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Old 20-04-18, 21:59   #1
Kane1910
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Default POD 21/04/2018

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*RULES FOR APRIL*

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Old 20-04-18, 22:06   #2
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Pick 6 4W/1L +313
Handball SPain Liga ASOBAL
Teucro - Morrazo Cangas
Pick: 2(with AH+0.5)
Odd:1.93
Pinnacle

Only 4 rounds to the end of the season. Teucro is in really bad shape in last period - only 5 points in last 10 matches. Fortunately they have 6 points more than relegation zone where Zamora and Puerto Sagunto losing almost all matches so it almost impossible to fall on the 2 last places.
Morazzo has only 1 point more than relegation zone but they finishing fantastic - 7 points in last 5 matches - they lost in that period only in Barcelona!! I think that is high chance that they won't lose again.
23-25 Pick won!

Last edited by Macot; 24-04-18 at 22:53.
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Old 21-04-18, 06:35   #3
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Pick 9 3-1-3 (one pending)/ +47

ATP Monte Carlo

Nadal vs Dimitrov

Nadal has 10 titles in Monte Carlo and an overall scoteline of 66-4. He lost only 4 sets ever here.
This week he lost only 11 games in 3 matches.
Thiem, the only one who could pose a serious challenge to Nadal was swept off the court in just over one hour, winning only 2 games.

Dimitrov is 1-10 h2h vs Nadal.
This is clay court. Dimitrov had to fight hard to win in all his 3 matches this week.
He has nothing to trouble Nadal.

Bet: Nadal -6 @2.03 Pinnacle
6-4 6-1 Pik won

Last edited by Macot; 24-04-18 at 22:54.
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Old 21-04-18, 07:14   #4
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Pick #8 Won 4 Lost 3 +168
Soccer - Romania Liga 1
Game - Viitorul vs. FCSB
Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.14
Bookie: Bet365

FCSB is playing very good football at this moment and they are very attacking minded in away games, for example they played in the Europa League away from home at Lazio after winning the first leg with 1-0 at home and they decided to press high up the pitch and attack away from home instead of defending and ended up conceding 5 goals but still scored a goal as they lost that game 5-1 in the end.
In the league though opponents are far from the level of Lazio, for example last round they played away from home at Astra and ended up scoring 3 goals, kept a clean sheet as well and won the game with 3-0 in the end. Now, Viitorul has some chances for the 3rd place in the league standings, but they lost last round against 2nd placed CFR Cluj at home and were also defeated a couple of weeks ago with 2-1 away from home at FCSB in the play-offs, the score being 2-0 in favor of FCSB by half-time of the game.
This should be an away game and bookies reflect just that with odds of 1.55, too low for betting on the away win though, while since FCSB played 8 of their last 9 away games with over 2.5 goals being scored in them, and Viitorul themselves not being a defensive minded club and close relationships between them and FCSB my bet is going to be on over 2.5 goals here.
2-2 Pick won!

Last edited by Macot; 24-04-18 at 22:54.
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Old 21-04-18, 08:23   #5
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Pick 5 2w2l

Brno- Plzen
Pick: Plzen to win (-0.5), 1.85, Bet365

Why?
Brno are the worst team in the league (20 points) while Plzen are still the best.
Visitors are led by very exp. P. Vrba (ex national team coach), he led Plzen to CL (group stage and made quite good results) and EL knock-out stage in the past
Plzen had a huge cushion to 2nd place (circa 15 points) and have now only 5.
Plzen can not afford to draw any points as they will play with 2nd Slavia(5 points less) on the road and there are only couple games left.
Plzen lost only once on the road(2:5 in last round) and this team have a very strong and experienced roster with many well known players like Hroshovsky, Hubnik (ex Zenit), Kolar etc.
1-3 Pick won!

Last edited by Macot; 24-04-18 at 22:55.
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Old 21-04-18, 08:24   #6
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Pick #2 -100 (0/0/1)
Tournament: Germany - Bundesliga
Event: RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim
Pick: Over 3.5
Odds: 2.08
Bookmaker: Sbobet

Bundesliga 1 round 31 for this event I will take 4+ goals
My advice is grounded several important reasons.
1. these are two of the teams in the Bundesliga showing a very large % of efficiency
in creating situations and scoring goals and both defenses have weak %.
3. For 30 games RB Leipzig is 45:42 at home 28:20 Hoffenheim is 55:42 at away 23:28.
3. Important players which will missed this event is Dayot Upamecano D 22 games G1-A0,Marcel Sabitzer M 20 games G2-A5, Konrad Laimer M Konrad Laimer G0-A2.Full roster for Hoffenheim.
4. Last 3 games between them: 0:4,2:1,2:2.
5. Hoffenheim is in excellent form last 5 games they stats is 15/4 scored/conceded while RB Leipzig stats is scored/conceded goals. .

I think more has nothing to say 4 or more goals here.
2-5 Pick won!

Last edited by Macot; 24-04-18 at 22:55.
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Old 21-04-18, 10:09   #7
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Pick #6
1-0-4 -233

Poland 1st division
Podbeskidzie v Miedz(-0.5) 2 odds: 2.25 @bet365


Miedz is current leader and main promotion candidate. In autumn they've had some problems with scoring but during winter they've bought two top players in midfielder Forsell and striker Piatkowski and both are excellent players for 1st division, in fact they are Ekstraklasa level players(Piatkowski already 5 goals in 7 games). With them in squad Miedz is playing very well, 5-2-0 in spring round, 2-1-0 in away games. They have excellent chance to finally win promotion and I'm sure they'll get it. They are best away team in the league with 7-3-3 record.

Podbeskidzie on the other hand is mid-table team, 11th with 8-11-7 record. They won't get promoted or relegated, they are safe and just need couple of points from games left to be 100% safe of relegation. They are actually unbeaten in spring with 2-5-0 record. 4 of those draws were 0:0 and it seems Podbeskidzie decided to stay clear of relegation by playing boring, safety first football. They'll try the same today but Miedz should be too strong for them and find the winner eventually. In this clash of unambitious, defensive and boring mid-table Podbeskidzie with highly motivated, skilled and with big offensive potential Miedz I'm backing the promotion candidates.
0-0 pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 24-04-18 at 22:56.
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Old 21-04-18, 10:32   #8
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Pick no.6 (4-0-1) +293
Nancy - Auxerre
Pick: over 2.5
Odds: 2.18
Bookie: Pinnacle

After yesterday Bourg Peronnas draw versus Nimes (2-2) Nancy have now the chance to reduce the gap between them at only one point and to look with some higher confidence at the remaining games in order to avoid play-out games. Nancy is extremly poor these days, taking only 4 points in last 9 games ( losing 7 times) ; So no wonder they are on a playout spot with only 29 points. A team who stay in 2-3 good players, depending on these guys shape. A team who changed a lot of coaches, the actual one being 4th this season. A team experienced some problems with own supporters, but awaiting now full support in order to overpass this bad period. A team who scored single goal in last 4 games ( losing 3 times with same score 0-2 versus promotion chasers Clermont, Reims and AC Ajaccio). For this game Muratoni is suspended while other few are not recovered yet.
Auxerre proved to be so gentile on the road with the teams in deep trouble clearly losing versus Quevilly 1-4 and 1-3 versus GFC Ajaccio. A team who also as Nancy disappointing a lot this season their fans; Also they changed the coach , actual one Correa bringing a positive atmosphere in the squad and some good results lately. At some point in the championship a remontada seemed possible and catching the 5th spot to try to promote; but that two defeats versus lower ranked teams made that thing impossible now. With complete squad they are so powerful and score a lot. 6 consecutive overs in their stats. Ba and Boto are injured while Baretto is not colled up for this trip
Perhaps Nancy will win today given the above reasons of Auxerre. But expect also Auxerre to score here so a possible 2-1 win for Nancy. To avoid an unexpected result I prefer to back over 2.5 also in this game ( even we had 6 overs last night in Ligue 2). gl
2-1 Pick won!

Last edited by Macot; 24-04-18 at 22:56.
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Old 21-04-18, 11:03   #9
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Pick 2 0-0-1 -100
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
Pick: 2 Odds:2.25 @bet365

I think Aberdeen will win this match.They are ranked at the third place which is the last that gives a ticket for Europa League so after the last loss against Hearts they must bounce back.Kilmarnock on the other hand is ranked at the 5th place with 55 points and despite coming after five consecutive wins they dont have much hopes to get higher in the ranks.Aberdeen has a very good h2h record against Kilmarnock winning four of the last five matches played here and drawing one.The last time they lost a match to Kilmarnock was back in 2012.I think the fact they are also out of the Cup now will make Aberdeen fully focus on the league and i dont expect them to make anymore false steps.
0-2 Pick won!

Last edited by Macot; 24-04-18 at 22:56.
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Old 21-04-18, 11:56   #10
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Pick #3 2-1 +197

Tamis vs Borac @19:00 CET

Borac -3.5
1.83
Bet365


As you have already known, Borac is the best Serbian team coming from ABA 2. They have lost ABA 2 Final Four at home but that has happened due to big expectations, pressure etc. They also stayed without the best and the most important player of the team - Djokovic, just few days before the start od the F4 so they had lack of time to prepare eveything without brain of the team. Now, they start Super League for which they brought in Kutlesic from Vrsac who is great player for this level and who will prove his class. Borac destroyed Zlatibor in 1st leg at home by 30 pts difference while Tamis lost to Mega away. Borac is better on all positions than Tamis and should make this one easily. I see this one on 10 pts difference at the end
69.86 Pick won!

Last edited by Macot; 24-04-18 at 22:57.
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Old 21-04-18, 13:33   #11
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pick #4 2-1-0 +120

Football
Spain
Celta Vigo - Valencia
Valencia Asian 0
Odds: 2.08 Sbobet

Celta Vigo is coming off 2-2 draw with Barcelona in midweek game when Barca rested key players for Copa Del Rey. Their record against Top- 4 teams this season is , 0w-3d-3l. They lost to Valencia 2-1 this season.

Celta Vigo is missing their most important player, Aspas. He scored 20 goals in 32 games, defender Castro (32 games ) is also suspended. For me , it is very hard to be on Celta Vigo side when they will be without their brain, Aspas.

Valencia is missing Parejo, Gaya for cards and Zaza is not in squad. Santa Mina will play against his ex-club with Rodrido on forward position. They can overcome Celta defence today. Kondogbia will also play for Parejo position. Both teams can find the net, but i'm with Valencia side.
1-1 Pick void!

Last edited by Macot; 24-04-18 at 22:58.
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Old 21-04-18, 13:56   #12
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Pick#7 3/3 +52

Football, Qatar Cup

Al Sadd - Al Rayyan

Pick: over3.5
Odds: 2.03
Bookie: Pinnacle

Semi final of Qatar Cup. It's a knock-out stage, so finalist will be decided tonight.
Well, as I've wrote many times, such games can be dull and cautious, but it's unlikely to happen when two Qatari giants faces each other. Simply there's too much firepower upfront in each ranks and none defense can match it what so ever. Also none of these clubs are used to play cautious/defensive football, so you can always expect offensive minded game. Moreover it's also so called Qatari El Clasico, so both teams will try to prove they are better and knowing their mentality they'll go for goals since starting whistle. It's always the case. Only setback is that Rayyan's Hamdallah is injured, obviously it's a big miss, but atleast lately Soria stepped up and started to score, he is not of the same quality of course, but with him bein' in good shape, with evergreen Tabata, Rayyan is still capable of scoring against any team. Meanwhile with Al Sadd it's all fine, all top guns seems to be fit.
So basically I expect an open game, like it usually happens between these sides and with both having way more power upfront, I expect goals too. GL
6-4 Pick won!

Last edited by Macot; 24-04-18 at 22:59.
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Old 21-04-18, 13:59   #13
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Pick # 1
Football
Austria, Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC ***8211; Sturm Graz
Pick: Sturm Graz -0.75
Odd: 2.03
Bet365

Wolfsberger AC are in really poor form with 8 defeats in a row and at home they have scored in only 2 of the last 9 league games while conceding 9 in the last 4.
Sturm Graz are second in the league and are on a excellent run with 5 wins in the last 6 scoring 15 goals. They have won the last 3 away games in the league scoring 11 goals.
Sturm Graz already won with 0-2 at Wolfsberger AC earlier this season and given the current form of the home team, i expect Sturm Graz to also be too strong today.
2-1- Pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 24-04-18 at 23:00.
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Old 21-04-18, 16:10   #14
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Pick 6

+74

St. Truiden - Eupen

1(-1.25 AH) @ 2.2
Sbobet

Belgium, Football. The team on the home side St. Truiden is a beter choice for the game against the team on Eupen. So far the home team is with better results and the chances at home sure is a better for a win today too. The road team is a team with 2 loses in the last 2 and the team for Grp B is 6 points less than leader Lokeren. The host is better as chances on one point less than the team on Lokeren so the bet on the host today to be a winner with 2 is a better for me too. St. Truiden coming of 3:1 against FCO Beerschot Wilrijk, also 4:0 against the team on Royal Antwerp.

Good Luck,
AL
2-3 Pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 24-04-18 at 23:00.
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