Olimpija Ljubljana (Slo) - Qarabag (Aze) 11 Jun

[Wilson]

3.24 3.32 2.08

[WiserthantheCrowd]

Odds on Olimpija look generous... I've taken Olimpija AH(0) at 2.4. Certainly Qarabag should not be favorites to win in Slovenia - Olimpija have been very strong at home... Both teams have had some turnover. If you look at the last starting lineup, 5 players of Olimpija and 3 of Qarabag are gone. Olimpija seem to have gotten decent reinforcements and have played 4 friendlies so they should be prepared for this match... On the other hand, Qarabag have had the same coach for many years while Olimpija have a new coach so there may be more continuity with the visitors... But still... While Qarabag should be favored to advance I don't think they should be favored to win in Slovenia even if this match takes place at the same time as Croatia vs. England because the Azeris would not agree to change the time to 6 PM. I'd still expect a few thousand fans to turn out and make some noise. Overall the strength of the 2 teams seems broadly comparable even if the Azeri league has grown stronger while the Slovenian league is stagnating.