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Old 06-03-17, 07:14   #1
Nesquik
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Default Eurovision 2017 (9, 11 & 13 May)

Paddy Power just opened

Outright Winner

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Old 06-03-17, 09:20   #2
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Occidentaaalis karmaaa
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Old 06-03-17, 10:08   #3
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Occidentaaalis karmaaa
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-OnRxfhbHB4

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Old 06-03-17, 12:00   #4
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2.75 so low..
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Old 06-03-17, 12:23   #5
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2.75 so low..
Yes impossibile to bet
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Old 06-03-17, 13:57   #6
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Can somebody post the Italian song?
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Old 06-03-17, 14:06   #7
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Can somebody post the Italian song?
Already posted by egomax
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Old 06-03-17, 15:25   #8
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Can somebody post the Italian song?



Last edited by Dex; 06-03-17 at 15:30.
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Old 06-03-17, 15:31   #9
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This is the original, Occidentali's Karma .
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Old 06-03-17, 15:51   #10
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but these both versions are better
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Old 06-03-17, 15:55   #11
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here is Croatian song:



dunno what odd was on that .......
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Old 06-03-17, 17:41   #12
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I am kinda convinced Italy will win, so if you find @ 3.00, I strongly recommend 10/10 (this means 100 euro bet)


this is the song of Romania, in the national selection only lower level artists go, they are obscure


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Old 06-03-17, 18:11   #13
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I am kinda convinced Italy will win, so if you find @ 3.00, I strongly recommend 10/10 (this means 100 euro bet)
I guess you need to slow down a bit, atleast for now, with strong recommendations. Sure, Italy sounds the best now, but it's nothing extraordinary and moreover we still don't know all the entries, including some usual suspects for a win
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Old 07-03-17, 08:20   #14
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One of those big guns - Australia came up with their entry today, I'd say safe choice, probably another top10 or maybe top5 finish, but I can hardly see this as winning song. Good news for Italy I suppose

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Old 07-03-17, 13:02   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dex View Post
here is Croatian song:



dunno what odd was on that .......
lol we suck
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Old 07-03-17, 16:05   #16
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One of those big guns - Australia came up with their entry today, I'd say safe choice, probably another top10 or maybe top5 finish, but I can hardly see this as winning song. Good news for Italy I suppose

I will not be surprised if they win .... but where will be Eurovision then? In Sydney?
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Old 07-03-17, 16:47   #17
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I will not be surprised if they win .... but where will be Eurovision then? In Sydney?
No, it'd still be in Europe. If I recall correctly, it's in ESC rules that contest must be held here. Also Australia stated that in case of winning contest, next year they would co-host contest with some European country in Europe. Most obvious choice most likely bein' UK
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Old 07-03-17, 17:57   #18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nesquik View Post
I am kinda convinced Italy will win, so if you find @ 3.00, I strongly recommend 10/10 (this means 100 euro bet)
With all due respect, I think this is a dumb bet for a number of reasons:

1. We don't even know who the competitors are.
2. I would not bet on any song at below odds of 3 before knowing the order in which the songs will be performed in the final which is very important.
3. We don't know how the song will be performed live. Many songs sounded good on video but totally flopped due to the arrangement on stage.
4. This song doesn't sound like the kind of song that has won before.

I am not saying it is a bad song. It may well win. But I would not buy it for 3 now. I have watched Eurovision for many years and I can tell you that there will be volatility in the prices. Inevitably, the price will go back up even if the song ends up winning.
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Old 07-03-17, 17:59   #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mindozas View Post
No, it'd still be in Europe. If I recall correctly, it's in ESC rules that contest must be held here. Also Australia stated that in case of winning contest, next year they would co-host contest with some European country in Europe. Most obvious choice most likely bein' UK
It will take place in the country that ends up being runner up (if they want to host it). Otherwise, the 3rd placed country will get the next shot and so on...
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Old 18-03-17, 19:05   #20
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final odds, guys, now all the selections are established

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Old 19-03-17, 02:44   #21
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Serbia is as strong as Italy IMO, very beautiful



Serbia will be one of my main bets when the ESC is near, top 10, top 3, winner and more

it could have won easily but the ending is not good at all and cant surpass Italy
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Old 19-03-17, 02:47   #22
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man, this year there are many good songs. imagine Serbia and Macedonia especially for their Balkan level of never English songs, they are finally coming with something

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Old 19-03-17, 19:27   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WiserthantheCrowd View Post
With all due respect, I think this is a dumb bet for a number of reasons:

1. We don't even know who the competitors are.
2. I would not bet on any song at below odds of 3 before knowing the order in which the songs will be performed in the final which is very important.
3. We don't know how the song will be performed live. Many songs sounded good on video but totally flopped due to the arrangement on stage.
4. This song doesn't sound like the kind of song that has won before.

I am not saying it is a bad song. It may well win. But I would not buy it for 3 now. I have watched Eurovision for many years and I can tell you that there will be volatility in the prices. Inevitably, the price will go back up even if the song ends up winning.
I will agree with you!!! Do not understand how this song can win!!! only a very good performance can help it.
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Old 19-03-17, 20:42   #24
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This thread was once dominated by fantastic picks by legendary Lakini.
Mate, if you somewhere out there, give us your thoughts about this year`s competition.
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Old 19-03-17, 21:37   #25
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Argh, Lakini... I think it's been about 5 years when I last remember him offering his thoughts. It was a special newsletter he was sending to the subscribers of his 11Legs e-mag.

Lakini was a grossmeister when it was about Eurovision. I'd love to see him posting his views on this contest again, but won't happen unfortunately, IMO.

Wherever he is now, I'm sure he is enjoying life, as a pure artist.
Macot, thanks for the memories
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Old 31-03-17, 18:49   #26
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Belarus is huge plagiarism, even the title is the same as 'the story of my life...', if you know the lyrics of the song in English. how lame!
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Old 04-05-17, 22:54   #27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WiserthantheCrowd View Post
With all due respect, I think this is a dumb bet for a number of reasons:

1. We don't even know who the competitors are.
2. I would not bet on any song at below odds of 3 before knowing the order in which the songs will be performed in the final which is very important.
3. We don't know how the song will be performed live. Many songs sounded good on video but totally flopped due to the arrangement on stage.
4. This song doesn't sound like the kind of song that has won before.

I am not saying it is a bad song. It may well win. But I would not buy it for 3 now. I have watched Eurovision for many years and I can tell you that there will be volatility in the prices. Inevitably, the price will go back up even if the song ends up winning.
so what do you say now about my Italy to win @ 3.00? it is 1.57 now. I might cover it with another 1-2 potential winners (outright winner).

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nesquik View Post
man, this year there are many good songs. imagine Serbia and Macedonia especially for their Balkan level of never English songs, they are finally coming with something

I totally changed my opinion about Macedonia and Serbia
. Macedonian especially, a good song though it has something from a stolen style, has bad live, no show at all and her costumes arent very inspired. Macedonia doesnt get enough potential from this, the same as Serbia.
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Old 04-05-17, 23:10   #28
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updated odds





1. Italy - very solid, potential top 3
2. Bulgaria - interesting song
3. Sweden - boring as **** although a solid song but it shouldnt be top 3 for sure
4. Portugal - interesting, but it is a mix between sanatory and something vintage (it can go anywhere)
5. Armenia - very interesting; kinda like Ukraine last year but it has enough intensity to go up considering her vocal quality
6. Romania - original and really celebrates 'diversity', theme of this year, show on the scene, very good voices; imo, it should finish up top 10 but there is also unjustified hate
7. Azerbaijan - freak show, but it has something from Poli Genova of Bulgaria (certainly top)
8. Australia - not bad; this isnt a top quality to win the ESC but this contest is one of surprises sometimes; and Australia was already included for 'Europe'
9. Denmark - great song and good voice, kinda screaming though but she may fix this
10. Belgium - very solid

so my top of top 10 potential winners (bookies) is:

1. Italy
2. Denmark
3. Romania
4. Azerbaijan
5. Belgium
6-7 Armenia, Bulgaria
8. Australia

Sweden and Portugal are not impressing me. the rest of 10, and trust me many can come top, wasnt studied by me so much yet.

Denmark & Romania top 10 - I dont know the odds yet

Italy @ 3.00
I already picked
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Old 04-05-17, 23:16   #29
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I put before 50 on Italy to win @ 3.00

from potential profit, 50 will go to:

25 on Romania to win @ 36.00 (huge and biggest odds in Unibet)
25 on Denmark to win @ 51.00 (huge and biggest odds at Betfair/Paddy Power)
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Old 04-05-17, 23:27   #30
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nesquik View Post
I put before 50 on Italy to win @ 3.00

from potential profit, 50 will go to:

25 on Romania to win @ 36.00 (huge and biggest odds in Unibet)
25 on Denmark to win @ 51.00 (huge and biggest odds at Betfair/Paddy Power)
I need alternatives too, thinking to try the same thx
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