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  • pep
    Freshman
    • Apr 2004
    • 109

    #31
    Esteghlal F.C. - Naft Tehran LOST
    Sporting U19 - Juventus U19 LOST
    Club America - Queretaro LOST

    Comment

    • pep
      Freshman
      • Apr 2004
      • 109

      #32
      Ok, for sure, this is not a good period for me. My system gave two games for today (odds 8 and 5,80) but I decided to not bet (and not write here) because I had a bad streak till now and I thought that having a break will be a good idea.

      Guess what. Both passed!

      Of course, I cannot prove it, I just write it to say that when following a strategy with stats (and only stats) and right money management you should not change your strategy in the midway. Anyway, it happened... We' ll see how we can have the come back.

      Comment

      • pep
        Freshman
        • Apr 2004
        • 109

        #33
        Back again after that damn small break. Of course, I keep my previous record. But I decided to change the way I present my picks. Betting odds will be writing only after the match and not at the time of post. I decided this because many times I bet on different odds than these I had posted here because they had been changed in a few minutes. There is no reason for me writing odds that, probably, will be changed a few minutes later. The only reason for doing that is if someone wants to confirm in real time that these odds really exist. But how many are they? On the other hand, this can simply be proven at any time with the final odds of the game (pre-match odds) that are published by oddsportal.com or any other odds-comparison site.

        So, from now on I will be giving my picks without odds assuming that real betting odds are the pre-match final odds and from them, more specific, the highest one among some well-known internet bookies (as till now).

        This has the disadvantage that, usually, odds will be lower or higher than these I really bet. But I cannot have solutions for everything! At least, you can assume that in total the average odds will be close to those I bet.

        One last thing to remember: This thread refers to betting only at underdogs (usually heavy underdogs), so you have to wait odds at least higher than 4.

        Comment

        • pep
          Freshman
          • Apr 2004
          • 109

          #34
          19. Argentina » Primera B Nacional » Quilmes - Nueva Chicago

          Comment

          • pep
            Freshman
            • Apr 2004
            • 109

            #35
            Quilmes - Nueva Chicago 2 @ 4.09 pinnacle LOST

            Comment

            • pep
              Freshman
              • Apr 2004
              • 109

              #36
              20. World » Friendly International » Wales - Panama 2
              21. Brazil » Serie B » Criciuma - Nautico 2

              Comment

              • pep
                Freshman
                • Apr 2004
                • 109

                #37
                Wales - Panama 2 @ 5,75 LOST
                Criciuma - Nautico 2 @ 5,5 LOST

                Comment

                • pep
                  Freshman
                  • Apr 2004
                  • 109

                  #38
                  22. Germany » 3. Liga » Wehen - Hansa Rostock 2

                  Comment

                  • pep
                    Freshman
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 109

                    #39
                    Wehen - Hansa Rostock 2 @ 6,20 WON

                    Comment

                    • pep
                      Freshman
                      • Apr 2004
                      • 109

                      #40
                      23. Ukraine » Premier League » FK Zorya Luhansk - Veres Rivne 2
                      24. England » Vanarama National League » Sutton - Halifax 2
                      25. Japan » J-League Division 2 » Chiba - Yokohama 2

                      Comment

                      • pep
                        Freshman
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 109

                        #41
                        FK Zorya Luhansk - Veres Rivne 2 @ 5,5 LOST
                        Sutton - Halifax 2 @ 6,5 LOST
                        Chiba - Yokohama 2 @ 4,97 LOST

                        Comment

                        • pep
                          Freshman
                          • Apr 2004
                          • 109

                          #42
                          26. Wales » Premier League » Cardiff Metropolitan - Druids 2
                          27. Portugal » Taça de Portugal » U. Madeira - Freamunde 2
                          28. Austria » Tipico Bundesliga » Salzburg - Sturm Graz 2

                          Comment

                          • pep
                            Freshman
                            • Apr 2004
                            • 109

                            #43
                            Cardiff Metropolitan - Druids 2 @ 6,5 LOST
                            U. Madeira - Freamunde 2 @ 5,5 LOST
                            Salzburg - Sturm Graz 2 @ 6,5 LOST

                            Comment

                            • pep
                              Freshman
                              • Apr 2004
                              • 109

                              #44
                              financial results so far...

                              initial bank (investment) 50
                              total bets (stakes) 28
                              won bets 2
                              lost bets 26
                              hitrate 7,14%
                              average odds 6,44
                              average won odds 6,66
                              current bank 35,32
                              profit -14,68
                              yield (%) -52,43%
                              roi (%) -29,36%

                              *yield is calculated as profit/stakes
                              *roi is calculated as profit/investment

                              Comment

                              • pep
                                Freshman
                                • Apr 2004
                                • 109

                                #45
                                29. Netherlands » Eerste Divisie » Jong PSV - Jong Utrecht 2

                                Comment

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