaps recently .
Anyway bet of the round is Cracovia- Legia X or 1x
You are probably right that Legia prefers to be 2nd- maybe because then in last 7th round they will play at home against 4th team (Lech/Lechia)
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Old 22-04-17, 19:05   #6
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Lubin out of top 8. LOL.
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Old 22-04-17, 19:06   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AgainstModernFootball View Post

Piast - Jagiellonia - for me 1X 1.5 4/10


Zaglebie Lubin - Slask Home win 2.25 4/10

Lech - Ruch home win 1.40 7/10

Pogon - Lechia 1X. Pogon need to get some points and be in top8. This is will be end of season for them. The same as 2 last seasons. Lechia will win against them in playoff 3for3 Pogon 1X 1.44 4/10

If i must to chose who will take 3 lat places - Korona, Pogon and Lubin.
Piast - Jagiellonia 0-1
Zaglebie - Slask 1-1


Lech - Ruch 3-0
Pogon - Lechia 3-1



Lubin outside top8. LOL
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