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Old 08-02-17, 22:58   #1
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Default Football Analysis & Predictions

Hi, Iím Pep004!

I was trying to register on this forum for a while, and finally I succeeded (problems with mail..).

I have been analysing and making predictions on football matches of La Liga for several years. In average my yield was around 11%. I decided to publish my analysis online in English that everyone will have chance to read them. Everything is published for free, there is no need for sharing, for likes on Facebook, anything. For this season I decided to include French Ligue 1 as moved to this country and I am closer to all the news, have possibility to see matches, trainings, etc. Sometimes you can also expect picks from Premier league, some international matches and Champions league, specially from matches including teams from my leagues.

I am former football player, played and trained under different coaches, also in the highest division, but stopped playing because of pretty serious back injury. Iíve been always passionate about tactics and my analysis are pretty different then analysis you are used to see. I am trying to predict who will have bigger possession, possibilities of creating chances, on which areas of pitch teams will be in advantage, and where in disadvantage. Calculations are more or less made on average performances of players/teams, and because the ball is round I am aware that everything can happen, but sports betting business is long distance run and in long term I know that this tactics is bringing me good results. Thanks to friend, I was lucky to get to know the world of arbing. I believe that many of you don't know this word, but it's about sports arbitrage, where you are covering both (all) sides of the bet. You can read more on forum Arbusers, where I learned a lot. Because of arbing, my knowledge about odds, bookmakers, odds movements, closing odds, is much much bigger. Knowing just the sports side of sports betting is not enough.

You can follow me on facebook:
www.facebook.com/fappep004/
or on blog:
www.fa-p.eu

That I won't be too long with introduction I will leave two links:
- my way of analysing the match: http://www.fa-p.eu/p/my-style.html
- my stats (as shown in spreadsheet, main leagues, with most matches analysed are Ligue 1 & La Liga) http://www.fa-p.eu/p/statistics.html

Today's analysis were:
Marseille - Guingamp
Nice - St. Etienne
Lorient - Toulouse

I will update this topic from time to time, and I believe that my analysis will be interesting for you.

Regards,
Pep004
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Old 10-02-17, 17:51   #2
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Bordeaux - PSG
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Old 10-02-17, 23:34   #3
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Hi Pep004,

Interesting description. You are welcome to create an account on BETVERIFIED.com (Nevertheless that your service is free)

--
Have a lovely day,
Betverified customer service
www.betverified.com
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Old 12-02-17, 00:09   #4
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Villarreal - Malaga

p.s. Thanks, I will contact you @BETVERIFIED.com
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Old 16-02-17, 22:31   #5
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Bastia - Monaco
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Old 17-02-17, 12:36   #6
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Lorient - Nice
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Old 17-02-17, 18:37   #7
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Granada - Betis
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Old 18-02-17, 11:08   #8
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Marseille - Rennes
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Old 19-02-17, 10:34   #9
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Valencia - Athletic Bilbao

Real Sociedad - Villarreal
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Old 19-02-17, 10:37   #10
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Lyon - Dijon
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Old 19-02-17, 18:44   #11
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I feel bad that bad run came exactly when I started posting on this forum...

Bad run or misfortune?
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Old 20-02-17, 15:02   #12
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Comment of the round: I think that everyone who saw any of those matches knows that "god of fortune" was harsh with me this time. Just take a look of match between Valencia and Bilbao, or Lyon and Dijon, and you'll know what I am talking about... After post match analysis I found out that I didn't make any crucial mistake, will improve little mistakes which are mentioned above, but otherwise, I know that I just need to continue and results will come by themselves.
Post match analysis...
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Old 24-02-17, 14:35   #13
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Nantes - Dijon
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Old 24-02-17, 17:24   #14
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Rennes - Lorient
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Old 25-02-17, 12:03   #15
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Guingamp - Monaco
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Old 25-02-17, 12:43   #16
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Lille - Bordeaux
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Old 26-02-17, 13:30   #17
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Lyon vs Metz
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Old 26-02-17, 13:57   #18
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Villarreal vs Real Madrid
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Old 28-02-17, 18:53   #19
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Valencia va Leganes
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Old 07-03-17, 13:57   #20
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As I finished January in low profit numbers, and specially because February was first month with negative score I decided to take a closer look on my previous predictions. I separated all the types of bets, to see on which market I am losing. I found out that I am most successful with asian handicaps, while over/under lines are not profitable. Anyway, January and February are always two toughest months in football season, so I am looking forward to profitable finish of the season.
March started...
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Old 07-03-17, 14:42   #21
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Nice - Caen
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Old 07-03-17, 15:35   #22
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Marseille - Angers
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Old 12-03-17, 21:48   #23
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Weekend finished almost perfectly, winning 5 of 6 predictions with 12,72 units of profit!

You can see all the analysis & statistics on my page:
www.fa-p.eu
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Old 20-03-17, 11:14   #24
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Another profitable weekend!
Highest stake was this time on Metz, and it finished correctly. Lorient turn around result in the Nancy and they are "back in the game", while red card changed things in Canary Islands.

Metz 1-0 Bastia
Prediction: Metz AH -0,5

Nancy 2-3 Lorient
Prediction: Lorient team totals over 0,75

Las Palmas 1-0 Villarreal
Prediction: over 2,5

Post match analysis HERE!
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Old 01-04-17, 23:40   #25
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Finally, international break is over!
I appreciate all the new followers on my page. For everyone new, I suggest to visit -> http://www.fa-p.eu/p/faq.html.
Site has been frequently visited, even if I didn't publish almost anything! As I am not fan of international matches (In my opinion the most unpredictable matches) I took a break as well.
Well, last rounds of Ligue 1 and LaLiga are in front of us, and let's make some profit!

Good luck!

www.fa-p.eu
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Old 02-04-17, 23:11   #26
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Yet another profitable week! Derby match between Nantes and Angers was my 100th published analysis! See more on the site...
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Old 09-04-17, 22:38   #27
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What can I say? Another profitable weekend! Statistics for Ligue 1 are still fabulous! Yield above 21%, win rate almost 63% after 67 picks in this season!

www.fa-p.eu

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Old 12-04-17, 17:11   #28
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Not surprised at all what happened yesterday. Well done Juventus. Leaderboard will change Barcelona to an average club shortly, if plenty of things won't change soon. The biggest mistake of the club was to win Champions league in the year, when they had presidential elections...*

I wrote short previews, or better to say opinions about both matches here.*I won't touch anything. I agree with Notorious, that odds on Real Madrid are ridiculous, while on Atletico match, I think that they will struggle against the team who likes to play in the same way as they do again. If anything, than I would rather try to catch some higher odds here,*but.. my advise is to*take small stakes. Don't risk too much on those matches as the differences between teams are small, while importance of the match is enormous...
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Old 24-04-17, 19:44   #29
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Comment of the round: I have nothing special to say after 100% week. Even if I posted only two official picks, I made 10,6 units of profit and moved stats of Asian handicap market even higher. You can see the stats of AH market in the picture bellow, while all other stats are published here.

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Old 01-05-17, 23:31   #30
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Here you can see the post match analysis of last round, which was again profitable one.

April was finished with little bit less than 16 units of profit, with 15 official picks.
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