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Old 20-03-17, 18:29   #1
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Old 20-03-17, 20:07   #2
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Oxford Utd vs Bolton

Stupid odds from bookies on this over, last 4 games of hosts Oxford Utd had all 3 or more goals. 2:1 win, 2:1 loss, 1:2 win, 2:3 loss. Bolton are on 2nd spot and they are in direct promotion material right now, but that can easily change if they lose 2 points here and Fleetwood wins their next game. This is very important game for Bolton, but hosts Oxford are not that far away from Southend, 5 points they need to reach playoffs. This game should have 3 goals.

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Old 20-03-17, 20:12   #3
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Coventry vs Port Vale

Meeting of the mugs . After winning their latest home game, Port Vale are now going to play away from home against horrible mugs Conventry. They are at 24th place with pathetic negative goal difference of 30:59 which is -29. Port Vale are mugs as well in defense, just like Conventry. Very importang game for Port Vale and they should not lose this, but when they are not playing at home they are playing like absolute mugs, so my first decision wich was X2 on Port Vale, has been changed. I will take over here rather, two muggish defensive teams that are poor this year. Should see maybe even more than 3 goals.

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Old 20-03-17, 23:02   #4
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Date: 21.3.2017
Sport: Football
Event: England League 1
Start time: 20:45
Game: Coventry City v Port Vale
Pick: Vale (0:0) AH @2,40 or more!
Bookies Offer: Pinnacle @2,43!
Stake: 10/10
Analysis:
Port Vale are a similar betting team like Bray. They are pretty solid, especially at home, but are always set as outsiders (even at home against Shrewsbury, which was ridicoulous!). Now they will travel to Coventry and a win would mean they are out of relegation zone.
Coventry of course are a dissapointment again. Relegated from Premier League some 10-15 years ago, they were further relegated few seasons later and now could go as low as League 2. That is a disaster for a Club that played 25 consecutive seasons in English top flight. Now they have a very young team, probably the worst in this tough league and are almost matematically relegated. Motivation is low.
On the other side, Port Vale are playing better lately and a win in Coventry would mean they are out of relegation zone! They are coming off a good home win over Shrewsbury. Before that they managed to win over Swindon too, and drew away at Southend. The only loss came at Northampton (1-2)...
I trust Port Vale to win this important encounter. For Coventry it is all over and they are losing all games now. My call is 1-3 away win!
GL!
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Old 20-03-17, 23:12   #5
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Rochdale v Millwall FC
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Millwall FC: Jordan Archer (31/0 first goalkeeper, doubtful)

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Old 20-03-17, 23:57   #6
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Well Oxford can be overish as they seem to have defensive issues latelly but there were some late goals in some of those overs and also Bolton is having great defense by stats although also looking shaky lately and having problems keeping clean sheets. Still 2 decent League One teams, decent also in defense but i guess on current trends it might worth a shot on goals. But its very important game between two good sides with much at stakes so the game might be tactical and the approach more carefull.

About Coventry goals - hard call. They are just crap. Scoreless in last 4 and its not like they are showing something, on contraire boring team with many problems outside the pitch, fans protesting and new manager blaming on poor fitness. They still have the Wembley final so motivation should be still there butthey are just not good enough and a sinking ship. Vale have found some life lately winning important home games and relegation rivals Swindon and Shrewsbury but away form is their nemesis. Only one win whole season so i guess thats why the odds but on current circunstances i would expect Vale to be favorites here so i agree with Mac, there should be some value on them at current prices. At least they can score goals.
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Old 21-03-17, 15:54   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KL1NCUNT View Post
Coventry vs Port Vale

Meeting of the mugs . After winning their latest home game, Port Vale are now going to play away from home against horrible mugs Conventry. They are at 24th place with pathetic negative goal difference of 30:59 which is -29. Port Vale are mugs as well in defense, just like Conventry. Very importang game for Port Vale and they should not lose this, but when they are not playing at home they are playing like absolute mugs, so my first decision wich was X2 on Port Vale, has been changed. I will take over here rather, two muggish defensive teams that are poor this year. Should see maybe even more than 3 goals.

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Old 21-03-17, 16:02   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sirac View Post
About Coventry goals - hard call. They are just crap. Scoreless in last 4 and its not like they are showing something, on contraire boring team with many problems outside the pitch, fans protesting and new manager blaming on poor fitness. They still have the Wembley final so motivation should be still there butthey are just not good enough and a sinking ship. Vale have found some life lately winning important home games and relegation rivals Swindon and Shrewsbury but away form is their nemesis. Only one win whole season so i guess thats why the odds but on current circunstances i would expect Vale to be favorites here so i agree with Mac, there should be some value on them at current prices. At least they can score goals.
so Vale over 1,5 are gift?
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Old 21-03-17, 16:14   #9
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Quote:
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so Vale over 1,5 are gift?
I wouldnt say a gift, maybe something worth to try given the state of Coventry. Its a relagation battle and given Valiants away struggle they will go there to fight firstly. Often this kind of games are close, decided by the odd goal.
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Old 21-03-17, 16:31   #10
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Quote:
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I wouldnt say a gift, maybe something worth to try given the state of Coventry. Its a relagation battle and given Valiants away struggle they will go there to fight firstly. Often this kind of games are close, decided by the odd goal.
Coventry is already relegated and I count on players minds that they will not go 100% as they don't have nothing to fight for while Vale must attack and gain points and if the doesn't score two or more in this game they don't score at other away game ......

also H2H give interesting pattern
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Old 21-03-17, 17:24   #11
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also Coventry has EFL Trophy final 10 days later in Wembley...
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Old 21-03-17, 22:39   #12
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Oxford Utd vs Bolton

Stupid odds from bookies on this over, last 4 games of hosts Oxford Utd had all 3 or more goals. 2:1 win, 2:1 loss, 1:2 win, 2:3 loss. Bolton are on 2nd spot and they are in direct promotion material right now, but that can easily change if they lose 2 points here and Fleetwood wins their next game. This is very important game for Bolton, but hosts Oxford are not that far away from Southend, 5 points they need to reach playoffs. This game should have 3 goals.

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2:4

Quote:
Originally Posted by KL1NCUNT View Post
Coventry vs Port Vale

Meeting of the mugs . After winning their latest home game, Port Vale are now going to play away from home against horrible mugs Conventry. They are at 24th place with pathetic negative goal difference of 30:59 which is -29. Port Vale are mugs as well in defense, just like Conventry. Very importang game for Port Vale and they should not lose this, but when they are not playing at home they are playing like absolute mugs, so my first decision wich was X2 on Port Vale, has been changed. I will take over here rather, two muggish defensive teams that are poor this year. Should see maybe even more than 3 goals.

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2:1
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