Last round in the group stage. Today and tomorrow.
Russia - Brazil HW
Match for third/fourth place. Winner will be third, looser 4th. If draw Russia have better g.d.
Russia is better team, and they have better display at this WC. They should win easy even on -2.5/-3.5 AH, but I will skip that because of Brazil fighting spitit. Simple HW on around 1.5 odds.
Tunisia - Angola HW -14.5
4 0 0 (124:89) 8pts
3 1 0 (125:100) 7pts
2 0 2 (112:110) 4pts
1 1 2 (101:94) 3pts
0 2 2 (101:110) 2pts
0 0 4 (88:148) 0pts
14:00h CET Tunisia - Angola
17:45h CET Macedonia - Iceland
20:45h CET Spain - Slovenia
First four placed teams goes in the next round. Tunisia can only hope for 4th place.
Things in this group are simple. Tunisia need to win today. Of course they can win, odds in their favor are 1.02. But they need goal difference too.
Their match is scheduled first. They need to win with 16+ goals difference and to wait result from Macedonia - Iceland match. If Iceland lose their match, Tunisia will be 4th, but if they DRAW - then Tunisia need 16+ g.d.
To be sure Tunisia need to play with their maximum and to show great display. They are still without victory in this WC but they played good handball. They lost respectable vs Macedonia -4, vs Spain -5, and DREW vs Iceland and vs Slovenia.
Angola showed poorest display so far. Four lost matches -17 vs Slovenia, -9 vs Macedonia, -20 vs Spain, -14 vs Iceland. They don't need points anymore.
Tunisia players knows Angola handball team very well, in last African Championship 2016 Tunisia finished 2nd, Angola 3rd. They were in same group where Tunisia were at the top, Angola follow up. Mutual match was +2 Tunisia.
But, it is clear that Tunisia have much better squad and bigger motivation today. Angola have nothing to fight for, they are poorest team at this WC anyway.
I see this match something like "+18" for Tunisia. High stakes for me on around 3.50 odds.
France - Poland no bet
France should win this match easy, but both teams don't need points. Looks like -8.5/-9.5 will be covered but odds are to small to bet on that. There will be combined squads and players to be rested for next matches. It is value on Poland, but they play poor so far. So, no bet.
Macedonia - Iceland HW -3.5
Macedonia played better in this WC and they are slight favorites today. They are already qualified in the next round. They need simple victory or draw to stay at the third place in this group. That is very important because third place play vs Norway, 4th place play vs France in the next round.
Norway is strong too but they are much easier opponent than France.
Pressure is gone, Macedonia can play relaxed match and to show that they are better than Iceland today, just like the odds suggest. Iceland very often beat Macedonia at handball at big championships, so it is time for slight revenge. Iceland must try to win, they have huge pressure today, and IMO they will give up late in the match because Macedonia is better team.
Odds are very good, around 3.10.
Norway - Japan AW -6.5 AH
Japan is not that bad as odds suggest, and Norway is not that good as odds suggest. Japan have nothing to fight for today, they are at the bottom of the standings, and will stay there, they can play relaxed match and they can attack even on point(s) today. Norway don't need points or g.d. They need to save their players for next round. They can lose and still stay at the 2nd place. They don't need this match to be won. Odds for this bet are very good, around 1.85.
Spain - Slovenia HW -2.5
Fight for first/second place.
Both teams don't need to push to hard in this match. But clearly Spain is better squad, they deserve first place in this group. Spain relaxed much of their players in the last match. To concentrate here. Odds are very good, around 1.90.
So.... my bets for today:
Russia - Brazil HW 10/10 1.50
Tunisia - Angola HW -14.5 10/10 3.50
Macedonia - Iceland HW -3.5 8/10 3.10
Norway - Japan AW -6.5 8/10 1.85
Spain - Slovenia HW -2.5 8/10 1,90
GOOD LUCK TO ALL !!!