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Germany, Lower Leagues, 24.-26.04.2018

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  • Azure
    Senior Member
    • Jun 2007
    • 1803

    Germany, Lower Leagues, 24.-26.04.2018

    Wegberg - Köln II (RL West; Tue, 24.04.18, 19:30)
    Fight for survival. Wegberg is in hopeless position. They have to win pretty much all remaining games and need competitors to fail numerous times. That's very, very unlikely, especially because Wegberg turned from bad to worse after winterbreak (1-2-8, 8:28). It's the 8th game in 24 days for them and with Holtby (omf), Hasani (fw) and Dagistan (fw) almost the complete regular offense is rated doubtful today (those three guys scored 19 of 29 Wegberg goals in this season). - Köln II was as bad as Wegberg in first part of season, but they improved a lot after restart (6-2-3, 21:14), which means that they climbed towards lower table midfield and are about to save themselves. They won the last two games vs other bottom teams Rhynern (4:0) and Erndtebrück (2:0), who were both better than Wegberg in last months. Köln youngsters had a tight schedule as well lately, but not for such a long time as Wegberg: it's "just" the 4th game in 10 days for them. - I got no doubts that Wegberg will enter the pitch willing to fight for the last chance, but tiredness, worse individual quality, better form of opponent and probably missing (or at least handicapped) offensive players should make it very hard for them to get sth here.
    Köln II -1,0 @2,16 pin (3/10)
  • Azure
    Senior Member
    • Jun 2007
    • 1803

    #2
    BFC Dynamo - Cottbus (RL Northeast; Wed, 25.04.18, 19:00)
    BFC is slumping a bit. They are winless for 3 games in RL, which might've to do with table situation and regional cup: as promotion was totally out of sight anyways, BFC was able to focus on cup semifinal, which they won 2:1 vs TeBe a week ago. Afterwards they lost 0:2 vs Hertha II last weekend and seemed to be very tired + unfocussed after many games in last weeks (it's gonna be the 10th game in 32 days for them today). Topscorer Dadashov unlikely to return and Al Azzawe (cdf/dmf) is suspended. - Cottbus already won the league and has to keep focus up now for remaining games till promotion playoffs in May. Coach Wollitz gave some playing time to youngsters last weekend (team still won 2:1 vs Nordhausen!), but today keyplayers/regulars Weidlich (rmf), Zimmer (omf), Viteritti (lmf), topscorer Mamba (fw), wintersigning Scheidhauer (fw) and captain Stein (cdf) are expected to return in starting lineup. Wollitz warned the team that anybody who does not show motivated effort in rest of regular season will not be nominated for playoffs, so that should prevent any laziness... - BFC is ofc a very good team for this level, but the missing of Dadashov is a huge blow + they got nothing to play for (only waiting for regional cup final) + they are very tired. Cottbus rested almost all offensive players last weekend, so they definitely should have the egde regarding fitness here. And Wollitz' announcement should keep all regulars from relaxing too much. I think that Cottbus odds got value in this situation, especially after it moved up. -0,25 is nice too, but I decided to take straight win at higher odds.
    Cottbus win @2,35 pin (3/10)

    Comment

    • Cyrus
      Member
      • Nov 2003
      • 229

      #3
      Damn. Cottbus f***ed up my profit yesterday.

      Comment

      • ursulla
        Member
        • Nov 2015
        • 874

        #4
        Originally posted by Cyrus View Post
        Damn. Cottbus f***ed up my profit yesterday.
        don't write such a posts, better not to write anything, please

        Comment

        • Cyrus
          Member
          • Nov 2003
          • 229

          #5
          Originally posted by ursulla View Post
          don't write such a posts, better not to write anything, please
          Why? Hopefully I didnt offend anyone. You are both great tipsters and I enjoy reading your previews and insights.

          Comment

          • Prija
            Super Moderator
            • Jun 2003
            • 2789

            #6
            Originally posted by Cyrus View Post
            Why? Hopefully I didnt offend anyone. You are both great tipsters and I enjoy reading your previews and insights.
            When you complain about lost bet it seems like you are complaining against the guy who posted it. So as Ursulla said, in such case better not to write anything, nobody is happy after a lost bet, but we have to respect punter's effort, nobody will win every bet after all.
            He who controls others may be powerful, but he who has mastered himself is mightier still.

            Comment

            • Cyrus
              Member
              • Nov 2003
              • 229

              #7
              In that case iM really sorry. More than once I expressed my gratitude towards these tipsters. They are really good at what they do. Their picks are really good. I played Cottbus even before they put it as pick. So I really didnt mean anything bad.

              Comment

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